Author: David Mckee

In a dramatic, dead-of-night deal, Las Vegas Sands sold The Venetian and Palazzo to a REIT/private-equity combo of Vici Properties and Apollo Management for $6.25 billion. Vici and Apollo obviously have a considerable appetite for risk on the Las Vegas Strip, still moribund, as Sands got every dime for which it was asking, maybe a bit more. The cash-flow multiple was 13X for those trophy assets, which seems in line for Strip real estate to us and which Credit Suisse analyst Ben Chaiken called “healthy however you cut it.” He added that the money would probably be funneled into development in New York City, Texas or Macao. We’d add one other possibility. According to Global Gaming Business, Sheldon Adelson‘s New Year’s Eve meeting with James Packer may well been to explore a Sands buyout of troubled Crown Resorts (facing multiple regulatory probes in Australia). Adelson talked a great deal about using Sands’ vast liquidity for mergers and acquisitions during the Great Shutdown. If CEO Rob Goldstein is of the same mind, that $6.25 billion would go a long way toward snapping up Crown and its Antipodean assets.

“Not leaving any Las Vegas value on the table” was JP Morgan analyst Joseph Greff‘s immediate take on the deal. And what will Goldstein do with all that lucre? “LVS will likely use the proceeds here to invest in mobile gaming, where its efforts thus far have lagged peers, and for it to get involved in the next great thing in gaming, the company would likely have to buy its way in, and now has a pot of money to do so,” he wrote. Goldstein rationalized the move by saying that LVS “is focused on growth, and we see meaningful opportunities on a variety of fronts. Asia remains the backbone of this company and its developments in Macao and Singapore are the priority.” So long Vegas and don’t let the doorknob hit you in the ass. The deal, of course, includes Sands Expo Center, the linchpin of Venelazzo, as well as the MSG Sphere, whose future seems very secure, even if it won’t open for another two years. (No reason to hurry in the present Strip economy.) Sands shares traded a wee bit higher on the news while Vici remained flat.

Although it tried to flash Wall Street some ankle yesterday, Caesars Entertainment’s 4Q20 numbers failed to surprise analysts. In a reverse image of the rest of the industry, better-than-expected cash flow on the Strip (cost-cutting?) was “more than offset” by weakness at regional properties. JP Morgan analyst Daniel Politzer blamed “negative impact of regional property closures, restrictions, and soft demand at destination properties.” Funny, but you don’t hear about the latter from MGM Resorts International or Penn National Gaming or Boyd Gaming or …

Like most of its fellows in the industry, Caesars sees meeting business returning to the Las Vegas Strip after June. As for Joe Average travelers, bookings are up 20% month/month, with half of those reserved over 30 days out. March is a mixed bag, with midweek occupancy only 50%-ish but weekends up to 95% or higher. That’s a trend line moving in the right direction. Despite weekend rates that have sometimes verged on terrible (or perhaps because of them), CZR properties packed them in on the Wilder/Fury fight weekend: 99% occupancy. Politzer foresees Baby Boomers coming back and gives the Strip a six-month-to-one-year recovery timeline. It will be no trick to surpass last year but if 2021 even just comes within shouting distance of 2019, that will indeed be something to celebrate.

Casinos in the Pelican State were off 10% in January. However, when one adjusts the numbers to account for the permanent closure of Diamond Jacks in Shreveport and the all-but-permanent shutdown of Isle Grand Palais on Lake Charles, gaming revenues were only down 6%. We’d call that recovery, given a difficult comparison, stimulus money on the loose, capacity limits (50%), gaming-position limits (75%) and an extra weekend day. Penn National Gaming properties prospered, up 10%. By contrast, Caesars Entertainment took a -38% walloping. Somewhere in between (-11%) was Boyd Gaming. Staying with Lake Charles, L’Auberge du Lac and Golden Nugget were tied at just under $26 million, a 7.5% gain for L’Auberge and a 2.5% for the Nugget. Delta Downs rounded out the market with $14 million, up 3.5%.

Caesars needs a course correction in Bossier City/Shreveport, where Horseshoe was eclipsed by Penn’s Margaritaville, $12 million to $16 million (-16% vs. +36%). Eldorado Shreveport slipped 6.5% to $7 million, while Boomtown Bossier inched up 3% to $4 million and Sam’s Town stumbled 24% to $4.5 million. Harrah’s Louisiana Downs nudged 2% higher to $4 million. In Baton Rouge, customers continue to flee Belle of Baton Rouge, collapsing 43.5% to $1 million. Doing better was Casino Rouge, up 3% to $4.5 million. Surprisingly, L’Auberge Baton Rouge was 2% lower but still dominated the market with $13 million.

Metal detector at the entrance of Philadelphia Live. It may be the first but we doubt it’s the last.

Online sports betting and Internet gambling have come to Michigan and they’re a smash hit. In the first 10 days of sports betting, handle was $115 million, with revenues of $13 million. FanDuel led market share with 32% of handle, well ahead of DraftKings‘ 24.5%, followed closely by Penn National Gaming‘s 24%, then BetMGM‘s 20%, per Credit Suisse analyst Ben Chaiken. He described the i-gaming haul—$29.5 million—as “well above expectations,” led by MGM Resorts International with 38% of market share, trailed by FanDuel’s 23% and DraftKings’ 24%. Whereas Chaiken had anticipated a monthly gross of $28 million, he’s upped that to $90 million, quite a dramatic change to say the least. To put that in perspective, it would be at least $10 million higher than Pennsylvania, which has 3 million more inhabitants. Talk about the proverbial “pent-up demand”! The downside was that sports books spent so much to acquire players that they ended up losing $5 million.

“The circumstances for Michigan’s online launch could not have been better ahead of two of the biggest sports betting holidays of the year,” reported PlayUSA analyst Dustin Gouker. “Ultimately, it’s a small sample size, and the results of which are less important than sportsbooks launching and engaging sports bettors and setting the groundwork to flourish for years. By that metric, Michigan’s launch was a success.” It not only obliterates Tennessee‘s online-only debut but, with 10 OSB books, was the largest-scale launch in U.S. history. Gross receipts for tribal operators were mostly small potatoes, except for DraftKings/Bay Mills Indian Community‘s $3.5 million. Other big winners were BetMGM ($5 million) and Barstool Sportsbook/Greektown Casino ($3 million). Although FanDuel led in handle, luck was with the punters, leaving the casino with well under a million dollars won.