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Losing Your Insurance Bet?

Blackjack Insurance: Is it a Sucker Bet?

By Arnold Snyder
(From Casino Player, May 1997)
© Arnold Snyder 1997

Question from a Player:  My problem is that I have this feeling that I’m taking insurance far too often. I lose this bet a lot, even though I only take insurance when my true count is +3 or more. (I’m playing mostly in six-deck games in Mississippi and Louisiana.)

On my last trip, I put in 19 hours at the tables over a three day period. I kept track of all my insurance bets. I took insurance 14 times, won 5 times and lost 9 times. I realize this is a very short test from the statistical point of view (I’ve been reading your column for years!), but my experience on all of my trips is similar to this. I lose the insurance bet way more than I win it. This is just the one trip where I kept track of my results.

What’s worse, when I win the bet, I don’t really win anything, I just break even on my hand. Winning is actually more like pushing. When I lose the insurance bet, however, I not only lose the insurance, but I still have to play the hand against a dealer ace, which also often loses. I’m starting to think this insurance bet is just a sucker bet for card counters.

Blackjack Insurance: A Side Bet, Nothing More

Answer:  Many players are confused about the way insurance works because, in casino jargon, you are “insuring your hand.” Insurance is a side bet, and has nothing to do with the results of your blackjack hand.You are simply betting that the dealer has a ten in the hole. If he does, you win 2-to-1. It is not a “push” for your hand.

For example, you have a $100 bet on the table. You have a 16 vs. a dealer ace. Let’s say the insurance bet does not exist. The dealer peeks at his hole card, flips over a ten, and you lose your $100.

Now, assume insurance is offered. You have a true count of +5, so you put out $50 for insurance. Now, when the dealer flips over his ten, he pays your $50 insurance bet at 2-to-1 ($100), but you still lose your hand, so you break even.

Since, without the insurance bet, you would have been minus $100, this $50 bet gained you $100.

The actual result on your blackjack hand will be exactly the same regardless of whether or not you take insurance. If, for example, the dealer has a blackjack, you lose; if not, then you have to play out your hand vs. whatever he does have.

Also, your analysis of your blackjack insurance results indicates that you did pretty close to what you would expect as a card counter. For the sake of simplicity, let’s say all of your insurance bets were $50 each. Since you lost 9 times, this is a $450 loss; since you won 5 times (at 2-to-1), this is a $500 win. So, you’re $50 ahead of where you would have been had you never taken insurance.Technically, your fourteen $50 insurance bets would total $700 in action. A $50 win total on $700 action would mean that insurance has paid you at the rate of 6.67% — which is more likely a positive fluctuation in your favor than a negative one.

Remember, if you win your insurance bet just half as often as you lose it, you break even. So, it will always seem like you lose this bet more than you win it, even when you are making money on it.  ♠

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Do Blackjack Computers Play “Perfect” Strategy?

Test of a Blackjack Computer’s Betting Efficiency

Letter from Dr. Data Fehnworp
(From Blackjack Forum Vol. XIV #4, December 1994)
© Blackjack Forum 1994

I’ve had a hands-on demonstration of the Perfect Play Blackjack Computer advertised in recent issues of Blackjack Forum. The computer is a Z80 (old 8-bit microprocessor) on a 3 x 3 printed circuit board incased in plastic. Another chip on the board looks like it might be the voice chip. There only appears to be 16k RAM on board.

Anyhow, I had the seller set up Thorp’s classic 100% advantage deck remainder: two 7s and three 8s. The computer came up with a NEGATIVE bet recommendation, but proceeded to make the correct (stand) strategy recommendation. Same thing for two 7s and four 8s.

The vendor seemed surprised at the negative bet recommendation. For the record, in order for a blackjack computer to come up with the “perfect” bet recommendations for any deck residue, it would have to probabilize all player and dealer cards, along with every possible course of action for the player using a binary tree type program. This is essentially recreating Thorp’s “arbitrary subset” program in real time on every hand!

The price of the Perfect Play Computer is $10,000. The $4,000 quoted in the ad is for a lend/lease arrangement. The blackjack computer was hooked up to a speaker for the demo. The quality of the “speech” was only adequate for the purpose, I suppose. The earphone is practically invisible when inserted far down close to the eardrum. There are no wires going to the earphone; the user must wear a transmitter at chest level.

Input was through four spring switches that can be placed anywhere in your shoes for maximum accuracy and comfort. The values of the cards are repeated to the user as they are input. This is an important, user-friendly feature.

