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DraftKings, MGM play chicken, MGM wins; Highway robbery in N.Y.

As we’ve written elsewhere, this was supposed to be The Year of Sports Betting … before the Covid-19 Delta variant reared its ugly head (and that was before Coronavirus knocked us out of Global Gaming Expo). But sports betting could still grab the prize, even if sometimes for the wrong reasons.

Maybe this isn’t the wrong reason but today’s top story is that, faced with potential litigation from MGM Resorts International, among other issues, DraftKings has spiked its $22 billion takeover offer for Entain, half owner of BetMGM. “We are not surprised by this outcome, because we viewed this deal as just too complicated to close from the start given … the sizable amount of equity that would have been used by DKNG in a ~$22B deal with 78% of this in newly issued equity,” writes JP Morgan analyst Joseph Greff, predicting that DraftKings stock would react positively to this sudden onset of sanity from CEO Jason Robins. The proposed buyout had been a drag on share prices.

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Ida dampens Louisiana’s day; NFL tackles degenerate gambling

September gaming revenues in Louisiana were expected to be diminished by Hurricane Ida and they certainly were, down 23% on a same-store basis. New Orleans had the worst time of it (-48%), Baton Rouge the easiest (-5%). All comparisons are to 2019 numbers. In the Crescent City, Harrah’s New Orleans had a terrible month, grossing only $8 million (-66%) and almost as low as second-place Boomtown New Orleans (just under $8 million, -22%). Fair Grounds racino barely registered with $2 million (-47%), falling behind Amelia Belle ($3 million, -25.5%), while Boyd Gaming‘s other area property, Treasure Chest, grossed $6 million, down 39%. Lake Charles casinos didn’t suffer so spectacularly but they weren’t turning cartwheels either. L’Auberge du Lac took top honors for the month, off only—and amazingly—5% with a gross of $26.5 million, comfortably ahead of Golden Nugget‘s $22.5 million (-23.5%). Dover Downs brought in $12 million, a 21% decline.

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Sands: From bad to worse; Musk subway system approved for Vegas

Wall Street analysts were frankly underwhelmed by Las Vegas Sands‘ third quarter. Now that the company is wholly reliant upon the afflicted Macao and Singapore markets that’s hardly surprising. JP Morgan analyst Joseph Greff was pretty blunt, calling Macanese cash flow “barely positive in September,” swinging from a negative August, while characterizing Marina Bay Sands as a “locals” casino these days. (Ouch!) At least Singapore shows signs of easing up on international travel. “In terms of when travel mobility between Mainland China and Macau eases, there is no visibility on when this occurs, given China’s seemingly zero COVID-19 case tolerance; our best sense is that the earliest this takes place is sometime after the Beijing Olympics in February.” It does not help that the Macanese vaccination rate is an unimpressive 50%. At least there were no signs of new regulations upon Macao’s casinos, which is some comfort.

Investment in digital gaming “will likely be small” at least until Pacific Rim cash flow improves. Ditto share repurchases. Sands has $5.6 billion worth of powder that it’s keeping dry. The future, as Greff sees it, is one of sequential improvements “but not a heroic one.” That means mass-market gaming reaching only 60% of 2019 levels next year and VIP play an anemic 35%. By 2023, mass play should be back to 95% of normal but VIPs will still be lagging at half their pre-pandemic level, further validation of Sands’ mass-market strategy.

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Pennsylvania rebounds; Mega-jottings

After grappling with the effects of gaming saturation for several months, Pennsylvania flexed its muscles in September, up 9% from 2019. The gross was $283 million. On a same-store basis (i.e., discounting the effects of new casinos), the Keystone State was 4% off the 2019 pace. Slot revenues of $199 million were 6% down but table game revenues grew 3%. Most casinos were revenue-negative for the month, some severely so. Pacesetter was Mohegan Sun at Pocono Downs, up 8% to $19 million. Parx Casino never seems to have a bad month, climbing 4% to a state-leading $51.5 million. Wind Creek Bethlehem grew 3% to $42 million. Aside from Parx, the Philadelphia market was a dog-eat-dog affair. Rivers Philadelphia (above) continues to lose market share (-19%) to Philadelphia Live but clings narrowly to second place, $19 million to $18 million. (Fears that Live would be a category killer appear overblown.) Harrah’s Philadelphia plunged 25.5% to $15 million while Valley Forge Resort Casino was down but 2% to $11 million.

Across the state, Rivers Pittsburgh was flat at $31 million and Hollywood Casino at The Meadows slipped 2.5% to $17 million, while novel Live Pittsburgh grossed $9 million, obviously generating some new business. Presque Isle Downs dipped 4% to $10 million, Mount Airy was flat at $15.5 million and Hollywood Penn National stumbled 15.5% to $16 million. Hollywood Casino York debuted with $7 million and Lady Luck Nemacolin was down 25% to $2 million.

