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Case Bets

Congratulations, Las Vegas Golden Knights. For the second time in a year, Las Vegas has announced itself as a major-league city by bringing home a championship trophy. First it was the Las Vegas Aces of the WNBA, now the Knights, who slammed the door last night on the outmatched Florida Panthers, 9-3. (Nothing says “hockey” like Florida against Nevada.) Even better, they did it on the home ice, clinching a 4-1 Stanley Cup triumph—the second time the Knights have been in the cup finals in their six years of existence. No NHL team has won Lord Stanley’s cup so quickly. Now the pressure is on the dysfunctional Las Vegas Raiders to do more than merely appear in a playoff game. They’ll get eight prime-time TV slots next season. Let’s hope they do Sin City proud.

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Indiana, Missouri down; Mega-Jottings

Indiana has joined the growing litany of states with disappointing May casino receipts. The statewide gross of $196.5 million represented a 7% drop-off from last year at this time. Only two casinos defied the trend. French Lick Resort leapt 14.5% to $7.5 million and tribal Caesars Southern Indiana rose 7% to $22 million. Not even Hard Rock Northern Indiana was immune to the blahs. It slipped 7% to a still-impressive $34 million. Horseshoe Hammond couldn’t take advantage, plummeting 15% to $24.5 million, while nearby Ameristar East Chicago plunged 15% to $15 million. Blue Chip got slammed -16% to $10 million. Down south, Bally’s Evansville (above) slid -7% to $13.5 million.

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Maryland droops; Boardwalk bulletin; Barstool blunder

Mr. & Mrs. America’s torrid, post-pandemic love affair with casino gambling is finally cooling. It’s not cause for alarm, as we knew this was coming—in fact, it was expected to happen much sooner. And while players are dropping less at regional casinos, the picture is still quite roseate. Maryland gaming receipts slipped 5% last month, reaching $169.5 million, 11% better than 2019. MGM National Harbor was off 5.5% to $72 million. Reliable runner-up Maryland Live was good for $59 million, albeit down 6%. Horseshoe Baltimore turned in its usual $17.5 million, flat over last year, while Hollywood Perryville grossed $7.5 million for a 7.5% tumble. Ocean Downs plunged 8% but brought home $8.5 million while Rocky Gap Resort also fell 8% to $5 million. Given the circumstances, we’d say the relative stability of Horseshoe counts as a doggone moral victory. Thanks to strong slot play, West Virginia was actually 1% up last month, despite weak table play (-7%). Hollywood Charles Town outperformed the state, +4%, again buoyed by a good month (+6%) at the one-armed bandits.

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Stupid political antics; Baseball boondoggle; Mega-Jottings

American Gaming Association President Bill Miller likes to say—and quite rightly—that communities should welcome casinos because Big Gaming is willing to pay big taxes. Until now, that is. Las Vegas Sands has barely planted its flag in Nassau, New York, and is asking for (get this) tax breaks. For crying out loud, Rob Goldstein! Way to hobble your campaign to be downstate’s third resort-casino. According to an unnamed Sands source, the megabuck company ($45 billion in market capitalization) wants “a reduction in the mortgage recording tax” in return for higher education levies, among other things. Oh, and a lower sales tax on construction-related items. Such freeloading ill-behooves a company as esteemed as LVS and has us rethinking our endorsement of its Five Boroughs pitch.

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Ohio cools a bit; On the Boardwalk; Regulatory fist-shaking

Casino revenues are finally cooling off around the country, later than Wall Street expected. Ohio was down 5% last month, reaching $204.5 million—yet still 28% higher than pre-Covid April 2019. So the sky is definitely not falling. Two racinos defied the Buckeye State trend. MGM Northfield Park was up 3.5% to $26.5 million, easily the best in the state, and Miami Valley Gaming hopped 2% to $20.5 million. Hardest-hit was Scioto Downs, falling 12% to $20 million, along with Belterra Park, plunging 13% to $7.5 million. Metro casinos all ceded ground, with Hollywood Columbus off 5% to $23 million and Hollywood Toledo plunging 9.5% to $19 million. Jack Cleveland slipped 5% to $22 million and Hard Rock Cincinnati tumbled 8% but made $22.5 million.

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Las Vegas: Strip up, locals down; God comes to Vegas

Gambling revenue from Nevada locals players dipped 2% last month. Now, before anyone shrieks “Recession!” or looks for the sky to fall, be it noted that we’re still streets ahead of 2019, which was the go-go ‘new normal.’ If, as Deutsche Bank analyst Carlo Santarelli predicts, Las Vegas Strip revenues drop over the summer, that will be cause for a reappraisal. For now it’s blue skies for the Strip, which was up 5% from April of last year. Strip casinos grossed $625 million, driven in part by 8% greater slot win (on a commensurately larger amount of coin-in) and 4% more table game revenue, despite slightly lower wagering. Baccarat cleaned out the house again, with win falling 11% in spite of 12% more diñero wagered. Downtown enjoyed an even better April up 10.5% to $74.5 million, so bully for Glitter Gulch. With a newly revamped Plaza Hotel joining newish Circa and the renovated Fremont Hotel, reinvesting in Downtown continues to pay dividends for owners.