Betting Efficiency vs. Betting Correlation with the Perfect Play Blackjack Computer

Snyder Responds: It is my understanding that the Perfect Play computer uses Keith Taft’s old “David” chip, enhanced with the audio output. This computer was also bootlegged for many years under the name “Casey.” As such, its negative bet recommendations on the hands you described would be expected.

This blackjack computer was designed to play perfectly (or close to it), but bets are determined using Thorp’s Ultimate count, a single parameter point counting system described in Beat the Dealer (Random House, 1962/66). Thorp’s Ultimate count has a 100% betting correlation, but this is not the same thing as 100% betting efficiency.

No single parameter card counting system has 100% betting efficiency, and no concealable blackjack computer that I know of has ever been developed that could utilize an arbitrary subset program to analyze betting opportunities with perfect accuracy. This would be so time consuming that it is impractical. Other than for deep single-deck betting situations, it would also be pretty worthless.

Thanks for the first-hand product report.

To read more about blackjack computer card-counting and shuffle-tracking play, see the Interview with Keith and Marty Taft. ♠

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How to Count Cards

…and Chew Gum at the Same Time (Tips on Counting Technique)

By Kyle Sever
(From Blackjack Forum, Vol. XXI #2, Summer 2001)
© 2001 Blackjack Forum

[Note from Arnold Snyder: This truly is a terrific collection of tips on how to learn to count cards. One of the things I like best about Kyle’s tips is that they not only make you a good card counter, but they will also help to prepare you for advanced techniques for beating blackjack, like hole-carding.]

One of the most important fundamentals in blackjack is the utilization of proper card counting technique. Trouble is, I have never seen an explanation on how to do so.

It’s not uncommon for an author to say that once you can count down a deck in less than twenty-five seconds, you’re about ready for the casino, but lack of proper card counting technique can hinder your development as a card counter and/or get you into bad habits. It will not only slow down your counting, but will limit your ability to use more advanced methods of advantage play and cover.

Technique for Visualizing the Count

One of the most common card counting errors is maintaining the count by repeating it in the head. Assuming the player is using the hi-lo, when he or she sees a five, immediately +1 should go into the head. However, many players will literally talk to themselves and say “plus one” or perhaps “one” in their heads. In negative counts, this type of player needs to say something in addition to the number to indicate it’s negative, such as “minus one” or “m-one.” If someone doesn’t like negatives I would bet money it’s due to poor technique.

Instead of maintaining the count by repeating the number in your head, it’s advisable to visualize it and keep it visually in front of you as if it was stuck there with glue. When visualizing the number, don’t picture it on the table or anything external; then you would be focusing your eyes on only one spot. Instead, visualize it in your head. As new cards come across the table, the visualized number should be changing in your mind. When you are waiting between rounds, instead of repeating the count, the number should be held in place as if you had eyes in the back of your head.

When applying this technique, the number in your head shouldn’t change after each individual card that you proceed to see. You should generally take in multiple cards at once and after counting the group, the number should change. This method is faster and easier since many cards cancel out. The exception is when there is a potential bust card, since if the player busts the dealer will place the cards from the busted hand immediately into the discard tray.

Card Counting Tecnique and Talking

One of the best things about counting visually is that it will greatly facilitate the skill of counting and talking simultaneously. If you are saying the count in your head and someone tries to start up a conversation, you will have problems maintaining both the inner voice and outer voice. It is best to use just one voice and use another form of memory, visualization.

I can recall only one personal resource on how to count and talk the same time but was disappointed by the explanation. One noted blackjack author and web host had a short article that explained how someone could maintain the count using physical means, such as counting with your hands, fingers or chips so the counter could keep the count while talking.

I have two problems with this method of counting cards. First, it presupposes that you would be counting using auditory methods. Instead of focusing on how to count with good technique, the author was showing how to minimize the effects of counting with poor technique. Second, it can look conspicuous.

Card Counting Practice Technique

Once you begin to get the basic visualization technique down, it will take time to increase your speed. When counting cards, focus only on relevant information. Once your eyes pick up enough information to obtain the value of the card(s), don’t focus on it any more. If your eyes see a gob of paint, it’s a ten. You really shouldn’t care if it is a king, queen, jack or a ten. If you use the Hi-Lo, and you see a few spots on the card, then poof, it is +1. You don’t care if it is a three or four, heart, spade, etc. Just be careful not to count the ace as +1.

If you see a moderate amount of paint (7, 8, 9), the count would be 0. Your eyes should be like a camera, taking shots and quickly processing the information. Your camera doesn’t need to take multiple pictures of the same item.

