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Quote of the Day

“Some of the restrictions make sense and others, well, let’s just say they are ill-conceived. The fact that restaurants and bars are still being hit with arbitrary and capricious restrictions is maddening, especially when visiting retail stores and seeing how little restrictions are in place. Diners have to make a reservation in advance for a restaurant, but 437 people can walk right into a Costco without the blink of an eye. Our ‘leaders’ are failing us.”—Carson Kitchen owner Cory Harwell on Las Vegas restaurant restrictions.

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Covid cramps casino revenues; Trop LV in play … again

Now that the smartest man in the room has left the building permanently, we continue to wait for Wall Street‘s reaction to Sheldon Adelson‘s demise. Hearing none, we move on to varying degrees of decline in regional gaming, once thought impervious to the Covid-19 pandemic. It wasn’t so bad in Missouri, where revenues slipped 8.5%. Boyd Gaming properties held serve, flat year/year but Penn National Gaming took a 24% tumble, while Caesars Entertainment edged 3.5% down. The statewide gross was $134 million, with slots ($116 million) down 7.5% and table games ($18 million) off 13%. Statewide champ was Ameristar St. Charles, up 8.5% to $24 million. Neighboring Hollywood St. Louis plunged 25% to $15 million. Caesars did well at Lumiere Place, up 8% to $14 million. River City (Penn) crashed 29% to $14 million.

Over in Kansas City, only Bally Corp. was revenue-positive at Isle of Capri Kansas City, leaping 18% to $6.5 million. Ameristar Kansas City fell 10% to $14 million and Harrah’s North Kansas City was off 11.5% to $13 million. Penn was slightly more fortunate than in St. Louis, taking in $12.5 million at Argosy Riverside a -14.5% drop. Caesars slipped 8% at Isle of Capri Boonsville, to $6 million, and Century Casinos was 2% down in Caruthersville ($3.5 million) but 14.5% up in Cape Girardeau ($6 million). Independent St. Jo Frontier had an unfortunate month, falling 20.5% to $3 million but Mark Twain Casino jumped 19% to $3 million. Such are the vagaries of small-market gaming.

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Tribute to a bad man

Sheldon Adelson, 1933-2021

Sheldon Adelson‘s Horatio Alger success story came to an abrupt end today, when the Boston Globe broke the news of his death from lymphoma at age 87. Adelson had a good run in the industry, longer than most, and his career—despite a costly money-laundering scandal—was never tripped up the kind of ethical failings that brought contemporaries Steve Wynn and J. Terrence Lanni low. He outlasted all his major competitors on the Strip and successfully steered Las Vegas Sands through two recessions, among myriad other accomplishments. But his reign in Las Vegas as the doge of Venelazzo was not without taint, local, national and international. We’ll get to that in a minute.

Reactions to Adelson’s passing were quick to roll in. The American Gaming Association, with which he had been sometimes at odds, issued the following statement from President Bill Miller, which read in part, “I had the pleasure of knowing Mr. Adelson for more than 15 years, long before joining the American Gaming Association … It is his leadership and generosity that stand out the most to me. There’s no greater example of this than serving his community and prioritizing his employees’ well-being during the last year as our country and industry grappled with the global pandemic … may his memory be a blessing.”

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Sports betting impresses in Iowa; Harness racing resumes

Sports betting in Iowa crossed the $100 million threshold in handle last month and that was without some key players like BetMGM, which launched earlier this month. Wagers are expected to vault now that Gov. Kim Reynolds‘ stay on mobile registration has expired. Bookmakers captured $7.5 million on $105 million in bets in December. “What Iowa’s sports betting industry has achieved, becoming the seventh-largest market in the U.S., in spite of a significant handicap like in-person registration has been impressive,” said PlayUSA analyst Jessica Welman. 2020 handle reached $575 million despite Reynolds’ restriction and a depleted menu of collegiate and major-league sports. Online wagering is also expected to grow this year from 70.5% of the mix to something like Indiana’s 85%.

Iowa casinos had a relatively good December, down only 6% for a statewide gross of $121.5 million, driven mainly by a 22% revenue increase at the racinos. Ameristar Council Bluffs grossed $13 million, down 12%, Diamond Jo Dubuque slipped 17% to $5 million and Diamond Jo Worth gained 14% to end at $8 million. Isle Bettendorf grew 12% to $6 million while Isle Waterloo was flat at $7 million. Harrah’s Council Bluffs tumbled 32.5% to $4 million and Horseshoe Casino fell 20% to $13 million. The state’s top grosser was Prairie Meadows racino, plunging 25% to $14 million. The misfortunes of the big dogs were offset by success stories at small casinos that included a 54% moonshot at Rhythm City, closing the month at $10 million.

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Half-a-loaf Cuomo; Ohio implosion

Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D); Copyright: Shutterstock

Cuomo giveth, Cuomo taketh away. After dropping hints of expansive sports betting in New York State, Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D) unveiled a proposal that was considerably less than ‘george.’ There will be one ‘skin’ and it will be answerable to the state lottery. Only the four, struggling, upstate casinos will be eligible to participate and the tax rate may be as high as 50%. The only silver lining for the industry is that the winner of the license competition will be the only game in town, enabling them to spend little or nothing or promotion. Due to its extensive ties within the Empire State, DraftKings has to be considered the early favorite. The state’s three tribal casinos are on the outside looking in and that’s bound to be a source of contention. Explaining his parsimony, Cuomo said, “I’m not here to make the casinos a lot of money. I’m here to raise funds for the state,” to the tune of $500 million in tax receipts a year.

