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Question of the Day - 30 October 2024

Q:

If another book is coming out on AP slots, do you think the game manufacturers or casinos will try to make them harder to vulture? Do they even care?

A:

[Editor's Note: This is another in a growing number of questions we're getting about advantage slots since we introduced Ben Rosenthal, author of our upcoming book Breaking the Slot Code. Ben graciously responds to this question as well -- since his is, after all, "another book coming out on AP slots."] 

This question could take me a full chapter to attempt to answer, but I'll do my best not to bore you to tears.

There are hundreds of advantage-play games out there across the country and surely more are ready to roll out soon. These games aren't produced by just one or two manufacturers, either. This isn't exactly what you're asking—you're wondering if manufacturers or casinos might nerf these games—but I still feel it's worth trying to highlight the current landscape.

Casinos and manufacturers know about AP games now more than ever. Some casinos don't care, as the games yield the same percentage return for them as any other over a large sample, and AP games have proved to be fantastic money-extractors. On the other hand, a few casinos are actively removing as many of these machines as they can and banning APs on sight. Most are in between; they're aware of advantage-play machines, they don't love advantage players, and they may eventually cut comps, but the cost of removing the machines outweighs the benefit in their eyes.

Now, could my book prompt further action? If it sells like hotcakes, It's possible, but I wouldn't bet on it. Part of why I highlighted the hundreds of AP games countrywide was to show what a herculean task it would be to remove them or heavily reprogram some of them. Sure, President Abraham Lincoln supposedly told Harriet Beecher Stowe, "So you're the little woman who wrote the book that made this great war," but I'm not sure I have an Uncle Tom's Cabin on my hands.

Now, if I'm putting on my worst-case-scenario hat, how might manufacturers or casinos try to make AP games harder to vulture? Well, not all AP games are created equal (I have a video on that idea).

Take a game like Hexbreaker 3. At the low point of its build, it absolutely mauls the players. Maybe they get five cents back for every dollar they bet. At its high point, it's the opposite. Long term, the casino does just fine either way. So if I were a casino, I'd take a sledgehammer to that game and others like it … ones where the advantage swings wildly in both directions.

But compare that to a game like Buffalo Link, where there's an advantage if you squint, but it's minuscule compared to others. That one, and others like it, can stay in my casino.

I've heard of some casinos having "disappearing bubbles" in a game called Ocean Magic. I haven't actually seen it with my own eyes, but it's not impossible to imagine. Things like that would be feasible, where manufacturers could tinker with the mechanics to decrease or eliminate some advantages, but I have no idea how simple or difficult that would be to implement on a large scale. Also, it wouldn't work for many advantage games currently out there.

Anyway, I'll stop my wild speculation there. I'm as curious as anyone to see what the slot landscape looks like in the months and years ahead. I don't think my one little book or video explainers will change things a great deal, but you never know.

 

No part of this answer may be reproduced or utilized in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without the written permission of the publisher.

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Comments

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  • John James Oct-30-2024
    The end is near 
    At this point your book probably won’t have much affect as the market is already becoming saturated with slot aps. With YouTube twitter and people selling courses it’s normal to be in places where you will see 10-20 aps where 4 years ago there might be 2-3.

  • Ben Rosenthal Oct-30-2024
    The end is near 
    I wouldn't call that impossible, especially in Vegas. It really depends on where you go and how much you know, though like you said, some places are already pretty tough.

  • Vegas Fan Oct-30-2024
    His video
    How/where to watch(if no charge)?

  • Bob Oct-30-2024
    The more you Know
    As folks learn more about the Advantage Slots, it's going to be harder to "Vulture" them, because there will be more Vultures!

  • Michael B Oct-30-2024
    Are you willing to name names?
    "On the other hand, a few casinos are actively removing as many of these machines as they can and banning APs on sight."
    I'm curious to know who they are... 

  • lloyd crimm Oct-30-2024
    Class II Ocean Magic
    With class II ocean Magic the bubbles disappear when you hit the spin button then appear again in different spots if they appear at all. So it’s not exploitable.

  • Ben Rosenthal Oct-30-2024
    His video
    Not quite ready yet, and I'll defer to Anthony and Co. on everything with the video series.

  • Ben Rosenthal Oct-30-2024
    The more you Know
    Very true. No getting around that.

  • Ben Rosenthal Oct-30-2024
    Are you willing to name names?
    I'll come back to this one. I am not sure if I should here. I don't like to avoid questions, and this is a fair one, but I'm not sure if I should be posting about that.

  • Ben Rosenthal Oct-30-2024
    Class II Ocean Magic
    Right. This is how it was described to me.

  • John Amato Oct-30-2024
    Lefty
    I can't wait to get the book. I hope this isn't too off topic, but I have to ask. Is Ben related to Lefty?

  • Ben Rosenthal Oct-30-2024
    Lefty
    I wish! 

  • Kevin Lewis Oct-30-2024
    Fighting off hordes of bottom feeders 
    It's just like in the early days of banking slots. I remember visiting the Bellagio when it first opened; they hand hundreds of the new banking slots. They also had nudreds of vultures, perched on the ends of slot aisles. Fights frequently broke out when a player left and two vultures swooped down on that machine.
    
    Going to a Vegas casino to find available AP slots is like entering the chimpanzee cage at the zoo and fighting with them for a single peanut.