One reason multi-level systems are more difficult is that it takes longer to discern the properly assigned number to a card. When using a higher level system such as Brh-1, which assigns a +3 value to the five, your camera must zoom in, and it forces you to look more specifically at the number of spots on the card or the number in the index. A one level system, on the other hand, requires you only to look and see if there is a low to medium density of pips on the card.

In order to facilitate recognition of cards, I recommend that you practice without the index and focus on the pips. If you use a regular deck of cards, white out the indexes of the whole deck, or at a minimum, do it to all non-face cards. Another way to efface the indexes is with a hole-punch, or simply tear them. If you have a computer you can use Smart Cards or Casino Verite and practice with them. Learning to count this way is especially helpful when back-counting. When far away from the table it’s not easy to identify the index but it’s usually feasible to see the rest of the card.

When initially learning to count and talk the same time, don’t jump into a full-blown conversation. Sit at home and say a one-syllable word and hold it out loud. Just say something like “Woooooooonnggg.” While holding the word, try counting. Try to keep the sound of it as consistent as possible. Although doing this will make you sound like an opera singer, it’s a good exercise to learn to talk while counting. (Sorry Arnold, even though you’re a bishop, I don’t recommend blackjack players worship you while practicing due to your name!)

If you are having trouble doing this task then I recommend you soften your voice. I don’t recommend you practice by talking in intervals because this may lead you to do most of your counting when not talking and/or when your voice is attenuated. Eventually, variation in speech should increase and you should be able to talk continuously.

Being able to count and talk the same time is important but it’s just as important to count and listen at the same time. Try listening to the radio or listen to the television while counting and try to comprehend what is being said. Once you reach this level of proficiency, you will feel confident if someone in the casino wants to strike up a conversation. Once again, if you rely on auditory counting you may find yourself struggling to distinguish between what two voices are telling you.

Practice with different IRC’s (initial running counts). If you don’t like negatives then try starting the count at –10. Exaggerate the practice. It’s analogous to a baseball player loosening up by swinging two bats. If you can learn to handle difficult situations then when it comes to game time, it should be easier.

I highly advise the use of a computer program to facilitate practice. With a computer, your practice sessions will be more efficient since all it takes is a click of the button to pick the cards up. Two of best practice programs currently out on the market are Casino Verite by Norman Wattenburger and Smart Cards by Richard Reid. Casino Verite has long been accepted as THE program to imitate real world casino play. Its superb graphics, attention to detail and number of options can make you feel like you are playing at any number of games around the world. However, the very nature of what makes the program great is also its downfall.

I don’t feel Casino Verite is the best choice for newer players or for those really trying to improve their skills. The process of learning to count cards must be broken down into different drills. Although Casino Verite does have some drills, they are limited in scope. The software was designed, first and foremost, to imitate casino play and not for counting training or practice.

To improve your counting skills, I recommend Smart Cards by Extreme Blackjack. To the best of my knowledge, there isn’t any software like it. It seeks to improve the most fundamental skill in all of blackjack: counting.

It has a number of ways to let the user practice and drill along with multiple ways of distributing the cards. The variety of count settings is important since it will train you to recognize cards quickly without setting you within a rigid method of counting. A rigid method of counting is when you start at the same direction and count in the same order each time. The drills in Smart Cards will train your eyes to move in different directions.

Once you start to master counting, I would then consider the purchase of Casino Verite. I think of it as card counting maintenance software. It gives you a chance to use your index numbers, betting spread, and card counting skills all at one time and, by occasionally practicing on it, you can maintain your counting skills once you have gotten your system down. Now if Extreme Blackjack would only put a playing module in Smart Cards

Newcomers often wonder how fast they should be able to count before they are ready for the casino. There is no easy answer to this. In fact, I used to spend too much time counting down decks and not enough time playing hands. I could count down a deck by hand in 15 seconds, yet had problems when I tried to play hands against the computer.

My advice would be to first count down decks until you can do so without the voice in your head and do it in 20 seconds by hand or 15 seconds by computer program. Once you can do this, try doing the same while talking. Once you get this far, don’t worry about making the card counting Olympics. Go play some hands and stick with that, occasionally going back to count down decks. Consider doing this even more if you are gonna do some back-counting. Once you count down a deck quickly and play your hands while talking and listening to someone else, then you’re about ready to tackle the casinos.

If you do decide that you want to get your speed as fast as possible, remember that no matter how much you work at it, there is a limit to what you can do. One blackjack author has said that it’s possible for some magicians to riffle through a deck and memorize the entire deck sequence in a matter of a couple seconds. I would certainly think that a magician could do it since such a feat would make a decent magic trick! In fact, the current world record for memorizing the order of cards in an entire deck is thirty-four seconds, a record set by Andi Bell in 2000.

