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Beyond Coupons by James Grosjean
Everything you always wanted to know about how to maximize the value of funbook coupons. Really.
An Appreciation of Julian Braun
By Peter Ruchman
(From Blackjack Forum Vol. XX #1, Spring 2001)
© 2001 Blackjack Forum
If you care at all about the game of blackjack, take a moment and bow your head. Julian Braun has died. He had been ill for some time and passed September 4, 2000.
It is odd but fitting this information is just coming to light. Both Howard Schwartz and I started inquiring about Braun’s health months ago, coincidently around the time he left us. We asked the luminaries of the blackjack world—no one had any information about this very private, reclusive individual.
Arnold Synder, Stanford Wong, Lance Humble, and Edward Thorp along with others were pressed into service–no one had a clue. Gambler’s Book Shop’s co-founder, Edna Luckman had a phone conversation with him about a year and a half ago. He called from his Chicago apartment, recently moved, sounding tired of life, explaining he was ill. Their friendship went back decades. After that, silence…
The irony is this man whose work affected so many lives went so quietly, unnoticed by the world, and his admirers. Sure, he was not a public personality, given to accepting accolades for his outstanding discoveries. Nor was he prone to calling attention to himself, particularly in his later years. In fact, he was something of a loner. But there are reasons.
The Story of Julian Braun’s Contributions to Blackjack
For those of you unfamiliar with him, permit me to enlighten you. Julian Braun was a scientist, an explorer, theoretician, philosopher, and friend to every blackjack player who walks this earth. He was the author of a total of one book—How to Play Winning Blackjack , sadly, long out-of-print. But what a book! Printed under his name, was the legend, “World’s Most Respected Authority.” In this age of supreme meaningless trite hyperbole, it’s easy to disregard this claim as just more b.s. Trust me on this—it wasn’t. Read on…
The man had few peers. Some may have first encountered his name in Beat the Dealer (2d edition) or Lawrence Revere’s Playing Blackjack as a Business –these two books form the foundation, a dynamic duo My Weekly Reader, and We Look and See, teaching us the rudiments of blackjack.
Thorp has been widely celebrated as the father of card counting and thus modern blackjack. While the role of others in this fascinating development has long been overlooked, he was the man who made the public breakthrough, and the world responded.
But it was the work of Julian Braun who quantified the game into trustworthy, reliable numbers eliciting strategies, heretofore elusive. Julian Braun was working for International Business Machines (IBM), beginning with that company in 1961, and was intrigued by blackjack. Having first visited Las Vegas in 1958, a small player himself, he was all too aware of the pitfalls lying in every gambler’s path to the window.
In the beginning, everything was even money.
–Mike Caro
In order to truly comprehend Braun’s monumental achievement, you need to remember prior to the 1962 publication of Thorp’s book, blackjack was relegated to a casino corner. It was an afterthought, a game primarily for the wives and girlfriends of the regular casino customer—the World War II and Korean War veterans who comprised the bulk of the crowd. These men were craps players–bj tables were placed in the casino for the amusement of a primarily female assemblage, the game deemed unworthy of a real gambler.
Then Thorp’s book was published and all hell broke loose. Gamblers adopted it, national publicity was given to the “gambling math professor from MIT”–and a new generation pored through the pages of Beat the Dealer. The book offered new-found hope there was a certifiable way to beat blackjack, employing a lot more than sheer luck, even hitting the New York Times bestseller list in 1964. Beat the Dealer came complete with a set of strategy cards, the first time anyone had quantified a set pattern of responses to the possibilities one might stumble upon playing the game.
It was within this framework Braun took aim. He sought to examine the value of Thorp’s math, then, when he saw problem areas or incorrect results, refine the suggested strategies to make the odds more favorable for the player. It was not unlike two 16th Century cartographers compounding each other’s discoveries, reshaping the world, outlining, measuring, detailing general boundaries then redefining the topography once again. These were two explorer/mapmakers who changed the world.
Braun wrote Thorp explaining his interest requesting Thorp mail a copy of his computer program, which Thorp did. The FORTRAN program was explained by Thorp to Braun in comments their correspondence and as Thorp related, it was written mnemonically into the program itself.
Braun took Thorp’s strategies and ran them through an IBM 7044 mainframe computer–9,000,000,000 times. Again, hearken back to when computers were gargantuan gleaming steel edifices of wires, tubes, shelves, cabinets and wheels, taking up entire rooms, using painstakingly slow punched cards, running at speeds that would make a contemporary computer geek want to commit suicide. Today’s average PC can accomplish 100 times the task in a split second, like comparing a tricycle to a full-bore chopped Harley.
In the revised version of Beat the Dealer, Thorp wrote, “Braun’s detailed blackjack calculations, based on his extensions and refinements of my original computer program, are the most accurate in existence, and he has kindly allowed them to be used throughout this revised edition.”
Beating them three weeks in a row in Las Vegas
is like going into the lion’s den and coming out
with meat under both arms.
–Larry Merchant
The result of Braun’s work first came to light in the 1966 2d edition of Thorp’s book. In the four years between his initial book and its revision, Braun had reworked Thorp’s math. In his Acknowledgements, Thorp wrote, “The results of the first edition have been sharpened and improved by the extensive researches of Julian Braun of the IBM corporation. He has made most of the calculations for the point-count method and has made numerous detailed and valuable suggestions. I am grateful to him for allowing his work to be incorporated into the second edition.”
I don’t believe in hunches.
Hunches are for dogs making love.
–Amarillo Slim
Using as his foundation the work of four U.S. Army technicians, Roger Baldwin, Wilbert Cantey, Herbert Maisel and James McDermott, who published the first known explanation of a codified strategy as “The Optimum Strategy in Blackjack” in the Journal of the American Statistical Association, (Vol 51, pages 429-439) in 1956, Thorp discovered their calculations, performed on a Texas Instrument hand-held calculator, were generally acceptable. Their results were polished and made more precise by Thorp, who took their Basic Strategy calculations and refined them, making them more accurate leading to the basis for contemporary card counting.
As Thorp wrote in the 2d edition of Beat the Dealer’s Introduction “The first substantially correct version of the basic strategy was discovered by Baldwin et al. and published in ‘The Optimum Strategy in Blackjack.’ There were slight inaccuracies both in this version and in the improved version published in the first edition of Beat the Dealer. The correct version of the strategy for one deck and a certain set of casino rules appears in Chapter 3. It was calculated by Julian Braun.”
As Thorp has related, what Braun did was to combine his skills as a computer programmer par excellence with the higher speed, more powerful computers of IBM to utilize more precise calculations to arrive at better numbers and strategies.
It took a Las Vegas cardsharp and hustler traveling under a variety of aliases, Griffith K. Owens, aka Leonard Parsons, aka Specs Parsons, aka Lawrence Revere, to refine Braun’s calculations even further. In attempting to substantiate his own credibility and credentialize himself, “Revere” spent a lot of time refuting the work of others, particularly Thorp.
If there was no action around, he would play solitaire
—and bet against himself.
–Groucho Marx
In the first chapter of Playing Blackjack As a Business, Revere wrote, “But when Dr. Thorp is dealing directly with the scientific, or mathematical phrases of using strategies in the game of Blackjack, he should be trusted and respected implicitly. Where he has used the calculations of Julian Braun of IBM Corporation, his effective application of the theory of mathematical probabilities, as it applies to the game of Blackjack, is unquestionably correct.”
The genie out of the bottle—there was no way to stuff it back. Using Braun’s calculations and his innate gambler’s card sense, Revere laid out a series of easy to follow, color-coded charts and explanations, giving a player at any experiential level an exact way to play EVERY HAND to its finest mathematical advantage. Revere’s book amounts to a living testimonial and homage to Braun’s work, pedantically harping on strict adherence to Braun’s math. If Thorp cleared the brush, and Revere trod the path, it was Braun who measured the steps.
In the last part of the twentieth century there will be many new applications of scientific and particularly mathematical methods to the prediction of phenomena heretofore called “chance.” We have tried to indicate a few of the developments that are similar in spirit to those described in this book. But most of the possibilities are beyond reach of our present imagination and dreams. It will be exciting to see them unfold.
–Dr. Edward Thorp
Beat the Dealer (Second Version)
The two volumes remain among the top five gambling books sold. Beat the Dealer has currently sold over 700,000 copies at the rate of 4000 per year) thanks in part to the work of Julian Braun. But much, much more than that, these books made believers out of millions, convincing a restless generation that blackjack was indeed a beatable game.
These books were embraced and became gospel truth among converts, of which I was one. We were literally assured if we worked hard and memorized the many charts and indices, we would be empowered! With this knowledge we could walk into any casino, and with patience, discipline, and intelligence (and always necessary bankroll), make some money.
What Braun did was help remove empirical luck as the significant factor in blackjack, replacing it with mathematically-proven formulas. Carrying these two books, millions worldwide joined the New Church of the Point-Count, Thorp as High Priest, Revere as Thumping Preacher both backed by Braun’s literate gospel.
Then, a third voice of reason was added to the choir. Allan Wilson was a highly educated scientist in the field of nuclear physics who received his Ph.D. from the University of California at Berkeley. A college professor who left the ivory tower to join General Dynamics in San Diego, heading their Analog Computer Laboratory, Wilson shared a common bond with Braun, Thorp and Revere. Like the first two, he knew computers and shared the same passion for gambling as Revere.
These common concerns resulted in Wilson’s marvelous 1965 book, The Casino Gambler’s Guide. A general overview of gambling, it maps it a path through the entire casino and world of gambling circa Mid-20th-Century America. Ranging from beautifully explained definitions of the Kelly Criterion money management scheme to bet-to-bank ratios and intelligent strategies for most casino games, Wilson’s book (regretfully, long out-of-print and now a collector’s item) still remains a standard by which all other general casino works are measured.
Wilson waxed ecstatic about Braun’s work: “Most recently, there has emerged a new giant on the scene, Julian Braun of the IBM Corporation…His work is undoubtedly the most valid of all because he has directly simulated the play of hands through the deck as actually conducted in the casinos.
“By virtue of his position as programming specialist at the IBM Data-center in Chicago Braun had free access to the excellent 7044 computer. He not only ran through-the-deck simulations with both fixed and varying strategies, but also refined the Thorp calculations as to strategy alterations. He is the most meticulous person, with a burning passion to get the blackjack figures right!”
Although he has not formally published, Braun did speak on his work at the Fall Joint Computer Conference held (of all places) in Las Vegas in November 1963. The occasion was an evening panel discussion devoted to the use of computers to study games of chance and skill. Thorp presided as master of ceremonies, and this author was the lead-off speaker, surveying the history and current status of blackjack analysis. We drew an audience of several hundred, which was remarkable, considering that we were competing with dinner shows like the Lido de Paris.” Thorp remarked that it was “an enjoyable meeting, I remember it well.”
It is not as destructive as war or as boring as pornography.
It is not as immoral as business or as suicidal as watching
television. And the percentages are better than religion.
–Mario Puzo (on gambling)
The gospel according to Thorp, Revere and Braun were recognized by Ian Andersen in his 1976 book Turning the Tables on Las Vegas. In Chapter 3, “A Review of Blackjack Systems,” Andersen wrote, “Count strategies took a quantum leap forward as a result of the work of Dr. Julian Braun of the IBM Corporation. Braun analyzed the value of each card and found a surplus of 9’s, 10’s and aces favored the player. A surplus of small-value cards favors the house.
“…Dr. Braun developed several count strategies by assigning a plus or minus value to each card. His first simple point-count system is published in Thorp’s version of Beat the Dealer. Dr. Braun then collaborated with Lawrence Revere, and some of his more sophisticated strategies are published in Revere’s book Playing Blackjack As a Business.
“In essence, Braun’s system works as follows. At the beginning of each deck the count is zero. As each card is exposed and removed from play, its assigned value is added or subtracted and a running total is kept. Most active blackjack players use some version of this plus-minus system.”
(Author’s note: Dr. Thorp wrote me, “This idea had earlier roots. Claude Shannon and I discussed the high-low system in 1961 at M.I.T. I elected not to work it out on the computer, since the Ten Count was good enough then, And at the 1963 conference, above, Harvey Dubner presented the same idea, which he had thought up himself.).
The apostles and minions lined up, devouring the various interpretations. blackjack suddenly supplanted craps as the most popular game in the casinos and it wasn’t long before a second generation of believers joined the first, with their elders perking up their ears as well. And the man who wrote the scales for the Pied Piper’s pan flute: Julian Braun.
Concerning his own mathematical research in Stanford Wong’s 1975 Professional Blackjack, (his first book), the author bemusedly writes, “These tables are my own independent work. Any resemblance between them and the work of Julian Braun or anyone else is fortunate.”
Lance Humble, Ph.D. published his first book, Blackjack Gold in 1976. The Foreword was written by Edward Thorp, the Introduction by Julian Braun. In it, Humble maps out the basis for his HI-OPT I count, first published two years prior by his International Gaming, Incorporated, viewed by many as taking Braun’s work to the next level. The system was devised with Braun’s assistance and approval, using his computer programs.
Probability is the very guide of life.
–Cicero
Fifteen years after his first work with Thorp, Braun collaborated with Lance Humble and Carl Cooper in their 1980 tome, The World Greatest Blackjack Book. The family tree of blackjack had mushroomed by then, casino supervisors no longer universally dismissing card counting as one small step above raw superstition and witchcraft.
