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Las Vegas chills out

A cool breeze is being felt throughout Big Gaming. It’s the sensation of consumers finally spending less at the casino, the stately winding down of a hot streak that continued longer than anyone would have expected—and which many didn’t. Don’t panic: With casinos at the hottest since forever, it was only natural that Americans’ fever for gambling would ease, at least a bit. Having burned through a remarkable amount of discretionary capital, Yanks are pulling back on our spending a wee bit … albeit not on the Las Vegas Strip. Of course, when the United States gets even a mild cold, Nevada contracts pneumonia … but we’re not there (yet).

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Karma’s a bitch; Hard Rock triumphs

If you rely on the sleepy, docile Las Vegas Review-Journal for your casino news, you missed a doozy. The local ‘dead tree of record’ still hasn’t picked up on a dispatch from Inside Asian Gaming about the dismal performance of Resorts World Las Vegas. The latter is reeling from its worst quarter since 20222. Between July and September, revenue averaged an unimpressive $59 million a month. Return on investment for the $4.2 billion metaresort fell from an insufficient $50 million per quarter to $15 million. Suffice it to say you’d need an electron microscope to find the ROI in that.

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Fail, Caesars; Taxation vexation

Sorry, imperator. The votes have been counted in Missouri and the initiative Caesars Entertainment tried to block, Amendment 2, has eked out the narrowest of wins. With victory within its grasp, Caesars told its troops to stand down three weeks before the vote. Now it emerges that the Roman Empire’s real motive for throwing in the towel was opportunistic and hypocritical: It could get one online sports betting license for every casino it has in the Show-Me State plus one, not the feared single license. Considering that Caesars has more online brands than it can shake a fasces at, this is good news for CEO Tom Reeg and his digital minions. However, had they sought a legal opinion sooner they might have saved themselves $15 million in wasted campaign money.

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Big Gaming in the gloaming?

We definitely seem to be entering a cooling-off period for casinos. It was inevitable. Unless you’re a paid-up member of the American Gaming Association, you’re not liable to think that the go-go years of the post-Covid rebound would last forever. With tariffs and middle-class tax hikes on the horizon, it’s time to gather ye financial rosebuds while yet ye may. That includes, you, Pennsylvania, where revenues stagnated from October 2023 to last month, which closed out at $274.5 million, accompanied by a decline in OSB revenues and a big surge in iGaming.

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Bad news for Atlantic City

Congratulations, Atlantic City. Your relevance is being questioned again. Not only did casino revenues drop 8.5% last month (though they were still 3% better than prior to Covid-19 disruption), brick-and-mortar gambling yielded less than Internet betting did. Cyber casinos made $213.5 million, compared to $209 million for terrestrial ones. The blame game is undoubtedly very complex and resistant to easy reduction. But dare we suggest that ONE factor making iGaming more appealing is that you don’t have to breathe goddamn secondhand smoke—unless you want to puff away in the privacy of your home? And fewer and fewer punters are inclined to light up. Just a thought.

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An election inflection point

Tuesday’s election wasn’t good for the gaming industry. It went 2-for-7 in popular votes, an outcome that American Gaming Association President Bill Miller will be hard-pressed to spin. Indeed, Miller has been uncommonly quiet this week. Thanks to one unqualified mandate in Virginia and a much narrower one in Missouri, the night wasn’t a complete fiasco for Big Gaming. But it sure makes one sit up and think. Has the industry become over-confident? Has it succumbed to that feeling of invincibility known in Japan as “victory disease”?

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Caesars takes a bath; MGM weak

Although third-quarter results were announced last week for Caesars Entertainment, they took a distant back seat to the news that the company was selling its Ferris wheel and Linq Promenade at a steep loss. Howard Stutz of The Nevada Independent cut to the quick, pointing out that the $275 million payday was a 50% discount to how much Caesars spent to develop these dubious assets. The High Roller “observation wheel” was a particular dog, having been built in an awkward location from which there was precious little to see except the backside of the former Imperial Palace and its curious, swastika-like configuration.

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The sky isn’t falling

Yes, the Las Vegas Strip is mildly swooning. It was down 2% last month, the third straight month of declivity. But before one ascribes to headline-writer hysteria, remember that this is a decline from the most dizzying heights Big Gaming has ever scaled. People may complain about price gouging, high table “minimums” and lousy odds in Las Vegas casinos, but that sure hasn’t stopped them from staying and playing, in droves. We’re not going to take a victory lap, like American Gaming Association CEO Bill Miller did at Global Gaming Expo, but neither are we pushing the panic button.

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Love and kisses from Wall Street

Not-so-buried Treasure,” said Truist Securities analyst Barry Jonas about Boyd Gaming, in a playful allusion to its new Treasure Chest casino, which has been steadily outperforming the New Orleans market. Even so, he kept his price target at $77/share but rated the stock a “Buy.” Big deals were deemed unlikely, Penn Entertainment takeover talk having long since gone off the boil. Boyd beat Wall Street estimates across all divisions, delivering net revenue of $961 million and cash flow of $337 million.

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On the radio

This morning saw (heard?) us do a guest stint on KNPR-FM‘s State of Nevada. We expounded on various and sundry topics, mostly Global Gaming Expo and the sorry condition of what passes for casino regulation in Nevada. Smoking in casinos—and why it persists—was dwelt upon, as was the failsino that Bally’s Corp. is fancifully planning for the Tropicana Las Vegas site. After his laughable project design was met with much Sin City derision, Bally’s Chairman Soo Kim was quick to walk it back, via his reliable PR organ, the Las Vegas Review-Journal.

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