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Caesars, Station fulfill expectations; Flamingo to be sold; Chicago: It’s Bally’s

Analysts on Wall Street are going to be ratcheting up their forecasts for Caesars Entertainment for the remainder of 2022. Or so says Deutsche Bank analyst Carlo Sanatarelli. The Roman Empire’s 1Q22 cash flow of $296 million exceeded The Street’s consensus of $287 million. This was in spite of “the potential pitfalls associated with the domestic consumer … [and] the digital losses, all combining to drive the negative narrative.” As for that digital sphere, Caesars expects it to become profitable in two quarters’ time, but not before racking up a $1.5 billion cumulative loss. Meanwhile, the company continues to enjoy tailwinds on multiple fronts, whether it be the cessation of mask mandates in New Orleans or additional room capacity in Atlantic City. Still to be felt are the rebranding of Horseshoe Indianapolis, the expansion of Harrah’s Hoosier Downs and the return of the company to lucrative Lake Charles by year’s end.

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MGM beats forecast, makes overseas play; California controversy

According to Deutsche Bank analyst Carlo Santarelli, the 1Q22 numbers for MGM Resorts International were “better than forecast” in Las Vegas and regionally, nor as bad as expected from Macao. Losses from BetMGM were worse than anticipated. Santarelli predicted cash flow of $633 million and Leo the Lion delivered $670 million. The analyst only expects things to get better on the Las Vegas Strip, with high-margin The Cosmopolitan of Las Vegas displacing low-margin The Mirage. BetMGM was a $184 million drag on the balance sheet, more than the $162 million Santarelli was expecting but “the shortfall was not entirely surprising, given the lower hold experienced on the sports side in the period, as well as the spend levels associated with the New York launch. Importantly, MGM continues to outperform in the longer term margin friendly iCasino segment,” he wrote. MGM China contributed [?] a $26 million negative ROI.

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Chicago blew it; Times Square, anyone? Monday Mega-Jottings

Even as Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot (D) blunders forward with her megaresort campaign, more voices are being raised in criticism of how the Second City is going about the process. A Crain’s Business analysis determined that “Each location appears to have serious shortcomings when it comes to delivering the greatest possible benefits from a long-awaited city casino.” The conclusion is that Lightfoot is moving too fast in order to garner a quick payday for the city’s “woefully underfunded” pension system.

And the best way to do that, Crain’s argues, is to create a tourist draw, not something that leeches off of existing Illinois casinos. “Maybe a glitzy city casino would lure a few more Hoosiers and cheeseheads. But Indiana, Wisconsin, Iowa and Missouri all have plenty of casinos, limiting the potential market of day-trippers.” And, it argues, casino gambling may cannibalize existing revenue streams like major league sports and a stellar theatre scene.

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Windy City shakedown; Strip explodes, Palms reborn

$75 million or else. That’s extortionate Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot‘s latest demand of casino applicants. If you win the bid, fork over the cash. Her Dishonor might settle for ‘only’ $40 million on the barrelhead, followed up by a $2 million ransom the subsequent year. So far only Bally’s Corp. has offered upfront money—$25 million—while its rivals want Lightfoot to settle for the city’s cut on the back end. With the Chicago Tribune (Bally’s), waterfront (Rush Street Gaming), and Soldier Field area (Hard Rock International) sites all being blown raspberries by aldermen and public alike, some are even advocating putting McCormick Place back into play.

They won’t have much time. Chicago Casino Committee Chairman Tom Tunney wants a final selection by May, with the goal of having the Illinois Gaming Board sign off on the choice by autumn. In the meantime, Lightfoot has been caught playing footsie with Bally’s, charging it only one application fee for two sites. (Rush Street had to pay twice over.) Lightfoot’s office cited technicalities to justify the favorable treatment while Bally’s Chairman Soo Kim, citing his deep pockets, said, “We paid the fees that were asked. Don’t you think we would have sent another $300,000 if they asked us to?” Certainly—but Kim wasn’t asked, another indication of which way Lightfoot is leaning.

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Sex, drugs and Resorts World LV; Massachusetts gets serious about sports betting; Caesars wins two Freddies

Both the reputations of Resorts World Las Vegas and its president, Scott Sibella, could be besmirched by a Nevada Gaming Control Board investigation. The tentative probe stems from charges made by gambler Brandon Sattler as part of a huge bankruptcy proceeding. Sattler’s accusations include that Resorts World fast-food joint Tacos El Cabron is partially owned by David “Fat Dave” Stroj, a convicted felon, who orchestrated a multi-state, illegal bookmaking scheme and is an associate of the Philadelphia Mob. (Choice Stroj quote: “Palomar [card room] is the best way I can wash the money. I don’t have to report it. I just deposit it at the Palomar and there’s no problems for me.”) Sattler says he’s known Sibella for 20 years and has seen the Resorts World prexy use drugs.