Prior to the publication of Beat the Dealer, the annual casino hold or net profit from blackjack games was approximately 18 percent. By 1980, that number had fallen to about 14.5 percent. Currently it hovers close to 12 percent. One might hazard a guess Braun’s work had a wee bit to do with this change…
“Thank you, I would like a banana,”
is the most you should tell your opponent.
–Phil Simborg
In the Foreword to Humble and Cooper’s book, Braun wrote “ During the past eighteen years, as a direct consequence of the work of Dr. Edward Thorp, myself, and others, numerous methods of winning at blackjack by means of count systems have developed. For the serious player who will take the trouble to properly learn and use one of the better systems, the player can and should win over a period of time. Yet, many such players have failed to come anywhere near the mathematically-proven reasonable expectations. There is more to playing the game than just knowing what is the mathematically correct play—much more.”
[Vegas] looks like somebody took one of
Liberace’s jackets and made a city out of it…
–Lance Humble and Carl Cooper
Somewhere along the line, casino countermeasures had become an increasingly important concern. The already complex world of blackjack had become even more dauntingly complicated. Humble reiterates his use of the HI-OPT I card counting strategy but by the time Humble’s second book was published, he was hard at work perfecting an upgrade, the HI-OPT II, using computer programs developed by Braun, once again collaborating with him on the project.
Braun’s 1977 pamphlet for Humble’s International Gaming, Inc. entitled Braun On Blackjack, was enlarged and mass distributed by Data House Publishing of Chicago in 1980 as How To Play Winning Blackjack. At last, almost two decades after his first research and initial inclusion into Thorp’s Beat the Dealer, the founding father of contemporary Optimal Basic Strategy was given the power of his own pen. Or was he?
In his Foreword, Braun wrote, “I have reasons for writing this book. First and foremost, is that some of the ideas and observations contained may be of benefit to the hundreds of thousands of Blackjack players who have been or will become as devoted or intrigued with the game as I am.
“Secondly, since my name and work in the field have been quoted in over a dozen books and countless articles, this is an attempt to correct, clarify, and at the very least, to amplify my findings so as to clear up any misunderstandings.
“The reader should be forewarned that I am neither a raconteur or even an ex-pit boss (heaven forbid). Accordingly, and unlike some other books on the subject, you will find none of the pithy, and sometimes very enjoyable ‘insider’ stories about the colorful cast of characters who exist on the fringe of both sides of the table.
“Rather, I shall attempt as logically as possible to trace for you my work over the past 18 years.”
The 170-page book which follows presents a wonderfully laid out display of Braun’s technique, his advice on how to play the game, Optimal Basic Strategy explained and detailed in easy-to-read color-coded charts and commonsense explanations. Like the author, the book is a no-nonsense, straight ahead approach to winning, just as the title suggests.
As Siamese twins of the field, Edward Thorp wrote the sole jacket blurb: “Julian Braun has transformed my original Blackjack computer program into the world’s most powerful and accurate tool for the calculation of winning Blackjack strategies. Using this program, Braun details a winning point count method. There is no other Blackjack counting system which is both simpler and more powerful.”
Unfortunately for Braun, in his desire and haste to get his own book to the public, he made concessions he lived to regret. It appears he never saw much in the way of compensation for his original research–and entire portions of his book were not his own. In a 1981 interview given to blackjack author and publisher Arnold Snyder by Braun for Snyder’s quarterly Blackjack Forum’s second issue,
Snyder asked, “You wrote me that the ‘Money Management’ chapter in your book, which advises the player to watch for ‘hot streaks’ and use betting progressions had been written by Harry Fund, your publisher. Were you aware, prior to its being published, of the contents of that chapter, and have you spoken to him personally about your feelings about it being included under your name?
Braun: Yes, but he wanted to get his two cents in and he was the publisher.
Snyder: In that chapter, he writes as if he were you.
Braun: I know. He was writing under my name because he’s using my name to sell the book. He wrote a lot of the other stuff, too. I don’t claim to be a book writer, per se. He wrote all the colorful stuff and the background and I wrote all the technical stuff for the book. The only thing I got in on the Money Management chapter was the footnote at the end.
Snyder: That footnote seemed to be the only intelligent part of the chapter.
Braun: I wrote the footnote because I was trying to play down what he’d written in the rest of the chapter. The thing is, there are a lot of people who like to play that way.
Regrettably, it appears when Fund’s short-printed supply of books ran out, the publisher refused to relinquish control of the rights and return them to Braun, thus preventing him from issuing a revised edition or any other.
Should I go to heaven, give me no
haloed angels riding snow-white clouds…
Give me rather a vaulting red-walled casino
with bright lights, bring on horned devils as dealers.
Let there be a Pit Boss in the Sky
who will give me unlimited credit.
And if there is a merciful God in our Universe
he will decree that the Player have for all eternity,
an Edge against the House.
–Mario Puzo
How sad a man who impacted so many, changing the course of gambling and American life, died without any recognition. After 36 years, Braun gave his notice to IBM on April 1, 1987 retiring permanently two months later. When he left this life in Chicago on September 4, 2000 following an extended illness, not one person in the extensive blackjack universe knew.
Braun’s estate left a will, not probated, filed on September 27, seven pages in length, no particulars noted. He is interred at Westlawn (Jewish) Cemetery in Chicago leaving no immediate family. He was predeceased by both parents—Marcel and Anne, nee Levin– along with a sister Eleanor Becker, and two brothers, but did leave several unnamed cousins and nephews and nieces. His obituary notices in the Chicago Sun-Times and Chicago Tribune requested contributions to the Parkinson Foundation of Chicago in lieu of flowers at the funeral, held on September 5.
It has been said that to a sensible man there is no such thing as chance. Or as Voltaire put it, “Chance is a word void of sense; nothing can exist without a cause.”
–Julian Braun
How To Play Winning Blackjack
Julian Braun, the Man
Concerning Braun the person and his historical significance, I asked a few people who shared more than a passing interest and relationship with the man and his concerns their thoughts. As Braun was one who did not relish the harsh spotlight centerstage, preferring to perform research in the solitude offered by classroom and computer lab, there isn’t a great deal about him in the public record.
I did make numerous attempts to contact someone at IBM for more information. Official company policy is not to release data to anyone not in the immediate family. I did leave word with the one person in IBM’s Human Resources Department who was willing to talk. She forwarded my request for information to Braun’s estate’s executor, a female cousin, named Elaine.
Elaine (Julian’s first cousin–her mother and Braun’s mother were sisters) offered the following information: Braun was born in Chicago on September 25, 1929. He graduated from the Illinois Institute of Technology with twin Bachelor of Science degrees in Mathematics and Physics. Following a mid-1950s stint in the Marines he went to California where he did his post-graduate degree and some teaching work at San Diego State College (now San Diego State University).
At that point Braun returned to the Midwest to work for a time at Chrylser in their Missile Systems Division in Detroit prior to beginning his three-decade-long stint for IBM, eventually becoming head of their teaching programs at IBM’s Downtown Chicago research lab. Sister Eleanor and her husband were both killed by a drunk driver while traveling to celebrate their second wedding anniversary in the Catskill Mountains in 1964. Braun’s father died suddenly of an aneurysm in 1966. Julian moved in with his mother to help care for her until her death in 1971 from the effects of a long-term illness with cancer.
Following his retirement from IBM in 1987, Braun worked as an independent commodities trader from his Chicago apartment. A loner to the end, his cousin noted he was never one for small talk, remained a very serious man who avidly pursued all interests in a determined manner. Braun was a passionate chess player and stamp collector. He had bypass surgery for a heart condition in the 1990s and began suffering from chronic Parkinson’s disease. He developed prostate cancer but it was Parkinson’s that was officially listed as the cause of his death on the certificate.
To do the man justice, I can only offer the remembrances of representatives of some notable inhabitants of the blackjack world. As there has been no memorial service to date, or even notice by the greater blackjack community, this will have to suffice for the present.
Remembrances of Julian Braun
In the 1981 Blackjack Forum interview, Snyder introduced their meeting this way: “Right from the start, Braun cast aside my preconceived conservative notions of him. I arrived in a coat and tie. He was in his shirt sleeves. I suggested a quiet restaurant where the subdued atmosphere would be conducive to an interview. Braun had other ideas, suggesting a Moroccan restaurant where our dinner would be accompanied by music and an exotic belly dancer.”
Interestingly enough, When Snyder asked Braun if he ever considered becoming a card counter, Braun responded, “There was a time when I was playing more frequently, and was even barred in one casino. Some years ago, I spent four weeks in Reno and played here and there.” He told Snyder this was in the late 1960s, betting from $2-$10 using the Hi-Lo count and hadn’t played serious Blackjack for years since.
When informed of Braun’s death Snyder related, “Julian Braun was the first computer programmer who really understood how to translate the mathematics of Blackjack into elegant computer algorithms. His reputation was so good that even competing authors wanted Braun’s computer work and his name on their systems. Ed Thorp used Braun’s programs as did both Lawrence Revere and Lance Humble. Today, with hundreds of Blackjack programs available for home computers, few players realize that back in the 1960s, only one man knew how to analyze Blackjack on computers and he was writing cumbersome FORTRAN programs for IBM mainframes. That man was Julian Braun.”
Stanford Wong told me, “He was the first guy up on the board and his numbers were good. All the people who came after him compared their numbers to his to see how well we did. He provided the standard measuring stick and did a fine job.”
Veteran mathematician and Braun contemporary John Gwynn told me, “He was the giant of his day. I read all of his publications, and his was the first really significant computer simulations. He was the first. His work stood alone for years.”
Author of casino books (Smart Casino Gambling and Knock-Out Blackjack) Olaf Vancura remembered him this way: “Julian Braun was a pioneer of blackjack computation. A true aficionado, his primary satisfaction came from analyzing the game, and his scientific approach has served as a model for others. For years, his software was utilized extensively by other blackjack experts for system development and refinement.”
William Eadington is Professor of Economics and Director of the Institute for the Study of Gambling and Commercial Gaming at the University of Nevada, Reno. He is an internationally recognized authority on the legalization and regulation of commercial gambling, and has written extensively on issues relating to the economic and social impacts of commercial gaming.
Professor Eadington has served as the organizer of the First through Eleventh International Conferences on Gambling and Risk Taking between 1974 and 1997. Blackjack has been an important topic at each of these well-attended conferences with Braun’s name front and center throughout. Eadington told me “Braun was the numbers guy on the computer that allowed the Optimal Basic Strategy to developed and used by everyone since. His contribution to the gambling world is singular.”
Lance Humble reminisced about a visit to Toronto to visit him by Braun in the early 1970s. Following their blackjack-related discussions, Humble asked Braun if he’d like to go sightseeing. Always the introvert, Braun murmured he would enjoy a trip to Woodbine Racetrack and the Victory Burlesque, Toronto’s oldest. So, on a mid-day afternoon, two of the smartest men in North America found their way into the Victory.
As Humble recalls, they were among the only patrons. Braun insisted on sitting in the back at the very end of the long runway parting the seats like a pier. When they were finished watching the women cavort, the two men went to Woodbine for a day at the races. Keeping completely in character, Braun spent the time watching horses, and like his time at the strip joint, he never got involved, never placed a wager.
Of his place in history, Humble said, “Julian Braun was a scientist who specialized in developing Blackjack systems using advanced computer analyses. He was largely responsible for the analytical work published in Beat the Dealer and wholly responsible for the work which led to the development of the HI-OPT I and HI-OPT II systems.
“After his Toronto visit, we formed a working alliance with the aim of helping people who did not have the mathematical minds to do better at blackjack. He was a true professional always seeking the most efficient method to present to the players.”
Gamblers, with but few exceptions,
are the most honest men in the world.
–Nick The Greek Dandolos
Gambler’s Book Shop co-founder Edna Luckman (her husband John, considered by many to be the literature of gambling’s Gutenberg, died in 1987) last talked to Braun in the fall of 1999. He was sick and had just moved to a new apartment. Julian appeared in no hurry to contact people and seemed to be nesting, isolated from everyone and everything, preparing for death.
In retrospect, it appears he called to say goodbye—he had known the Luckmans quite well. When I related Humble’s story, Edna smiled. Vindicating Braun’s interview with Snyder, Edna can’t recall anyone ever witnessing Braun place a bet. “He was strictly a numbers man,” she told me.
Quite vital at 76, Alan Wilson was saddened to learn of Braun’s death, a true contemporary, having met Braun while both were attending San Diego State College four decades ago. He too remembers Julian as one of the sharpest minds as well as one who really won’t go down in the annals as a maverick gambler. His strength lay in his work. Wilson felt he couldn’t add anything about Braun to the thoughts contained in his marvelous book—and his admiration for the man and his work is evident.
Edward Thorp was as surprised as all of us to learn of Braun’s passing. As the individual most responsible for Braun’s long association with the blackjack world, he was in the best position to comment.
“After the first edition of Beat the Dealer appeared, Julian got in touch and I gave him a copy of my original FORTRAN program along with background information on the methodology. As I hoped, he wrote an expanded and more elaborate program which eliminated most of the approximations forced upon me by the limitations of computing power when I wrote in 1960.
“Using the expanded computing power available in 1965, his programming skills, and the computer resources of IBM, the numbers and strategies he produced became the benchmark from 1965 into the 70s. His contributions to the field of blackjack were of major importance.”
Gambling is an art form. Some people gamble
because they think there is money in it.
Yes, there is money in it when you are lucky.
But then the meaning of the game is distorted.
