Is there any information about any increase in new COVID-19 cases since the Las Vegas casinos reopened? It's been several weeks, plenty of time to see any uptick in new cases, although I imagine that many or most new cases would show up in tourists' home states, not in Nevada.
Well, not necessarily. Not only is there more than a mere uptick in cases, quite a few of them are, as the saying goes, staying in Las Vegas.
This is, as you undoubtedly know, a fast-moving target that changes by the minute, is reported daily, and has required more updating than any answer in QoD history.
When casinos reopened on June 4, there was already a slight upward trend in reported cases. On June 14, 10 days into the casino reopening, southern Nevada had 132 cases per day, for a seven-day moving average of 193. By comparison, on June 25 when Gov. Steve Sisolak made universal mask-wearing mandatory, those numbers had spiked at 749 and 480, respectively.
The sharp upward slope has continued to trend almost vertically until hitting a peak since the outbreak on July 2 (985 new cases in the state, with 780 of them in southern Nevada). It could be sheer coincidence that an influx of gamblers happened to parallel a steep rise in reported cases — positive tests having ebbed on May 18 and slowly risen thereafter — but that may be pushing mere chance a bit far.
On July 3, 679 new cases were reported in Clark County, the fifth-largest increase in a single day.
On July 7, Clark County recorded 836 new cases, well above the seven-day average of 596, and 11 additional deaths, also much higher than the one-week average of nearly four.
On Tuesday, the number of Nevada's positive coronavirus tests was up for the 20th consecutive day.
Indeed, while updating this answer yesterday, we saw a chart in the New York Times that ranks Nevada as having the ninth worst outbreak in the world: 1,700 new cases per million residents. (Arizona, right next door, is the number-one worst with 3,300, followed by Florida with 2,700 and South Carolina with 2,300. So much for hot temperatures knocking this thing down. According to the chart, the U.S. has 15 of the 25 worst outbreaks.)
Hospitalizations as well are rising, approaching the peak numbers seen in mid-April again; on Tuesday, the health district reported 37 additional hospitalizations, more than double the daily average of just over 17 for the preceding week.
Nevada also has the highest transmission rate in the nation: Every infected person will pass the disease on to 1.5 others, per the latest data. “When the rate average is below one, then cases should go down, though only 14 states plus Washington, D.C., are reporting this average,” reports 3 News Las Vegas.
Nevada is also on the list of states from which visitors are required to self-quarantine for 14 days if they travel there. New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, and Hawaii, along with the city of Chicago, have instructed residents and visitors to quarantine for 14 days after returning from COVID-19 hot spots, including Nevada. If you live in any of those places, you'll be expected to stay out of circulation when you return home after visiting Las Vegas.
In short, if you live here, there’s not much to be done except take every reasonable precaution and hope the numbers start moving southward again. If you’re from out of state, well, a lot of visitors are arriving daily, with tens of thousands over the holiday weekend just past. But at least you know the chance you'll be taking if your plans include Las Vegas in the near future.
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