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The Big Boys: Caesars, MGM & Station

Coming in slighty ahead of Wall Street‘s expectations, Caesars Entertainment delivered cash flow of $887 million in the first quarter. (The Street anticipated $883 million.) J.P. Morgan analyst Daniel Politzer attributed the beat to “modest upside,” both online and in vexed Las Vegas. Caesars’ bread and butter, its regional casinos, were merely in line with forecasts. And management was keeping mum on the possibility of a Tilman Ferttita takeover or an insider LBO.

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Strip erupts in March

After over a year of being down, down and down some more, the Las Vegas Strip snapped back to life in March. There was a stunning, 14.5% vault upward on the Strip, reaching $780 million. Nor was the good news confined to Las Vegas Boulevard South. Casinos in Downtown exploded 21%, achieving $103 million. And the Boulder Strip leapt 14.5% to $99 million. Not to be left out, miscellaneous Clark County was up 7% to $175 million. North Las Vegas did get left out, flat at $261.5 million and gamblers seem to have bypassed Vegas Lite Laughlin in favor of the real thing: It only gained a point, to $50.5 million.

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Good news for Churchill, Boyd & Penn

In a coup that did not take Wall Street completely by surprise, Churchill Downs revealed last week that it had obtained the IP rights to the financially troubled Preakness Stakes. This gives CHDN control over two of the three legs of the Triple Crown. For $85 million, Churchill Downs gets the Preakness and Black-Eyed Susan Stakes, as well as 2% of handle therefrom. The state of Maryland remains in control of the track, in which it plans to invest $400 million. “In short, CHDN will generate fees from the Preakness and Pimlico under new state operation, with little formal operating influence, although, given the state’s intended investment of $400M to reposition the track, we expect CHDN to be involved,” summarized Jefferies Equity Research analyst David Katz, noting the obvious synergistic benefits to owning both the Kentucky Derby (which continues to prosper) and the Preakness.

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MGM on the Spot; Ups and Downs

Millionaires make unlikely vehicles for sympathy. But realtor and sports agent Dwight Manley has our ear. He’s currently fighting an uphill battle against MGM Resorts International, which separated him from $3.5 million back in 2021. Although Manley is only suing for $75K or so (walking-around money for $16 million CEO Bill Hornbuckle) and has paid most of his debt to Leo the Lion, MGM is digging in its heels. It’s tried to have the case tossed, but the judge found that there was sufficient evidence of potential wrongdoing to proceed to trial. And these are matters which need to be hashed out in a courtroom.

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Hope for Atlantic City, Crisis at Caesars

Rumors of Atlantic City‘s imminent demise—mostly spread by Big Gaming itself—proved exaggerated last month. Casino revenues ticked up 2.5% to $236.5 million. Table play, up 14%, carried the Boardwalk, as slots won 1% less. And one less weekend day didn’t even hurt. Golden Nugget had a bad month, however, falling 13% into last place with $10 million. Volatile Caesars Atlantic City, by contrast, had a bully March, shooting up 17.5% to $19.5 million. Scarcely outdone was Borgata, vaulting 15% to $67 million. Some of that evidently came at the cost of Hard Rock Atlantic City, down 4% to $42.5 million. Ocean Casino Resort rounded out the top three with $35.5 million, up 2%.

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Hypocrisy on the Boardwalk

Top casino executives convened in Atlantic City to predict fire, flood, famine and pestilence should New York City go ahead with casino megaresorts. Well, casinos are definitely coming to Gotham … less likely coming to New Jersey horse tracks. What does Big Gaming propose to do? Hold its breath until it turns blue? It sounds like a prelude to corporate welfare. Cue also the predictable refusal to ban smoking in A.C.’s casinos, the subject of protests outside Hard Rock Atlantic City, where the East Coast Gaming Conference was being held.

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A Mild Vegas Recovery Ahead?

First, the good news. That “inclusive pricing” strategy that the Las Vegas Strip filched from Downtown is working. The bad news is that it will probably be quickly abandoned, turning a promising recovery in Las Vegas into an anemic one, at best. Given all the misguided economic “policy” coming out of Washington, D.C., a nascent Vegas bounce-back could yet be smothered in the crib. It’s not like those fellows ever bankrupted a casino, is it? Oh, wait …

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Indecent Behavior

If there were any lingering doubt that the Nevada Gaming Control Board thinks it works on behalf of the casinos, yesterday’s disgraceful hearing left no doubt. In particular, resident NGCB doofus George Assad threw out his back carrying water for Penn Entertainment. In an unprecedented display, the injudicious Assad basically accused an applicant of perjury. Alleged money launderers have been treated with greater deference by the Control Board.

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Mixed Signals in Vegas

Luxor Buffet—Good Spread, Too Bad Otherwise 5

There’s a fundamental flaw to Las Vegas‘ “Soak the Rich, Screw the Poor” business model. Somebody has to fill that preponderant number of hotel rooms (over 154,660) and gambling positions (too many to count). And the “Epstein class” isn’t going to stay at Circus Circus. But there’s hope. Maybe it’s recognition of our K-shaped economy, so called for the widening gap between rich and poor it manifests. Or, more likely, it’s the one-two punch of customer discontent and adverse media coverage of things like $13 candy bars at MGM Grand. Either way, there are signs that Big Gaming is finally waking up to the repulsive, anti-value message that Sin City has latterly presented to the public.

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Selective Outrage in NYC; Inaction in Jersey

Why on earth is the New York Post carrying water for Steve Cohen and his Metropolitan Park megaresort? It’s a done deal and hardly needs any special pleading. Some of the Post‘s coverage of the New York City casino derby has been excellent. However, that hardly applies to a recent editorial, masquerading as “news” coverage. It was a bizarre—and more that a little bit racist—take on what is otherwise old news.

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