–Carlos Bulosan
In the struggle between you and the world
second the world.
–Franz Kafka
What then do we make of Julian Braun, his contributions and his lonesome demise? Just this: His work will never be forgotten. Now dealer and players alike united
in an unspoken conspiracy
to stave off morning forever…
For the cards kept the everlasting darkness off,
the cards lent everlasting hope.
–Nelson Algren
If there was a Mount Rushmore for the founding fathers of Blackjack, Braun’s countenance would surely be entrenched in the firmament. One person remarked that if he didn’t perform the computer runs, someone else would have done it. I guess, one could make that same statement about any historical figure. The fact remains it was Julian Braun who performed those calculations in the early and mid-1960s. Those original computer runs and his subsequent work literally provided the foundation upon which rests most all meaningful contemporary Blackjack theory.
Card Counting in the Courts: Caesars and Circus Try to Frame Hyland Team Players
By Arnold Snyder
(From Blackjack Forum XV #4, December 1995)
© Blackjack Forum 1995
The initial news reports on the arrests of Tommy Hyland blackjack team members Christopher Z., Barbara D., and Karen C. came to the Blackjack Forum offices from newspapers all over the U.S. and Canada. On May 28, 1994, the three were arrested at the brand new Casino Windsor and charged with cheating at blackjack.
The initial cheating charge was based on use of a device—pop-off beads the two women players were wearing to count the percentage of aces they had successfully tracked with an ace prediction strategy. When it turned out there was no law against players using a device in a casino in Canada, the province charged the players with fraud for use of signals at the table.
The Oakland Press (Michigan) reported: While Chris Z. played the actual game, Barbara D. and Karen C. watched the cards. The practice is called counting cards. Keeping track in your head is OK. Using anything else is not. Dancey and Conroy used beads concealed in their clothes to count the cards.
All three are charged with conspiracy to cheat at play and cheating at play, both of which carry two-year prison sentences Gaming officials said they expected cheaters would test the dealers at Windsor, hoping to find inexperienced people manning the tables.
The Detroit News quoted Sheri Buoncompagno, a local dealing school operator, Card counters aren’t welcome anywhere that I know. Each casino handles them differently, but they are usually encouraged to play fair or leave. It’s really a shame someone is already trying to take advantage of a new casino, but that’s the way it usually goes. Someone new opens up and somebody is going to challenge them right away.
The Las Vegas Review Journal’s report was more succinct: Three people won more than $100,000 over three days before they were stopped and accused of cheating at blackjack One gambled while the other two sat at the table and used a bead system to illegally count cards.
Many of the news reports mailed and faxed to me after the arrest implied that there was something unfair about card counting itself and characterized the casinos as victims of these sneaks. Most reports stated that it was the bead system that made the Windsor trio’s activities illegal, not the card counting itself.
A few months later, I was contacted by Tommy Hyland. The arrested trio were members of his blackjack team. He asked me to be an expert witness in this case.
Although I had never met Tommy Hyland, I’d spoken with him over the phone on various occasions in years past, and had also corresponded with him. I knew he was involved in New Jersey gaming politics, because on his advice I had sent letters to every New Jersey legislator in 1987 in an attempt to kill the anti-device legislation pending at the time. In spite of players’ efforts, the legislation passed in 1988.
I knew at that time that Tommy had been running both card counting and blackjack computer teams for a few years, and that his was widely regarded as one of the more successful team operations. To my knowledge, he always ran 100% legal operations. I couldn’t fathom what he could possibly have been doing with beads in Windsor that would have justified the arrest of his players.
When I received the complete investigation report a few days after my conversation with Tommy, everything was clear. I fired off a letter to Don Tait, the Windsor attorney who was defending the accused players. A very short excerpt:
Dear Mr. Tait:
I have read all of the documentation provided to me, which consists of the 166 pages of the Casino Investigation Unit report in the matter of Regina vs. Chris Z., Barbara D. and Karen C. Based upon the documentation provided to me, I have formed an opinion of what occurred on or about the 27th and 28th days of May 1994 at the Windsor Casino. I believe the documentation supports my opinion beyond any doubt.
Virtually all of the witnesses who observed the play of the defendants’ state that defendant Chris Z. was varying his bets widely, from a single hand of $100 or $200 to two hands of $2500 each (table limit). This is stated by Casino Shift Managers Bacharow and Davenport, as well as Surveillance Officers McDonough and Bell.
Davenport states he became suspicious of his (defendant Zalis’) erratic play. Chris Z. would bet one hand ‘at $100, then two hands at $2500. His betting strategy also indicated ace location play.’
These observations, taken at face value, indicate to me that defendant Zalis may have just been an erratic bettor; he may have been counting cards, though this also appears to be unlikely; and he was most likely using ‘ace location’ play as his primary method of attempting to obtain an advantage over the house.
It must be noted that the ace location player will not always win with his big bets, nor will he always get the predicted ace. Less than perfect dealer riffles, cards of the same denomination and suit as the key cards which simply happened to be located in proximity to the actual key cards, etc., make ace location play both difficult and risky.
The inexcusable ignorance of the casino personnel with regard to ace location strategies is not limited to the Windsor Casino personnel, but is also evident in the testimony of Joanne Vroom, who is identified as being ‘in charge of the card counting team at the Claridge Hotel in Atlantic City.’ Ms. Vroom was apparently shown tapes of the defendants’ play, then asked to comment on ‘the use of beads and their possible uses as far as counting cards or whatever their possibilities are.’
I find the testimony of Joanne Vroom particularly disturbing, as she was apparently called in by the Windsor Casino as an outside expert to render an opinion. As the Windsor Casino was such a new operation, the game protection personnel might be forgiven for some amount of lack of knowledge when it comes to advanced playing strategies, though it is still difficult for me to imagine an operation of such financial magnitude not spending the relatively small amount of time and money necessary to properly train and educate their personnel.
If, in fact, the Windsor Casino personnel were such rookies that they did not recognize a legitimate blackjack strategy that had been in use for more than a decade, and which had been discussed not only in the more esoteric professional players’ literature, but also in the casino industry’s publications, such as Bill Zender’s Card Counting for the Casino Executive, and even in the mainstream press (New York Times), then their calling in an outside gaming expert of more experience is laudable.
But where did they get this Vroom? I have never heard of her. I do not believe she has published anything that would qualify her as an expert, though she claims to have written the ‘manual’ that is used by the Claridge Casino in Atlantic City to train personnel to recognize card counters.
States Ms. Vroom on pages 56-57, when asked what the confiscated beads could be used for: ‘For tracking the aces. Keeping a count of them so they know when there is an excess of them in the deck or the shoe, it helps them in adding to the true count to give them an overall advantage on the house. Their accounting system as far as their being able to be paid by the team. Um, also tracking possibly 10’s and 5’s locations around the deck.’
On page 58, she then states: ‘Accounting purposes would be they’re using a multi-level system of card counting so with so many things to memorize they’re using them to track and keep an accurate record of the amount of aces that have been played, how many are left in the shoe so they’d be able to use it to their advantage in counting.
They have two sets of beads on them. One set of beads is for the accounting purposes. The other set of beads is actually for tracking the aces. So you’re actually having a two level system going on at the same time. One is their pay system, the other is the amount of aces coming into play.’
.On page 58, Ms. Vroom states the players are ‘tracking the aces,’ but also speculates that they are using the ace count simultaneously as a traditional side count to adjust the player’s ‘true count.’ This is absurd, and indicates to me that Ms. Vroom has a very limited and erroneous knowledge of how location play works.
.On page 60, when questioned about why the keygirls were ‘breaking off’ the concealed beads, Ms. Vroom does admit to being perplexed at this as the keygirls did not appear to be breaking off the beads at the beginning of the playing session. She speculates that at the beginning of play: ‘.they could be using any form even memorization um, I can deep count of aces plus keep running count true count without using any other device.’
She offers no explanation as to why the keygirls would be able to ‘keep count of aces’ at the beginning of a session but not at the end.
.On page 65, when asked to clarify her previous remark about using beads as a ‘two level system,’ she now expounds that the system in use was ‘.between a two and three level system. One for counting for their bonuses and ace tracking and third beads may be possibly be for a secondary count the primary beads would be for the aces coming through the other may be for second plugs throughout the shoe because they’re looking to cut the tens and aces to the front of the shoe and they’re tracking the aces as they come out of that section. The secondary beads would be used to track another plug throughout the shoe.’
This is pure gobbledygook, and indicates to me that Ms. Vroom has absolutely no idea what these players were doing. I defy her to take two sets of detachable beads and demonstrate how she would use these beads to locate aces from one shoe to the next. I can conceive of no way in which concealed detached beads could be used to identify or remember key cards, nor to indicate locations of aces or any other cards in a stack of cards.
Furthermore, she ignores the fact that if these beads were used in order to side count the aces in the more traditional sense for the sole purpose of true count adjustments by the player, it would be necessary for the keygirls to reattach all of the detached beads in between shoes, so that the fresh shoe would begin with a fresh count!
.Keying the aces is a visual strategy that requires concentration and a good memory. If Ms. Vroom can use concealed beads for this purpose, I’d like her to demonstrate how.
.The purpose of the beads, in fact, is described in detail in the Hyland team’s General Policies manual (page 119): ’All KG’s will wear 3 strings of beads. One string signifies bets, another signifies pointers (aces), and the third string signifies your own pointers. One bead should be disconnected every time a bet or a pointer occurs.’ Disconnecting a bead each time an ace is dealt is therefore called for in the team policy manual, but this is not done for any strategic purpose at the table.
On page 124, we learn that the keygirls’ pay rates are based upon the ratio of pointers/bets, which can be determined by the bead counts at the end of the playing sessions. This use of the beads, as described in the Hyland team player’s manual, does make sense.
The beads simply provide a method of determining how much each of the keygirls will be paid based on their success at keying the aces, after the play is over and the players have returned to their room. The beads are not used for counting the cards, side counting the aces for use with a card counting system, adjusting the true count, or any other such function at the time of playing.
.The theories of sequential tracking, the effects of the common shuffle actions of riffling and stripping the cards, and the utilization of key cards to locate aces/tens, are not well defined in the materials confiscated from the defendants. But these concepts would not be difficult to explain in court, even to the unsophisticated, as it is not difficult to demonstrate these concepts with actual cards.
.I feel certain that video footage would totally discredit the casino ‘experts’ in this case, and would prove that the defendants were playing precisely according to their own manual’s instructions and not using any illegal cheating techniques. The defendants themselves could describe and explain every bet made and every signal passed on the videos, as per their General Policies manual..
The casino ‘experts’ are grasping at straws to build a cheating case. I sincerely hope the casino personnel are thoroughly embarrassed at the hearing by their own ignorance, and their shameful treatment of skillful professional players who were totally acting within the law.
I find the treatment of skillful professional players as cheats and criminals very despicable. After discovering that no electronic computers were in use, as the casino security personnel allegedly suspected at the time the defendants were arrested, the casino management should have apologized to these players and extended every courtesy to them. Instead, they fabricated this bead ‘device’ to be some new cheating method, then publicly slandered the reputations of these talented players whose only crime was that they were smarter than the casino’s ‘experts.’
I find the casino’s actions in handling this matter, and the analyses of their game security personnel and their hired ‘card counting expert’ to be so ignorant that it is difficult for me to believe that any of these ‘experts’ are doing anything other than purposefully manufacturing a phony case against the defendants in order to hide their own stupidity, and the public embarrassment of having been taken to the cleaners by three skillful players who simply accepted the Windsor Casino’s public challenge to beat them at blackjack, and who did so successfully and legally.’
In December of 1994, Don Tait informed me that he had made portions of my comments (including portions not included in the excerpt above) available to the prosecuting attorney, in an attempt to get the charges dropped. He also told me that the prosecutor would soon be making a trip to Las Vegas in order to discuss the case with some of Nevada’s gaming executives and attorneys. Tait was still feeling fairly confident that the charges would be dropped, and that the trial, now scheduled for January 1995, would never occur. My feeling was the same.
I knew that the Casino Windsor was run by a conglomerate of casino megapowers that included Caesars, the Hilton Corporation, and Circus Circus. In my opinion, these corporations had been around long enough to know that, based upon the evidence collected, it was irrefutable that the players were simply employing a legal shuffle tracking strategy.
I was talking regularly with Tommy Hyland about this matter over the phone. More than anything, he just wanted the whole thing put to rest. He did not want a trial. He did not relish the public exposure. And his players just wanted the nightmare to end. Chris Z. was a salesman who lived in New Jersey and had never been arrested for anything. Karen C. was a Pennsylvania school teacher, recently married, who also had never been arrested. Barbara D. was a grandmother who lived in a suburb of Detroit. She had formerly worked as a Sheriff’s Deputy in California.
All had been recruited and trained by Tommy Hyland because they seemed to him to be intelligent and honest. All knew that they had been breaking no laws. Now, all three had been arrested, taken away from the casino in handcuffs, strip-searched at the police station, spent a weekend behind bars, had all of their personal property and money in their possession at the time of arrest confiscated, had been reported in newspapers all over the U.S. and Canada as cheats and criminals, and they were potentially facing up to two years each in a Canadian prison for their ‘crime.’
To the dismay of both Tommy Hyland and his attorney Don Tait, when the prosecutor returned from his Las Vegas fact finding foray, he decided to pursue the cheating charge. Curiously, the prosecution agreed to stipulate that the players were using the beads legally, as per their manual. The prosecution also agreed to stipulate that my analysis of what the players were doing to beat the casino (sequentially tracking the aces) was accurate.