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Atlantic City: Boardwalk boffo, sports betting bigger still; DeSantis wins

September was a breakout month for Atlantic City casinos, which surged 11% over 2019 to $248.5 million. Slot win was 14% higher on 13% more coin-in and table games garnered 4% more on 4% greater wagering, so luck was with the house. Traditional market leader Borgata didn’t fare quite as well, up 5% to $60 million on 3% less table win (despite very high hold and due to 20% less wagering). Borgata slots made up the difference, winning 11% more on 7% higher coin-in. The Caesars Entertainment threesome was 4% richer, with table win +6% (on 7% greater wagering) and slots up 6% despite only 4% more coin-in. Harrah’s Resort was out in front with $27.5 million (+4%), followed by Tropicana Atlantic City‘s $24.5 million (-4.5%), then Caesars Atlantic City‘s $22 million, +14%.

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Biden wades into Florida swamp; New eras at Palms, Ocean

Intentionally or not, President Joe Biden (D) has done Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) a solid. He wants the federal judiciary to dismiss litigation that would invalidate DeSantis’ controversial compact with the Seminole Tribe. As amusing as the spectacle of Biden and DeSantis in bed together is, the motive may have more to do with launching a preemptive strike in defense of what is a very shaky Department of the Interior case for tribal online sports betting. The Biden administration’s rather daffy interpretation of IGRA (or rather, supine acceptance of the Florida Legislature’s daffy translation) would extend “tribal lands” infinitely into cyberspace, at least within state boundaries. Just imagine the effect if the same logic is applied to tribal OSB in California in a year’s time.

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Encore dominates Massachusetts; Penn touted; Fontainebleau jilted

Gaming revenues in Massachusetts were up 10% from September 2019, reaching $89 million. The lion’s share (65%) went to Encore Boston Harbor, leaping 17.5% to $57.5 million—$7 million more than Deutsche Bank analyst Carlo Santarelli expected. (Encore also disclosed some of its secret formulae for success today.) It won $1.9 million a day, to put that in perspective, $31.5 million from slots and $26 million from tables. To the south, Plainridge Park was in line with expectations, grossing $12 million for a 4% gain. MGM Springfield, however, continues to struggle for an identity, down 8% from 2019 and grossing $19.5 million. Slot play was solid, up 6%, but the casino took a whupping at the tables, plunging 48%. Table play is traditionally this property’s weak link and you wonder how much longer MGM can afford it.

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Indiana wins big, Missouri too; Pennsylvania guv blows smoke

While the American economy overall may be a disappointment for some, Big Gaming has nothing of which to complain. Indiana is coming off another bully month, up 16% from 2019, for an overall gross of $201 million, driven in no small part by new Hard Rock Gary. It pulled in $29.5 million. Not to be outdone, Horseshoe Hammond won $33 million, albeit 4% off its 2019 pace. Ameristar East Chicago gained 24% but remained a solid third with $21 million. Blue Chip slipped 7.5% to $12 million. Elsewhere the numbers were good for almost everyone, although “everyone” wouldn’t include French Lick Resort, going down 15% to $6.5 million. Rising Star also set, -10% to $4 million.

All other casinos and racinos were revenue-positive, such as Indiana Grand, up 13% to $23.5 million, while Hoosier Downs cantered +17% to $18.5 million. Caesars Southern Indiana, now under Cherokee management, didn’t miss a step either, up 16% to $19.5 million. Tropicana Evansville was remotely in this league, with $13 million, an 11.5% gain, and although Hollywood Lawrenceburg only budged +1.5% that was good enough for $13.5 million. Belterra Resort nudged +3.5% to $8 million, rounding out the southern tier.

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Disaster at Ocean; Ready when you are, CB; Gruden gone

In a development that portends nothing but ill for Atlantic City, the CEO of Ocean Casino Resort, Terry Glebocki has resigned. She also leaves the Casino Association of New Jersey rudderless, no doubt to be replaced in both roles by someone safely white and male. No reason was given for Glebocki’s sudden departure, which was disclosed to staff yesterday morning. Frankly, we’d been fearing such news ever since Marian Illitch bought a half-interest in the casino. While Luxor Capital nominally owns the keys to Ocean, Glebocki was their gal and we don’t see them as the ones giving her the shove. The former CFO of Ocean, née Revel, Glebocki had held the top spot for two years, ones in which the casino’s fortunes dramatically reversed, with results that have been getting better and better with each passing month. Now … uncertainty and unease.

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Massachusetts talks tough; Big improvements seen at Bally’s A.C.

One of the strongest threads running through Global Gaming Expo was the fear of regulatory backlash against over-aggressive gambling marketing (especially with regard to sports betting). Well, Massachusetts doesn’t have sports betting yet but Bay State regulators are already looking askance at casino advertising. After tracking problem gamblers for the last six years, the Massachusetts Gaming Commission isn’t liking what it’s seeing. “Limit gambling advertising and availability, especially in lower socioeconomic neighborhoods, or groups that may be at increased risk of experiencing gambling harms,” was one of the recommendations made to the MGC. This sounds very much like some of the ad curbs that have been put in place in Spain and Great Britain. It wouldn’t be without local precedent, Attorney General Maura Healey having cracked down on DraftKings and FanDuel in the past.

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