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Best of the Rest

“Solid” was Wall Street‘s consensus on 3Q25 at Station Casinos. The company came in slightly under Deutsche Bank‘s targets but analyst Steven Pizzella still seemed pleased. Revenue was $486.5 million and Station was noted to have weathered construction upheavals at several properties, as it upgrades its product. Restaurant business was good, with F&B revenues hopping 2.5%. Thanks to room disruption at Green Valley Ranch, hotel revenues sagged 8%. And, for the first time, we heard that debility on the Las Vegas Strip might start dampening locals-casino results.

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Out Like a Lamb

Barry Jonas called it. His report on MGM Resorts International‘s 3Q25 earnings was headlined “The Summer the Strip Turned Pretty … Bad.” Ouch. But true. He kept a “Buy” rating on the stock but shaved a dollar off his price target, now $47/share. Jonas reported that MGM is leaning on high-end business, hoping for stabilization in 4Q and growth next year. Is CEO Bill Hornbuckle seeing the same indicators we are? Because the latest “Beige Book” for the Upper Midwest was pretty dire. If the rest of the U.S. is suffering comparably, MGM is going to feel the pain.

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Locals Rise, Strip Sinks

It’s a good thing that Las Vegas has diversified its economy since 2008. Were that not the case, the subpar performance of the Las Vegas Strip would be pulling everyone down with it. But September’s gambling grosses show resilience in the locals-casino sphere … and the weakness of the Strip starting to infect Downtown as well.

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Foul Play

Be careful what you wish for, NBA Commissioner Adam Silver, you are liable to get it. Silver wanted sports betting and, over the last seven years, has seen the consequences come home to roost in his league. Whereas the NFL cleaned up its sports betting problem (consisting mainly of player stupidity) fairly expeditiously and Major League Baseball comes down like a ton of bricks on offenders, the NBA remains dogged by scandal. (Can you say “Jontay Porter“? We thought so. How about “Malik Beasley“?)

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… And They’re Here To Help

Not! It’s time for Stupid Government Tricks, in which the guvmint blunders into gambling oversight, usually with disastrous consequences. First up is Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson (D), who wants to double down on Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker (D) and his usurious tax on sports betting handle. Seeing all the money the state stands to make (and possibly affrighted by the specter of predatory prediction markets), Johnson proposes a 10.25% tax on OSB revenue. It’s all part of a tap dance to cover a gaping budgetary hole. The target amount? $26 million a year.

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Atlantic City Levels Off

After a good summer, gambling winnings in Atlantic City have plateaued in September, achieving $230.5 million. The coffee achiever of the Boardwalk was Ocean Casino Resort (above), catapulting 39% to $39.5 million. Hard Rock Atlantic City was still ahead at $45.5 million (2%) but that might be too close for comfort. Borgata led with $63 million but had the flattest grosses in town.

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Shocker from MGM

See that fancy-schmancy vision of an upgraded MGM Empire City? Well, it ain’t happening. In the shocker of the year, MGM Resorts International yanked its New York City casino bid from consideration yesterday. What the company said was less interesting than what it didn’t say: It’s essentially pulling the plug on casino operations in the Big Apple altogether.

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A Desert Mirage?

Surprisingly few victory laps were taken after Las Vegas Strip gambling revenues spiked 5.5% in August, helped by tighter hold. Perhaps it was the simultaneous, inconvenient disclosure the visitation slumped 6.5% that same month which quelled exuberance. Sin City is in a world of hurt, unlike regional casinos, and it’s not easy to spin right now. To the numbers …

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Pretty Pictures and B.S.

It’s the easiest thing in the world to build a casino megaresort if you don’t plan on paying for it. We learned that from Sheldon Adelson, who erected The Venetian out of other people’s pockets. By dint of releasing a new rendering of failsino Bally’s Las Vegas, Chairman Soo Kim scored himself a great deal of free media last weekend. The deck chairs on the Titanic have been duly rearranged.

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