The province had probably discovered by this time that it was not a crime in Ontario for a player to use or possess a computer or other device at a blackjack table. There is a gaming regulation that prohibits the casino from allowing players to use such devices at the tables, but there is no criminal offense by the players involved.
So, the beads were suddenly no longer an issue, but the cheating charge was not going away. According to Tait, a new rationale was being formulated. The prosecutor now contended that ‘team play’ constituted fraud.
Tait said that the prosecutor, Dennis Harrison, was an experienced and respected attorney. These new grounds for pursuing the charge of cheating, following the prosecution’s consultations with Las Vegas attorneys, seemed to indicate that these U.S. casino powers had decided to test in Windsor whether or not casinos could prosecute card counters whenever blackjack team play or shuffle tracking was suspected.
It seemed unlikely to me that such a prosecution would ever be attempted in Nevada or New Jersey, as there was such a long history of blackjack team play in these states. But in a new venue, like Windsor, the casinos were gambling that a successful prosecution might be possible. And, although Canadian law would not get written into the U.S. law books, a success in Canada could certainly influence a U.S. court to consider hearing such a case, and similar prosecutions in the U.S. could follow.
This, to me, was ominous. The potential repercussions of this trial could affect blackjack players all over the world. It was an attack on a skillful method of play and valid, legal strategies that had been in use by honest players for decades.
As is often the case in court proceedings, legal sparring delayed the trial for another six months. The trial itself, which lasted four days in July 1995, was a media circus. Both sides went all out to impress not only the judge, but the newspapers and TV reporters who filled the courtroom. At every break, TV cameras converged on the attorneys, the players, and the officers of Hyland’s team who had flown in from as far away as Hong Kong to testify, if need be.
The prosecution showed videos of the players in action, displayed the confiscated team documents, called as chief witnesses the Casino Windsor shift manager, Ken Davenport, formerly with Caesars World in Atlantic City, and Terry McIntosh, the detective constable with the Ontario Provincial Police, who made the arrests.
Don Tait lived up to his reputation as a brilliant defense attorney from day one. He made mincemeat of Davenport, who turned out to be more a witness for the defense than the prosecution.
I was on the witness stand for a day and a half–longer than Davenport and McIntosh combined. Prosecutor Harrison had a difficult time with me because he did not understand the math or the theory of blackjack with any depth at all. He did not have much grasp on gambling as an occupation either. He repeatedly attempted to get me to say that shuffle trackers removed the element of chance from the game, and made other players at the table lose more.
Aside from the fact that he was mistaken about these concepts, I could not understand why he even pursued them, since the whole issue of legality, as I pointed out, should be decided on whether or not the players did anything more than observe the game and use their brains to made decisions. How can making a decision based on your intelligent use of the information provided by the casino be illegal?
Even if a player could remove all element of chance from a game, and win every hand, this could not possibly be illegal if he accomplished this by simply using the information available by observing the game to make his decisions. By the time Harrison had finished grilling me, and Tait completed his cross-examination, I felt confident that the defense had made every point that needed to be made.
On the last day of the trial, as I had done all week long, I had lunch with Tommy at a cafe across the street from Don Tait’s office, a few blocks away from the courthouse. We had met briefly with Tait and we were all feeling cautiously optimistic. Walking back to the courthouse after lunch, eager to see Don Tait’s closing arguments, we were stopped in front of the courthouse by a uniformed Ontario police officer. I was about to learn what it meant to play hardball with the casinos.
‘Are you Thomas Hyland?’ the cop asked Tommy.
‘Yes, I am,’ he acknowledged.
Even now, we were surrounded by cameras and reporters. A plain clothes officer flashed a badge at Tommy.
‘You’re under arrest for violating Canadian immigration laws,’ he said.
Tommy protested. ‘What are you talking about?’ he asked, incredulous. ‘I’m a U.S. citizen. I have my passport. I came here legally. I’m due in court in about five minutes.’
The immigration officer pulled out his handcuffs. ‘You can explain it to immigration officials at your trial,’ he said. ‘I’m under instructions to place you under immediate arrest.’
The front page of the Windsor Star on the following day had a huge photo of Tommy Hyland being led from the courthouse in handcuffs, with the headline: ‘Blackjack Team Leader Arrested.’
Tommy learned from Canadian immigration officials that afternoon that he had been arrested because it was discovered that he was a ‘convicted felon’ in the Bahamas ten years earlier (1985). As an alleged ‘ex-convict’ in another country, he was not allowed into Canada.
Tommy explained that in 1985, while playing blackjack in the Bahamas with a concealed computer, he was arrested. There was no law banning blackjack computers in the Bahamas at that time, but the casino refused to drop the charges. They offered Tommy two options: pay the $2100 fine and leave the country, or go to trial and tell it to the judge. The trial date would be set six months later and bail would not be allowed, as Tommy was considered a ‘flight risk.’
Tommy paid the fine and left the Bahamas on the next flight out. He was not about tosit in a Bahamian jail for six months to save $2100, all of which would undoubtedly be spent on legal fees anyway. Now, Canadian immigration officials had dredged up this ten-year-old fiasco to prosecute Tommy Hyland as an illegal immigrant to their country!
Hmmm, was it possible that the casino powers had anything to do with this new harassment against Tommy Hyland? Was it curious that Tommy was arrested in front of the courthouse where his attorney had been shredding the prosecution’s cheating arguments for 3 Ω days?
Don Tait was quoted by reporter Roseann Danese in the Windsor Star the following day as saying, ‘Tommy Hyland is being held captive in Canada. It’s another means of trying to harass these people.’
According to Tait, Canadian immigration laws state that a person can only be deported if the action for which he was convicted in another jurisdiction is also illegal in Canada.
‘They’re trying to deport him from this country for something that is not an offense in this country,’ Tait said, adding: ‘I’m embarrassed to be a Canadian right now. I’m asked by the defendants, and I keep telling them we are basically a gracious people. Yet, ever since these people stepped into the casino, they have been continually harassed. The casino and prosecutor are trying to convict them because it’s an offense to use your brain. That means it’s cheating to think. Because that’s all you’re doing with card counting or shuffle tracking, using your brain.’
Tait added that Tommy was arrested ‘.because casino don’t want people to come in and play intelligently.’ He pointed out that Tommy’s arrest occurred the day after Tommy had appeared on local radio and TV news shows explaining the concept of professional blackjack play.
The following morning, the judge announced that he would render his decision on September 8, some six weeks in the future. I couldn’t get a flight out that evening, but I felt I wanted to get out of Canada as quickly as I could. The arrest of Zalis, Dancey and Conroy in May of 1994, and their subsequent indictment and prosecution for cheating, were not technically actions of the Casino Windsor, but of the provincial police and government of Ontario. This new arrest of Tommy Hyland was not technically a casino action, but an action of Canadian immigration officials. It stunned me.
It appeared that the Casino Windsor, which was netting more than a million bucks a day, was running the local Canadian government. Were the interpretation and enforcement of laws in Ontario being dictated by three casinos in Las Vegas? Were the Ontario Police, the provincial court system, and even the border guards now taking orders from Circus Circus?
As I write this article, Tommy Hyland has been officially deported from Canada and is not allowed into that country. He has appealed this decision of the immigration authorities, and has retained Don Tait has his attorney. I have been retained as an expert witness, should this matter go to trial.
On September 8, 1995, Judge Saul Nosanchuk rendered his decision on Zalis, Dancey and Conroy.
To quote from his judgment:
The accused, Christopher Z., Barbara Josephine D. and Karen C., are charged with the offence of cheating at play while playing blackjack at the Casino Windsor.
To reverse the odds that favour the Casino the concept of card counting was introduced in about 1962. Card counting systems have been written about extensively since 1962 in many books on sale in casinos and elsewhere throughout the world. A card counter uses his or her powers of observation during the play of the game to assess the probability of a ten valued card or an ace being dealt. The card counter places a larger bet when he or she believes that it is more likely that an ace or ten will be dealt. The prosecution in this case concedes that card counting is not cheating.
On May 28, 1994, the date of the alleged offence, the accused, Chris Z., was involved as a player in a game of blackjack at Casino Windsor. The accused, Karen C. and Barbara D., sat on either side of him and appeared to be simply watching him as he played.
In fact, Barbara D. and Karen C. were members of a professional gambling team trained to observe the cards as they were dealt, played and shuffled. Their purpose was to try to predict the arrival of aces and to give covert signals to their team member, Chris Z., at the appropriate time.
What they were doing has been described as key-carding or ace-locating. Key-carding or ace-locating involves carefully observing the shuffling, playing and discarding for the purpose of keying in on where the aces are expected to be located. Zalis, Dancey and Conroy were operating in accordance with a team manual that was located in a Windsor hotel room in the course of a search that followed the arrest of the accused.
The manual confirmed that the members of the team had to operate under the utmost secrecy. They were required to camouflage their identity and purpose. Each team member had to pass proficiency tests in basic strategy and card counting. Each member had to understand shuffling techniques. Each member had to take a lie detector test.
Extracurricular activities were restricted, with financial penalties for their violation. There were rules in the manual as to casino comportment; betting guidelines; accounting; security and quality control; scouting the casinos; scouting key games, cutting of the decks and shuffling.
Nowhere in the manual were there any instructions to suggest that the members become involved in any collusion with any dealers. There were no suggestions that there should be crimping or marking of cards; there were no instructions as to the use of any devices in the course of participating in the game or as to any other deceitful activity to be exercised in relation to the cards to be dealt or the play of the game. The camouflage of the members was of course part and parcel of their team instructions, as were other techniques involving the exercise of skill.
Each team that went on the road had a player called the big player, or B.P., and two keygirls, called K.G. Chris Z., at Casino Windsor, was the B.P., and Barbara D. and Karen C. were each K.G. players.
The prosecution argues that Chris Z., Dancey and Conroy were cheating by camouflaging the identity of Barbara D. and Karen C. as simply observers when they were indeed assisting Chris Z. as a member of the gambling team. Counsel for the Crown argues that keying the cards and signaling the information secretly with a view to having Chris Z. increase his bets constitutes cheating.
The defense, on the other hand, contends that Chris Z., Barbara D. and Karen C. were not cheating, but in fact were skillfully observing the shuffling and discarding in order to obtain an advantage, and in order to implement the key-carding tactics successfully.
The question to be determined is whether the prosecution has established beyond a reasonable doubt that the accused were cheating within the meaning of the Criminal Code of Canada. Section 209 of the Criminal Code of Canada provides that, ‘Everyone who, with intent to defraud any person, cheats while playing a game. or in betting is guilty of an indictable offence and liable to imprisonment for a term not to exceed two years.’
Section 197 of the Criminal Code provides that game means ‘a game of chance or mixed chance and skill.’ It is common ground that blackjack is a game of mixed chance and skill.
In R. v. McGarey, 1974, 6 C.C.C. (2d), AT P. 525, the Supreme Court of Canada held that the gist of the offence of cheating was perpetrating some fraud or ill practice or making use of some unlawful device in the act of playing.
In Lyons v. The State of Nevada, 1989, 1065 N.R., p. 317, the Court of Appeals of the State of Nevada overturned a cheating conviction against an accused who had been handle-popping a slot machine. Handle-popping involves a process of handle manipulation that enables a player to exploit a mechanically vulnerable slot machine.
The Court of Appeals referred to Nevada Statute, N.R.S. 465.015, which was enacted to prevent persons from taking unlawful advantage of Nevada’s Gaming Industry by cheating. That statute declares that, ‘To cheat means to alter the selection of criteria which determine (a) the result of the game or (b) the amount of frequency of payment in a game.’ The Court of Appeal in Nevada stated at page 121 that the Nevada Statute addresses, ‘Knowing, purposeful, unlawful conduct designed to alter the criteria that determine the outcome of any lawful gambling activity.’
The Court pointed out that the statute clearly applied to a person who tried to enhance his chances of winning by any activity such as crimping cards, which made it possible to identify certain cards. By doing this, the player was able to supplant elements of chance with actual knowledge that substantially altered both the nature of the game and the criteria for winning. At page 321, the Court of Appeal of Nevada pointed out that examples of conduct that fall within the definition of cheating involved conduct such as,
‘Resorting to mirrors, confederates, electronic equipment, magnets, tools or other devices that alter the play of the game or alter a machine to increase the prospects of winning.’
On the other hand, the Court stated that, ‘Gaming patrons who are especially gifted and can increase the odds in their favour by card counting, or perhaps a patron who notices and takes advantage of a dealer’s habit of play that will occasionally provide an unintended view of the dealer’s cards, are not cheating. The casino management might take measures to deny them the right to play but no criminal offence of cheating would have occurred. In either case, the players are simply exploiting what their skills and the play of the game afford them.’
In the case before the court the accused, Chris Z., Barbara D. and Karen C., were doing nothing to alter the character or play of the game. They were trained members of a professional gambling team making an effort to exploit the weaknesses of a dealer. They were trying to obtain an advantage for which there was no guarantee. Indeed, there is evidence that in one two-hour-and-45-minute session the team lost $15,000.00.
The court agrees with the contention of the defense that the advantage that the accused could gain was not caused by any physical act or dishonest conduct that caused the cards to come out in any particular way.
The court accepts the testimony of Mr. Arnold Snyder, a world-famous blackjack consultant and writer on the subject, who testified that key-carding or ace-locating is a form of card counting. According to Mr. Snyder, the advantages to a player from key-carding or ace-locating are generally the same as those gained from card counting, except that the camouflage aspect will allow the player to remain in the game longer.
