My son is about to turn 21 and we have a trip to Las Vegas planned to celebrate the occasion. He asked me a question good enough to pass along to the experts. He'll be tickled to see that you answered it, if you do, and I'm sure he'll take it to heart. His question: What are the best and worst bets in the casino?
Yes, it's a good question that we're happy to answer and we hope that your son becomes an informed casino customer now that he's legal. It certainly sounds like he's off to a fine start.
As for the answer, as usual when it comes to gambling, it depends. First, we have to define "best" and "worst."
For example, while a game like video poker may offer the best odds when played perfectly, the average player might not be able to implement perfect strategy. Additionally, the money-earning potential of a game can be impacted by the imposition of low limits or a slow rate of play.
When it comes to gauging the worst, you can rate bets by their house edge alone or add in considerations of speed and minimum-bet size. The following looks at the question from the standpoint of a single bet only.
Under the single-bet criterion, keno is the worst. Though rare keno games surface with a house advantage of less than 10%, the average edge is 25%-30% and the worst cards routinely exceed a 30% player disadvantage. What’s more, these are fixed percentages that don’t improve. The casino advantage on certain table-game side bets, such as Let It Ride and Caribbean Stud, may exceed that of keno, but they usually include progressive payoffs that improve their returns rapidly. Sports-betting parlay cards (especially "ties-win" varieties), can have holds up there with keno, but not all cards are as bad. Keno gets the nod. (Note that video keno odds are in line with regular slot machines.)
The best bets for skilled players are found, like we mentioned earlier, at video poker machines, as well as at the blackjack tables. Note the "skilled" qualification; these games require study to master their strategies.
Of the bets that anyone can make, the best is the banker bet at baccarat, which carries a low 1.06% house edge. Arguments will come in for craps’ pass and don’t pass with odds, but the line bet and odds bet are two separate (albeit linked) wagers.
The real determinant of the best and worst bets, however, should take into account the factors mentioned at the top of this answer. Jean Scott does this via an incredible chart on p. 33 of her book More Frugal Gambling. In ranking 40 bets in terms of their "dollar-per-hour cost to play," she identifies the true best and worst wagers. At the bottom of the list is dollar slots, at a cost of $54 per hour. At the top is sports betting, with a cost of just 25¢ per hour. And believe it or not, landing in the fourth-best position, at $2 per hour, is $1-per-game live keno, which was also named as our worst single bet above. This demonstrates the powerful effect that speed of play and amount wagered has on how much it costs to gamble.
And if you son is inspired to check the odds on all casino games, he can take a look at our book Gambling 102 by Michael "The Wizard of Odds" Shackleford.
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