Thanksgiving dinner with someone Covid positive? Here are your chances:

This is a pretty neat website - you select the number of participants and the county.

 

For example, if you have a gathering of 15 people in Las Vegas you have an estimated 25% chance of sharing a meal with someone Covid positive. If you were in New York City it would be 11%. In some counties in South Dakota, you're pretty much guaranteed to be with a disease vector according to the estimates.

 

Of course a lot of people believe that their relatives and friends could never be infectious. That will lead to some Christmas funerals.

 

COVID-19 Event Risk Assessment Planning Tool

 

 

I intend to have a big gathering of all my relatives from near and far, serve a traditional Thanksgiving feast, and spend the day in animated conversation with my family.

 

In 2021.

I don't need the map.  My brother and SIL have the (huge extended) family gathering at their house every Thanksgiving and Christmas.  We (husband and I) will not join them this year, if they even do it.  I might drop a couple of home made pecan pies on the front porch to represent me, ring the doorbell and run (though I'd call first, LOL).  Actually I'm glad for the excuse not to cook so much (as does everyone else, so much food there it is ridiculous).

 

I also pray 2021 has this virus thing licked.

 

Candy

 

Originally posted by: MisterPicture

This is a pretty neat website - you select the number of participants and the county.

 

For example, if you have a gathering of 15 people in Las Vegas you have an estimated 25% chance of sharing a meal with someone Covid positive. If you were in New York City it would be 11%. In some counties in South Dakota, you're pretty much guaranteed to be with a disease vector according to the estimates.

 

Of course a lot of people believe that their relatives and friends could never be infectious. That will lead to some Christmas funerals.

 

COVID-19 Event Risk Assessment Planning Tool

 

 


This is parenthetical to your topic, but looking at the map, I'm struck by how conservative states tend to have more (and smaller) counties than liberal states. I would imagine, based on this effect, that a given county in a conservative state tends to have fewer people/a smaller proportion of the overall population.

 

I was reading about how Georgia, for example, has a shitload of little bitty counties and how this was deliberate, as part of the strenuous centuries-long efforts to disenfranchise Blacks. The idea was to dilute the power of the Black vote and allow for White domination at the local level. It also creates a larger cadre of (presumably White) local officials---it looks like Georgia has more county sheriffs than New York, for example. Also, by extension, aldermen, dog catchers, commissioners, etc. etc.


KevinLewis writes:

"I was reading about how Georgia, for example, has a shitload of little bitty counties and how this was deliberate, as part of the strenuous centuries-long efforts to disenfranchise Blacks."

 

Source, please.

If DonDiego needs proof of the historical and present ongoing efforts to keep Blacks from voting, I doubt that anything I could tell him now would cause the scales to fall from his eyes.

 

Edit: DonDiego may wish to check out the County Unit System in Georgia, formed during the Jim Crow era. Its effect was to disproprotionately favor rural counties, since each county had one vote in the legislature and to elect the governor (sound familiar?). The Supreme Court ruled in unconstitutional in the 1960s, but the ridiculous numbers of small counties remain. Georgia has 159 counties, more than any other state except Texas.

 

As Blacks began to congregate in Georgia's cities, this system became more and more attractive to segregationists, who quickly realized that while they might not be able to keep Blacks from voting altogether, they could make their votes count for much less. Today, there have been calls for Georgia to consolidate its counties (down to maybe half as many), due to the large expense of having 159 sets of county officials. Probably won't happen, though.

Edited on Nov 16, 2020 8:35am

Poor old DonDiego didn't ask for proof of efforts to disenfranchise potential voters.

 

DonDiego did request Kevin Lewis's source for his claim that the little bitty counties of Georgia were intentionally designed to disenfranchise Blacks.

Originally posted by: Don

Poor old DonDiego didn't ask for proof of efforts to disenfranchise potential voters.

 

DonDiego did request Kevin Lewis's source for his claim that the little bitty counties of Georgia were intentionally designed to disenfranchise Blacks.


i provided a starting point for DonDiego to do his research. He is unlikely to find direct testimony from the late 19th century specifically stating, "We done this so them filthy darkies cain't vote." He will have to draw his own conclusions.

 

Now, I apologize for hijacking Mister Picture's thread.

So, given that there is no evidence of Kevin Lewis's statement regarding smaller counties and disenfranchisement, a reasonable person might well conclude that Kevin Lewis made up his claim that small counties were designed to disenfranchise Blacks.  

Edited on Nov 17, 2020 7:12am
Originally posted by: Don

So, given that there is no evidence of Kevin Lewis's statement regarding smaller counties and disenfranchisement, a reasonable person might well conclude that Kevin Lewis made up his claim that small counties were designed to disenfranchise Blacks.  


DonDiego is too lazy to do his research.

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