Mr. Snyder testified that key-carding is a difficult and risky business and is always done in the context of a team. It is a discipline that takes an immense amount of study and patience. In the opinion of this Court, the fact that Zalis, Dancey and Conroy operated as members of a team camouflaging their identity does not constitute cheating, within the meaning of 209 of the Criminal Code.
It must be noted that the team concept was first written about in 1962, and in fact teams have operated extensively since that time all over the world. Mr. Snyder placed in evidence excerpts from 25 books on blackjack, each available through public distribution and each of which dealt with various aspects of team play tactics. Mr. Snyder was not aware of a single prosecution in any jurisdiction anywhere in the world against card counters or team players.
Of course, that fact does not oblige this Court as a matter of law to conclude that cheating did not occur in this case. It confirms to the court that what counsel for the accused aptly described as a ‘cat and mouse game’ is expected to occur at a casino. While the players are covertly signaling in the course of a team play, and using their card counting and key-carding strategies, the casino is operating is own surveillance on a 24-hour-a-day basis.
It must also be observed that it is open to the casino to take countermeasures against the card counters and key-carders or team players. The use of an automatic shuffling machine would probably solve the problem card counting presents to the casino. But, of course, such a machine is not an attractive proposition to many players and the casino would lose such players.
Cutting the deck in a different place could reduce the player’s advantage. Taking more time to riffle the deck would cut the advantage. Reshuffling the deck at any time would of course destroy the advantage. But none of the foregoing approaches are attractive to the casino because of the time that would be lost in implementing them. And, of course, time means money to the casino.
Finally, the casino may exclude card counters if authorized by the Gaming Commission in the jurisdiction of the casino. The exclusion of card counters is the procedure used most often by casinos.
In conclusion, this Court has determined that the accused were not cheating contrary to Section 209 of the Criminal Code. They were indeed highly trained professionals using highly developed skills in an extremely risky venture. The court finds considerable astuteness and wisdom in the testimony of Mr. Arnold Snyder that the explosion of the casino industry and growth of casinos came about because of the publication of so many books on casino skills. Many people have read the books but few have had the patience or determination or bankroll to implement the skills.
Finally, the Court accepts as valid Mr. Snyder’s testimony that the Casino will make much more money from players attempting card counting or key-carding than it will ever lose from such tactics.
The charge against the accused, Chris Z., Karen C. and Barbara D., is dismissed.
According to Ivan Sack, in the October issue of Canadian Casino News, an industry trade journal, the province is not planning to appeal Judge Nosanchuk’s decision. ♠
Casino Tournament Strategy: Stanford Wong Spills the Beans on his Casino Tournament Team
by Arnold Snyder
(From Blackjack Forum Vol. VII #1, March 1987
© 1987 & 2012 Blackjack Forum
Serious blackjack players are about to enter a new era of play. The Age of the Professional Tournament Player has been ushered in with the publication of a new book by Stanford Wong—Tournament Blackjack. [Editor’s note: Wong’s book has since been revised and expanded, and is now titled Casino Tournament Strategy.]
Don’t underestimate the importance of this book. In my opinion, this text will become a classic in blackjack literature, standing tall alongside Beat the Dealer and The Theory of Blackjack. Stanford Wong addresses his subject matter with thoroughness, accuracy, practical experience, and uncanny perception for the important details. This is the first and only text to provide accurate tournament strategies.
In the June ’86 issue of Blackjack Forum (Vol. VI #2), I presented an article titled “Blackjack Tournaments: The Next Attack.” In this article, I pointed out that high stakes gambling pros had been reaping great rewards from tournament play while there was virtually nothing available in print on the subject.
One of those high stakes gambling pros that I was referring to was Stanford Wong. In December of 1985, Wong secretly formed a six-man (actually 5-man/1-woman) team of tournament players. He bankrolled most of their efforts with his own money and was the primary force behind the devising of their strategies. They played in blackjack tournaments, craps tournaments, Keno tournaments and handicapping tournaments.
Proving A Casino Tournament Team Could Be A Success
To call this casino tournament team a success would be an understatement. Within one year’s time, the six members of this team had taken no less than eight major tournament prizes totalling well over $200,000. Considering the relatively few hours of table play involved—compared to the typical Uston-style blackjack team where players often hit the tables 10 to 12 hours per day, every day of the week, sometimes for months on end—Wong’s tournament team must be viewed as one of the most successful legal team gambling ventures in history.
All of this prize money was not won at blackjack tournaments. Much of it was taken from the craps tournaments, Keno tournaments, and so on. However, when I reported in the September issue of Blackjack Forum (Vol. VI #3) that Anthony Curtis, BJF’s own “Las Vegas Advisor,” had taken the first prize of $76,000 at the Las Vegas Hilton’s Matchplay Blackjack Tournament on June 22, 1986, I didn’t mention that Curtis had, in fact, entered the tournament as part of Wong’s team, and that Wong had developed the playing and betting strategies that Curtis had used. Curtis told me about it later over the phone.
“I had a date that night with a cocktail waitress,” he said. “I told her I had to finish playing in this tournament first, so she said she’d just come to the Hilton to watch the final round, and we could go out from there. She got there just in time to see me win my table and finish in first place. They gave me the prize money in cash. Did you ever see $76,000 in cash, Arnold?”
“Sounds like a good start for a date, Curt,” I commented.
He laughed. “I was just glad she wasn’t watching a few minutes later when I was unloading it all into Wong’s hands.”
Also in the June issue of Blackjack Forum, I mentioned that in July, less than a month after the big Hilton win, Anthony Curtis took third place in the Sam’s Town Blackjack Tournament. First prize of $20,000 in that tournament went to former Las Vegas Advisor staff writer Blair Rodman. Blair too had learned to play blackjack tournaments from Stanford Wong.
In his book, Tournament Blackjack, Wong lists his five teammates as Anne Amster, Anthony Curtis, Blair Rodman, Ernie Amore and Doug D’elia. He acknowledges that they “deserve credit for helping develop, refine and test the ideas in this book.” You may recognize Doug D’elia’s name if you’ve been in Caesars Tahoe lately. They’ve got his picture up in lights because he stunned them by taking first prize in two of their tournaments— handicapping and Keno—just one month apart from each other.
Tournaments have taken casino games, which have always been players vs. the house, and turned them into games like poker, where it’s player vs. player.
I asked blackjack math whiz, Peter Griffin, author of The Theory of Blackjack, what he thought of Wong’s tournament venture. Griffin had played in a team effort with a few of Wong’s teammates at the big 1986 Festival Reno tournament, which Griffin wrote about in the December Blackjack Forum. (See the link to “Self-Styled Experts Take a Bath in Reno” at the upper left of this page.) That team was not sponsored by Wong, nor did Wong devise their strategy.
“I went to see Curtis and Blair play in a craps tournament,” Griffin told me. “It was fascinating to watch the way they squeezed out the other contestants, who had no idea of what they were up against. The other players were like lambs going to the slaughter.”
Wong on Casino Tournament Strategy
In the September issue of Blackjack Forum (Vol. VI #3), I published a “Letter from Las Vegas,” which read as follows:
What would you do in this tournament situation?
Last hand of the first round, count minus 2. I had just under $1000 with three other players all around $500. I was last to act. They all bet to catch me, I bet $5.
Dealer shows a seven. Player A doubles on 11, catches garbage. Player C is pat and will catch me if he wins. However, two people per table advance. I’m stiff.
The only way I cannot advance is for the dealer to break. If the dealer makes a pat hand, beating Players A, B, and myself, I will still advance to the next round with Player C, because I’ll still cash out second at our table.
But if the dealer breaks, then Players A, B, and C will all beat me. My turn to act, the count is +1. Hit or stand.
Since I want the dealer to make a hand, I reasoned that if she’s stiff, I want the big cards out, so she doesn’t break. Sinice the count’s plus, I hit, hopefully to take her bust card. I catch a five and make a pat hand. Dealer, sure enough, is stiff and catches a 10. She breaks. I’m out.
Let me tell you something about the author of this letter. He is one of the very few people who makes his living playing high-stakes blackjack. He’s a former teammate of Ken Uston’s. He’s won a number of blackjack tournaments himself. I’m revealing this so that you’ll realize the caliber of players who are entering tournaments.
I’m also revealing this so you’ll realize that the types of problems that present themselves in casino tournaments are unlike any problem faced by card counters in regular casino blackjack play. It takes an entirely new view of strategy to beat casino tournaments professionally.
Wong’s book is devoted precisely to this new type of strategy. A whole chapter of Casino Tournament Strategy is devoted to “Final Round, Two Winners Per Table.” And a lengthy section of this chapter deals precisely with the betting situation described by this player: “Last Round, Four or More in Contention.”
Wong first analyzes how to calculate your best bet in this situation when you must bet first, then he analyzes how to bet when you are not first to bet, as was the case in “Letter from Las Vegas.” Wong sums up this betting situation very simply in his book (p. 64): “My rule of thumb is to keep the second largest pile of unbet chips, and bet the balance of my bankroll. Thus, if the dealer gets a natural and wipes us out, I finish second, and if the dealer does not wipe all of us out, I’ve got a large enough bet going to have a good chance to be one of the top two if I win the hand.”
In other words, Wong calls for a large bet in this situation, not a small one. Letter from Las Vegas was protecting himself from personally losing any significant amount of money on this hand, but he’d left his bankroll wide open to attack by three other players in the case of a dealer bust, which is exactly what occurred. By betting large, as Wong’s strategy requires, he would have protected himself from both a dealer bust and a dealer blackjack, while still maintaining a fighting chance in the play of his hand.
If Letter from Las Vegas had bet large, he would have won the table when the dealer busted instead of losing it.
More On Casino Tournament Strategy from Wong’s Book
One thing you might note here is that card counting makes absolutely no difference whatsoever to the player’s optimum bet. In fact, Stanford Wong states in his introduction to Casino Tournament Strategy that “…counting cards is so unimportant in a blackjack tournament that often I don’t even bother with it, even at single deck.”
Do you think you know how to bet in a tournament situation? Wong presents 51 different “end play” examples, with his concise analysis of the best bet. See how close you can come on two of these possible situations:
Example 13: Last round of play; three players left at the table; only the top player will advance to the next round. You are currently in second place at your table with $500; your opponents have $540 and $490 respectively. You must bet first. What do you bet?
Example 27: Last round of play; three players left at the table; the top two will advance to the next round. You are leading your table with $600; your opponents have $510 and $500 respectively. You must bet first. What do you bet?
Take a moment to try to figure these out right now. In an actual tournament, such decisions must be made quickly, so study the situations described briefly, and jot down your bet. At the end of this article, I’ll provide you with the answers from Wong’s book.
Casino Tournament Strategy is not a book for beginners. Wong does not describe the rules of blackjack. He assumes that the tournament player already understands basic strategy. If you have never played in a tournament, you may find this book difficult.
Don’t expect to purchase this book a few weeks prior to some tournament and enter as an expert. There is a lot to learn, and not all of the strategies are easy and/or obvious. Wong devised many of these strategies by running computer simulations of the possibilities, then comparing the results. This is a text for advanced players and players who are willing to dedicate themselves to some hard studying to get in on this opportunity.
One thing I can tell you about tournaments from personal experience is how much fun they are. So much rides on so few cards. Your whole strategy, and your whole chance of winning, depends on just a few key betting and playing decisions.
Wong does his best to cover all types of blackjack and casino tournaments.
Did you take time yet to try and figure out your best bets in the examples given earlier? In Example 13, your best bet would be $250, according to Wong. In Example 27, Wong says your best bet is $85. Now, do you know why? ♠
The Cat and Mouse Game, Part II: Is the Game Over?
By Bill Zender
(From Blackjack Forum Volume XXIV #4, Fall 2005)
© 2005 Blackjack Forum
[Editor’s Note: In this article, Bill Zender, a former Gaming Control agent and successful co-owner/casino manager of the Aladdin Hotel and Casino, discusses the resistance of casino managers to objective lessons in casino math he provided at a recent seminar at the University of Nevada, Reno.
Any poker player knows that to get action, you have to give action–and that means, give your opponent a chance to win. But casinos seem to want to sit there like the tightest players in the world and give absolutely nobody any chance to win. Bill Zender provides an excellent casino-side analysis of the flaw in this kind of thinking. –Arnold Snyder]
Several years ago I wrote an article on blackjack, published in Blackjack Forum, that detailed the card counting “Cat and Mouse” game that went on at the old Aladdin Hotel and Casino in the mid 1990’s. The article outlined what our pit management at the Aladdin were doing to triage the potential risk to our bankroll; identify advantage players in blackjack that posed a real monetary problem, ignore knowledgeable players who did not wager enough to present an immediate risk, and loosen procedures, especially game protection procedures, that would be beneficial to the profit potential of the games.
During this time I concluded, in agreement with several other gaming experts and even a number of professional players, that an ongoing atmosphere of cat versus mouse was necessary to extend the health and wealth of the casino game of blackjack for all parties involved, including the casino operators, the professional players, and the gambling public. It has always been obvious that the success of blackjack from the 1960’s onwards was primarily due to the fact that casino blackjack can be beaten. Other casino games did not attract anywhere near the same numbers of new players, despite the fact that they provide the customer with the thrill of a gamble.
