
Joseph Greff and his fellow JP Morgan analysts looked at recent trends in Las Vegas and any place not named Atlantic City, and liked what they saw, raising their price target on the stock five bucks to $101/share. Positive factors include recovery in leisure travel (group business is seen as coming back late this and into next year), “legs to a recovery in U.S. drive-to, regional markets, with our anticipation of a return of the 55+ year old customer, which has lagged other customer segments such as a younger demographic,” as well as “permanently higher margins,” thanks to job cuts and other economies. The pending close of the William Hill purchase poises CZR to capitalize on the explosion of U.S. sports betting and growth of online gambling. So far the only consequential property sale on the horizon is that of Horseshoe Hammond, with Las Vegas Strip dispositions having faded into the hazy yon.
Greff espies “incremental evidence of a recovery in Las Vegas and a sequential pick up in most other regional markets.” The “quite strong” March results, however, don’t include meaningful numbers of Baby Boomers, evidently fighting shy of the Covid-opportunity zones that some Strip casinos present. As vaccinations continue to ramp upward, Greff expects this problem to abate. His estimates for 3Q21 and 4Q21 are unchanged “but we can see a scenario where our/Consensus estimates here may be too conservative.” Also, if people continue to behave carelessly and Covid-19 rates keep spiking, that’s going to kick the nascent gaming recovery into a cocked hat.
Continue reading Caesars looking good; Amtrak covets Vegas; Bally’s underwhelms








