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Boyd “surpasses”; Keep on rocking in the Free State

Using words like “strong” and “easily surpasses forecasts,” Deutsche Bank analyst Carlo Santarelli gave Boyd Gaming a thumbs-up for 4Q24. This was despite a “cautious tone” in the previous earnings call and “choppy” regional performance in the most recent quarter. Looking ahead, Boyd management highlighted “areas of concern in a prudent, but not overly draconian manner.” But on Wall Street you’re only as good as your last quarter, so let’s see what it divulged.

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Wynn, Station dominate; Illinois collapses

Thanks in part to a boost from the Las Vegas Grand Prix, high-end Wynn Resorts was able to “squash forecasts,” according to an impressed Carlo Santarelli of Deutsche Bank. His price target on WYNN stock leapt from $124/share to $132 on the strength of a 4Q23 that surpassed Wall Street‘s expectations. (J.P. Morgan analyst Joseph Greff added $5 to his $113/share price target.) Wynn Resorts brought in fourth-quarter cash flow of $632 million, $69 million more than Street analysts anticipated. Wynn’s Macao assets outperformed, with the older ones achieving 74% of pre-Covid cash-flow volume: “We believe this is likely to put to rest some of the structural concerns around the Peninsula in general.” The company’s Chinese flotilla also maintained its share (14.5%) of the mass market.

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Maryland drops; Koch caper; Borgata escapes

While gamblers in Ohio were playing more than ever, citizens of the Free State cut back their play substantially. Maryland casinos were down 8.5% last month and nobody came out ahead of the game. Despite slowing 9%, MGM National Harbor comfortably led with $66 million. Maryland Live suffered much less, down 2.5% for $57 million. Still wilting is Horseshoe Baltimore, -17% to $14.5 million. That waterfront location has backfired rather sadly. Ocean Downs was down 13% for $6 million and Hollywood Perryville slipped 7.5% to $6.5 million. Century Casinos‘ takeover of Rocky Gap Resort has coincided with a declivity in its fortunes, with January bringing a 36.5% collapse to $3 million. The only consolation was that Maryland gambling halls were still doing 12% better than in 2019.

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Sands “solid”; Ditto Ohio; Boardwalk notes

Fourth-quarter results from the far-flung empire of Las Vegas Sands were lauded by J.P. Morgan analyst Joseph Greff as “solid.” He wrote that they “should be viewed favorably in relation to recently subdued investors’ expectations and China-macro-concern-driven awful investor sentiment.” Looking ahead to this year and the next, he projected continued mass-market-propelled growth for Sands in both Macao and especially Singapore (which is really driving the bus right now), where Sands enjoys a duopoly.

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Vegas vaults; Wynn winning; Mega-Jottings

Vegas remains resilient; NFL reverses field

After all the hype and hoopla of Formula One in November, the real story may be December. Las Vegas Strip revenue alone was $905 million, an 11% leap from 2022—and a 53% moonshot over 2019. Similarly, locals winnings of $241 million were up 7% from the previous December and 10% higher than in 2019, while the statewide tally ($1.4 billion) vaulted 35% from 2019 … heretofore considered the Good Old Days.

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Sick at sea (but not seasick)

As I write this, I’m off the coast of Florida, aboard the Icon of the Seas, presently undergoing a somewhat shaky shakedown cruise. Unfortunately, Yr. Humble Blogger has been stricken, not with mal de mer, but with the aftereffects of what was probably undercooked food, of unknown provenance. As such, I’m ill-positioned to provide any more industry news and analysis until we dock on Friday. Wednesday’s dinner was spent surrounded by loathsome, loudmouthed Wall Street fatcats. Now I now what Hell is like and really don’t want to go there. Perhaps that’s what made me ill.

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Bally’s screws up; Nastiness in D.C.

Forget that handsome rendering up above. It’s ‘inoperative,’ as the Nixon administration used to say of statements that weren’t true. Why? Because Bally’s Corp. struck water in its plumbing of the future site of Bally’s Chicago. More specifically, it discovered that driving caissons to support a 500-room hotel would damage water pipes along the Chicago River. Oops. “We need to come up with a different way to build a tower because we can’t now put it on Chicago Avenue,” explained Bally’s Chairman Soo Kim. Funny, but it took 13 months for Bally’s to reach this conclusion.

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A.C. still rebounding

Please disregard the headlines today whining about Atlantic City casino grosses for December. They are 8% higher than 2022 and 11.5% than 2019, before the Great Pandemic supposedly drove everyone home—and into the arms of these same casinos’ Web alternatives. The brick-and-mortar tally was $232.5 million. We often treat the three Caesars Entertainment casinos almost as an afterthought (as do customers), so we should give them pride of place when discussing December’s data. Tropicana Atlantic City (pictured) leapt 15% to $21 million and Caesars Atlantic City jumped 13% to $19 million. Harrah’s Resort couldn’t quite keep pace, up 3% but making $21 million.

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Gaming resilient; Hill shills for F1

Hoosier daddy? That’s the question as Indiana casino revenues inched up 1% from December 2022 and 9% from 2019. This, along with news from the East Coast (see below), shows gambling holding fast as an American pastime, regardless of anything else that is taking place economically. Hard Rock Northern Indiana drove the increases. It powered along with $36.5 million, up 7%. The latter number is particularly noteworthy, as former Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot (D) painted a target on Hard Rock’s back when she blessed a Windy City casino. After a initial dip in business, the score is now Gary 1, Chicago 0.

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Midwest buoyant; Mega -Jottings

It may be snowy this week in Chicago but the casino news is warm: Illinois gambling halls closed out 2023 with their best month of the year ($141 million). Much of this was driven by fresh product. They were up 3% from 2022 … and 14% down from 2019. But the latter number swung to -10% when adjusted to a same-store basis. Four new casinos in one year will do that.

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