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Monster monopoly on the Strip?; Caesars wows Wall Street

In a deal that Nevada regulators would block if they had an ounce of spine, MGM Growth Properties proposes to sell itself to Vici Properties, which would put nearly all the prime land on the Las Vegas Strip under one owner. Vici already owns most Caesars-branded properties on the Strip and is on the verge of adding The Venetian and Palazzo. It was, as Deutsche Bank analyst Carlo Santarelli put it with delicious understatement, “a deal with far-reaching implications.” The price tag is a whopping $17.2 billion, paid in a mix of cash and stock. Of that, $5.7 billion is debt already carried by MGP. Adds Santarelli, “the true driver of M&A in the [REIT] sector was cost of capital, and with VICI having traded at a healthy equity premium to the group for some time, with access to inexpensive debt financing, the transaction makes both intuitive and financial sense.” Still, $17.2 billion is a not-inconsiderable amount of debt, however low your interest payments may be (3.75% in this case).

“In 2016 we started on our journey to become asset light and this announcement, together with our recently announced Springfield and CityCenter transactions, reflects the culmination of those efforts and a major step forward in simplifying our corporate structure,” said CEO Bill Hornbuckle. “As a result of these actions, we are well positioned and remain focused on pursuing growth opportunities in our core business, with significant financial flexibility to continue to deploy capital to maximize shareholder value.” In a goodbye note to MGM, MGP Chairman Paul Salem wrote, “We are thankful to the MGP management team for all of their efforts to develop MGP into a premier gaming REIT.” “We have always admired the exceptional quality of MGP’s real estate portfolio,” added Vici CEO Ed Pitoniak, unable to conceal his glee.

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MGM does the right thing; Killer chipmunks in Lake Tahoe

In a very george move, MGM Resorts International is donating two acres of Strip land to be the site of a memorial to the victims of the Mandalay Bay Massacre. The acreage, at the corner of Reno Avenue and Giles Street, is part of the larger area where the infamous Route 91 Harvest festival took place. The exact nature of the memorial remains to be debated and we’re sure it will be a contentious process. But we’re also certain that MGM could have seen megabucks for the two acres on the open market and chose to pass that up in favor of a generous gesture toward the Las Vegas community. (Sixty people died and hundreds were injured due to the act of domestic terrorism.) “Having a permanent memorial commemorating the victims and heroes of 1 October is vital to our community’s continued healing, and we are honored to donate a portion of the Village site to help bring that memorial to fruition,” read a formal MGM statement. We’ve often been critical of MGM’s response to the victims of the shooting but would like to think we’ve saluted it when it’s done the right thing. As it just did.

Gaming & Leisure Properties Inc. is dropping ominous hints about the future of the Las Vegas Tropicana, feeding into speculation that owner-to-be Bally’s Inc. will demolish the venerable resort so that its 35 acres can be converted into a baseball stadium. This would be the cruelest in a series of cruel blows to the Trop, which has suffered from a series of poor or inattentive ownerships. Admittedly, at 64 years of age, the Trop is ancient history by Vegas standards—and Bally’s might be left at the altar. The Oakland Athletics have reopened negotiations with Oakland Mayor Libby Schaaf, suggesting that Sin City just got played by the big boys. Since the A’s are committed to Oakland through 2024, Bally’s doesn’t have to make any rash decisions regarding the Trop’s immediate future.

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Has This Happened to You?

Bonnie and I recently checked into a local casino comped room. We don’t really “need” a room — we’re locals living about 15 miles away — but Bonnie doesn’t drive anymore, I was planning on playing four hours or so in a particular promotion, and we wanted to eat dinner together at the casino.

Bonnie is a non-player (well, she allows herself $5 sometimes at nickels, until it goes). Video poker is basically my avocation/vocation. She’ll take along some books on tape. Often, she’ll get her exercise by walking through the air-conditioned casinos, which are much cooler than Vegas in the summertime. She knows how to use Zoom, and sometimes she’ll have a nice chat with one of her friends or relatives while she’s waiting.

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Allegiant Stadium Tour


Even before it opened, we received frequent questions about whether tours of Allegiant Stadium would be available and we understand the curiosity. It’s not every day you get to go behind the scenes of a $2 billion building, let alone one you see on television with 65,000 people in the stands, NFL teams on the field, and celebrity broadcasters in the booth.

The tours depart from the first-level base of the Al Davis Memorial Torch, which rises to the third level of the stadium. Upwards of 20 people were on the tour in front of ours and 25 on ours; they’re definitely popular. Our guide was excellent—full of energy and passion for the building and team, he imparted a steady stream of information about both. After getting your first view of the field, you head to one of the restroom/concession areas and learn that the stadium has 297 restrooms and 1,430 toilets, along with 76 concessions, so people at games and concerts won’t have to miss much while waiting in line for food and bathroom breaks; you also see a video of the “flush test,” in which the plumbing for all 1,500 toilets and urinals was checked.