A healthy balance of customer playability and house profitability was quite successful for the Aladdin Hotel during the middle 90’s. This player-casino ecological equilibrium provided many players with a reasonable blackjack game of decent rules and consistently superior deck penetration, while at the same time providing our casino management at the Aladdin some of the highest drop/win hold percentages in the state. Obviously, players and casinos could pleasantly coexist under certain gaming conditions.
However, blackjack success and happiness seemed to end with the beginning of the new millennium, and have actually taken several steps backwards in the process. Today casino blackjack games are less player friendly while being less productive for the casino, with drop/win hold percentage drifting lower then they have ever been, dipping below 10% several times in the Las Vegas Strip properties over the last twelve months.
Why has this happened? Didn’t the Aladdin experiment provide enough information to establish the proper course for blackjack procedures throughout the gaming industry? Why in today’s highly competitive gaming market have casino management deserted procedures that have been productive in the past for those that consistently provide only lukewarm returns?
Today there is no longer a balanced cat and mouse game. The casinos have gravitated to the position of trying to kill off the mouse and destroy the profitable blackjack eco-system. This situation didn’t happen overnight. It has occurred for several reasons over the last several years due to casino management’s need to increase win percentage without taking into consideration a statistical feature of gambling known as fluctuation.
In an attempt to preempt natural mathematical variation into the negative regions, casino executives have turned their backs on time and motion issues that are the bread-and-butter of all service and manufacturing business, and have opted for more disruptive and pace-inhibiting game protection procedures.
Casino Management Goes Down the Wrong Path
Why would any member of management in any business field establish rules and procedures that retard productivity and cost their operations thousands of dollars over the period of a year, while not providing substantiated positive returns from discouraging professional card play?
One of the best examples of this phenomenon was recognized during a casino mathematics seminar I was conducting last spring for the University of Nevada, Reno’s Extended Education program. After providing examples of how decreasing deck penetration will actually lower blackjack revenue production as well as lower the game win/drop hold percentage, and how greater deck penetration would increase the casino’s overall profitability (even after taking into account the possible increase of losses to card counters), members of the seminar were reluctant to go along with this analysis. Their reason? It had nothing to do with the mathematical explanation or examples; it had to do with their own job security.
Several members of the seminar agreed that deeper penetration in blackjack would produce more revenue for their casino; however, they felt that this type of thinking, radical to the blackjack industry at this time, would place them personally in an unsecured position. If changes made to the existing procedures coincided with a negative swing in the games’ normal fluctuation, i.e., a lower drop/win hold percentage, the attendees believed that they would more than likely lose their jobs.
“A deep deck penetration would be more beneficial for the house, but what good does that do me and my family if by doing the right thing I have an increased chance of losing my well paying position?” they asked. Unfortunately, with the beginning of the second millennium the gaming industry is still recognized as an industry that believes in “management through termination” when actual numbers don’t fit with management’s expectations.
A number of game protection procedures have become more prevalent in recent years–becoming, in fact, more the rule then the exception–which have been highly problematic for blackjack time and motion issues. These protection procedures are costing the casinos more in blackjack revenue then they save from potential advantage players. I’ve taken the liberty of listing some of these procedures and how I feel these procedures are hurting the casinos while reducing the games’ attractiveness to customers and producing–let’s face it–very boring games.
Game Protection That Actually Costs Casinos Money
No Mid-shoe Entry: This procedure was established to prevent professional players from back counting and jumping into games. The casinos also support the use of this procedure by explaining that it makes the seated players on the table happy because other customers can’t “jump in” and disrupt the “run of the cards”. Unfortunately, although I’ve asked to see findings from customer polls, comment cards, or focus groups that support this assumption, I have yet to see anything of material substance.
Yet, the use of “No Mid-shoe Entry” has not only seemed to be on the increase in multiple deck shoe games, it has spread to the double deck blackjack games as well. In some instances I’ve seen casinos that have “No Mid-shoe Entry” only on their hand held games; why, I have no idea.
Personally, I find implementing a procedure that tells players “I do not want you to play on my games”, seriously wrong. Consider the extreme although still possible example of synchronized dealers shuffling at the same time on every six deck game in a small to medium size casino. If a player were to walk into the casino immediately after the shuffle and the first round of cards had been dealt, that player may have to wait up to fourteen minutes (plus through the next shuffle) to make a blackjack wager.
Based on a model designed to illustrate the effects of time and motion on blackjack, this procedure could cost the casino between two and three rounds on all opened tables per hour. For a medium size casino “No Mid-shoe Entry” could cost around $400k to $500k in blackjack win annually with nowhere near the parity gain due to increased game protection. I doubt “bus loads” of card counters back counting blackjack games would cost the casino anywhere near this much.
Decreasing Deck Penetration Points: Now here’s a big killer for casinos utilizing hand shuffling. The intention of casino management is to decrease the percentage of cards dealt so that the card counter will have less chance of winning money from the house. Several years ago I was contacted by an executive from the Flamingo Hilton in Las Vegas and asked if I thought anyone could beat their six deck blackjack games if they cut off three of six decks. I explained that the procedure change would all but eliminate attacks from possible card counters, but the amount of revenue he would lose from decreased productivity would dwarf any expected savings; i.e., the cure worked but the patient died.
In this case, the management’s concern wasn’t about what they wouldn’t win; they were concerned with having their boss believe they were doing everything possible to protect the bankroll. I guess you could say that management was doing what was best for their job security.
However, based on a model created to illustrate time and motion issues with blackjack, the increase or decrease of the shuffle point by one half a deck (26 cards), adds or subtracts between four to six rounds per hour from normal round production. This will result in substantial revenue gains if penetration is increased and substantial losses if penetration is decreased. In almost every model example utilizing a hand-shuffled blackjack game, estimated gains from tightening game protection by decreasing shuffle points fails to overcome revenue losses from decreased productivity.
Triple Pass Shuffles: Some casinos still utilize a triple-pass shuffle in an effort to prevent shuffle tracking. In most situations, casinos are probably successful in eliminating shuffle tracking, but at the cost of greatly increasing the amount of time wasted shuffling cards, and decreasing the time cards could be in front of the player.
The more time spent shuffling, the more potential revenue-producing rounds wasted for virtually no expected savings from discouraging card counting. This also becomes a problem when casinos utilize a “wash or scramble” before each shuffle. Casinos concerned about shuffle tracking should spend their dollars on batch shuffling machines or better training for their floor supervisors and surveillance operators.
Paying Six to Five on Blackjacks: At the gaming show last fall in Las Vegas I jumped all over Howard Grossman about using a 6 to 5 blackjack payoff with his game of Superfun Blackjack. I was wrong. Grossman explained that his original game did not include the reduced blackjack payoff, but that this was the brain child of Park Place Entertainment management of that time.
They wanted a better house advantage on their single deck games and wanted to incorporate the 6 to 5 blackjack payoff rule. While 6 to 5 increases the casino’s house advantage by approximately 1.3% and makes the single deck game more profitable theoretically, it becomes a double edged sword.
Six to five will produce more revenue for the casino over the short run, but it will create ill will when the players figure out that they are being shorted on their blackjack payoffs. It doesn’t take long for most players to realize that one casino might be shorting their blackjack rewards while another is giving the players their proper amount due. From what I understand, the customer backlash has already started.
And here’s one aspect that will surprise most people on both sides of the blackjack table…
Continuous Shuffling Machines: At first I was a big proponent of the continuousl shuffling machine. I actually fell in love with Shuffle Master’s Shuffle King machines when they first became available for use in the casinos. These machines eliminated the total amount of time wasted for shuffling cards, which greatly increased total hand production, which in turn created greater profit potential for casino blackjack.
Then I realized that continuous shuffling machines eliminated card counting, which all but eliminated the possibility that any knowledgeable player could beat the game. For a casino person like me this was a good thing–right? Maybe in the short run, but I no longer think that is the case over the long haul. Why? Because the game of blackjack cannot be promoted as a casino game that can be beaten by the player if the casino is using a continuous shuffling machine.
If we examine the reason blackjack became an extremely popular game we will realize that it achieved this status due primarily to the fact it could be beaten. Immediately after Dr. Thorp’s book, Beat the Dealer, became a top selection on the New York Times best sellers list in 1962, blackjack took off like a shot, and continued to climb in popularity throughout the 60’s, 70’s, 80’s, and 90’s. My new concern: If blackjack becomes an unbeatable game will it fall from grace?
The cat has largely closed the trap on the mouse, and the fine balance once achieved between casino revenues and skilled players is quickly vanishing. Soon the public will no longer be romanced by the idea that they can learn how to play blackjack so well that they can live the glamorous life of the professional player, even though only a faction of those people would ever be able to beat the game in the long run.
Maybe this is another reason, besides televised tournaments, that poker has become more popular; it is a game pitting player against player, but with profit potential if one learns the intricacies of the game and masters the ability to seek out and crush the weaker adversary. I believe casino management should learn the lesson being taught by poker.♠
The Case of the Missing $7K
From the Journals of Nick Alexander
(From Blackjack Forum Volume XVII #2, Summer 1997)
© Blackjack Forum 1997
Now as you may know… or maybe you don’t, professional gamblers travel around and often need large amounts of cash. Because we’re a closely knit fraternity professional gamblers loan each other this cash without a second thought. A quick aside. I went to England to play, and called a professional gambler I had never met and said, “Hi, I’m a friend of Kathy’s and I need 10,000 British Pounds (at that time about $15,000).” He called Kathy, who vouched for me, and the next day handed me the money, no questions asked.
So… a few years ago the Woodpecker and the New Zealand Blowfish (two professional gamblers) were in the States to play some blackjack. They happened to be up in Reno while my blackjack team was in Reno and we were having a great time together while not working.
Now, they were working the Canadian currency move, which works like this. (Professional gamblers never miss an edge.) They go to Canada and buy a Canadian dollar for 93 cents. Then they take it to Reno and bet it. If they win the bet the casino pays them one U.S. dollar.
Now seven cents on every dollar is no small potatoes when you bet them a thousand at a time. The casinos do this to try to bring the Canadian tourists down to Reno to gamble. After about 10 years the casinos figured out that they might be taking the worst of it on this proposition. Especially when guys like Woodpecker and Blowfish would turn $500,000 in a week. Now you may ask, “Why would it take 10 years for the casinos to catch on to this?”
I’m glad you asked.
Axiom: Casinos are one small step above brain-dead.
So the first night in town we all have a Chinese dinner and Woodpecker and Blowfish are saying that they may not be able to work this move anymore because the casinos are catching on. Just in case they can’t use the Canadian dollars, they need some U.S. dollars to play with while counting cards. At this point, one of my teammates, Bill, gave Woodpecker $7,000 under the table.
Jump to one year later. Woodpecker is in town again for the summer, and we decide to update our books which are slightly out of date (like 14 months). In doing so we find some money missing and someone vaguely remembers giving $7,000 to Woodpecker in a Chinese restaurant.
Woodpecker vaguely remembers giving it back during a backgammon game in the hotel room two days later. Then Bill remembers that after Woodpecker went back to Hong Kong, Blowfish was losing like a pig in Vegas and Bill gave him more money… maybe? Now what do you do?
Now, I know you’re saying, “Wait a minute. How can somebody misplace $7,000 in cash?” You have to realize that for a professional gambler, cash is our stock in trade. We win it, lose it, pass it around in large amounts every day. If we were mechanics all working in the same shop, you might not remember who you gave a certain wrench to.
How do professional gamblers handle these situations? We go to arbitration. We select some other professional gamblers who are impartial, they listen to both sides of the case, and come to a settlement they think is fair.
WOODPECKER’S CASE
Woodpecker remembers receiving money in the Chinese restaurant. This is one thing that everyone agrees on, although none of us really remembers what the amount of the transaction was.
Two days later he remembers playing backgammon in our hotel room with Blowfish, Bill, and Craig. He remembers throwing the $7,000 on the bed, but doesn’t remember anyone in particular picking it up.
The crux of his argument is this: Woodpecker is known as a meticulous record keeper. We all know the story of him as a young man, taking a girl out for coffee and pulling out a small pad and writing…coffee 50 cents.
He claims that the only way there would be no record of this transaction in his books is if he repaid the loan within a couple days. Otherwise, he updates his books every week, and in counting his money he would have noted the extra $7,000 and entered it in his books as a transfer from Bill.
My team, on the other hand, has a reputation for keeping the worst books. When we tried to update them with Woodpecker in August of ’87, we were originally off $80,000. Through 48 hours of painstaking work, we accounted for all that except $7,000 which we thought went to Woodpecker, and another $7,000 that we chalked up to currency fluctuations. (During the 14 months in question we were shuffling money around in four different currencies.)
Woodpecker also brought up the fact that Bill has no records at all because he burns them at the end of each bankroll. (So he’s a little paranoid.) Woodpecker claims that as poor as our records are, we could have misplaced the money anywhere.
BILL’S STORY
Bill remembers the money in the Chinese restaurant, doesn’t remember getting money in the hotel, although admits that they had all been rather stoned that night. He remembers having to meet Blowfish in the Desert Inn in Las Vegas. He thinks to give him money, but he’s unsure.
BLOWFISH
Remembers the restaurant, not the money in the hotel, and doesn’t remember meeting Bill in Las Vegas. Blowfish’s records are very well done and he has many transfers to and from people, but no transfer of $7,000 from Bill or anyone on our team.
