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Strike (almost) averted; Durango delayed

Two down, one to go. This morning, the Culinary Union tersely announced the reaching of a tentative deal with leading employer MGM Resorts International. That’s 24 hours after the local declared it had achieved a pact with Caesars Entertainment by dint of a marathon, 20-hour bargaining session. Bleary-eyed CZR and Culinary negotiators reached an agreement at 5:30 a.m. Wednesday. Wynn Resorts remains the lone holdout of the Big Three, with less than 24 hours to the strike deadline and a week before Formula One comes to town. The Culinary was loaded for bear and gaming execs ultimately realized that.

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Election update: Churchill Downs loses big

No really meant no. Voters in Richmond rejected an Urban One casino two years ago by a whisker. Yesterday they buried it in a landslide. As of midnight, what was expected to be a tight race was a rout, with pro-casino forces only mustering 38% of the vote. Late polling had shown the casino ballot initiative trailing by two points. Why the dramatic, 10-point shift in the race? Was it the NASDAQ delisting of Urban One? Was it annoyance at being asked to go through a do-over campaign?

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MGM flops; Bally’s disappoints; DraftKings surprises

Live by the tables, die by the tables. Maryland‘s casinos, as a whole, were down 5.5% from last year. But factor in MGM and that becomes a 25% plunge. MGM National Harbor plummeted 41.5% to $67 million. Admittedly, the year-previous figure was fattened by record table game revenue. But almost 42%? Yikes. Slot play was only off 5% but table winnings toppled 48%. Despite the revenue implosion, MGM held onto first place, as Maryland Live dipped 3% to $58 million.

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Election Special; Trump testifies; Stitt’s stupidity

Police blotter; Racism in Richmond vote?

News outlets covering the stretch drive of Richmond‘s controversial Urban One/Churchill Downs casino proposal report a “razor-thin” margin for whoever wins, aye nor nay. In an atmosphere like this, missteps could be killers. And boy, did Urban One step in it big-time. A radio show on Urban One, hosted by Urban One founder Cathy Hughes, became a megaphone for racism in the cause of casinos. Appearing on The Box 99.5, guest host Preston “Famous” Brown smeared casino adversary Paul Goldman as “a white Jew with the background of Judas.” The Box quickly backpedaled. “These statements were horrible and offensive. Once we heard the comments and because he was alone in the studio with his producer, I personally drove to the station and immediately removed him from the show. He will not be appearing again,” said Radio One Regional Vice President Marsha Landess. However, apologies from Urban One CEO Alfred Liggins and Landess may not be enough to undo the PR damage at this late date.

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Are the good times over?

A sobering report on the economic future of Caesars Entertainment and, by extension, Big Gaming in general, appeared (aptly enough) on Halloween. Deutsche Bank analyst Carlo Santarelli penned gloomily that “What was once an outlook/bull case … has given way to concerns around the impact of a looming recession and a deteriorating U.S. consumer. We have believed and continue to believe that the cyclical peak for CZR, and others exposed to the LV Strip and domestic drive to markets, has passed …” Santarelli swiftly dismissed the Roman Empire’s 3Q23 results as not “overly meaningful,” as they merely confirmed that regional casinos are challenged but Las Vegas “remains resilient.” He chopped his price target on the stock from $70/share to $60 but kept a “Buy” rating on CZR.

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Las Vegas: Locals gamble less; Boardwalk notebook

Casino revenues for September are in and they bode well for Las Vegas Strip casinos and rather concerningly for everyone else. The Strip carried the state to a 2% increase to almost $1.3 billion for the month. Strip gambling palaces grossed $741 million, a 7% jump. Baccarat winnings vaulted 88% on high hold, despite 2% less play. That more than made up for less slot play (- 4%), which brought in $383 million. Table wagering was off 7% win was 3% higher, to $211 million. “If we normalize both the low hold in September of 2022 and the high hold in September of 2023, [gross gaming revenue] would have been down ~3.2% Y/Y, though, given the cyber security event, this should not be surprising,” argued Deutsche Bank analyst Carlo Santarelli. Isn’t nice how an MGM Resorts International/Caesars Entertainment cyber catastrophe can be normalized as a mere “event”?

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Trop’s doom sealed; Bally’s Chicago delayed

Enjoy those lounge chairs while yet ye may. All that stands between the Tropicana Las Vegas and a late-2024 implosion are the owners of Major League Baseball. If 75% of them vote to move the Oakland Athletics to the Las Vegas Strip, it’s goodbye Trop, thanks to avaricious Bally’s Corp. Speaking of avarice, MLB Commissioner Rob Manfred has waived the A’s relocation fee, which may get other teams’ noses out of joint. Let’s hope so. Nevada taxpayers would foot a $380 million bill for a baseball stadium on the Trop site and get nothing in return save for MLB’s worst franchise. OK, Southern Nevada would get a measly $2 million “financial” commitment—or 1% of A’s ticket sales, whichever is larger. (Our money is on the $2 million, so to speak.)

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SCOTUS whiffs, big time; Political roundup

Our august Supreme Court had the chance to decisively outline the parameters of the Indian Gaming Regulatory Act—and blew it. SCOTUS had been petitioned by parimutuel owner West Flagler Associates to block implementation of Florida‘s compact with the Seminole Tribe, one which gives the Seminoles exclusive rights to sports betting in the Sunshine State. The highest court voted 8-1 against hearing West Flagler’s appeal, made after activist appellate judges redefined “tribal lands” in IGRA as extending throughout cyberspace, which neatly turns the Act on its head. Only Justice Brett Kavanaugh realized that there were bigger issues at stake and was acutely aware of the IGRA contradiction. Would that he was not alone. The compact, he wrote, also “raises serious equal protection issues.” We’d like to hear those litigated and there’s a chance that West Flagler will get another bite at the SCOTUS apple, although the chances seem bleak. The Seminoles have been green-lit to start taking sports wagers and once that particular ship has sailed it will be difficult to sink it.

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Tough quarter for Boyd

Third quarter results are out for Boyd Gaming and they could have been a good deal better. J.P. Morgan analyst Joseph Greff minced few words, headling his investor note “Revenue upside more than offset by higher costs.” Ouch. He ratcheted his price target on the stock all the way down to $72/share from $79 (it’s currently trading at $55). Third quarter cash flow of $321 million was just 1% below what Wall Street expected but the disappointment was palpable. Weaker results at the core casinos were largely mitigated by strong ones at tribal Sky River, near Sacramento, and by online operations, which include an invaluable alliance with FanDuel.

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Jottings for a slow news day

It’s business as usual in Atlantic City. For example, it’s no wonder that the Golden Nugget (pictured) is at the bottom of the burg’s casino pile. Our man on the Boardwalk visited the Nugget recently and was charged a steep $90 in resort fees—for a comped room, no less … MGM Resorts International needs to be more George with its Las Vegas Grand Prix guests. It recently sent out an offer for four-day race tickets, free Wolfgang Puck food, opening-ceremony access—but only $40 in free play. That’s not going to attract the big spenders. Maybe event barkers are succumbing to their own hype that gambling revenue is going to triple (we’re not making that up) during Formula One weekend … Bally’s Corp. has quickly redubbed short-term Bally’s Casino as Bally’s Chicago. They’re promoting it to their customer base via Bally’s Vicksburg fliers mailed to Philadelphia customers. As though Vicksburghers are going to fly up to Chicago, especially when no special offers are on the table.