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A Mild Vegas Recovery Ahead?

First, the good news. That “inclusive pricing” strategy that the Las Vegas Strip filched from Downtown is working. The bad news is that it will probably be quickly abandoned, turning a promising recovery in Las Vegas into an anemic one, at best. Given all the misguided economic “policy” coming out of Washington, D.C., a nascent Vegas bounce-back could yet be smothered in the crib. It’s not like those fellows ever bankrupted a casino, is it? Oh, wait …

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Indecent Behavior

If there were any lingering doubt that the Nevada Gaming Control Board thinks it works on behalf of the casinos, yesterday’s disgraceful hearing left no doubt. In particular, resident NGCB doofus George Assad threw out his back carrying water for Penn Entertainment. In an unprecedented display, the injudicious Assad basically accused an applicant of perjury. Alleged money launderers have been treated with greater deference by the Control Board.

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Mixed Signals in Vegas

Luxor Buffet—Good Spread, Too Bad Otherwise 5

There’s a fundamental flaw to Las Vegas‘ “Soak the Rich, Screw the Poor” business model. Somebody has to fill that preponderant number of hotel rooms (over 154,660) and gambling positions (too many to count). And the “Epstein class” isn’t going to stay at Circus Circus. But there’s hope. Maybe it’s recognition of our K-shaped economy, so called for the widening gap between rich and poor it manifests. Or, more likely, it’s the one-two punch of customer discontent and adverse media coverage of things like $13 candy bars at MGM Grand. Either way, there are signs that Big Gaming is finally waking up to the repulsive, anti-value message that Sin City has latterly presented to the public.

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Selective Outrage in NYC; Inaction in Jersey

Why on earth is the New York Post carrying water for Steve Cohen and his Metropolitan Park megaresort? It’s a done deal and hardly needs any special pleading. Some of the Post‘s coverage of the New York City casino derby has been excellent. However, that hardly applies to a recent editorial, masquerading as “news” coverage. It was a bizarre—and more that a little bit racist—take on what is otherwise old news.

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Visiting with Wall Street

Delegating its CFO and vice president of investor relations, Churchill Downs packed them off to Boston to meet with J.P. Morgan stock analysts. The company is feeling high as a kite about Kentucky Derby prospects, to the point where it provided first-ever revenue guidance on the event: as much as $20 million in cash flow. Half of that reflects a deal with NBC to carry the race in prime time. “While there’s minimal downside risk to the low end, upside to the high end could come from wagering growth,” predicted analyst Daniel Politzer. Normal weather—unlike last year—would help, too.

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Strip’s Dead-Cat Bounce

For the past year, the bow planes of the U.S.S. Las Vegas Strip have been locked in “dive.” Well, Big Gaming may have finally scraped bottom and started back upward. February saw less than a 1% uptick in Las Vegas Strip winnings, but an uptick all the same. Strip casinos grossed $696 million, while it was Downtown‘s turn for malaise, down 4% to $70 million … despite the valiant efforts of Derek Stevens, who brought 15,000 Canadians back into the fold with his creative “At Par” promotion.

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Rats Cornered; Sherrill Finks Out

Nothing sends those two twin vermin, Kalshi and Polymarket, scuttling to their rat holes like the threat of congressional action. In case you missed it, Sens. John Curtis (R) and Adam Schiff (D) have introduced a bill to get prediction markets the hell out of sports betting. Evidently sensing the seriousness of the moment, Kalshi and Polymarket promptly announced that they were going to put safeguards in place to ban insider trading. This is unlikely to satisfy the Senate’s bipartisan duo (we hope it doesn’t), but it shows how out of control event-contract wagering has become.

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Grinning Bandits

Why is that man smiling? Well, he’s probably contemplating the profit margin on $50 pizzas and $13 Snickers bars, among other MGM Resorts International affronts to decency. To be fair to CEO Bill Hornbuckle, not all the pizzas at MGM Grand are $50. Some sell for as little as $47.95. And people in the industry wonder why the Las Vegas Strip is struggling.

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Hard Times for Hard Rock

Casino revenues were flat overall last month in Atlantic City, which grossed $203 million in the aggregate. The one really dramatic shift involved Hard Rock Atlantic City and Ocean Casino Resort. The former plunged 14% to $36 million, right in striking distance of Ocean, which surged 9.5% to $35.5 million. Borgata, meanwhile, jumped 7.5% to $53.5 million. What ails Hard Rock, we wonder? In the middle tier (i.e., Caesars Country), Harrah’s Resort fell 8.5% to $17 million, Caesars Atlantic City hopped 3.5% to $14.5 million and Tropicana Atlantic City was flat at $16 million. Bally’s Atlantic City jealously guarded last place ($10 million) despite a 6.5% bounce, while Golden Nugget was a few dimes ahead of it, also grossing $10 million on a 3% slippage. Resorts Atlantic City rounded out the grind joints with $11 million, a 5.5% dip.

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Business as Unusual

19 years of S&G experience comes in handy in the most unpredictable ways. This week it helped us take a deep dive into General Manager Peter Gelb‘s criminal mismanagement of the finances of that august institution, the Metropolitan Opera (above). Casinos would love to see Gelb coming, as he has the personality of a degenerate gambler, forever “chasing losses”—using other people’s money. Of course, you can’t wreck a company without the connivance of a Pet Rock board of directors, which the Met definitely has. (Shades of the Caesars Entertainment bankruptcy.) We promise you will find our analysis both lively and depressing. Now to more-traditional S&G fare …

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