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Originally posted by: alanleroyIIQuote
Originally posted by: malibber2
Brexit isn't comparable to an election.
Really? Pollsters polled. People voted. Explain how the Pollsters got it so wrong so close to the vote....and how you think US Pollsters are so right so far away from the vote. You know they use the same techniques....right? Heck they haven't even had a debate yet. That could change everything.
Yeah, I remember how when Trump was leading in the early polls, people claimed that it wouldn't last. They were wrong too.
So far Hillary has invested millions on crucial data mining and microtargeting of demographic groups in swing states. Trump has spent more on baseball caps. Hillary has hundreds of professional boots on the ground. Trump has almost none. To build crowds and harvest volunteers and money in the swing states, Hillary is going to be able to feature rock stars like President Obama, President Clinton, Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, Al Franken, and Joe Biden. Donald Trump will have his wife, Chris Christie and.....Sarah Palin? Hillary will be able to build crowds with the likes of Katy Perry, Beyonce, and Bruce Springsteen. Trump will have Kenny Rogers and Meatloaf. Thousands of California Hillary supporters are going to drive and fly into Nevada to knock on the door of every Democratic voter in the state multiple times. I was one of them in 2008. And the Trump campaign currently has less money in the bank than the defunct Ben Carson campaign.
And the most powerful get-out-the-vote medium in the world, Facebook, has signaled that it is ready to ratfuck the Trump campaign if they think it's necessary (It probably won't be.) Independents are either morons or liars, so TV commercials directed at them are almost worthless.
I've been saying that Donald Trump was going to be the Republican nominee since forever, but Republican primary voters are very different than voters in the general election. I thought Romney had a chance, I thought McCain had a chance (until he chose Palin), but I don't see a way for Trump to win this.