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Question of the Day - 16 August 2021

Q:

Which is harder to score? A goal in hockey or a goal in soccer? 

A:

This is a fairly common question, given that, of the high-profile sports, soccer and hockey are the two that produce the least scoring. 

If you google this question, you'll see comparisons of goal widths, game duration (60 minutes for hockey and 90 for soccer), the challenges of being on skates or being disallowed from using your hands, and more. 

If you're talking about the physical aspects alone, there are cases for both. We, however, prefer to take a more straightforward approach and let real outcomes determine this answer.

In another instance of the gambling markets providing real-world information, you can get the answer by looking at betting lines. A typical over/under ("total") range for a hockey game is 5 to 6, with 5.5 being the most common. For soccer, it's 2 to 3 and 2.5. Of course, there are outliers in both and you'll see lines and actual scores outside of these parameters, but hockey outscores soccer by about 2-1. 

For us, that says it's much more difficult to score a goal in soccer than it is in hockey. 

 

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Comments

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  • AyeCarambaPoker Aug-16-2021
    Opposite 
    I’d say the opposite - if you take this weekend’s English premier league games there were 92 shots on target leading to 34 goals across 10 games which gives a score rate of 37% or a save rate of 63%
    
    Any NHL goaltender holding a save rate that low wouldn’t be between the pipes for very long

  • Dave_Miller_DJTB Aug-16-2021
    Statistics / betting
    I’m not a sports guy at all, but considering that this is a gambling website, I thought the question was about scorekeeping and not about physical abilities.
    
    In other words, I thought the question was referring to the statisticians job of counting the number of shots, who made them, who made an assist, etc. I.E. The data a bettor might be looking for. 

  • JerryD Aug-16-2021
    Re: AyeCaramba
    Thanks for those stats.  9.2 shots on goal for both teams, on average?  It's clearly much much more difficult to get a scoring chance in soccer, but if you do, you're more likely to score. An NHL goalie would love to face 4 or 5 shots per game (aside from getting rusty from lack of action).  
    
    Soccer is intense with its meticulous nature, its sudden bursts of action and GOOOOOOOAAAAAAL!!  The difficulty of scoring is one its strengths, but also one its weaknesses.  
    
    The number of goals tells the story.  The speed of the game, many more scoring chances, and more goals are why I prefer hockey.  

  • [email protected] Aug-16-2021
    Strategy
    This is what I would have guessed, since there are more high scoring hockey games than soccer games.  However, I think a lot of it may be due to strategy.  When hockey teams get possession of the puck, they almost always attack, thus the generally close to 30 shots on goal per team, plus numerous other shots which don't hit the target.  Whereas in soccer it isn't uncommon to see a team pass the ball around at midfield or even in their own end with no attempt to attack.  
    
    I suspect that when a soccer team actually decided to attack it is easier to score, because of the much larger target.  But in reality hockey teams will score a lot more.  An interesting comparison is penalty shots.  Soccer goalies rarely are successful in saving them while hockey goalies save them far more often than not.

  • Pat Higgins Aug-16-2021
    Big Tex
    Interesting question to say the least.  But as one who doesn’t care for either sport—not enough scoring action enjoyed your analysis.  

  • Derbycity123 Aug-16-2021
    Soccer = boring
    I would say hockey is harder. They do not even try to score in soccer. Boring boring boring. Of course I have been told I am to dumb to understand the super advanced strategy of soccer. To bore the other team to sleep so you can go down and score. 

  • Randall Ward Aug-16-2021
    scores
    the question was about harder, the answer is about frequency.  Soccer allows ties and other factors influence that. 

  • Ray Aug-16-2021
    a little ambiguous
    It would be nice to know the intent of the questioner. Easier to score when you get the chance? or easier to score within the scope of the game? I think Jerry did a good job of explaining the difference. Also, indoor soccer leagues produced higher scoring than most hockey games, but obviously, that's a different game. 

  • Roy Furukawa Aug-16-2021
    The Real Difference
    The real difference between the two sports is when someone goes down holding their face in hockey, there will usually be blood on the ice too. In soccer, it means a defender got too close to the player that went down.

  • Kevin Lewis Aug-16-2021
    Why it's hard to score goals in soccer
    Every soccer game goes like this: the two teams wander up and down the field until somebody accidentally kicks the ball into the goal. The fans then riot and burn down the stadium. So the score is always 1-0.

  • mhernandez116 Aug-16-2021
    Odd way to answer
    I'm with Randall; not sure it's a good idea to measure difficulty by frequency.
    That's like saying that because Steph Curry hits 3 pointers more frequently than Ben Wallace hit free throws, then free throws must be inherently more difficult.