  • Ben Rosenthal Oct-30-2024
    Fighting off hordes of bottom feeders
    Haha! Vegas is the most competitive slot environment out there, I'll give you that. There are AP machines as far as the eye can see and with that tons of people exploiting them. I can only speak about my personal experiences, and I've rarely seen or had any fights with fellow vultures/grinders/hustlers/whatever. Does it happen from time to time when two people are waiting on the same machine and get into an argument? Yes. But normally, whoever gets there first has the "right of way," and most people will respect that. Any conflict can usually be avoided with a quick conversation or even a wink. For instance, I may walk up on a promising play and not notice another vulture already got there first, waiting for the customer to get off. I always scan the area, so this is rare, but it still happens. If someone gives me a tap on the shoulder or an eye gesture, I'll know he isn't doing that because he likes my outfit. He's doing the same thing I'm doing and got there first, so I'll move on.

  • Bob Nelson Oct-30-2024
    Question
    Would it be legal for them to do something like resetting the bonuses when a slot card is pulled, or when someone cashed out out runs out of credits?

  • Ben Rosenthal Oct-30-2024
    Question
    I wouldn't rule it out completely. However, the machine would still need to pay back the same percentage to the player base at large. So if someone cashes out or runs out of money, if everything they were building on the machine completely reset to the lowest levels, that machine wouldn't be paying out enough money. Now, if I use my imagination, there could be ways to combat that. Maybe the machine could be programmed to trigger bonuses when it's early in the build and really hold out when it's toward the top of its build. Something like that could mitigate an advantage. But I think what you're describing would lead to too much carnage to the player base, as most slots will and should pay back in the 90 percent range.

  • DeltaEagle Oct-30-2024
    A App?
    I keep seeing AP and APS and it reminds me of Apps. Surprised nobody has done a Smart Phone App with a list of machines or take a picture or scan something on the machine. The app would give you strategy and when it is advantageous to play.  

  • Ben Rosenthal Oct-30-2024
    App?
    An app would be a great idea. 

  • Brent Peterson Oct-30-2024
    VP Free 2
    Is there or will there be a site similar to VPFree2, which lists locations and much more about VP machines, for AP slots?

  • Ben Rosenthal Oct-30-2024
    VP Free 2
    Still to be determined, but stay tuned. I don't think we could include locations since these are all over the country and rotated constantly, but something like that would be useful. 

  • Vegas Fan Oct-30-2024
    Wow Ben rosenthal
    Thanks for ALL the info you've provided, including my question about your videos. Something tells me you'll be moving onto your own site, perhaps at the suggestion of lva

  • AL Oct-30-2024
    What is this?
    Everybody's discussing "advantage play" with respect to slots, but nobody is saying exactly what everyone's talking about. With slots, either (1) everything is fixed and there are no choices to be made, so you just bet credits and hit SPIN, or (2) there is something we can do, some choice to be made, to push the EV from under 100% to over 100%.  Only #2 could be an "advantage slot". But what slot machines are you talking about, and what choices do you make or what actions do you take to get to the advantage? I don't think we're talking about Double Diamond or machines like that. So what machines are you referring to, and what do you do with them to make them be advantageous?

  • Ben Rosenthal Oct-31-2024
    What is this?
    With advantage slots, you bet credits and hit spin too. The only difference is you're looking for the "right" screen. To push the percentage from, say, 90 percent to 110 percent or 150 percent or whatever, you need to find the machine while it's in a positive state. What slots am I talking about? Hundreds of them have the potential to be pushed from negative to positive. I'll list 10 at random: Cash Falls, Jolly 8's, Duo Fu Duo Cai Grand (Ingotcha), Golden Jungle Grand, Blazing X Las Vegas, Wild Pirates, Lunar Disc, Lucky Buddha, Ocean Song, Rising Phoenix. You aren't making any special choices or anything once you sit down at these or any other AP machines. The "choice" has been made before spinning by identifying the screen to be in a positive state. I need people to play advantage machines at their low or mid point, build them up to a positive state, and then leave. But if I were to play these AP machines at the low point myself, I'd get killed just like anyone else would.

  • Ben Rosenthal Oct-31-2024
    What is this? (2)
    I should add that one advantage machine will have many different bets. All machines offer that. There might be an "advantage play" on the $2 bet on Ocean Magic, let's say, and all the other bets the machine offers are in a negative state at that time. So I'd spin the $2 bet until it falls below the 100 percent level and then leave. That is why you may have seen people coming up to a machine, flipping through all the bets and then usually leaving. They are looking for positive plays, usually not finding any, and then leaving to search for others elsewhere. I think I mentioned it elsewhere, but it probably bears repeating: I lose all the time on advantage plays just like people win all the time on random slot machines. It's a percentages game. Enough volume of plays over 100 percent will make it harder and harder for me to lose long term. And enough volume on random machines will make it impossible for the average player to win long term, even if they get lucky from time to time.

  • Lucky Nov-02-2024
    Don't play when non advantage
    So what I have learned here is that if a slot machine like one of those mentioned, like Little Piggies (or what ever it is called) is not being played, then it is in a non-advantage state, and that is why no one is playing it.  So unless a machine has a crowd around it waiting for the player to leave, dont't play. 
    

  • Ben Rosenthal Nov-02-2024
    Don't play when non advantage
    A machine could be left unattended in an advantageous state on one (or more) of its bets. In Vegas with how competitive things are, that's sometimes not so easy to find, depending on the machine, casino and time of day. But I walk up on great plays all the time, even these days. It helps to know as many machines as you can since tons of people know how to play the popular advantage games like Regal Riches, Rich Little Piggies and the like.