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Flamingo sale? Forget it!; Mega-Jottings

Caesars Entertainment formally took the Flamingo off the sale block yesterday, at least for the foreseeable future. CEO Tom Reeg cited ‘market conditions‘ (odd when the Las Vegas Strip keeps breaking records). There is also the complication that Vici Properties has right of first refusal on a sale, throwing a cock-block on any big spender the Flamingo might attract. Chances are, having knocked the price down from $2 billion to $1 billion to $800 million, Reeg is still having trouble finding takers for the property. Planet Hollywood theoretically remains in play but Reeg’s preposterous insistence on keeping the conjoined Zappos Theater (Or have they changed the name again?) is a serious deterrent. “There are plenty of interested parties,” Reeg claimed, blaming his inability to cut a deal on “the financing environment is what it is. If that’s going to impact what someone will pay, there’s a level I’m not going to chase, and I’m very happy to just clip the free cash flow and come back later.”

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Vici foresees blue skies; Ruffin + Athletics?; Phil the Shill

Vici Properties is sanguine about the U.S. economy, at least as it pertains to gambling. It can afford to be. Vici owns the real estate of 11 Las Vegas Strip casinos, which are sitting pretty these days. True, Vici lost $58 million last quarter, but that’s a big improvement on $301 million in red ink in 2Q21. We certainly don’t hope for a repeat of the Great Recession but find Vici CEO Ed Pitoniak short-memoried when he says that “The gaming customer has proven to be more resilient through both garden-variety recessions and full-blown crises than just about any other discretionary consumer out there. That was proven through both the great financial crisis and throughout the COVID-19 pandemic.” Well, the last time we had a “great financial crisis,” in 2008-9, Las Vegas imploded. So we hope for Vici’s sake that the mild recession currently underway doesn’t morph into something worse or else Pitoniak might be rudely awakened.

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Philly Live shows life; Massachusetts sports betting wins; S.C. scandal

In a truly doleful sign of the times, Philadelphia Live has reinstated metal detectors at its entrance. Also, in a nod to Covid-19, aka The Disease That Couldn’t Be Cured, it is handing out free face masks to patrons. Good on Cordish Gaming. So what is the struggling casino like these days? Our East Coast correspondent paid a visit. And things are improving, “It was the most crowded I’ve ever seen Philly Live.” The bar band also earned kudos. Plus there’s a gift promotion for August that, for a change, doesn’t require playing $500 (a nod to declining discretionary dollars?).

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Peace in Atlantic City; Storm over Vegas

Along with Resorts Atlantic City, the Golden Nugget (seen above in its Trump Marina days) has inked a new labor pact with Unite-Here, bringing to an end any uncertainty about a strike on the Boardwalk. Workers get substantial pay increases, as they desired, and casino bosses get four years of peace. Union local prexy Robert McDevitt called the negotiations “long and difficult” but everyone is making nice in the wake of the deal. “We were one of the final casinos that was approached for negotiations and we are proud it was a swift and amicable agreement,” remarked Nugget General Manager Tom Pohlman. Resorts’ durable President Mark Giannantonio echoed Pohlman: “We’re really thrilled for the employees. They’ve been working really hard for us, and now we’re happy we can put this behind us and move forward with our business.” Only that remains is formal ratification of the contract, which should be a slam dunk.

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Strip sizzles, locals chillier; The Macao trap

Gambling revenues on the Las Vegas Strip last month heated up dramatically, $735 million or +23% from the year previous. Unfortunately for Nevada, the good news pretty much ends there. Locals play continues to decline, with Downtown off 11.5% to $70 million, North Las Vegas cooling 8% to $22.5 million and the Boulder Strip slipping 12% to $86 million. Laughlin wilted 14.5% to $36.5 million and miscellaneous Clark County dipped 1% to $146 million. Mesquite held its own, flat at $13.5 million and Wendover was up in June, gaining 5.5% to $20 million. Lake Tahoe, however, suffered a blowout, minus 29% to $22 million (yes, worse than North Las Vegas). Reno booked $61.5 million but stumbled 5%.

