2012 NFL Season Wins

Cantor Race & Sports is, indeed, the first Las Vegas Book to release their 2012 Win Total line:



Overall more differences than DonDiego expected, . . . but all but two by only ½-point.
Mostly they've lowered some teams expected to win 7-or-more, and they've raised a few that had been expected to win 7-or-less compared to the initial online-book's line.
Detroit is the only top-half team to be raised, from 9 to 9½.
Only Carolina from 8½ to 7½, and New Orleans from 11 to 10 changed by a full point.

EDITED TO ADD
DonDiego'd consider:
__The Beloved Philadelphia Eagles OVER 10 [He expects this won't be available when he visits Las Vegas in September.]
__San Diego Chargers OVER 9
__Arizona Cardinals UNDER 7
__Buffalo Bills UNDER 7

The Las Vegas Hotel sportsbook has posted their Season Wins opening line:

2012 NFL SEASON WIN TOTALS
Team____________LVH Opening Win Total
Arizona Cardinals___6.5 OVER +110 UNDER -130
Atlanta Falcons_____9.0 OVER -130 UNDER +110
Baltimore Ravens___10.0 OVER +110 UNDER -130
Buffalo Bills________7.5 OVER +110 UNDER -130
Carolina Panthers___7.5 OVER -120 UNDER EVEN
Chicago Bear_______9.0 OVER -110 UNDER -110
Cincinnati Bengals___8.0 OVER -110 UNDER -110
Cleveland Browns___4.5 OVER -120 UNDER EVEN
Dallas Cowboys_____8.5 OVER -140 UNDER +120
Denver Broncos ____ 8.5 OVER -150 UNDER +130
Detroit Lions_______9.0 OVER -120 UNDER EVEN
Green Bay Packers__12.0 OVER -120 UNDER EVEN
Houston Texans____9.5 OVER -145 UNDER +125
Indianapolis Colts___5.0 OVER -130 UNDER +110
Jacksonville Jaguars__5.0 OVER +120 UNDER -140
Kansas City Chiefs___8.0 OVER +110 UNDER -130
Miami Dolphins_____7.5 OVER EVEN UNDER -120
Minnesota Vikings___6.0 OVER EVEN UNDER -120
New England Pats__12.5 OVER EVEN UNDER -120
New Orleans Saints__9.5 OVER -110 UNDER -110
New York Giants____8.5 OVER -130 UNDER +110
New York Jets______8.5 OVER -145 UNDER +125
Oakland Raiders ____7.5 OVER +130 UNDER -150
Philadelphia Eagles__10.5 OVER -120 UNDER EVEN
Pittsburgh Steelers__10.5 OVER +140 UNDER -160
San Diego Chargers__9.0 OVER +110 UNDER -130
San Francisco 49ers_9.5 OVER -140 UNDER +120
Seattle Seahawks___7.0 OVER +120 UNDER -140
St. Louis Rams_____5.5 OVER +115 UNDER -135
Tampa Bay Bucs____5.0 OVER -155 UNDER +135
Tennessee Titans____7.5 OVER +115 UNDER -135
Washington Redskins _6.0 OVER EVEN UNDER -120

It seems like there are a lot of good overs. Why would you guys bet the unders? Aside from the Saints, pick an under and justify why that's a decent bet, when there are so many decent overs available.

The 'niners at 10?? Gimme a break, who's going to beat them? Giants at 8.5, WTF? Um, didn't the Giants just win the Super Bowl?

What are the odds that the LVH sportsbook will pay?

Buffalo UNDER7

The Bills are pr'bly the 4th best team in the AFC East; the only thing going for 'em is the Dolphins have an easier schedule. Are all 4 AFC East teams gonna go OVER 7?

Oh, by the way, the LVH vigorish is 67% of the other guys.

DonDiego suggests that the LVH is more likely to pay off all sports bets than some banks/financial institutions are likely to safeguard one's funds.

Yeah, my first paragraph referred mostly to the BetOnline lines, which has the Bills at 6.5 and -110. That might still be OK, but my essential point was why take any unders when there seems to be such good value in some of the overs.

Raiders under 7 +110 might be OK.

But still, you're betting that a team will fail worse than they're expected to fail. It seems to me that you'd generally be taking the worst of it.

BIG MOVES IN CANTOR LINES

Broncos now +150 -180
Giants now +125 -155
Saints now +110 -140
Falcons now -135 +105 (maybe a typo?)
Bengals now -175 +145
Titans now -165 +135

I would take the Giants UNDER 9.5 according to the Cantor lines. SB champs tend to not do as well in the year after the SB. Besides, DD's Eagles are probably going to do a lot better than last year as they've had one year of playing together under their belt. Who knows what's going to happen with RG3 in his first year. look what happened to Cam Newton last year. NFC East a very tough division.

Giants UNDER 9.5 at -155?? I predict that line will move to -125.

The Eagles OVER 10 has moved to -150, and I think that's a terrible bet, too. I would go with Eagles UNDER at +120.