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Question of the Day - 09 November 2005

Q:
What's the latest on the monorail? Has it been running smoothly since last year? And have people been riding it? And when will it be expanded to downtown or better yet, the airport?
A:

We pick up the saga of the Las Vegas Strip Monorail in December 2004, after its 107-day shutdown due to technical mishaps. It reopened on Christmas Eve and performed flawlessly through May 1, when it shut down again for two days, due to a communications failure between the control center and the trains. The exact cause for that failure was never identified, or at least it wasn't revealed publicly, but it was quickly rectified. Since then, there have been only a handful of very brief delays.

As far as ridership is concerned, the monorail hit a low of approximately 680,000 riders in January, then jumped to a million paying passengers in March.

The system celebrated its one-year anniversary in mid-July 2005, having carried 5.5 million passengers over the 245 days it was operational, for an average of approximately 22,500 paying passengers daily, well below projections. According to numbers from Moody’s Investor Service, the monorail needs 42,000 daily riders paying an average of $2.94 in fares to turn a profit. The monorail company, however, factoring in other revenues, such as advertising on trains and in stations, estimates the breakeven at closer to 35,000 daily riders.

July was the monorail’s best month ever, when it carried just over a million passengers, for a daily average of 32,928. But September saw the lowest ridership since February (a 28,983 daily average). September fare-box revenues totaled $85,000 per day, well short of the estimated $140,000 in passenger and advertising revenues the monorail needs to break even.

The prognosis for extending the monorail north or south is a bit bleak so far. In early 2005, the Federal Transportation Administration rejected the monorail’s request for more than $321 million to extend the system from Sahara Avenue to downtown Las Vegas. Funding approval was based on its financial viability, which has yet to be demonstrated. The monorail can reapply in 2006 to receive the federal money in late 2007, which would put the downtown extension on track to be ready in 2011. Running the line out to the airport would follow.

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