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Murphy waffles; llinois’ surge; Mega-Jottings

If there is ever another, updated edition of Theodore Sorensen‘s Profiles in Courage, rest assured that there will not be a chapter devoted to New Jersey Gov. Phil Murphy (D). That august statesman is too busy hiding under the furniture, at least when the issue of smoking in casinos arises. Although Murphy has said that if a bill (emphasis on “if”) to close the smoking loophole lands on his desk, he’ll sign it. But his continued inaction makes it just as clear that he’s not going to lift a finger to do anything to move the issue forward.

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With friends like this …

Desperation, thy name is Genting Group. In its panic to obtain a New York City casino license, the gaming giant has offered unilaterally to pay 67% of its slot winnings to New York State. That’s right, two thirds. This dramatically ups the ante for anybody else wanting a Big Apple casino, an expected annual levy of $1 billion with a capital “B.” Executives at Las Vegas Sands, Wynn Resorts, Bally’s Corp., MGM Resorts International, etc., etc., have to be scowling in the direction of Resorts World New York City right now and with good reason.

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Adios, Trump?; Cirque unplugged; Atlantic City whines

The legal woes of a certain failed—and evidently insolvent—casino owner who shall remain nameless have found their way to the Las Vegas Strip, where there’s scuttlebutt of white elephant Trump International Las Vegas being for sale. We’re not saying it wouldn’t find takers but it’s an awkward hotel play, being neither on nor off the Strip but awkwardly shoehorned into a small parcel behind where the New Frontier once stood. Maybe if Wynn Resorts ever moves to develop that site (and the conventional wisdom is that it won’t happen anytime soon) it will throw Trump LV a lifeline. In the meantime, its mediocre suite product and severe dearth of amenities are hardly selling points—although we’ve never seen bigger suite bathrooms. You could literally park a car in one.

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Station praised; Smoke the bastards out

A chorus of hosannas arose from Wall Street this week, singing the praises of Station Casinos. First off was J.P. Morgan analyst Joseph Greff, who upped his 2024 and ’25 projections “on stronger than previously modeled Durango [Resort] property estimates.” His 1Q24 estimates for cash flow goes to $242 million, with $38 million coming just from Durango Resort—and at the cost of 6% cash-flow decline at other Station casinos. The growth just keeps on coming, with full-year cash flow in 2024 of $919 anticipated, followed by $942 million next year. Wall Street, on the whole, expects $883m and $926m, respectively. And that’s not even Greff’s best-case scenario.

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Bally’s in chaos; Philly thrills & chills

Congratulations, Bally’s Corp. You’ve just closed the Tropicana Las Vegas and are prepared to replace it with … nothing. Whether it be Aztar Corp. or Columbia Sussex or Clairvest or Penn National or Bally’s, the LV Trop was a marketing riddle no one could solve. As we said on KNPR-FM last month, stepping into it in 1998 felt like going back two decades in time. The place was obviously untouched since the late Seventies and nothing really revived it, although Alex Yemenidjian certainly tried, for which we are grateful. (The Trop’s post-Yemenidjian look is seen above.)

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Atlantic City insanity; Faith-based investing

Craziness is the order of the day in Atlantic City. Late last week, police conducted a search of the home, cars and person of Mayor Marty Small (D). The constabulary’s five-warrant raid followed hard upon charges against Atlantic City High School Principal Constance Days-Chapman (“Aunty Mandy” to the Small family) for alleged official misconduct, hindering apprehension of another, obstruction of justice and failure to report child abuse. It is therefore worth noting that Mrs. Small is one La’Quetta Small, the superintendent of schools for Atlantic City. Nepotism much? Days-Chapman was also campaign manager for Mr. Small, so we’re dealing with a very cozy circle of cronyism.

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Super Bowl surge; More Control Board buffoonery

If the fiscal impact of Formula One was debatable (its deleterious quality-of-life impact was inarguable), the Super Bowl‘s was not. Casino takings in February on the Las Vegas Strip leapt 12.5% to $801 million, while locals casinos were up 4% to $242 million. Compared to 2019 it was even more of a surge: +35% on the Strip and +30% off it. Table games held 14.5% and baccarat 17.5%. Even without baccarat, table game winnings were up 8% on 29% larger wagering. Baccarat win skyrocketed 82% (to $181 million) on 50% more play. Slot coin-in was up 4% but luck was with gamblers, as win dipped 2%, to $381 million.

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Politics & gambling

Try to separate them. Just try. You can’t. They’re inextricably intertwined in a love-hate relationship. Or, as we like to say, you can take the casino out of politics but you can’t take politics out of the casino. Let’s look at some current events that illustrate this. Down in Mississippi, an attempt was made to juice a state-subsidized casino into Jackson, tiptoeing through the Lege when nobody was looking. Regulators were caught flat-footed, as were elements of the industry. The bill would have specified both the level of investment ($500 million, minimum) and the location (on the Pearl River). Also, it was a limited-bid scenario, with only owners currently operating in the state eligible.

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Atlantic City and its discontents

More than the presidency is changing at Borgata (with Travis Lunn having left to head up Mandalay Bay). Out goes the carpeting, to be replaced with the cool tones shown at the top of the above photo. Our man in Atlantic City is not pleased with the flooring switcheroo: “When Ocean Casino replaced their carpet a few years ago, the carpet colors were bright and attractive. Last year, Bally’s replaced their carpet. The carpet colors are bright and attractive. Did Borgata’s new, blue-tone carpet come from a discount carpet store? Shame on MGM Resorts International for the choice.” (We confess we actually like it.)

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What are MGM, Bally’s thinking?

Gaming observers awoke yesterday to the news that MGM Resorts International wants to be shot of struggling MGM Springfield, a $960 million albatross. No great surprise there. CEO Bill Hornbuckle had washed his hands of it a year ago, literally shrugging and telling the Boston Globe, “It is what it is.” Plus, the property president left late last year under murky circumstances and replaced with Louis “Louie” Theros, former legal counsel of MGM Grand Detroit. A curious choice, on the face of it. MGM grossly overestimated the regional pull of a Springfield casino and those chickens have evidently come home to roost.

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