From there, you go up a level to where the corporate suites and broadcasters’ booth are. The booth is just an empty (carpeted) box; the networks and radio stations have up to 72 hours before games to load in all their sets, electronics, robot cameras, etc. But the view, right at the 50-yard line on the second level, is the best in the stadium. Second-best is from the 127 VIP and corporate suites on two levels that feature luxury box seats and bars and buffets behind them in small rooms; we walked through one of MGM Resorts’ high-roller hangs.

Then you descend to the bowels of the stadium for stops at the Raiderettes exhibit and locker room, post-game press room, and Raiders locker room. Again, they’re pretty much empty, just a few props for the tours, and smaller than you might expect for all the people they accommodate on game days. The players’ locker room, though, is fancy, with black-and-silver décor; you watch a video of Raiders of different eras getting ready for games, then the climax of the tour is a hologram of current coach Jon Gruden giving a rousing pep talk.

From there, it’s right onto the field for your pro-football fantasy. You have five minutes to take a line-of-scrimmage stance, run, do a touchdown victory dance, and/or tackle your husband. It’s interesting to see the Wynn Field Club behind the north goalpost for the highest rollers. As always in Las Vegas, you exit the field right at the logo store. From there, the cheap tickets go through the store and out to the parking lot, while the VIP tickets—tour and a drink—go back up to the main concourse bar.

The tours depart every 20 minutes between 10:40 am and 9 pm, though the number of tours and days is shrinking as the stadium hosts more events. They last 75 minutes and cost $59, or $80 for the drink and view (discounts available for locals and “those who serve”). Make reservations and pay online. Parking is free. Wear walking shoes; you cover a lot of ground. It’ll be fun to watch Raiders’ home games on TV after seeing the stadium from the players’, cheerleaders’, broadcasters’, and high-roller points of view.

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Masks back on, Las Vegas!; All’s right with the REITs

Mincing few words, MGM Resorts International CEO Bill Hornbuckle sent a letter to all employees, urging them to quit dithering and get their Covid-19 vaccinations, if they haven’t already. He pleaded, “In addition to the heart-wrenching thought of more illness and death, I fear that progressively more restrictive measures, including a return to social distancing and capacity restrictions, could be around the corner if we continue on this path. This would be a significant blow to our community, industry, and economy.” Clark County‘s current vaccination rate currently stands as a dismal 44%. The county is reliably “blue” territory, so this crisis goes beyond political chumming of the anti-vaxxer waters. Playing to his audience’s wallets, Hornbuckle warned that, as Las Vegas‘ health goes, so does its economy. If Coronavirus worsens and scares tourists away, furloughs and layoffs could follow. He wrote, “After the pain endured by so many these past 16 months–and the tremendous progress made in 2021–I can think of no more damaging scenario for us as a community.”

We think that Hornbuckle and others in like positions in Big Gaming are stopping one step short and need to mandate vaccination for their workers. If little outfits like Google, Facebook, Twitter, Netflix, Lyft, Morgan Stanley, Saks Fifth Avenue, The Washington Post, Ascension Health and BlackRock can do it, MGM can. We know you’re feeling cabin fever and ‘pandemic fatigue’ out there, America. We feel your pain. It would be great if events ran in a bright, linear fashion. But this is a war, a once-in-a-century calamity and, had we been so easily discouraged in the 1940s, the Axis powers would have won World War II (gladdening the heart of Imperial Palace founder Ralph Engelstad).

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Station hits records, drops hints; Strip suffers mild setback

Station Casinos announced 2Q21 earnings yesterday and “blows through” previous peaks, according to Deutsche Bank analyst Carlo Santarelli. Despite expiration of the management contract at Graton Rancheria, Station recorded record levels of net revenue ($426.5 million) and cash flow ($210 million), leaving Wall Street‘s $159 million consensus in the dust. Management is in no hurry to reopen Texas Station or Fiesta Rancho or Fiesta Henderson and why not? It costs only $2 million per quarter to keep them dark and their business is obviously being soaked up elsewhere. Station execs performed a fan dance regarding Durango Station, withholding the budget but announced their intent to break ground in early (pre-April) 2022, with an 18-24 month construction timeline envisioned. When completed, it will have 2,000 slots, 40 tables and four restaurants, along with the inevitable sports book. Santarelli expects Durango Station to be financed out of (abundant) free cash flow, possibly filled out with the sale of some excess land. The $650 million all-cash Palms sale proceeds have also been earmarked to cover construction costs.

