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Hard Rock, Caesars grapple; Trouble at Topgolf LV

There’s a battle royal in Indiana between Hard Rock Gary and Horseshoe Hammond. But before we get to that, let it be noted that—despite one less weekend than 2019—casino revenues were up 9.5% to $195 million. The two main combatants were just incrementally apart, with Hard Rock making $31 million versus Horseshoe Hammond’s $30.5 million (-4%). Third-place Ameristar East Chicago was well behind at $18 million, down 2%. The smallness of the declines supports the viewpoint of those who argued that the arrival of Hard Rock would grow business in the northern tier, not dilute it. Only Blue Chip (above) suffered, down 15% to $11 million. Indiana Grand racino continued to thrive with $24 million, up 3%, while Harrah’s Hoosier Downs galloped 11.5% faster to $20 million.

In the southern tier, Bally’s Evansville was flat at $12.5 million despite the new branding, while Caesars Southern Indiana remained a player favorite, grossing $18 million for a 6.5% gain. Belterra Resort slipped 7% to $7.5 million and little Rising Star booked $3 million, a 4% dip. French Lick Resort took a drubbing, off 23% to $6 million but Hollywood Lawrenceburg slipped only 2% to $14 million.

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Playing politics with sports betting … and casinos

Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot (D) has really put her foot in it this time. Not only are Windy City aldermen balking at five stadium-area sports books in addition to a billion-dollar casino, fearing cannibalization, but Lightfoot threw gasoline on the fire with the oh-so-casual remark that taxpayers would be footing the bill for the infrastructure needed for aforesaid sports books to operate. Spending public money to make already-rich people even richer would be a hard sell to voters, we’re sure. Also, Lightfoot’s much-touted 2% extra impost on sports books was derided as “paltry” after her office said it would bring in $400K-$500K a year, peanuts compared to the tax dollars a casino would pay. Back in the day (2009), Lightfoot said freestanding sports books had “the potential to undermine the viability of any Chicago-based casino.” Lightfoot 2.0 now deems them essential and is allied with the Lege in trying to strong-arm aldermen into going along.

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Cordish cashes in; Scare tactics in Atlantic City; Illinois slumps

Succumbing to the siren song of REITmania, Cordish Gaming has sold the real estate of three of its casinos to Gaming & Leisure Properties Inc. for a grand total of $1.8 billion. The affected casinos are Philadelphia Live, Pittsburgh Live and Maryland Live. The latter is the real prize, Philadelphia Live (pictured) being somewhat of an underachiever. Reported JP Morgan analyst Joseph Greff, “the deal also includes a binding partnership on future Cordish casino developments and potential financing partnerships between GLPI and Cordish in other parts of Cordish’s businesses … We also like that GPLI is adding a new and reputable real estate/gaming partner that potentially could lead to future accretive transactions.” The newfound wealth could also empower Cordish to take on new projects elsewhere. “They’re raising capital without having to get the loan or do some kind of stock offering, because Cordish is still a private company and is more limited,” gaming analyst Jason Karmel observed.

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Special Edition: Rumblings from around Big Gaming

Update: The Seminole Tribe has finally, grudgingly stopped taking sports bets, effective yesterday.

At the risk of using the Seminole Tribe as a punching bag, we have to observe that it clearly doesn’t understanding the meaning of the word “no,” especially when it comes to online sports betting. Judge Dabney Friedrich (pictured) ruled that the Seminoles couldn’t have OSB. But they kept taking bets. Then Judge Friedrich nixed their request for a stay. And they kept taking wagers. Now a three-judge panel of the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals said no, you have to shut it down. And, as far as we know, the Seminoles are still accepting bets. The only commitment Seminole mealy-mouthpiece Gary Bitner would make is “The Seminole Tribe is aware of today’s Appeals Court decision and is carefully considering the steps it will take as a result,” which probably include continued defiance. Which raises the question, if the Seminoles won’t abide by the Indian Gaming Regulatory Act (at least when it’s not to their convenience) why in the bloody blue blazes should anyone else?