At one point Blowfish stands up and says (in his best Perry Mason imitation), “Mr. Woodpecker, isn’t it true that when suffering a big loss you have been known to go back to your hotel room, and, shall we say, pleasure yourself?” Woody acknowledged this to be true. “And isn’t it true that on one occasion you found yourself insufficiently aroused and to remedy the situation you plunged your John Thomas into a bucket of ice?”
“Yes, but what does that have to do with anything?”
“Nothing, I just love telling that story.” So you can see that Blowfish was treating this proceeding with the respect he thought it deserved. After all, it wasn’t his money.
ME
I was in the restaurant and remember Woodpecker receiving money. I wasn’t in the hotel room or in Vegas.
CB
Ahh, the missing evidence. CB, who was keeping our books at the time (or not keeping them), has a scrap of paper with the amount of cash each of us had at the beginning of that bankroll. Bill’s figure has been scratched out and a new figure is in its place that is $7,000 less than the old one. Over on the other side of the page is a scribble that says… “loan to Woodpecker.” Down in the lower left corner is written “$7,000 Korea.”
Craig claims we may not write things down very often, but when we do… it must mean something! He claims this means that Bill gave $7,000 to Woodpecker, and Woodpecker would pay us back in Korea. No one else would figure that out from this scrap of paper, but he is the guy who wrote it.
At this point I must add that this is an honorable profession, and nobody would make up false records or lie just to get this money. Now our arbiters adjourned to make a decision.
I told CB at this point that I thought our case was pretty bad and maybe we should just withdraw our case. If they come back and say Woodpecker owes us $7,000, I’m going to feel bad and not want to take it. I don’t think he owes it. I think Bill felt pretty much the same way, but Craig felt that we had come all this way and spent the time, so we might as well hear the decision. He felt the strongest because they were his records.
The arbiters decided that it was pretty much up in the air whether or not Woodpecker had paid us back, but decided slightly in his favor.
They awarded us 45%, or $3,150, and admonished us all to keep better books. It’s been over a week since Woodpecker transferred the money to Bill. As far as I know, no one has written it in their records.
[It should be noted that this journal entry is over a dozen years old and the Canadian dollar is worth nowhere near 93 cents anymore. Some casinos will still give a small premium on Canadian dollars, but it is nowhere near as profitable as it once was.] ♠
Your Options When You Are Cheated in a Casino
by Sam Case
(From Blackjack Forum Vol. III #2, June 1983)
© 1983 Blackjack Forum
It’s time for more comments about dealer cheating in general. I’ve said before that I rarely suspect dealers of cheating. I used to play only low-stakes. Since that time, I’ve logged in quite a few hours with Crazy Bob’s team, at high stakes. I must say, some of the dealers I’d played nickels against would change their style (and not for the better!) when big money was out on the table. I suspected more cheating at higher stakes levels. I’d like to comment on the several courses of action a player who thinks he’s been cheated might consider. I admit to having experimented with all of these options:
Make a scene. I tried this. I would call over the pit boss and explain the problem. He would, of course, assure me that I was mistaken. In order to get some action taken, I knew I would have to say that I was capable as a card cheat, and that I knew when I was being taken. Then I’d get action all right, but not the kind I’d want. So, forget this option.
Leave and report it. Call the Nevada Gaming Commission. They’ll need all the specifics: date, time, place, dealer’s name, your name. No thanks!
Just leave. This option is very attractive, but boring. First, a little fun…
Cheat them back. I’ve given up on this and I don’t advise it. Getting corrected about how to hold your cards or tuck them under your chips is embarrassing. Besides, if they ever could prove something, you’d be in real trouble. You’d have to guard your moves from the cameras. Although counter catchers are almost as easy to spot as Griffin agents, they’re only half as stupid. People do get caught cheating. Don’t try this one.
Try to turn the game honest. For this you’ve got to be on guard at all times. Just bully the dealer and sometimes he will be forced to deal honestly. If you suspect a second deal, ask for “the top one for a change.” One dealer at Foy’s Tall Beaver Casino would do a peek by bringing his deck hand up to his nose to scratch it. A good comment to make is: “I don’t care if you scratch, rub, or pick your nose, as long as you do it with the other hand.” This is a good option, because it might scare the dealer into reconsidering how smart and slick he is.
Have fun, then walk. Hand the dealer a one dollar chip and say, “This is for you. We both know you need more practice, but do it at home. I wanted you to make at least one honest buck tonight.” Or say, “If your moves are that sloppy in bed, you’ll be getting a divorce soon.” Then walk. This option is good for the same reason as #5.
Whatever you do, tell other players about your experience with a cheating dealer. You may be able to save some of a fellow player’s bankroll.
One final comment: Just because you play low stakes doesn’t mean you won’t be cheated. Inform yourself, and always keep an eye open! ♠
Blackjack Cruise, Auto-Shoes, Lotta Blues…
From the Journals of Nick Alexander
(From Blackjack Forum Volume XIX #1, Spring 1999)
© Blackjack Forum 1999
I’m reading the paper in Hong Kong and see that there have been three more shootings as part of the gang war going on in Macau. Last week there were two people actually shot inside the casino, and bombs are going off there every other day. When I consider this coupled with the fact that the Macau casinos are the only places worse than the Cal-Neva in Reno, I decide to forgo a trip there. So where to get my gambling fix?
I remember a few years back there had been a post on a gambling message board about blackjack cruises out of Singapore, Malaysia, and maybe Hong Kong, so I decide to check it out. I ask around and sure enough there are blackjack cruises to nowhere that go out every day. Once they are in international waters, viola—casino open.
Now my friends think this is a crazy idea. “Who controls them? Who oversees them? What’s to prevent them from just stealing your money? They may be nothing more than pirates, villains, and thieves. Almost as bad as… say… Internet casinos! But being the fearless blackjack reporter that I am, I slog on. If you want to travel the world looking for a gold mine, sometimes you have to get the shaft.
I continue my research and find www.starcruises.com. These are not pirates at all. It’s the lovely people who brought you Genting Highlands in Malaysia and put up the money to build Foxwoods Casino in Connecticut. Of course, they are completely ungoverned so I wouldn’t go crazy yet. I find they have cruises from Taiwan, Singapore, and yes, Hong Kong. They go out five afternoons a week and return the next morning, at a cost of about $90 US for one person. (Although you can spend much more if you want a suite.)
Next step, the junket manager. Many Asian casinos have some kind of rebate program and sure enough, they did too. The deal is, you put up 1 million Hong Kong dollars ($130,000 US) and you receive 1.1% bonus all in non-negotiable chips. I ask about the limits and the junket rep tells me that the baccarat limit is 800,000 HK (a little over $100,000 US). Wow, what about blackjack? When I ask, she now gets very confused. She doesn’t know what the blackjack limit is and will have to call me back. This isn’t a good sign. It seems that none of the junket players play blackjack. I decide the best plan of action is to take the cruise, bet small, and find out whether the game is even worth playing.
As I walk down a long hallway that leads to the gangway, I am handed a flyer listing all the features and attractions of the cruise. Unfortunately, it’s entirely in Chinese. Normally in Hong Kong things are written in both English and Chinese so I take this as a sign that they are probably not catering to round eyes on this ship.
[A quick aside: during extensive traveling over many years in Asia I have never once been referred to as a “round eye” by an Asian person. This is entirely a fabrication of American movies. I was called “cow eyes” once by a young Korean woman, gweilo (devil person) by the Chinese, and gaijin (ghost person) in Japan, but never round eye. Mostly we are referred to as “white people.”]
So I peruse this flyer and being the world traveler that I am I have picked up a Chinese character or two. Okay, I’ve learned exactly two Chinese characters; person and water. Hmmm. Well, I’m boarding a big ship so it doesn’t take a genius to know that “person” and “water” will be involved.
As I board the ship there is a Filipino band, dressed for carnival in Brazil, playing Spanish music and singing in Chinese. Ah, the world gets smaller all the time. Every crew member on the boat has mastered three words of English, “Good evening, sir,” and you are bombarded with this greeting everywhere you go. I’m then escorted to my cabin, which I find out in a brochure is 6.8 meters. Can you say closet? 6.8 square meters is about 73 square feet. Packed into this 7’ x 10’ space is a bed, desk, and bathroom with toilet and shower. The bed is fine if you are short and skinny. (Unfortunately, I am only one of the above.) But hey, I’m not here to sleep. Give me some action. But that will have to wait until we get to international water.
I head to deck 7 to find the reception desk. I am told they will have a copy of the boat’s activities in English and sure enough they do. Up first: Compulsory Passenger Safety Drill. I head to my muster station and watch beautiful Chinese girls show me how to put on my life preserver. Now, I am the only person at my muster station so I think the translation of “compulsory” must have been a loose one.
I also grew up during the cold war when we had compulsory “bomb drills” in grammar school. The class would file out in the hall and sit on the floor, and then tuck your head between your knees. This was in case someone was dropping a nuclear bomb on us!?! Even in second grade I knew that we were really tucking our head down there to kiss our asses goodbye. Now my muster boss leads me outside to show me all the life rafts, rescue boats, and canisters packed with food and flares. Listen, I saw Titanic. If I’m floating around the South China Sea, I won’t be saying, “Pass the powdered eggs and the flare gun.” My muster boss assured me that there were no icebergs in this part of the world, and recommended I go to dinner.
The ship has three buffets: Chinese on deck 8, Thai on deck 11, and Western food on deck 7. I decide to try the Western. On the buffet I find: chicken feet, ox tail, steamed rice, Chinese broccoli in Oyster Sauce, Szechwan scallops and a few other dishes. Over to the side I find “Lamb Nirvana.” Aha! Well, India is west of China, right? I mean, after you go a few thousand miles south. The buffet was better than Circus Circus but not as good as the Mirage. Call it one step below MGM. 1 ½ stars, Joe Bobb says, “Next time try the Thai.”
An hour and a half out to sea the casinos open. Yes, casinos. There are four. First stop, Casino Royal, the VIP high roller room. There is a guard at the font door with one of those wand metal detectors like they have in the airports.
“This is a private room. Members only.”
“Well, how do I become a member?”
“Invitation.”
“Hmmm. Well see, I’m writing an article about the ship for a magazine. So maybe I could just go look around.”
“What magazine?”
“Uh, you don’t want to know.”
“Okay.”
Well, that was easy. The Casino Royal has one roulette wheel, one long table of Tai Sai, which is a dice game similar to Sic Bo, and about 20 baccarat tables. As advertised the posted limit on some tables is $800,000 HK. There was not one blackjack table in the place. Next stop, the Dragon Room on deck 3. The Dragon room has four Pai Gow tables and some slot machines. Also on deck 3 is the Star Club. This is the main casino and has two mini baccarat, two “no commission baccarat”, two roulette wheels, two casino war games, and six blackjack tables.
The blackjack game on the cruise is this: S17, DAS, ES v. 10 (no surrender v. ace), Euro no hole (meaning they take all doubles or splits when dealer blackjacks), three decks dealt from a continuous shuffler. My quick and dirty calculations make the game approximately –0.2%.
The limits on the games were 100-2000, 200-4000, and 300-6000, which equals approximately $13-$260, $26-$520, and $39-$780 in US dollars. Since they have an $800,000 HK limit at baccarat, I’m sure they would raise the limit if asked, but I really wasn’t interested.
The last casino is the Phoenix Room on deck 11. It is basically the same as the Star Club but this one is non-smoking. So I stumble back to my cabin (did I mention choppy seas?) and am gently rocked to sleep in my 5 by 1 ½ foot bed. We arrive safe and sound back in Hong Kong at 8 am. No richer, no wiser, but at least no iceberg.
Star Cruises (as a cruise): 2 stars
As a casino: 1 star
Still better than Macau. ♠
Counting Cards in Comp City
By Max Rubin
(From Blackjack Forum Vol. XIV #2, June 1994)
© Blackjack Forum 1994
[The first part of this article on Las Vegas casino comps is excerpted directly from the first edition of Max Rubin’s Comp City: A Guide to Free Casino Vacations, Second Edition. The second part of this article, subtitled Comp City Outtakes, is a Blackjack Forum exclusive.]
Comp Counters Who Count Cards
Do you know how to count cards and win? If the answer is yes, then you, my friend, have the absolute nuts from this day forward. Think about it. If the casino pit bosses ignore you all night long, you can combine comp counting with card counting and win the equivalent of two bets an hour (one in money, one in stuff).
If there’s heat, cut your bet spread down to a level that’s breakeven, and you’ll still earn great comps. If you want deep cover, how’s this? You can pound booze and never look at anyone else’s cards all night long and still be an overall favorite because of the comps.
Meanwhile, no one on that shift will ever suspect you’re a counter, and you’ll be welcome forever. This book was written to show basic-strategy-level blackjack players how to crush casinos by earning comps valued at ten times their gambling losses. Every tactic portrayed in Comp City can also be used by an accomplished card counter, and you won’t even have to fade the losses.
Although I’ve played my share of winning blackjack, I don’t pretend to be a world-class blackjack player on a level with the legendary counters who earn hundreds of thousands a year. But based on my extensive experience on both sides of the table, I believe I have some insight worth discussing here. Some of these tips you’ll be familiar with and some may be new to you. A few of them threw me off when I was working the floor. If they’re not already in your repertoire, incorporating them might gain you years of card-counting longevity.
Laying Cover to Score Comps
You know all about cover, while most bosses don’t even know what it means. But that’s not to imply that you should underestimate the enemy. A few bosses in every casino have read the books and a handful of them can actually play a winning game. Although their numbers are few, you should assume that at least one sharp boss lurks in every joint.
