Mathematically, what is the best video poker choice: single line, triple play, 5 play, 10 play, or 50 or 100 play?
[Editor's Note: This answer is penned by Bob Dancer.]
Well, it depends.
The most important factor is the pay schedule. Some casinos have the same pay schedules everywhere, but many don’t. If I can get a 99.73% schedule of Deuces Wild for single lines and the best I can get for multiple lines is a 98.91% schedule, I’m limiting my play to single line. But even if the pay schedules are the same, other things need to be considered.
Other than pay schedule, the two most important factors are fun and variance. Let’s take care of the fun factor first. I think Ten Play is more interesting than a single-line game. Fifty Play and Hundred Play, even more so. They're just more fun. But that’s just my opinion.
Not a matter of opinion, however, is variance. Variance is a mathematical calculation dealing with how far away from the average an individual event will be. Variance is a key component to a bankroll calculation.
Let’s consider several games where you play exactly $5 per play. For single line, that will be a dollar game. For Ten Play, that will be a 10¢ game. For Fifty Play, that will be a 2¢ game. But in every case, we’re playing five coins per line. All of these add up to $5 per play.
For Triple Play, it will be a 33.3¢ game, five coins at a time. That game doesn’t exist, but for now, we can pretend it does by appropriately extrapolating between a 25¢ and a 50¢ game. For Five Play, it requires we bet 20¢ coins. It’s pretty rare to find games of this denomination, but it’s at least possible.
Under these conditions, consider the bankroll required to play a game. It’s a complicated calculation and part of it deals with how much risk of going broke you’re willing to take on. But for whatever risk you want, assume you come up with a bankroll for single-line play. We’ll call that the 100% figure. Now look at the following chart to see how much bankroll is required for playing the same total bet in a multiple-line game.
Single Line 100%
Triple Play 40%
Five Play 18%
Ten Play 12%
Twenty-Five Play 9%
Fifty Play 5%
Hundred Play 3%
The answer becomes obvious. For the same total bet, it’s much less risky to play multiple-line games -- the more lines the better.
That was for the same total bet. How about for the same denomination? That is, for quarters you’ll pay $1.25 per hand. For Ten Play, you’ll pay $12.50 per hand. In this case, the numbers are:
Single Line 100%
Triple Play 120%
Five Play 140%
Ten Play 180%
That is, if you have a bankroll of say $5,000 and that allowed you to play a quarter single-line game with a given risk level, a bankroll of $6,000 would allow you to play quarter Triple Play. A bankroll of $9,000 would allow you to play quarter Ten Play. This is ten times the actual bet size, but will be less than twice the variance.
I don’t have the figures for larger games, but you can extrapolate.
It would be a rare casino that had all games in every combination of denominations and number of lines. Still, you can use the above information to get a good idea of the risk to play various games.
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