Overall, your counting will be very slow at first since you are re-training your brain. But eventually, your counting speed will exceed what you were able to do before. In fact, after many years’ experience, some counters don’t even try to count at all and they find that they know the count. You may find yourself counting cards inadvertently if you are just watching a game of blackjack for the fun of it.

Tips on Card Counting Systems

Another advantage of counting visually is that it will be easier to handle more complex systems. If you have wondered how some people manage multiple counts at once, they don’t usually repeat the count in their heads. It’s much easier to handle multiple pieces of information by visual means.

If you don’t intend to learn a multi-parameter system, but would like to upgrade to a higher level system such as UBZ II or Brh-1, then you will find that visualization will help you master the increased complexity. Although good technique will improve your ability to handle more intricate systems, I’m not necessarily advising you to change counts. The greatest benefit will be speed of play and cover, including the ability to count and talk the same time.

Card Counting Technique in the Casino

I don’t recommend getting into a routine when counting cards in a casino. Any type of fixation can be bad for cover and counting order is no exception. Many card counters count in the same fashion round after round.

For example, a common way people count a face up game is to start at the right and follow the deal counting each new card they see. However, you may not want to start at the right all the time in this type of situation. Depending on how you are acting with the other players, and your seating position, it’s sometimes best to count by starting at the left.

For example, if your attention was focused for a second on something that was going on West of the table (for example, a boss points out something special in the casino), it would be easiest and look most natural to count the cards at 3rd base first. Counting in different ways will give you flexibility at the table that will minimize the amount of energy you use. You must be able to adapt your counting to what you are doing outside of counting the cards.

The best example of how flexibility earns $$ is when back-counting more than one table. When doing this, you can’t spend too much time counting one table, especially when both tables are in sync, that is, when the actions of the two dealers correlate. Your eyes must go back and forth.

Card Counting Technique: Conclusion

There are several advantages in using visualization and good technique at the blackjack tables. The greatest plus will be cover and speed of play. You will focus on the count using less energy and your brain won’t be buzzing as much after a long day at the casinos. Your speed of play will increase and you will be able to count and talk the same time. Perhaps you will even consider changing to a more powerful card counting system. In the end, this all means more $$ in your pockets.

I wish you all good luck in your card counting training. Before long you may be counting cards like Peter Griffin, using Hi-Opt I with all five side-counts! ♠

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Risk of Ruin for Basic Strategy Players

Blackjack Betting and Risk of Ruin for the Basic Strategy Player

By Brother William
(From Blackjack Forum Vol XV #3, September 1995)
© 1995 Blackjack Forum

[Editor’s note: Brother William’s article about fluctuations in your blackjack bankroll when flat betting and playing basic strategy have a new relevance for players who are taking advantage of online casino bonuses or loss rebate plays. If you are a basic strategy player for any reason, study the article and chart below to get a handle on the normal fluctuations you can expect in your blackjack bankroll. –Arnold Snyder]

In the June 1995 issue of Blackjack Forum, I suggested that it would be helpful to basic strategy blackjack players to print detailed risk charts indicating standard deviation (fluctuation) for flat betting when playing basic strategy. I think there is a danger for players who are milking comps and promotions in not understanding these risks.

In an attempt to remedy this problem, I have created an all-purpose risk chart for the basic strategy player. I hope basic strategy blackjack players will study this chart carefully.

How to Use the Blackjack Basic Strategy Betting Risk Chart

Assumptions:

1. House advantage over the basic strategy player is 0.54% (which would correspond precisely to a 6-deck shoe game with Strip rules, but works pretty well for most games available anywhere, as the house edge is usually set around ½% over the basic strategy player).

2. 60 hands per hour of play. (This is pretty close to what you’ll average with a full table.)

3. Flat betting 1 unit per hand.

Regardless of what your unit size is, you may use this chart simply by multiplying. If you were playing $1 per hand, then all of the chart entries in units can simply be read right from the chart in dollars and cents. Example: betting $1 per hand for 16 hours of play, as per the assumed game conditions, you would have an expected loss of $5.18. You will be within one standard deviation (SD) of this expectation 68% of the time, which translates to an actual result between a loss of $39.27 and a win of $28.90. You will be within three standard deviations 99.7% of the time, which translates to an actual result between a loss of $117.80 and a win of $86.69.

Using a $100 betting unit, if you intend to play a total of 16 hours of basic strategy in this game and you’re willing to accept a risk level of three SD’s, simply move the decimal point two places to the right. You would expect to lose $518.00, but your actual result 99.7% of the time would fall between a loss of $11,780.00 and a win of $8,669.00.