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Twilight of the God

Sheldon Adelson hasn’t left the building at Las Vegas Sands but the exit door has opened. Moments ago the company announced that the 87-year-old plutocrat would be taking a leave of absence for treatment of lymphoma. Adelson has been battling the disease since March 2019. COO Rob Goldstein ascends to the post of acting chairman/CEO. Goldstein knows the industry like the back of his hand and Sands isn’t expected to miss a step. As JP Morgan analyst Joseph Greff puts it, “Mr. Goldstein, 65, has been at LVS for ~25 years in a number of executive positions and is universally respected–and liked–by investors, casino operator peers, employees and, importantly, the Adelson family, which owns a majority/controlling stake in LVS.” Yes, Sheldon, like his pal Donald Trump, values personal loyalty above all else (keeping then-President William Weidner on even after, according to Adelson’s sworn testimony, he breached his fiduciary duties). Goldstein also adds the duties of acting chairman/CEO of Sands China to his portfolio, meaning his desk will be very full for some time to come. We wish Adelson a speedy recovery, as do the many politicians whose careers depend on his largesse.

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Maryland craters; MGM ‘snow’ job; Mob Museum in your ear

It’s pretty clear that the casino industry is entering its second recession in 10 months and too soon to know if the ‘skinny’ stimulus will bring a January boost. One of the most reliable markets in the U.S., Maryland plunged 20% last month. The gross was $119.5 million. JP Morgan analyst Joseph Greff pins the declivity upon both an upsurge in Covid-19 cases and consequent restrictions in casino capacity (25% at the big three). “We expect a similar trend to play out in other regions, which points to a retrenchment,” Greff added. Market share was dominated by MGM National Harbor (41%) and Maryland Live (above, 36%). MGM had a 28% falloff in high-priority table revenue and shed 18% at the slots, for a total haul of $58.5 million.

Maryland Live slipped 17% to $43 million while Horseshoe Baltimore posted an anemic $13 million, a 32% plummet. Small wonder Penn National Gaming recently re-acquired Hollywood Perryville. It was actually up 8.5% to $6.5 million. Ocean Downs was down 10% to $5 million and Rocky Gap Casino tumbled 16% to $3.5 million. Final West Virginia tallies aren’t yet available but the week-to-week tracking of revenue indicates that their results will make Maryland casinos look flush.

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Cuomo all-in on New York sports betting; Playoff fever begins

There’s nothing like a budgetary dose of Covid-19 to bring some people to reality. Case in point, New York State Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D). He has been against mobile sports betting for years—much to the state’s detriment—but will embrace it in next week’s State of the State address. This is big, especially for the gaming industry, but we’ll get to that momentarily. As the governor put it, “New York has the potential to be the largest sports wagering market in the United States, and by legalizing online sports betting we aim to keep millions of dollars in tax revenue here at home, which will only strengthen our ability to rebuild from the COVID-19 crisis.” (We think California will be a bigger market still but the voters have yet to speak on the issue.)

How will Cuomo finesse his previous insistence that mobile sports betting was unconstitutional? He’s dropped a hint that it’s merely up to the Lege, while also flirting with the idea of marijuana legalization. The tax haul from sports betting might be no more than $6 million a month but that’d be $72 million more than Cuomo has now. The Empire State would also be able to claw back 20% of New Jersey‘s sports-betting revenue, provided that the rules are sufficiently attractive to players. (None of this in-person registration crap, guv.) While Cuomo has dropped his demand for a constitutional amendment, he does expect online providers to team with brick-and-mortar casinos, throwing a lifeline to struggling upstate operators.

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Adelson, Packer canoodle & other news

While America burns, Sheldon Adelson is fiddling in the French Caribbean, aboard his mega-luxury yacht. The vessel was moored next to that of James Packer, who welcomed Adelson as guest for his lavish New Year’s Eve celebration. This meeting of the moguls only served to further fuel speculation that Sheldon is cutting a deal with Crown Resorts to buy Venelazzo. If so, it would be the first astute business move Packer has made in the United States, where his previous atttempts to crack the market—especially in Las Vegas—were a shambles, placing bets on every three-legged horse in sight. Of course, Packer would have to get Nevada regulators to overlook that little matter of being unable to get a Sydney casino license …

Remember how casinos in Japan were supposed to be open in time for the 2020 Olympic Games? And how the games were postponed until this year? And how there is still no opening date for the casinos, if ever? Well, the Olympiad is already $7.2 billion over budget and hasn’t been held yet. This exceeds the record, $6 billion overage of the 2012 London games, proving that Olympic incompetence is nothing new. (By percentage, the worst excess was 1992 Barcelona‘s 266% overrun.) Not only is the Japanese government quibbling with the International Olympic Committee over who should pick up the $2 billion of the tab related to Coronavirus postponement, the Nipponese public is getting restive: 34% of survey respondents favor outright cancellation, while another 36.5% want additional delay. 75% think Coronavirus is not going to be tamed anytime in the immediate future. The only recent Olympiad to come in remotely close to budget was Athens in 2004, which goes to show you can’t beat the ancestral home of the games.