Here's the latest exclusive "Fezzik Fridays" article, where LVASports.com's handicapping guru tackles a different one of your sports-betting-related questions each week, for the duration of the football season (this week with a little lyrical collaboration from Anthony Curtis).
It's a nine-o-clock on a Saturday The regular crowd shuffles in There's a BW runner sitting next to me Getting all of his football bets in
And the sports book, it sounds like a carnival And the runner, he smells like a beer And the boss at the door sees the arbitrage whore And says, man, what are you doin' here
Assuming you didn't do your homework early so you could bet against the opening numbers, the best time to bet is often in the weekend evenings-the later the better. Personally, I've had a tremendous win rate with wagers made during this time.
How can the wager time matter?
It all comes down to market dynamics. Many pro bettors work in teams and have people assisting them in placing bets. Those guys typically start working at 8 a.m. on Saturday, placing bets all day before the recreational players are even awake. However, by 5 or 6 p.m., most are wrapping up, calling it a day with just a few games left on the board. Meanwhile, the tourists are just returning from a late lunch, and are starting to really fire it in on "public" teams later in the day.
The extreme example of this is late Friday night during March madness, with a 7 p.m. start time with (hopefully) a big public team off a sub-par year facing a relative unknown, like a Missouri Valley Conference runner-up. A line like this might correctly open 5, but run up to 7 as a result of all the tourists betting the known favorite, and just not enough pros "working" to play the game back.
Oh, and apologies to Billy Joel.
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