Posted on 19 Comments

A New Scam?

Bob Dancer

I recently received an authentic-looking text from the United States Postal Service. I was told that a letter addressed to me had the incorrect zip code. Please type “Y,” close the message, and then re-open it. I did.

I came across a link asking for me to fill out my name, address, zip code, and phone number. I was dubious. An unrequested message asking me for all of this information was a prescription for identity theft. I gave my correct address (post office box), and intentionally made some typos to my email address and phone number.

After I entered this information, the next screen told me there was a small charge for the redelivery. A charge of $0.3. It didn’t say $0.30, or 30 cents, but $0.3. And in order to pay this fund it asked for my credit card information.

Now I was more than 99% certain that this was not what it appeared to be. I closed the link and was glad I hadn’t given correct information previously.

When I closed the link, the original text message deleted itself. Very strange.

While I’m used to several scams, this was a new one, at least to me. If I’m getting these texts, probably some of you are too. It doesn’t have anything to do with gambling per se, but not losing money to identity theft counts as bankroll just as much as hitting a royal flush. 

Since my first “blog” this time was too short, I’m adding another short one.

A Certain Aptitude is Required

Bonnie and her daughter Susan went on a seven-day Mexican Riviera cruise aboard the Norwegian Bliss over Thanksgiving. Bonnie and I had gone on a five-day version of the same cruise aboard the same vessel about one month earlier.

Because she’s cruised a lot since we married 10 years ago, Bonnie has a Sapphire card. This is a tier level possessed by fewer than 10% of the passengers. And, just like in casinos, higher tier levels get more benefits than lower tier levels. Since Susan has not cruised a lot on Norwegian Cruise Line (NCL) vessels, she gets fewer benefits. After Bonnie’s and my cruise, I emailed both ladies instructions as to how to work the NCL system. 

Even though she has been on a lot of cruises. Bonnie lets me do all the arranging on the cruises. She trusts that I will take care of her, which I do. Susan was an appropriate caregiver on the cruise but doesn’t have the experience to get the most benefits. She could wing it, and they’d have a good time, but my goal was to educate them on the ins and outs so they could have an even better time.

One of the benefits Bonnie is entitled to and Susan isn’t is a 90-minute “Behind the Scenes” tour that usually begins at 9 a.m. on the first sea day. It varies, but often includes the laundry, the galley, and dressing rooms backstage of the main theater. Bonnie and I both went a month previously and thought Susan would enjoy it. I think they offer a similar tour for everybody at $150 per person later in the cruise.

So, in my email I explained that when they boarded the ship they should go to the CruiseNext desk and sign Bonnie up for the tour. Once Bonnie presented herself at the CruiseNext desk on the day of the tour, they would give Bonnie a sticker to put on her shirt or jacket. Bonnie should take that sticker, go somewhere out of view of the people at the desk, and have Susan affix it to her own shirt or jacket. Then Bonnie can occupy herself for an hour and a half while Susan takes the tour. I told both ladies to make sure they had closed-toe shoes, which are required for the tour. I also told them how to sign up for specialty dinners, shows, and the officers’ dinner.

On the Sunday they got to the ship, they called me to let me know that they arrived, were aboard, and happily looking forward to their adventure. They told me they did everything I listed in my instructional email except they couldn’t get Susan on the tour.

“Why not?” I asked.

“When I asked them if I could get a sticker and then give it to Susan, they said ”No,” Bonnie replied.

“You weren’t supposed to ask them. You were just supposed to do it. That’s why I told you to give the sticker to Susan out of the sight of the employees at the desk.”

“I guess we didn’t completely understand that part.”

In casinos, I have “worked the system” for decades. It’s a necessary part of succeeding at gambling. While I’m sure my instructions would have been very clear to most readers of this blog, neither Bonnie nor Susan think like a winning player does. When in doubt, they simply tell the truth and ask permission for everything.  Oh well. Susan likes to sleep in on vacations, so she considered the loss of the tour to be no big deal.

Posted on 1 Comment

Use Your MRBs, Great Point Multipliers, and a Trick EV Question

Bobby Vegas: Friends Don’t Let Friends Play Triple-Zero Roulette

Happy ChanuKwanSolstMas. There. I think I got everybody covered.

Now onto my other religion, advantage video poker.

I’m coming in for the Plaza Bingo NYE Bash. Due to my medical misadventures, I haven’t been back since (OMG) August and I notice some of my unused MRBs expire BEFORE 12/31. Like the 27th and I arrive the 29th. Wannnh !