Buffets may be gone with the wind but Station expects to reopen its showrooms in the second half of this year, and for group business to return over the next two years. Truist Securities analyst Barry Jonas noted “incremental hotel business” improvements congruent with the distribution of the Coronavirus vaccine. “Stimulus payments have also played into recent strength, though management noted sizable savings and discretionary income with their core customer base beyond stimulus.” While acknowledging “uncertainty” around the state mask mandate, Station brass said that business didn’t change markedly when masks came off in June. “This suggests there may not be any meaningfully negative impact with reintroducing masks,” reported Jonas, “Management also notes that they expect any potential impact to be short-lived.”

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Boyd beats The Street but charts cautious course

“Massive beat” and “exceptional” results were some of the terms being bandied about after yesterday’s Boyd Gaming 2Q21 earnings call. Wall Street expected $803 million in revenue and Boyd delivered $896.5 million, while profit margins at its Las Vegas locals casinos rose all but exponentially over 2019. “We believe this acceleration is likely to surprise investors,” wrote Deutsche Bank analyst Carlo Santarelli, adding that Boyd executives thought their performance targets had been too conservative. They also gave a hint about 3Q21, saying that June’s strength was (no surprise) carrying over into July. “While investors are sure to question the sustainability of margins going forward, as any right minded individual would, especially after this quarters [sic] performance, we continue to believe there is support in the thesis for the likes of” Station Casinos, Golden Entertainment and Boyd. Leadership, JP Morgan analyst Joseph Greff wrote, “notes that the 2Q21 undoubtedly benefitted from government stimulus and unemployment insurance padding consumer spend, but also strong demand from its core customer.

“While labor shortage is an issue, we don’t think elevated labor costs going forward will pierce margin gains in a significant way which poses risks to our new forecasts,” Greff continued. He liked a business plan “predominantly focused on a drive-to, leisure gaming customer. We think our estimates are reasonably based, with a steady return of its older demographic.”

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What is an “AP”?—Part I

[Note: Season 1 of Colin Jones will resume next time, and there is further good news: Netflix and GWAE have announced that Colin Jones is renewed for Season 2!]

A few times per year, my elderly parents used to make the drive from New Jersey to Boston. Like all old people who haven’t grasped the power of the “cellular telephone,” they would stock the car with snacks, bottled water, batteries, blankets, and other survivalist items, just in case the 4-hour drive turned into nuclear winter. They—meaning my daddy—would also use old-school paper diagrams of the land and roads, that they called “maps” (before the word earned a capital letter). The map was marked with an asterisk in Connecticut for a particular rest stop—the one that had immaculate bathrooms.

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A New Game for Me

I was looking at dollar progressives and found a 9/6 Triple Double Bonus Poker game where the royal was at $5,300, aces without a kicker were at $1,400, and the two kicker jackpots were just slightly higher than reset. It was a bartop game, the meters rose by 1% with each dollar played, and nobody was playing it.

I have not played a lot of progressives, but I was pretty sure this was positive. I went to my hotel room, checked my computer, and found out it was right at about 101%, including the slot club. I created a strategy using the Wizard of Odds Video Poker Strategy Calculator, studied that, practiced the game on WinPoker for about twenty minutes, and headed down to play.

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Caesars massacres table games, renames Superdome; Bally’s boffo

At the risk of flogging a deceased equine, the emperor at Caesars Entertainment has yet again showed himself to be without clothes. The latest Eldorado-ization of the Roman Empire is the wholesale slaughter of table games along the Las Vegas Strip. As Vital Vegas reported over the weekend, “entire swaths” of the games have disappeared from casino floors, leaving blank patches to be filled in with slot machines or that dreaded new idol of casino executives, electronic table games. Just think of all the high-salaried dealers you can pink-slip! As Scott Roeben wrote to us, it’s “a really big shift that was happening under our noses.” We should have known, perhaps. Caesars execs had been promising to run a post-pandemic company at pandemic-era cost levels, which would require some real creativity. Enter the robo-games and the conversion of properties like Caesars Palace and The Cromwell into giant slot parlors.

Not only do ETGs cost less than old-fashioned table games, they offer lower minimums (and table minimums along the Strip have gotten pretty steep). It’s a shameless play for the low-roller clientele and another symptom of “Less Vegas,” the post-Covid environment in which the casinos make money by offering a diminished experience for the same—or sometimes higher—price. Certainly in Caesars’ case it bespeaks a contempt for the player, providing a regional-casino atmosphere in what was supposed to be the Holy See of gambling. It’s the latest in a death of the Roman Empire by a thousand cuts: short-poured liquor, closed buffets, shuttered shows and defunct player lounges. Roeben gloomily writes, “As there’s unlikely to be a new wave of demand for table games, expect this to be the new normal in Las Vegas casinos.”

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