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Question of the Day - 14 May 2025

Q:

PLEASE go look at the Professor Slots website and do a QOD on this guy. His whole premise is based on casinos being able to regularly adjust the payout percentage, etc., with computers and he says there are better days and times than others and the casinos regularly do this. Don't just make the statement that this guy is nuts and casinos can't do it. Pretty please explain WHY they can't do it and explain if there is ANY merit to this guy's claims. When you listen to this guy's explanation and stats he shows it really seems like it may be legit. I'm pretty sure it's not, but I would really love an expert to explain why it isn't.

A:

We did do a spin around ProfessorSlots.com, but after giving it some attention, we didn't come across the information that you provide in the question. We'll take your word for his theory, which we can comment on. But if we're missing some nuance or refinement that Prof Slots points out, perhaps someone can alert us to it in the comments. 

Essentially, what the good professor is talking about, at least from what we can tell in the question, are "server-based" gaming (SBG) machines. And yes, the casinos most certainly can change the payout schedules on slot machines at their convenience or even, as Prof Slots seems to imply, on demand. Server-based slots allow for remote configuration changes, enabling casinos to modify return-to-player (RTP) percentages without physically altering machines. This is often done to optimize revenue, respond to market conditions, or comply with regulatory requirements.

But it's not quite as simple as "pushing a button" or "tightening a screw," in the common lingo. 

For one, in Nevada at least, regulations stipulate two four-minute periods between changes. The machine must sit idle for four minutes before the change. A message must be displayed on the screen indicating that an "update" -- whether it's good or bad for the player doesn't need to be specified -- is in the process of occurring. After the change, the machine must remain idle for an additional four minutes before play can resume. This ensures transparency and prevents immediate exploitation. We don't know what Prof Slots says about it, but obviously, the casino can't secretly change the payback from, say, 98% to 76% between one spin and another on a player who might be winning on a particular machine.   

For another, any changes to the RTP must remain within the 75% minimum threshold and comply with Gaming Control Board standards. Casinos do have flexibility to adjust RTP above this minimum, though significant changes may require notifying and/or receiving approval from the GCB to ensure fairness and compliance with gaming laws.

In addition, the QoD that this question was submitted in response to was about the casinos "determining when a jackpot will hit," pinpointing a weekend or holiday or some other specific time period. That's nowhere near the same as changing a slot machine's RTP by a point or two. Manipulating jackpots is tantamount to cheating, while server-based slots just make it a little easier than in days past, when a technician had to physically go into the guts of the machine, to change payback percentages. This is no different than a casino taking a 9/6 Jacks or Better video poker machine out of service for a short period to change the paytable to 8/5 or 7/5. 

Finally, not all casinos alter RTPs, frequently or otherwise. Many maintain consistent settings to build player trust. Again using video poker as an example, what would you think about a casino that changed its 9/6 JoB suddenly to 6/5? Then, the next time you checked it, it was up to 8/5? And the next time it was down to 7/5? We'd think that whoever the decision maker was didn't have a clue. And why bother going back to such a casino when you never know what you'll find? 

Unlike video poker, no one can tell for sure what the RTP for slot machines is. It's all based on "feel." But as soon as players start to feel like machines have been tightened up, whatever trust has been built up will take a hit. 

 

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Comments

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  • Gregory May-14-2025
    Theories
    I perused his website and YouTube channels. I wasn't impressed. While he does have some info such as breakdowns of maximum and minimum legal slot RTP from state to state, he also seems to have come to some conclusions about this information that are a bit farfetched.  His theory is that some casinos loosen slots to drive customer traffic and goodwill, then when it comes closer to reporting time, they tighten everything up so that their numbers won't skew outside the legal limit. I call BS on this. The slots in my state are crappy all the time. I've never seen waves of bounty, then famine.  Also, Nevada has no maximum limit so I don't see any reason form them to tinker with percentages.  A few years back, VitalVegas snapped a par sheet that was attached to a new slot being installed. The machine was set to some number like 94%. As far as I understand this number is baked into a chip from the factory and can't be changed.  This is not to say that ALL machines are like this.    

  • Gregory May-14-2025
    Theories (continued)
    Are server based slots still a thing?  I remember seeing a few several years ago, but I really don't think they caught on.

  • Laurence Martin May-14-2025
    Percentage of server-based slots
    Can LVA tell us what percentage of slots are server-based today?

  • hawks242424 May-14-2025
    Slot Holds
    I spoke to a slot director (now retired) at my local Boyd.  He said they rarely if ever changed the payback percentages on slots (they didn't have server based slots).  But he said they set it to what they on and almost all the time leave it there.  I would imagine at big casinos without serves this is probably the cases.  Even with the serves I doubt they are moving it very often not up and down based on demand.

  • Michael May-14-2025
    VP tables
    Your example at the end sound about like Downtown Grand in the past year or so. Kinda like that place, but they need to figure out what they want to be and stick with it. Stopped going due to the negative changes.
    

  • Gregory May-14-2025
    Server Based Slots
    Slot influencer Brian Christopher has an article on his website addressing server based slots. It appears that they were piloted, but didn't really amount to much.
    
    I remember that Fremont had a few of these back in the day, It worked a bit like Game King where you pick from a list of different slots and then after about 20-30 seconds the slot would load and you would play as normal.
    
    This should not be confused with multi-game slots (like Game King) where the game comes up mostly instantly. These are not server based.
    
    https://fliptheswitch.com/whats-the-deal-with-server-based-slots/

  • sunny78 May-14-2025
    server
    I can understand why some old mechanical reel slots, which are disappearing fast it appears, might not be retrofitted to be on a network but I find it hard to believe the vast majority of slot machines aren't networked, ie on a "Server". I would guess most are as there are so many advantages to a casino in regards to monitoring and collecting data and making updates. So the QOD about the ability to change the slot payout at any time seems obvious, regardless if they change out a chip in an old machine or log in to the machine on a server and do it that way as QOD answered. The double 4 minute rule is interesting. Why not 3 minutes though? :)

  • Frank Nicosia May-15-2025
    Well…..
    ….. of course a network connection exits with all machines. How do you think they gather player tier points. I understand the brains (hold, odds, etc)of the machine are separate.