Have you used all your MRB coupons? Check the dates. It’s really tough seeing a valuable unused coupon expire. I mean it hurts! I might have to talk with my therapist about it. I’m kidding. Kind of.

Also want to alert you to specials at Four Queens and Rainbow.

The 4Q December offer of an extra $40 in free-play and $20 in comps for 600 points got me thinking.
4Q offers both cash and comps. Very nice. So (VP math nerd alert!), I found the following information on VPFree2.

The 9/6 JOB (99.54%) points adder for cash and comps is .9375% combined or $7.50 per $1,000 coin in. Total EV 100.48%. Niiiice!

The 10/7 DB (100.17%) adder is .4683% combined or $5.71 per $1,000 coin in for a total EV of 100.68% (.2% better than 9/6 JOB).

Here’s the trick question. Which game would you play?

I’d play 9/6 JOB and here’s why.

If I’m strictly playing long term for a total cash return, then 10/7 DB with a higher EV and a .2% higher total EV makes sense. But I don’t play that long. And I like the extra comps, $7.50 over $5.71 per $1,000 in. I’ll use them in combination with 2-for-1 Magnolia coupon, doubling their value to $15.

I also like the steady play of lower volatility: two coins for two pair at Jacks or Better over one at Double Bonus.

Again, this is a STYLE of playing choice. I’m just not a high-volatility guy.

And why am I playing? I’m coming to the realization that I win a lot in the short term and often don’t have the fortitude to play through the peaks and valleys of higher volatility to reach royal flush heaven. And I’m the king of 4-of-a-kinds, so there ya go. Your choice, just saying.

Now at Rainbow, they’ve announced their January 28 and 29 barrel drawing. Start earning tickets now. It’s for a Rolex ($6,500) Diamond Date Just watch, one each over four Drawings. Five second prizes at each drawing for steak knives. Just kidding. They’re actually for $100.

Add their amazing point multipliers and play between 4 and 6 p.m. EVERY DAY one hour each at Rainbow, then Emerald Island, to earn 75x points for extra comps, gifts, and cash. That’s adding an amazing 5% on your return making ANY VP over 100%

The drawing trick is you earn only one ticket PER DAY PER location. But it’s just $200 coin-in to earn a ticket. Obviously, they want you to come in every day. Go for it. And dine at Triple B on your comps.

Posted on Leave a comment

Are Video Poker Machines Actually Random?

This post is syndicated by the Las Vegas Advisor for the 888 casino group. Anthony Curtis comments on the 888 article introduced and linked to on this page.

AC says:

Are video poker hands dealt randomly? A debate over this comes up from time to time, due to the true meaning of “random.” The cards video poker players receive are determined by a “random number generator” (RNG), but purists point out that true randomness cannot be created by a computer algorithm. The argument can go on, but the reality is that the video poker machines you play in Nevada, and presumably in any legal and licensed casino in the U.S. (and mostly beyond), are random enough, given the game’s procedural objective. This article correctly makes that point, while also imparting bonus information many players want to know (even though it doesn’t affect their outcomes) about how the cards are dealt on a video poker machine.

This article was written by Jerry Stich in association with 888Casino.

Are Video Poker Machines Actually Random?

I doubt many video poker players even consider this question. They head to the casino (or play online) hoping their luck will bring them riches – or at least buy them some decent time playing their favorite video poker game.

Serious video poker players – those who learn and practice perfect video poker playing strategy for the specific game and pay table they will play are betting on the game being random. Each line of playing strategy assumes that video poker games are random. If the game is not random, the strategy is flawed and perhaps worthless.

So, what is the truth? Are video poker machines actually random? Will playing strategy based on a random game have the desired results? This article addresses these topics.

Continue reading …

Posted on Leave a comment

Planning an Almost Free Trip to Vegas

Bobby Vegas: Friends Don’t Let Friends Play Triple-Zero Roulette

Do you use a points earning credit card? My flights are free.

I’m currently staying at the Downtown Grand. My casino rate (50% off) runs $50-$100 per day total, including reduced resort fee, parking, and Gallery Tower upgrade.

Downtown Grand invited me to a $10K slot tournament with currently 120 players (200 are expected) paying to 30 places, so one in four wins so far (current EV $83+). The cost was $20 for the first entry, with additional entries earned for 60 points or $120 coin-in at video poker. I plan on having three. Most VP was downgraded, but I hear they still have a progressive at Furnace bar. We’ll see.

