There was so much talk about the NFL Draft leading up to it. For a couple of years, we heard about how massive the crowds were going to be. I have been there for New Year’s Eve before. I was not impressed by what I saw on TV for the draft and I haven’t seen any numbers printed. How did it turn out?
It depends on how you look at it, though indicators seem to corroborate your "not-impressed" perspective.
Without getting into numbers, Caesars Entertainment CEO Tom Reeg basically said that the NFL Draft was a dud from a gambling point of view. “The draft, in terms of a visitation standpoint for the market, was very strong. It was not a particularly great gambling crowd. It was good for visitation, but the casino numbers were kind of average.”
We pressed the Las Vegas Convention & Visitors Bureau for economic-impact data, but got stonewalled.
The LVCVA did report, however, that for the entire month of April, 3.38 million people visited Las Vegas. Even with the Draft, plus the National Association of Broadcasters convention and four sold-out BTS concerts at Allegiant Stadium, that number was only slightly more than the 3.3 million in March and less than the 3.39 million in October, the highest since the pandemic began. It was also down 4.5% from the 3.54 million in April 2019. So it doesn't seem to us that the Draft had that much of an impact on overall visitation.
That impression was confirmed in a note to investors, in which Deutsche Bank analyst Carlo Santarelli said that while the NFL had projected attendance of 600,000, the actual turnout was probably less than half that amount.
He wrote, “Given the nature of the Draft and the fact that it is free to attend, we do not believe it drew a crowd with high-gaming-spend propensity. We would also note that Strip room rates on the Thursday night of Draft weekend were low. Accordingly, we don’t believe the Draft was a meaningful needle mover for Strip operators.”
Perhaps the Draft didn't move the needle meaningfully, but we'd imagine that any other city on Earth would welcome a crowd approximately the size of the one that celebrates New Year's Eve in Las Vegas. Could it be that in the post-pandemic, corporation CEOs and Wall Street analysts have become somewhat ho-hum over 250,000-300,000 people at their doorsteps?
Either way, the 2024 Super Bowl at Allegiant Stadium will almost surely draw that "crowd with high-gaming-spend propensity."
You can hear Anthony's take on the scene in last week's YouTube video; the Draft segment starts at 8:25.
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