Tulsaaaaa...if I can make it there, I can make it anywhere

Projected casualty counts, assuming tomorrow's hate rally achieves full capacity (didn't Trump say he'd sold a million tickets?):

1. A 50% infection rate, based on the assumption that 5% of the attendees will be carrying the virus and asymptomatic (based on several studies and projections re mass gatherings), also assuming that virtually no one will be wearing masks or practicing social distancing

2. Each infected person, presumably unaware while the virus incubates, infects three other people when they get home

3. Each of those infected people (the attendees + those they first infect) infects three more

This is how the CDC suggests that "superspreader" crowds operate with respect to the virus. The above scenario covers roughly the first two weeks after the mass exposure. So:

10,000 + (3 x 10,000) + (3 x 40,000)

160,000 new cases, dispersed throughout the Midwest, in the two weeks after the MAGA morons meet and mutually masturbate (known in the medical community as a "5M event"). These will all be cases that wouldn't have developed if the rally hadn't been held.

BTW, if everyone wore a mask, the infection rate would be 25% (or even lower), and if they continued to wear masks after they returned home, the multipliers would be 1, not 3, so 5,000 + (5,000) + (10,000). 20,000 new cases. Still terrible, but better nonetheless.

Assuming that the 5% death rate holds, we now have three scenarios:

1. Trump hate rally with minimal or no precautions: 8,000 additional deaths

2. Trump hate rally with masks mandatory: 1,000 additional deaths

3. Trump rally canceled: 0 additional deaths

Well, that guy who's been camped in the parking lot at the rally site since Thursday (blue and red dome tent) might commit seppuku in Scenario 3. So, 1 additional death.

In 2 or 3 weeks we will see the results.

Actually, without contact tracing, we'll only have guesstimates. Somebody gets sick, hopefully they'll be asked and will confirm that they were at the rally--but will they remember everyone they've come in contact with since then?

I hope that at LEAST they'll be taking temperatures and not letting anyone in who has a fever. But I have the sickening feeling that they won't do even that, because people would be screaming about their rights being violated if they bought a ticket and were denied entry. Plus, how long does it take to temperature-check nineteen thousand people?

The rally isn't something that HAS to happen by any stretch of the imagination. It won't even benefit Trump--he'll be spending the day preaching to his choir. I'd love to see the mayor of Tulsa just put up his hand and say, "No mass gatherings in my city."

It is going to be the 1918 Philadelphia parade all over.

What it will be remains to be seen - and I am sure that this forum will be updated as events occur. Stay tuned as speculations continue to be fabricated...

What will make this worse, is the fact that a U.S. president* will be responsible for this mass infection.

Well, it's cool if thousands of people die as long as Trump gets his jollies, right?

I mean, think of it. This scumbag is so starved for adulation that he's putting on an event that will kill thousands of his supporters. He might as well have them jump into an active volcano.

And if this event is "successful," he's going to repeat it, all over the country. Mass infections everywhere. Yay Trumpie-poo!

It is ALWAYS the President's fault in the eyes of a liberal.  -- NEWSFLASH : The people who attend, for whatever reasons, are doing so by their own choice. Liberals are all about "FREE CHOICE" to do what ever they choose to do. You would think they would understand. Apparently that is not so - for if they want to do something, to them it is OK, but if someone else chooses to do something else, then the liberals get their panties in a wad and will moan and groin and even protest. We see this behavior every day, spoiled children who havn't a clue how to be an adult. 

Where are all the threads started by liberals about the virus dangers by the riots/protests?

You can always count on liberal hypocrisy. 

Living just 20 miles north of Tulsa, We're getting a ton of news coverage on the Rally, the protests, the virus, Juneteenth and the 1921 race riot.  My observations,  Most protesters are wearing masks.  Most Trumpers in line for the Rally are not wearing masks.  Most Trumpers say they will not wear a mask inside Rally, saying it's a personal choice.

People started standing in line last Saturday, a week ago.  

All casinos ae open now.  Masks are mandatory only at the Cherokee properties which include the Hardrock.  The rest of the casinos, masks are optional, and are supplied by casinos.  Osage casinos you are not allowed to touch the cards, on Face-Up Pai Gow.  The dealer sets your hand.  I would say around half are wearing masks where it's optional, older people are donning masks more than younger folk.  

I have cautioned my adult children to stay away from Downtown Tulsa until Trump leaves town.