Others may be happy with Uber, etc., if staying on Fremont or the Strip. Myself, I run around a lot, visiting 15 to 18 casinos with fullpay video poker: M, South Point, Palace Station, Gold Coast, downtown, and the Rainbow in Henderson. I might stop at Boulder Station for the $1.99 shrimp cocktail.

It was a slog, spending an hour on multiple travel sites (even U-Haul!), finally getting a reservation direct from Dollar for under $50 a day. From where it started, I ended up saving about $150, so that was worth an hour for sure.

I’m signed up for Rakuten cashback, which pays 3% on this rez and of course Dollar and airline points, plus the points earned on my credit card for a triple stack! It all ends up worth about $50.

I’ll be returning to the Pinky Ring, Bruno Mars’ lounge at Bellagio, for two nights. I expect to see Bruno and my friends in the band. They’re also playing several nights at Dolby. I’m also expecting a surprise “lady” guest to be with Bruno, as he dropped a song with her last week and she’s been with Bruno at the Pinky Ring. I give it 55% or better.

Lots of Bruno Mars superfans are in town for his Dolby shows, so it’s VERY VERY EXPENSIVE and very booked to hang at the Pinky Ring — starting at $2,000 for a table. Owww. But I can walk in on my host open invite. And I booked an early-evening table for $50! I won’t have a table after 8 p.m., so I’ll do SRO hanging at the bar (you can too), which is fine, as I dance all night. I just need a place to set my drink down and I almost always find a place to hang with the band or some guest or hosts let me have a seat.

It’s a tough job being the unofficial house dancer. Someone’s got to break open the dance floor.

I’ll also be going to the opening of Speigelworld’s brand new Discoshow. Yes, I love disco (along with funk, R & B, pop, Latin, and rock n roll) and that will be a hoot. The Friday night show is $69 (Saturday $99). Dance dance dance.

My week in Vegas: out of pocket for air, hotel, and rental car before any winnings is … $980.

Living my best life. Keep on dancing.

Posted on Leave a comment

Documenting Video Poker Play

This post is syndicated by the Las Vegas Advisor for the 888 casino group. Anthony Curtis comments on the 888 article introduced and linked to on this page.

AC says:

The basic advice here is to keep records of your gambling results. This article is about video poker specifically, but the advice applies to all gambling activity. I’ve always advocated record-keeping for two reasons. The first is obvious — if you’re audited for taxes, you need to have a gambling log of some type or your claims can be rejected. The second is even more important. You need to have a true picture of results and this applies to both winning and losing players. If you’re playing for profit, tracking results can confirm that you’re playing with the expected edge or alert you that you’re not making enough to justify the time and effort spent. If you play for entertainment, record-keeping will tell you how much gambling is costing you. It’s not necessary to be anywhere near as detailed as the author suggests; keeping a daily log of wins and losses will usually be sufficient for both purposes I’ve mentioned. However, more information is better, especially when dealing with the IRS. The definitive source of information on tax matters is our book Tax Help for Gamblers, by Jean Scott, Marissa Chien, and Russell Fox. You can also get win/loss statements from the casino players clubs, which doesn’t require any record-keeping on your part and will provide reliable data.

This article was written by Jerry Stich in association with 888Casino.

Documenting Video Poker Play

Most video poker players simply sit down at a machine and play. They do not keep track of which machine is played, amount deposited, amount cashed out, nor anything else.

This may be okay for casual players – those who only play a few hundred to a few thousand hands per year – but are more serious players missing something by not keeping records of their video poker play?

This article offers suggestions on what details to keep and why it is a good idea for serious players to document them.

Continue reading …

Posted on Leave a comment

A Creature of Habit, until It Changes

Bobby Vegas: Friends Don’t Let Friends Play Triple-Zero Roulette

I had a buddy, Downtown Victor Brown, who once said to me, “If it works, wear it out.”

That’s me, a creature of habit. When I like something, I do it again and again. Generally, this is a good thing.

I’ve been in business since 1986, was married 30 years, traveled to Brazil 12 times, Berlin five, Vegas 60.

I find my tribe and keep dancing until the music stops. Or in Vegas parlance, until “your action isn’t welcome here anymore.” Not that I’m a high enough player to be 86’d or read the trespass act, which in my opinion is a good thing. I don’t want that level of attention. What happens is after a year or two, the offers stop coming. “You’re not playing long enough” means I’m not losing enough. Fine by me. I move on to the next casino.