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Off-topic: Medical update

Forgive me if I get personal for a moment. Yesterday, in a fit of depression brought on by an impending medical procedure, I mentioned “life-threatening surgery.” Well, the surgical procedures for which I was scheduled (which involved removal of a vertebra, and the insertion of many rods and screws) is life-threatening but no longer imminent. After an agonizing risk/benefit analysis, I concluded that the former outweighed the latter and the status quo could be maintained for another six months or year, or maybe more. (The prospect of having my neck largely immobilized for life weighed heavily against the surgery.) From this I have drawn a few lessons …

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Mega-Jottings

Hollywood Morgantown will open Dec. 22, just in time to capture a share of end-of-year business. The $111 million Penn National Gaming facility will feature 750 slots, 30 table games and cashless betting … The Seminole Tribe continues to offer sports betting, in defiance of a federal court order. Clearly the Seminoles think there’s one set of rules for them and another for everybody else. Wrote the plaintiffs’ attorneys, “the compact creates a gambling scheme that violates state and federal laws and makes unwitting bettors into accomplices in the violations of those laws.” Incidentally, aforesaid compact included a severability clause for OSB, a clear indication that the tribe and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) knew it probably wouldn’t pass muster … Speaking of legal troubles, junket operator Suncity has closed its VIP rooms in Macao (wiping out half the VIP market in town) following the arrest of CEO Alvin Chau for money laundering and other offenses. Casino stocks have been sliding on the Hong Kong bourse, with Wynn Macau down 18% …

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Strip sizzles, locals thriftier; Penn’s pride and joy

While tourists were more open-handed than ever, cash flow among Las Vegas locals may be drying up, as win/day fell 11% from September. By contrast, the same metric from the Las Vegas Strip was +6%. Further tipping the scales against locals-oriented casinos was the fact that Oct. 31 fell on a Sunday, meaning that two days of weekend slot revenue will be sloughed into November, per ancient Nevada accounting quirk. No need for crying towels: Locals still shed 3% more than in 2019. Slot win was up 2% on 11% more coin-in. That paled in comparison to the Strip, though, up a whopping 30%. Strip slot revenue of $368 million rose 21% on 26% more coin-in (and lower hold) while non-baccarat table win was 26% higher on 49% greater wagering. But the number that gladdened casino executives’ hearts the most was the amazing, 63% rise in baccarat win ($91 million)—even before international players have returned in earnest—despite 13% less wagering. Overall, Strip casinos won $702 million.

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Seminoles to feds: “F*** off”; Strip casinos drive down employment

In a big “up yours” to the federal judiciary, the Seminole Tribe—after momentarily pausing—has resumed taking sports bets and is effectively daring the courts to do something about it. If that weren’t nervy enough, the Seminoles have asked Judge Dabney Friedrich for a stay of her own order shutting down the new compact with the state of Florida. Tribal government has some strange ideas about how to make friends and influence people. We don’t think Judge Friedrich is going to be amused by this one-finger salute from the Seminoles and it makes any plea for clemency that much more implausible. By showing themselves to be bad actors, how do the Seminoles argue before the court that they deserve a reprieve while the judge’s ruling is appealed, a process that is expected to take six months and is not expected to be successful? It all comes down to buying time for more sports betting, period, but Chairman Marcellus W. Osceola has a funny way of going about it.

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Seminole compact nixed: Biden, DeSantis, Seminoles all lose

Floridians, we hope you enjoyed sports betting for all of the three weeks in which it was legal in the Sunshine State. Why? Because last night a federal judge struck down the Seminole Tribe‘s new compact with Gov. Ron DeSantis (R). Basically, Interior Secretary Deb Haaland screwed up and approved a compact that violates the terms of the Indian Gaming Regulatory Act. (Still unresolved is the state constitutionality of the compact, which is dubious at best.) District Court Judge Dabney Friedrich threw out the Biden administration’s daffy interpretation that gambling in cyberspace is happening on “tribal lands” so long as that’s where the servers are located, a line of reasoning the court dismissed as “fiction.”

Wrote Friedrich, “over a dozen provisions in IGRA regulate gaming on ‘Indian lands,’ and none regulate gaming in another location. Indeed, if there were any doubt on the issue, the Supreme Court has emphasized that ‘[e]verything—literally everything—in IGRA affords tools … to regulate gaming on Indian lands, and nowhere else.’” Chastising Haaland, the judge continued, “The Secretary must reject compacts that violate IGRA’s terms.” As gaming law expert Daniel Wallach said, “The avalanche of legal authority was on the side of invalidating online sports betting. She recognized the obvious—that a customer located in Jacksonville or Key West or Pensacola is not on Indian land when they initiate the wager.” He added that “the state of Florida and the Seminole Tribe were operating in a state of delusion.” (You can place tribal sports bets in Michigan, Arizona and Connecticut … but only if you’re on Native American land at the time.)

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