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Wynn, Caesars jostle in New York City; Penis envy

With a rival Coney Island casino proposal TKO’d and Steve Cohen‘s Citi Field one on the ropes, Wynn Resorts is stepping up its push for getting the brass ring at Manhattan‘s Hudson Yards area, adjacent to the Javits Center. A $10 billion proposal was unveiled over the weekend, including a 1,700-room hotel tower. In addition to fine dining and retail, the project (co-crafted with Related Cos.) would entail 250,000 square feet of gambling. Apartment and office towers would also be included in a complex that attempts to be all things to all people. Given the proposed size of spend and co-developer Stephen Ross‘ financial closeness to Gov. Kathy Hochul (D), Wynn now has to be seen as the favorite.

The not-unconflicted Hochul holds one of the six votes that will determine where the megaresorts go and, at this point, nobody thinks incumbents MGM Empire City and Resorts World New York will be snubbed. Given that Wynn’s site sits on the much-traveled #7 line of the New York City subway system and wouldn’t involve displacing anybody or anything, we think this is the prohibitive front runner as the RFP deadline draws nigh. Sands Nassau is making impressive progress but we rate it an underdog.

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Bally’s all-but-done deal; Meruelo trashed

So long, Tropicana Las Vegas. Say hello, National Basketball Association and Major League Soccer. And let’s not forget lacrosse and badminton. Since there is no stadium deal for which the Nevada Lege will not bend over and grab its ankles, it appears to be a lead-pipe cinch the public subsidies to attract the worst team in MLB to Sin City are all but signed, sealed and delivered. Already the Nevada Independent, abandoning its vaunted independence, is shaking the pom-poms for bringing the Oakland Athletics to the soon-to-be-former site of the venerable Trop. And where one stadium deal is, albeit not as rich as that gifted to the Las Vegas Raiders, others will follow as night segues day.

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Atlantic City doldrums; Black Tuesday; Culinary wins one

Our man in Atlantic City has posted a flurry of dispatches, mainly concerning his new stomping ground, Harrah’s Resort. What you see above is the indoor pool, which doubles as a nightclub. When last visited, there was a (short) line to buy nightclub tickets. Next door, where the buffet formerly reposed, is Bobby’s Burger Bar, another in the McFranchising of Bobby Flay line. It’s described to us as “very plain looking, probably ‘naming rights’ only.” Adds our correspondent, “I should have said it is alleged to be a Bobby Flay restaurant. Since I’ve seen fancier food courts, it doesn’t have the look of a Bobby Flay-branded place.” Below the fold is, believe it or not, the Harrah’s casino floor. We say ‘believe it or not’ because Harrah’s is the best-performing of the Caesars Entertainment threesome in Atlantic City and one would expect it to be doing better. As our scribe writes, “Harrah’s is quite large and is well maintained. It’s hard to understand why they don’t have more customers.”

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Las Vegas A-Z; Bally’s bumbles; Smoke gets in your face

Last week, Deutsche Bank analyst Carlo Santarelli hit town and gave a rundown of the major players in Sin City. His overall theses can be found at CDC Gaming Reports. Basically, it boiled down to Macao great, Las Vegas Strip excellent, Las Vegas locals very good and regional casinos a bit iffy. But he also looked at a number of operators in granular detail and that is what occupies us today.

Boyd Gaming expects little or no impact from the debut of Durango Resort. If there is any, it will be felt at Suncoast. The expected result was described as “competitive strategy changes,” as Boyd is confident of keeping its Suncoast customers. On the plus side, growth in the Las Vegas Valley is likely to redound to the benefit of Aliante Casino. Rival Station Casinos read the tea leaves right on this one—but 15 years prematurely. In light of Boyd’s heavy exposure—seven casinos—to the Gulf Coast, management allowed that they are “actively dissecting” the underperformance of Mississippi and Louisiana. For one thing, unrated play (which is soft) is higher in this region. Also, the relative poverty of these two states means that they’re where macroeconomic challenges will be felt first. In the Midwest, Blue Chip and Kansas Star have shaken off the impact of ‘historical horse racing’ machines. Belterra Resort, not so much. Boyd seems likelier to be a buyer than a seller these days, particularly if something digital complements its online assets.

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