I’m seeing my time at the Downtown Grand possibly coming to a close in the near future. They’ve stripped out the good video poker games and now the whole joint is up for sale. It’s been a great ride. But there are plenty of other casinos and offers. Let’s look at a few.

Circa is offering me their standard two-day deal for two nights, including $100 in food credits, $100 in drink credits, and Stadium Swim access. Problem is, the place is so loud even with earplugs (I wear them in all casinos), it kicks in my tinnitus, so no thanks. Also, there’s no good VP. And I’m still irked that after spending $10K at the Super Bowl Stadium Swim party for 15, my offers haven’t reflected that. I’m still working on that.

Then there’s the Plaza. Old school meets new school. I really love everything that CEO Jonathan Jossel is doing there. The Plaza just keeps getting better and better. They have plenty full-play (or close) video poker, plus 10X craps, single-zero roulette, matchplays. The food scene is always improving; try to order just one or two donuts at PinkBox—not happening. And fireworks in the summer. Life Is Beautiful will be there in September as well. EDM festivals aren’t my gig, but it’s still “lit” for the Plaza.

The offer they just sent is really nice. For $120 a day, you get room, unlimited drinks, two meals at Plaza restaurants, and no resort or parking fee. Throw in LVA matchplays and the new-sign-up gambling coupons and, well, I’m liking the Plaza more and more.

Now, I generally don’t need the two meals a day, as I roam a lot and of course their goal is to keep you on the property. But it’s still a strong perk.

And you can’t beat the location. At one end of Fremont, I can walk over to Four Queens or the California for some good VP. Or maybe a free glass of Champagne at Circa’s 60th floor rooftop Legacy Club using my LVA coupon. Great view!

BTW, Rainbow Casino and Emerald Island are giving away four sets of tickets to the Eagles at Sphere this month.

I’ll keep exploring for gold. There’s plenty out there.

Posted on Leave a comment

Ready for Action: Avoiding the Blackjack Fatigue Factor

This post is syndicated by the Las Vegas Advisor for the 888 casino group. Anthony Curtis comments on the 888 article introduced and linked to on this page.

AC says:

When someone asks what determines how long I play or when I decide to stop, they’re usually expecting a hard-stop time limit or, more likely, a stop-loss or take-profits point. My answer is, I play as long as I have an edge in the game or until I get tired and am no longer playing optimally. This article addresses the latter. Author John Grochowski addresses my point, but also brings up another important consideration: the heightened chance that you’ll make bad decisions with regard to chasing losses, described as “going on tilt.” The advice is valid: Don’t play when tired. Follow it. And be sure to take note of the lesson within the lesson in the article. That is, a bad player at the table doesn’t affect your expected result over time. Bad plays by other players will help you as often as they hurt.

This article was written by John Grochowski in association with 888Casino.

Ready for Action: Avoiding the Blackjack Fatigue Factor

Players know the feeling, regardless of whether they’re playing online blackjack or in live casinos. From the first hand, they’re engaged, interested, thinking strategy on every card. It’s a fun game, especially, when winning streaks are coming often enough to keep bankrolls full.

But when players start to make mistakes, it’s time to watch out. The “Fatigue Factor” can undermine even the best players.

Continue reading …

Posted on Leave a comment

WHAT IS RETURN IN VIDEO POKER & HOW CAN IT BE CALCULATED?

This post is syndicated by the Las Vegas Advisor for the 888 casino group. Anthony Curtis comments on the 888 article introduced and linked to on this page.

AC says:

If you’re interested in figuring out what the return percentage was for a particular playing session or period of time, this article gives you the correct formula to do that. However, I’m not sure what the value is in doing so. Players like to whine about losses, so calculating that you just played for three hours with a return of 68.5% provides good ammunition for the woe-is-me tale, but it doesn’t give you information you can act on to improve future results. In fact, letting a bad session on a good game dissuade you from playing it again is a big mistake. Far more important is knowing going in what the long-term return percentages are for the games you have to choose from, then, in most cases, playing the game with the highest return. 

This article was written by Jerry Stich in association with 888Casino.

WHAT IS RETURN IN VIDEO POKER & HOW CAN IT BE CALCULATED?

Most serious video poker players understand what elements define a good game. These elements include return, variance, and strategy complexity. For most serious players, return is the main element considered when choosing a video poker game to play.

Many video poker players understand what return is. Fewer understand how video poker return varies during play. Fewer still know how to calculate their actual return for a session, day, trip, or year. This article addresses these topics.

