How do you convert odds on sporting events to sports betting lines the way they appear in a sports book?
[Editor's Note: This explanation comes courtesy of our new sports betting book, 20/20 Sports Betting, by Logan Fields. It's in-house and on sale for $20.20 (25% off the $26.95 retail price) and shipping is included.]
In case you’re new to this and are wondering how to translate odds like 60-40 into a line of –150, here’s what you do.
Take the percentage chance of winning (60%) and divide it by the chance of losing (40%), which in this case is 1.5, or –150. Since you have a better-than-even chance of winning, the number will be a negative and you’ll have to wager $150 to win $100. If you want to wager on the underdog, which has a 40% chance of winning, you make the same calculation, but express the bet as a positive +150, as you should be rewarded for winning a bet that has only a 40% chance.
So a $100 wager would win $150 (plus the return of the original $100 you wagered).
Here are a couple more examples. An event that has a 75% chance of winning would be –300 (75 divided by 25), which makes sense, as you should have to pay $300 to win $100 if you have a 75% chance of winning. An 80% chance of winning would equal a line of –400 (80 divided by 20) and so on.
These are lines without juice, of course. If a team has a 75% chance of winning and the true accurate line should be –300, more likely you’ll see this team at –330 and the underdog at +270. So if you meet the two lines in the middle, you should get the true (no vig) line of –300.
Sports books don’t necessarily split it right down the middle. Books play games with lines to attract action on one side. Perhaps they have too many bets on the favorite and want to balance it a bit and reduce their exposure. For a line with a true value of –300, they could make the favorite –350 and the dog +290; this invites action on the underdog, as all other books in town or online have the dog +270 in the scenario above. Dog bettors will like this number, even though they’re still betting at a slight disadvantage (recall the true line is +300).
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rokgpsman
Nov-01-2020
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Kevin Lewis
Nov-01-2020
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ksouth165
Nov-01-2020
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Nov-01-2020
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