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Sands, NY Mets in cahoots; Raiders set to clobber Vegas bookies

Pay no attention to the men behind the curtain. There’s nothing wrong with the idea of a casino megaresort in the Willets Point area, near Citi Field. It’s far preferable to some of the other New York City sites that have been mooted. But the way New York Mets owner Steve Cohen and Las Vegas Sands have been behaving, you’d think it needed to be a well-kept secret. To call their behavior disingenuous would something of an understatement. Though he’d been known to be in talks with Sands, Cohen said there was ‘no formal relationship‘ between the duo. Imagine our surprise when it turned out that Sands lobbyists were sharing an office with Crown Mets LLC and Cohen’s Point 72 firm. No relationship, huh? They had also been acting in concert when it came to lobbying lawmakers, forming a pincer movement.

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Playing politics with gaming

Although the Indian Gaming Association trade show in sunny Anaheim is sucking all the wind out of casino news this week, there’s still movement happening, mostly in the state houses. Take the weird, hybrid sports-betting bill that just passed out of the Maine state senate and is headed for Gov. Janet Mills‘ desk. It grants online wagering (but is it off-reservation?) to Maliseet, Penobscot and Passamaquoddy tribes. Four private-sector casinos also get sports wagering, but only of the walk-up variety. You’d think that, for the casinos, getting any iteration of sports betting would be welcome, but they’re against the bill. So is the Sports Betting Alliance, a stalking horse for OSB giants like DraftKings and FanDuel. Huffed the SBA, it’s “a significant step backwards from the existing proposal to legalize sports betting market in Maine.” Mills is prickly and unpredictable but we expect her to ignore the SBA and sign the bill, the product of long negotiation with the tribes.

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Atlantic City continues to rebound; Chicago casinos lose momentum; Mega-Jottings

Atlantic City casinos leapt 17% from March 2021, grossing $216.5 million. Except for Tropicana Atlantic City, which was flat at $19 million, almost everyone posted relatively impressive gains. Borgata‘s $55 million (+18%) predictably topped the market, while Hard Rock Atlantic City (shown) surged 28% to $39 million. Ocean Casino Resort was up 26% to $25.5 million. Harrah’s Resort performed best of the Caesars Entertainment threesome, climbing 12.5% to $20 million, while Caesars Atlantic City dipped 4.5% down to $18.5 million. Bunched together at the bottom were Bally’s Atlantic City, Resorts Atlantic City and Golden Nugget, in that order. Bally’s seems to be showing momentum, moving up two notches in the hierarchy, gaining 36% on a gross of $13.5 million, while Resorts notched $13 million, an 8% hike and the Nugget brought up the rear with $12.5 million, a 16% climb nevertheless.

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Parx dethroned; Shreveport sleaze; Maine’s latest bet

Move over, Parx Casino, there’s a new leader in the Pennsylvania gaming market. That’d be Penn National‘s eponymous racino near Harrisburg. For the second month in a row it was tops in the Keystone State, banking $64 million, up 11.5% from last year. Parx had to settle for $60.5 million, a 2% dip from 2021. On the comeback trail was Rivers Philadelphia, up 13% to $54.5 million. Valley Forge Resort was an incredibly strong fourth-place contender, soaring 40% to $52 million (remember, it’s considerably smaller than its market rivals, constrained by law), while Philadelphia Live manifested only limited signs of life: $25 million, albeit a 20% gain. It did displace Harrah’s Philadelphia, whose $19 million represented only a 2% uptick.

Other market-dominating casinos were Wind Creek Bethlehem ($47 million, +33.5%) and Rivers Pittsburgh ($35.5 million, +20%). Much further back were Mohegan Sun at Pocono Downs ($22 million, flat), Hollywood Meadows ($20.5 million, -2%), Mount Airy ($20 million, -14%) and Presque Isle Downs ($11.5 million, +11%). Then came the satellites: Pittsburgh Live ($10 million, +20%), new Hollywood York ($8 million) and Hollywood Morgantown ($5.5 million, +241%). As customary, Lady Luck Nemacolin brought up the rear with $2 million, up 3%.

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Back to the beach; Churchill Downs comes under scrutiny

Golden Nugget Atlantic City was packing them in with a ‘george’ promotion. Let our East Coast correspondent tell the tale: “It was extremely busy Sunday afternoon in their atrium for the BMW X-5 giveaway. They called six names and three were MIA, so they called three more, and two of those also not there. Each person got a sealed envelope and when they got six there, one lucky person got the car, the others free slot/table play.” The next Hard Rock Atlantic City promo? Logo umbrellas that have flashlights embedded in the handles. Not as george as a BMW but darned useful.

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