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Question of the Day - 21 November 2024

Q:

In your answer to the question about Beat the Dealer and what books you recommend for the current blackjack scene, you wrote about the "cat and mouse game between the casinos and the card counters," "the adversity that comes with being a blackjack pro," and the "brutally honest perspective on the highs and lows of professional blackjack." I couldn't help but wonder, if card counting happens inside someone's head, do the casinos read their mind? In other words, how do the casinos know when someone is counting cards?

A:

The casinos have various methods by which they can "pick off" card counters, then bar them from playing blackjack or ban them from entering the building altogether. 

The most common are: 

*Databases. It's become more common, as the first line of defense, for casinos to look up a player in a database (primarily SIN or OSN). If they see you winning, betting big, or fluctuating bets, a casino often asks for a players card or ID, so they can see if you're a known undesirable ... a.k.a. "not a sucker." They might do this before ever watching your playing decisions or anything else: "Let's just check the database to see if he's in there."

*If someone looks like he or she is counting cards. This is the classic case of a casino cutting off its nose to spite its face. Plenty of wannabe card counters or straight-up gamblers have been backed off, because the casino thinks they're a threat, even if they aren't. We've heard of more than one gambler with six figures worth of losses over several years of poor "card counting," but plenty of casinos had backed him off simply because the guy was trying to count. It might be that a guy is just winning too much and the casino panics.

*Analyzing your play in real time. If a casino suspects you of card counting, it may deploy a floorman or surveillance operator to watch you. If you play properly and change your bets along with the count (by counting along with you or running your play through counter-catcher software), they'll then determine if they want your play or not. Remember, if you can play with an advantage based on observable information, the casino can observe that same information to decide if you're playing with an advantage.

*Analyzing your play after the fact. Sometimes a casino reviews a player after he's left, especially if you hit them for a big score, for example, any player who wins over $5,000, $10,000, or $20,000. Plenty of players get out with a big win and without a backoff, only to be turned away on their next visit.

This is all part of the cat-and-mouse game. In his book The 21st Century Card Counter, author Colin Jones talks about forms of "costly" camouflage and "free" camouflage to try to avoid casino detection. But at the end of the day, casinos don't want winners, so dealing with backoffs just comes with being a profitable player.

 

No part of this answer may be reproduced or utilized in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without the written permission of the publisher.

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Comments

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  • Mufasa Thedog Nov-21-2024
    Who's the Author?
    Who wrote this answer?  The answer is written in the first person, i.e. "to me", "I", "in my book".  But we don't know who "me" is.

  • Kevin Lewis Nov-21-2024
    Camouflage
    One of my most profitable sessions ever was at the old Castaways (R.I.P.). I wound up sitting between two friends who were betting $599 to $1509 a hand. As this was a dust joint, they drew a LOT of attention--and they were winning. So I started spreading 1-8 green--damn the torpedoes--and I got no heat at all. The two big bettors weren't counting and in fact, were playing badly. But they got backed off, and I didn't.

  • sunny78 Nov-21-2024
    hey
    Hi Kevin.

  • Scott Nov-21-2024
    OCEAN PRIME IS STILL OPEN!
    
    
    
    
    
     Ocean One is different from Ocean Prime. Please adjust          
                                                          • November 20, 2024 08:34 Country Star Jason Aldean’s Restaurant Opens Dec. 5: Country crooner Jason Aldean, with 11 albums and 40 singles to his name, will open his branded Jason Aldean’s Kitchen + Bar on Wednesday December 5 with a red-carpet and ribbon-cutting ceremony. It's located at 63 CityCenter, the small mall between Cosmopolitan and the Shops at Crystals in the sprawling space previously occupied by the failed Ocean Prime. It occupies 22,500 square feet on two levels, with six bars and the big outdoor terrace; like its main competition, Blake Shelton's Old Red across the Strip at the Bazaar Shops at the Horseshoe, it will feature two  stages for live music. According to the press release, the Kitchen + Bar blends the charm of Nashville with the excitement of Las Vegas." We'll keep an eye on it and report on the food and prices when the menu is visible.

  • jay Nov-21-2024
    The player tells
    In blackjack - you are presumably playing basic strategy. 
    This means that you are not making random decisions as to
    When to hit or stay. You basically follow “the book”.
    
    So the only real decision the player makes is how much to bet.
    If you’re counting cards you are essentially determining if the remaining cards in the shoe are rich with 10’s or low cards.  One favours the house the other favours the player. The size of the count really determines how much favour… 
    
    Theoretically a counter would sit playing table minimum  (flea betting) while they wait for the count to become in their favour. At which point you bet heavily.  Ie swing your bet from $10 to $400 per hand. This triggers all the flags for the house.  Often counters will use the Mr. Big scam where the counter plays table minimum and when the count goes to the player they covertly signal their heavy better who does the drunk walk up and starts playing heavy.
    They do the hit and run.