This is paramount. Don’t take your money back when the dealer shuffles. You’re giving up a little, but pulling the money back confirms all of the boss’s worst suspicions, especially if the shuffle was prompted by your big bet.
Watching the Pit Boss
If a boss catches you looking at him, smile and call him over. Ask him for something-a comp, directions, a recommendation for a show, anything, but don’t ever let him see you divert your eyes away from his. It’s a dead giveaway that you’re up to something.
Tipping the Dealer
Tip the dealers. You should budget at least 5% of your expected win for the dealers. If you’re a big player with a high hourly return, it’s almost imperative that you give the dealers at least 10% of your expectation. So what if your profit is reduced by a little blood money? I’ve had hundreds of conversations in pits about counters and 90% of the bosses believe that counters don’t tip. Tipping will buy you years of playing time.
By the same token, if you’re betting more than $100 a hand, tip the cocktail waitress $5, no matter what. The bosses will think you’re a sport and they know that counters are anything but.
Cover Bets
If a boss is watching, you want to look like a sucker. When you win a hand and he’s watching, bet it up no matter what. If you lose, you can go up or down. (If the count’s good, bet it up. If it’s bad, bet it down.)
A boss only has to see you do this two or three times in a session to be convinced that you’re a negative-progression or money-management player, not a counter. It will reduce your expected win by a few bucks. But I see it as a valid expense of doing business. Unless you’re the type who plays till you’re barred, it’s the only way to go.
There are people in this country who play solo, live in penthouse casino suites, and make half a million dollars a year because they’re not afraid to tip and lay cover. Some of these guys lay $500 in cover during a $1,000 session. Guess what the net result is here? $500 an hour, after hour, after hour, after hour.
Sucker Plays That Work
If you want to get a boss thinking you’re a stone sucker, slam that first shot of whiskey and bet a quarter for yourself and a quarter for the dealer on the first hand.
Take insurance when you have a natural. You might even insure your twenties when the boss is watching. Do it with conviction and without hesitation (you know you have to protect those good hands). It’ll come up infrequently so it won’t cost too much overall, but it leaves a lasting impression with the bosses. A move with similar value is not hitting a soft 18 against a nine, ten, or ace. The word is out on this play; hitting the 18 identifies you as a player in the know.
There are other plays. It’s fun to use Stanford Wong’s Blackjack Count Analyzer software program to discover those that cost you only a few dollars in expectation for hundreds of dollars worth of cover. If you’re a comp counter first, and only use card counting to defray your over-the-table losses, these moves are inexpensive indeed.
Appearance
I never trusted a guy who looked like he woke up just to play blackjack. Don’t come in on graveyard shift between 4:00 and 7:00 am rubbing the sleep out of your eyes. No true degenerate gambler (which is what you want them to think you are) ever had to set an alarm clock to tell him when it was time to play.
Most graveyard bosses are on the lookout for the ghouls nesting upstairs who descend on the tables before sunrise. If you’re playing the graveyard shift, stay up all night or make your plays later in the morning when you can wake up naturally.
Don’t drink mineral water. Don’t ask me why, but an inordinate number of counters drink mineral water. Get juice, coffee, tea, Dr. Pepper, but stay away from the bottled waters. As far as the bosses are concerned, anyone sitting in a casino drinking anything that smacks of health is not to be trusted.
Card Counter Conduct
Introduce yourself to the boss and give him your VIP card. Talk to him. A lot. If you want to enlist a co-conspirator for the weekend, buy your favorite floorman a $25 three-teamer for Sunday’s games (Monday if you’re staying that long). The boss will be your buddy for the next couple of days. If you win big, yuck it up. Until you’ve established a pattern of winning (five or more sessions), if your cover is good enough, there’s no way they’ll throw you out of the casino for counting. When they like you, some bosses will even warn you if the heat is on upstairs.
Hiding Chips (Ratholing)
As a pro, you know you’re doing well if you win an average of one big bet an hour. All you have to do is hide one big bet an hour and you’ll be doing great in terms of preserving your welcome. Unless you’re playing head up, where the boss can determine exactly how many chips are missing from the rack, you can swing with up to two bets an hour and you’ll look like a loser forever. Most places are reluctant to bar “losers,” unless they’re blatant scufflers.
Buying In
If you’re a cash player, don’t ever buy in with a lot of currency. Don’t buy in for $500 and make $15 bets, for example; gamblers don’t do it that way. If your eventual big bets will be $100, buy in for $100 and start by playing quarters. Win or lose, you’ll be able to move your bets into your normal spread within a few minutes. If you’re losing, it looks natural for you to come out of your pocket, especially when you want to bet big. If you’re winning, it looks like you’re making a parlay play, also very natural. If you bet $5 for the dealer and $25 for yourself early on, you’ll look real easy!
When you come out of pocket, let the money play. I haven’t seen five counters in my life who let money play (unless they were trying to get around Regulation 6-A).
Drinking at the Blackjack Table
Buy an O’Douls or a Sharps at the bar. Pour it in a glass. Take it to the table with you. When the waitress comes by, ask for a shot of whiskey, making sure the boss hears you. Slug it down when the boss is watching. Then chug the O’Douls.
The next time the waitress comes by, order a real beer and sip it slowly. Time for a break. Take the beer and get rid of it. Buy another fake beer, pour it into a glass, mosey back to the table, and chug it while you’re talking to the boss. Order another real beer. Then you sip again.
When it’s a quarter gone (half an hour or so), order another cold one. By now you’ll have to go to the bathroom again and, yep, go get some more fake stuff. In a two-hour session you’ll consume the equivalent of a drink and a half and look like you’re getting smashed. It works.
Wonging
Start your play with the best of it. Wong into a rich shoe and make those important big bets when you have a big edge. If you’re good, you can back count the game next to you (make sure you’re in a position to watch the other layout) and pop into that one when it gets juicy. Just let the boss know you’re moving.
Getting Rid of Pit Bosses
If a boss is hawking your game, get in his face. Be nice, but bombard him with requests. Ask him for reservations for the show. He’ll have to do it, even if he doesn’t want to. If he comes back to your game, ask him for reservations for dinner. If he comes back again, ask him for a comp for the coffee shop. Keep this up long enough and he’ll stay as far away from your game as he can get. The problem is, he’ll also get mad, which will probably have an adverse effect on your rating. If you are playing primarily for the comps, you’ll have to tolerate a boss’s scrutiny.
Comp City Outtakes:
Beat the Heat
How can you tell when there’s heat? It’s pretty simple. If a floorman who’s been gunning your game gets on the phone, and another boss comes over to watch your play (and they both talk while trying not to move their lips), it’s getting warm. If either of them picks up the phone after that, you got heat!
Sometimes the second boss will go over to the computer terminal and pull up your “profile.” The first thing he looks for is a history: how long you’ve played (lifetime!), how much they should have won, how much they have won, and the difference between the two.
It you’re somewhere within the normal range, they’ll surmise that you may not be that dangerous a blackjack player.
| Theoretical Casino Win | $10,000 |
| Actual Casino Win | $ 8,000 |
| Difference | $ 2,000 |
If they see that you’re only losing about 10% of what is expected, their radar switches on and they’ll surely tell the eye to watch what you’re doing.
| Theoretical Casino Win | $10,000 |
| Actual Casino Win | $ 1,000 |
| Difference | $ 9,000 |
What you don’t want them to see, although it’s sometimes impossible not to if you book an extraordinary winner, is any kind of winner at all, especially if you have 100+ hours of play.
| Theoretical Casino Win | $10,000 |
| Actual Casino Win | ($ 1,000) |
| Difference | ($11,000) |
They know they should have won $10K, but they’ve lost $1K. What does that mean to them? Something’s wrong, no doubt. What does that mean to you? If you want to play over a long period of time in one particular house for comps, monetary profit, or both you’d better learn to hide two units per hour.
But the issue here is heat detection and what to do about it. Most card counters really sweat the boss’s scrutiny, but they don’t need to. If a floorman is standing over your game and watching every hand, he probably suspects that you’re counting, but it’s highly unlikely that you’re already being watched from upstairs. You still have time to implement some damage control.
If you keep moving your money, and he goes to the phone, it’s time to go on red alert. (Floormen can’t order a surveillance check. The order must come from a pit boss or higher.) Here’s what happens in most places:
Floorman agitated, calls bigger boss ==>
Big boss watches you and/or pulls up your computer file ==>
Big boss notifies surveillance ==>
Floorman “gives you air.” (Acts disinterested so the “eye” has time to evaluate your play.) ==>
Eye tries to match your face to mugs in Griffin Book. If no match, they do a “skills check” (30-60 minutes). Reports to management. ==>
If you are labeled as “counting,” you will be barred and possibly photographed. If you are labeled as “not counting,” your name is logged as such, and you have a free pass (until you win a lot of money).
So what do you do when you know you’re under the microscope? At this point you have three options: leave, keep counting, or lay some cover.
Leave
If you beat a hasty retreat, every time a pit clerk calls up your computer file (marker, rating input, comp request, etc.), SKILLS CHECK! flashes on the screen. That means you’ll be branded as a potential counter for at least the duration of this trip and maybe for a whole lot longer. Your counting life expectancy in that joint has just been reduced.
Keep Counting (And Moving the Money)
Sure, it takes anywhere from 30 minutes to an hour for a good surveillance expert to tag you properly. You should be able to win at least a piece of a big bet before they take your picture, post it in the security office, give it to Griffin, pass it around to other casinos, bar you for life and terminate your comps. Nice move.
Play Like a Chump
If not for the rest of the trip, at least for the next couple of hours. You’ll still get your comps and you’ll still be a slight favorite, but you can’t move your money with the count, unless it’s real, real natural. What you must do is keep moving your money randomly, with no consideration of the count. If all of a sudden you turn into a flat bettor, you’re going to embarrass the boss who alerted surveillance, and he’s going to follow you like a dog in heat forever.
I know this play’s going to crumble your corks, but the heatiest play you can ever make is not insuring a natural. It’ll cost you about eight bucks every time you do it (assuming a $100 bet), but if you have a snapper and don’t insure, the other players will get bug-eyed, the dealer will stop the game and ask you why you didn’t, and the boss will head straight to the phone and put Big Brother on your butt, especially if the dealer doesn’t have the ten. You’ll only get a natural against a dealer’s ace once every four or five hours, so give up the two bucks an hour and you’ll live to play another day (or swing).
If you choose to play like a chump, you can decide for yourself how to alter your play depending on how much you’re willing to give up in expectation. Here are some examples. None of these plays will cost you more than $4. (The following were derived using Stanford Wong’s Blackjack Count Analyzer, assuming a $100 bet on a six-deck shoe.)
| Player | Dealer Up-Card | Cover Play | Cost |
| 14 | 4 | hit | $0.40 |
| 14 | 6 | hit | $1.80 |
| 12 | 3 | stand | $1.80 |
| 11 | A | double | $3.10 |
| A7 | 10 | stand | $3.50 |
| 10 | 10 | double | $3.60 |
| 12 | 2 | stand | $3.90 |
| 13 | 3 | hit | $4.00 |
Card Counting Index Plays
The real savvy guys upstairs know the index plays. If you suspect you’re being watched, don’t use them. Either stick to basic with a few cover moves or vary from them on things that look natural, like standing on 16 vs. 10, etc. Do not hit stiffs against stiffs when you should. It’s a dead giveaway.
Spotters
If you get spooked by someone on your game who appears to have a keen interest in what you’re doing, remember this: spotters do not sit on blackjack games. Period. They stand behind or beside the game. They try to remain invisible, but they can’t. If you want to spot one (or freak him out) stand up when you play. If you suspect he’s trying to see your cards, move your body so he has to move his. Very few disinterested game watchers will contort themselves to watch your cards. If he’s squirming like the snake that he is, he’s a spotter. Gaming agents and coppers are a different matter (they will play on a game), but if you’re just counting, you don’t have to worry about them.
Counter Catchers
Most clubs have a designated “counter catcher” (who’s called to confirm the suspicions of spotters, other bosses, etc.). They usually work in the pits or upstairs.
The technology they use to catch counters is getting more sophisticated every day. Suffice it to say (and it’s always been this way): It’s much more important to have a world-class cover than a world-class card counting system.
The only way they’ll catch you is if they suspect something in the first place. Don’t let them think that you’re smart. Don’t be a stiff. Don’t be a nerd. And don’t move your bets up and down precisely according to published guidelines (counter catchers read the same books). If you play with a casual and relaxed style, bosses aren’t compelled to surveille you.
Comp Notes for Team Players
If you’re calling plays for a Big Player, always get rated, but not necessarily with the same name every time. You’ll be amazed how much money you’ll save the team’s bankroll if you keep expenses down by getting free rooms and food.
If you’re calling plays and the BP scores a big gourmet room comp, you can’t go. How would you like for your (un)favorite shift boss to saunter in to say hello to the BP and see you, a measly $25 bettor, swilling $100 wine with him? You wouldn’t. If you want to feast together, do it with room service. The same goes for other members of your teams. If you want to party together, do it when you make bank. And do it in a joint other than where you went over the top.
For the same reasons, don’t ever use a BP’s gourmet comp for yourself in a Las Vegas casino. The shift bosses often cruise the big rooms at least once a night. They look at the maitre ‘ds comp log and then exchange pleasantries with the RFB customers. You might wind up exchanging blows if you’re the wrong guy in the wrong chair. ♠