Keep reading …

Posted on Leave a comment

IS ANY CASINO GAME EVER ‘DUE’ TO PAY OUT?

This post is syndicated by the Las Vegas Advisor for the 888 casino group. Anthony Curtis comments on the 888 article introduced and linked to on this page.

AC says:

Most have heard the argument that slot machines, as well as numbers on roulette wheels, crap tables, keno games, and the like, don’t become due. Still, many gamblers feel that there is validity in the belief that “being due” is sometimes a factor in gambling games. This article makes the point that “due theories” aren’t valid in games of independent trials, which include those just listed. Interestingly, although not mentioned in the article, in a game like roulette, it’s more likely that a number that has not shown over many spins should be avoided, as its disproportionate number of appearances could be related to a bias in the equipment that’s preventing it from coming up. Essentially, it’s the due theory in reverse. In fact, the converse, which is a number coming up significantly more often than 1-in-38 spins (on a double-zero wheel), is the basis of the winning strategy of playing biased roulette wheels. This idea is touched on in our book Gambling 102—The Best Strategies for All Casino Games and in the chapter on Billy Walters in Gambling Wizards—Conversations with the World’s Greatest Gamblers.

This article was written by Jerry Stich in association with 888Casino.

IS ANY CASINO GAME EVER ‘DUE’ TO PAY OUT?

Serious casino gamblers understand the concept of the return of casino games. Simply put, it is the amount of money bet while playing a casino game that is returned to the player.

Most also understand that the return percentages given are mathematically calculated and are based on an infinite number of bets. They understand the short-term return percentages can vary significantly from the mathematically calculated long-term return percentages.

Few gamblers understand how the transition from short-term to long-term results works. Many gamblers, systems sellers, and pundits also do not understand this phenomenon.

Is any casino game ever due? Read on to find out.

Continue reading …

Posted on 1 Comment

Bobby Vegas: Winner Winner Free Steak Dinner

Bobby Vegas: Friends Don’t Let Friends Play Triple-Zero Roulette

If you missed the Rolex, the Vegas Aces courtside-seats, and Rod Stewart concerts giveaways, you have another round through July 31 and the prizes are still great.

Three winners will win a pair of Sphere tickets for Dead and Company. Four will enjoy a BBQ feast for eight at Rainbow. And at Emerald Island, four winners will get a pair of tickets for the Saturday Nov 9 show starring Bill Joel and Sting.

That makes 11 total chances to win. Each entry is just 200 base points at $1 per point.  And it’s a small barrel.

May I suggest you do this in any of their 25 x multiplier sessions spread throughout the day. (See BobbyVegas.com for more details.)

You won’t earn points at full-pay Double Double Bonus, but you will on just about every other VP game. And adding 1.67% (25 x) onto any game in the house, you’re playing at a positive expectation. Mutiplier points go toward excellent food comps at Triple B Diner at Rainbow or Emerald Island. My calcs don’t include progressives. Check your VP strategy guide for the breakeven on those and if it’s not at BE, even a partial adds to your total return.

Checking VPfree2, every game down to 8/5 Bonus Poker (99.17%) turns into 100.84%. Not too shabby while winning tickets for any of the above, plus food comps galore and gifts or cash.

A note on reading VPfree2: Just using the browse feature, the games come up looking like they’re only for pennies, nickels, and dimes. Not true. The quarter and higher games are anywhere from 10 line to 30 line, so it’s possible to play $3 and $5 VP during these multiplier periods and the comps add up very fast at 25x level.

Only your base amount counts to concert and other monthly prize drawings, but still …

There are also a host of local Water Street restaurants, brew pubs, etc., where you can spend your comp dollars.

Did I mention the 50x, 75x, or 100x periods ? Those are insane, adding 3.74%, 6%, and higher. Those super-high earning periods are often short or at an odd hour, but again, you’re earning comps like crazy, plus the drawing tickets. And every day they give out hot dogs, donuts, pizza, ice cream and more.

The thing about Rainbow and Emerald is they have so many daily wheel and other cash giveaways , it’s hard to keep up. But hey, it’s free money.

And why do I say free steaks for dinner? Well, the rib eye and shrimp with steak are the most expensive items on the Rainbow Triple B Diner menu and top out at $20.

Did you use your LVA MRB for 2-for-1 or half-off, even with points?
There it is: Winner winner free steak dinner.

If you spend 30 to 60 minutes, you’ll have more than enough points for several of ’em.