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Boyd outperforms; Vegas airport sets record, joblessness drops

“No gaming consumer slowdown, at least not yet.” That was the headline of JP Morgan analyst Joseph Greff‘s appraisal of Boyd Gaming‘s 2Q22 earnings call. Loyalty players and core customers remain steadfast, as Boyd grew revenues 4% “despite a tough year-over-year comparison.” Unrated players are the Achilles heel, although Greff (rightly) theorizes that their 2Q21 gambling spree “was likely goosed up from stimulus checks.” While unrated play is as much as 40% of overall win, it’s not very profitable in the final analysis. Greff ratcheted his price target on BYD from $83/share down to $71 “despite limited evidence that the U.S. regional gaming consumer is slowing in any meaningful way.” Why? He predicts a 10% revenue decline next year, with serious consequences for the bottom line.

Even so, Greff likes Boyd’s regional diversity “which generates attractive free cash flow.” He’s (not unreasonably) factoring in a “mild” recession, which may be already here, and which he freely admits could be worse than modeled. Fortunately for Boyd, it is not in a position where debt reduction is necessary. Or as CEO Keith Smith put it, “We’re dealing in an uncertain environment and economy, but everything we see says the business is pretty stable. If something were to happen, given our current financial strength, we’re not losing sleep.”

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Jottings for a Tuesday

You know it’s a slow news week when today’s front-and-center lead story in the Las Vegas Review-Journal is that a Lotus of Siam will open in a refreshed Red Rock Resort. With nothing of pressing urgency in the press these last few days, we’ll update you with various odds and ends, such as … Cirque du Soleil‘s Love has received a one-year stay of execution at The Mirage, extended into and perhaps through 2023. All bets are off once Hard Rock International consummates the purchase. Only CEO Jim Allen knows for sure and he ain’t talking, including addressing the bigger question of whether The Mirage proper will remain open during the massive rebranding of the resort. Love‘s marquee is conspicuously missing from the Hard Rock rendering above …

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“Standout” at Sands; Station challenges South Point

Despite attenuated revenues of $1.2 billion in the second quarter, Las Vegas Sands was the beneficiary of what one analyst termed “creeping expectations” on Wall Street. Or, as Deutsche Bank‘s Carlo Santarelli put, “we continue to believe LVS represents one of the more compelling medium- to longer-term risk-reward stories in our coverage universe.” How come? Managed expectations, in large part. Losses in Macao were not as bad as feared and Marina Bay Sands in Singapore (55% of the company’s equity now) is prompting higher forecasts, as the city-state loosens its Covid-19 restrictions. Regarding Macao, “management had little to say” but numbers were “soft” and the company expects to lose $110 million a month in cash flow and rents as long as the current shutdown persists.

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Two Atlantic City casinos to be struck; Pennsylvania’s fuzzy math

Unite-Here quickly ran out of patience with the Golden Nugget and Resorts Atlantic City. 97% of affected membership voted to authorize strikes at both the bottom-feeding casinos if a labor deal can’t be reached before August 1. That still gives both Nugget and Resorts management some wiggle room but it also indicates that talks are not going well. Although the exact nature of the grievance wasn’t specified, we’ll hazard a well-educated guess. The casinos are probably taking a page from the Carl Icahn playbook and demanding a preferential, lower, wage scale. That negotiating tactic bombed at Trump Taj Mahal and probably won’t play much better at the two holdouts, if they go to the wall. The union has made it crystal-clear that it won’t accept second-tier status for any of its employees at any casino in town.

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Atlantic City strong; Station’s demolition derby; De$anti$ hits jackpot; Mega-Jottings

There’s so much news today we almost don’t know where to begin. But we’ll start with Atlantic City, which reported a 2% increase in casino revenue, to $229 million. Internet gambling and sports betting chipped in another $169 million. One of the biggest beneficiaries was Bally’s Atlantic City (above), which leapt 20% to $13.5 million. Other coffee achievers were Ocean Casino Resort, which catapulted 29.5% to $30 million, and Hard Rock Atlantic City, scarcely to be outdone with a 26.5% increase to $44.5 million. Borgata actually lost market share (or was unlucky at the tables), down 4% to $54 million. Of the Caesars Entertainment threesome, only Tropicana Atlantic City was revenue-positive, up 1.5% to $21.5 million. Harrah’s Resort was 5.5% down to $20 million and Caesars Atlantic City, formerly the most volatile house in town, ceded just 4% to $19 million. Resorts Atlantic City was flat at $14 million and Golden Nugget nudged up 3.5% to a last-place $12.5 million. Overall, slot revenue climbed 11% to $171 million on 12% more coin-in, while tables saw 4% less win but on 7% less wagering.

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