Author: David Mckee

Sports betting in Iowa crossed the $100 million threshold in handle last month and that was without some key players like BetMGM, which launched earlier this month. Wagers are expected to vault now that Gov. Kim Reynolds‘ stay on mobile registration has expired. Bookmakers captured $7.5 million on $105 million in bets in December. “What Iowa’s sports betting industry has achieved, becoming the seventh-largest market in the U.S., in spite of a significant handicap like in-person registration has been impressive,” said PlayUSA analyst Jessica Welman. 2020 handle reached $575 million despite Reynolds’ restriction and a depleted menu of collegiate and major-league sports. Online wagering is also expected to grow this year from 70.5% of the mix to something like Indiana’s 85%.

Iowa casinos had a relatively good December, down only 6% for a statewide gross of $121.5 million, driven mainly by a 22% revenue increase at the racinos. Ameristar Council Bluffs grossed $13 million, down 12%, Diamond Jo Dubuque slipped 17% to $5 million and Diamond Jo Worth gained 14% to end at $8 million. Isle Bettendorf grew 12% to $6 million while Isle Waterloo was flat at $7 million. Harrah’s Council Bluffs tumbled 32.5% to $4 million and Horseshoe Casino fell 20% to $13 million. The state’s top grosser was Prairie Meadows racino, plunging 25% to $14 million. The misfortunes of the big dogs were offset by success stories at small casinos that included a 54% moonshot at Rhythm City, closing the month at $10 million.

Cuomo giveth, Cuomo taketh away. After dropping hints of expansive sports betting in New York State, Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D) unveiled a proposal that was considerably less than ‘george.’ There will be one ‘skin’ and it will be answerable to the state lottery. Only the four, struggling, upstate casinos will be eligible to participate and the tax rate may be as high as 50%. The only silver lining for the industry is that the winner of the license competition will be the only game in town, enabling them to spend little or nothing or promotion. Due to its extensive ties within the Empire State, DraftKings has to be considered the early favorite. The state’s three tribal casinos are on the outside looking in and that’s bound to be a source of contention. Explaining his parsimony, Cuomo said, “I’m not here to make the casinos a lot of money. I’m here to raise funds for the state,” to the tune of $500 million in tax receipts a year.

It’s pretty clear that the casino industry is entering its second recession in 10 months and too soon to know if the ‘skinny’ stimulus will bring a January boost. One of the most reliable markets in the U.S., Maryland plunged 20% last month. The gross was $119.5 million. JP Morgan analyst Joseph Greff pins the declivity upon both an upsurge in Covid-19 cases and consequent restrictions in casino capacity (25% at the big three). “We expect a similar trend to play out in other regions, which points to a retrenchment,” Greff added. Market share was dominated by MGM National Harbor (41%) and Maryland Live (above, 36%). MGM had a 28% falloff in high-priority table revenue and shed 18% at the slots, for a total haul of $58.5 million.

Maryland Live slipped 17% to $43 million while Horseshoe Baltimore posted an anemic $13 million, a 32% plummet. Small wonder Penn National Gaming recently re-acquired Hollywood Perryville. It was actually up 8.5% to $6.5 million. Ocean Downs was down 10% to $5 million and Rocky Gap Casino tumbled 16% to $3.5 million. Final West Virginia tallies aren’t yet available but the week-to-week tracking of revenue indicates that their results will make Maryland casinos look flush.

While America burns, Sheldon Adelson is fiddling in the French Caribbean, aboard his mega-luxury yacht. The vessel was moored next to that of James Packer, who welcomed Adelson as guest for his lavish New Year’s Eve celebration. This meeting of the moguls only served to further fuel speculation that Sheldon is cutting a deal with Crown Resorts to buy Venelazzo. If so, it would be the first astute business move Packer has made in the United States, where his previous atttempts to crack the market—especially in Las Vegas—were a shambles, placing bets on every three-legged horse in sight. Of course, Packer would have to get Nevada regulators to overlook that little matter of being unable to get a Sydney casino license …

Remember how casinos in Japan were supposed to be open in time for the 2020 Olympic Games? And how the games were postponed until this year? And how there is still no opening date for the casinos, if ever? Well, the Olympiad is already $7.2 billion over budget and hasn’t been held yet. This exceeds the record, $6 billion overage of the 2012 London games, proving that Olympic incompetence is nothing new. (By percentage, the worst excess was 1992 Barcelona‘s 266% overrun.) Not only is the Japanese government quibbling with the International Olympic Committee over who should pick up the $2 billion of the tab related to Coronavirus postponement, the Nipponese public is getting restive: 34% of survey respondents favor outright cancellation, while another 36.5% want additional delay. 75% think Coronavirus is not going to be tamed anytime in the immediate future. The only recent Olympiad to come in remotely close to budget was Athens in 2004, which goes to show you can’t beat the ancestral home of the games.

MGM Resorts International is all over the news today. It just made a play for BetMGM partner Entain. It’s offering a stock swap of six-tenths of a share of MGM for every share of Entain, a transaction that Credit Suisse analyst Ben Chaiken values at $11 billion. “Entain has informed MGM that it thinks the offer significantly undervalues the company and future growth,” Chaiken continues. He called the increased commitment by MGM to online sports betting and to i-gaming (a party to which MGM was late) a “clear positive” but adds that the proposed deal is “not particularly needle moving to MGM as part of the overall conglomerate. It sounds like Entain has asked MGM to come back to them with more robust rationale for the business combination, and presumably a higher offer.”