
“Viva Las Vegas” was the headline on Credit Suisse analyst Ben Chaiken‘s recap of 4Q21 earnings from MGM Resorts International. Wall Street expected $2.8 billion in revenue and $705 million in cash flow. MGM delivered $3.1 billion and $821 million, respectively. With Aria and Circus Circus backed out of the picture, revenue was up 4% and cash flow shot up 36%. “It sounds like trends in Vegas are recovering again following some Omicron related weakness in January, particularly in the group business,” wrote Chaiken, adding that management saw positive trends building toward the Grammy Awards (at the Green Monster) and NFL draft. Regional casinos performed as expected, delivering $309 million worth of cash flow. BetMGM was projected to generate $1.3 billion in net revenue this year, as it expands to Illinois (March) and Ontario (April).
Making the best of a bad situation in Macao, MGM brass noted that Chinese New Year visitation was up 30% over last year and mass-market play was solid, with MGM’s Macanese market share hitting an all-time high of 14%. Little was said about Japan, but Chaiken observed that the lion had $9 billion “in dry powder” that he expected to go into BetMGM and New York City (“potential high ROI projects”). BetMGM lost $211 million last year and will not be ROI-positive until 2023.
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