My daughter will be celebrating her 21st birthday in Las Vegas next month. She's excited to play blackjack for the first time in a real live casinos (we've been playing at home since she learned her numbers through 21) and she knows basic strategy inside and out. I'm staking her, so there's no money pressure. But she's nervous about which seat to sit in. I try to tell her that it doesn't matter, as long as she makes the right play, but she sees on TikTok that some people get mad at other players for messing up the order of the cards. Can you please reassure her that this isn't the case?
Many blackjack players believe that the most important position at the table is the one that's last to act. At a full table, that's the seat farthest left as you face the dealer, or the "third-base" position.
Why? Because what that "anchor person" does with his or her hand will determine which card the dealer gets if he has to draw. As the conventional wisdom goes, a "bad" player who hits his hand when he shouldn't might take the dealer's bust card. Example: The dealer shows 5 and a player on third base hits his 12, then busts with a 10. The dealer then turns a 10 in the hole and draws a 6 for 21.
So what happened here? The bad player took the 10 that was supposed to go to the dealer and screwed up the hand for everyone, right?
Wrong. Of course, that's the way it seems. But the reality is, the cards about to be dealt could just as easily have been reversed, meaning that the incorrect play would have saved the entire table. This happens all the time, but our selective memories don't catalog it.
It's not just third base. Mathematical studies indicate that the skill levels of all the players combined on a table make no difference to your expectation. That is, it doesn't matter whether you're playing at a table full of world-class card counters or a bunch of actual orangutans; your personal expected result remains unchanged. Your result is determined by the rules of the game you're playing and your skill level.
Things change, however, when an expert is involved. Card counters, for example, often choose the last seat because it lets them see the maximum number of cards before they have to make decisions. And a hole-carder (a player trying to see the dealer's concealed card) may want a specific seat because it offers the best view. But when you're talking about casual players, there is no single best seat to improve results. We hope this reassures your daughter.
All that said, we suggest she avoid sitting at third base. People who don't know basic strategy sometimes get mad at players who make the right move with their hand, but good luck explaining to them that they're wrong and you're not. And we can say with some confidence that your daughter is way ahead of the 90% or so of blackjack players who don't know or understand what we've just explained. Ergo, they're almost sure to blame her when they don't agree with her play and something goes wrong for them.
Who needs the added pressure, especially when you're young and a little inexperienced? She should take a seat in the middle, relax, and have a good time at her inaugural run at the house. And please, let us know how it turns out for her.
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