So, if you can stand the thought of losing somewhere around $12,000 every rare once in a while in 16 hours of play, you can afford to flat bet this game with black chips.

The charts are very easy to use with flat bets of $1, $10, $100 and $1000, because you simply have to move the decimal point. For flat bets of $5 or $25 or whatever, just use a pocket calculator.

Note that the entry in the “expected loss” column can be used to estimate what you are actually “paying” for any comps your action buys.

Blackjack Basic Strategy Risk Chart
# hoursexpected
loss (units)
SD %SD levelsloss
(units)
win
(units)
10.3214.21    68%
2    95%
3    99.7%
4    100%
8.84
17.69
26.53
35.39
8.20
16.39
24.59
32.79
20.6510.01    68%
2    95%
3    99.7%
4    100%
12.70
25.40
38.09
50.79
11.40
22.80
34.21
45.60
30.978.201    68%
2    95%
3    99.7%
4    100%
15.73
31.46
47.19
62.92
13.79
27.57
41.36
55.14
41.307.101    68%
2    95%
3    99.7%
4    100%
18.34
36.67
55.01
73.35
15.75
31.49
47.24
62.98
82.595.021    68%
2    95%
3    99.7%
4    100%
26.69
53.38
80.08
106.77
21.51
43.02
64.52
86.03
123.894.101    68%
2    95%
3    99.7%
4    100%
33.40
66.81
100.21
133.62
25.63
51.26
76.88
102.51
165.183.551    68%
2    95%
3    99.7%
4    100%
39.27
78.53
117.80
157.07
28.90
57.80
86.69
115.59
206.483.181    68%
2    95%
3    99.7%
4    100%
44.59
89.17
133.76
178.34
31.63
63.25
94.88
126.50
247.782.901    68%
2    95%
3    99.7%
4    100%
49.52
99.04
148.55
198.07
33.97
67.93
101.90
135.86

Again, I hope any basic strategy blackjack players out there will study this chart carefully. The bankroll you save my be your own. Good luck! ♠

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Banking California Blackjack Games

A Banking Team for Player-Banked Blackjack

By Arnold Snyder
(From Card Player , April 1994)
© 1994 Arnold Snyder

Question from a Reader:  Some of the Indian reservations here in Northern California now offer player-banked blackjack. Table limits go up to $100 at one such casino, and $200 at another, at least on the few visits that I’ve made to these places. Most players bet in the $5-25 range most of the time, even when the table limit is higher, but still it takes a pretty healthy bankroll to bank one of these games. I’ve seen dealers bust a few times in a row at a crowded table, breaking a bank in a few minutes, just by minor bad luck.

There are not many card counters at these tables, and much of the blackjack play is pretty atrocious by Nevada standards. I have taken to banking these games fairly regularly, and with great success. I must admit, however, that the bankroll swings are enormous. I’ve had more than one losing night, though I most certainly win most of the times I’ve banked.

Here’s my question: I have been talking to some friends who are card counters about combining bankrolls with me to go after these games with a “team” approach. In other words, if four of us would each put up $5,000, we could play off of a $20,000 combined bankroll.

It seems to me that if we were each banking a different table, we could play off of the common team bank with all of the positive aspects of blackjack team play. We would get into the long run faster. One player’s losses would likely be hedged by the other players’ wins, etc. Is my thinking right on this? In a sense, a well-financed banking team would almost be like being a casino ourselves! Am I right?

Answer Regarding Blackjack Banking Teams

Yes, you most certainly are right. Playing off of a common bank should cut your short term risk and flatten the wild fluctuations you’ve been experiencing.

Your scheme to “take over” the tables is very similar to what some teams of professional players did in Arizona a few years ago when “social” gambling in bars was legalized. The Arizona bar gambling, unfortunately, became quite overrun with cheats on both sides of the table, primarily due to a complete lack of gaming controls.

My understanding of these California Indian reservation casinos, with player banked blackjack, is that the games are somewhat more regulated, and more closely monitored by the casino personnel, than were the Arizona bar games.

But be careful. Anytime you gamble with large amounts of cash in relatively loose blackjack games, controlled more by players than by casino personnel, professional cheats will be tempted to get in on the action. Be especially careful if players are allowed to handle their cards, or if dealers are allowed to use varying dealing procedures.

Also, if you are offering limits of $100-200 per hand on blackjack games you are banking, your suggested $20,000 bankroll could prove to be too small if a lot of players decide to play table limits. As long as most players are betting in that $5-25 range, with a smattering of larger bets, you shouldn’t have a problem affording the negative fluctuations. One table full of high rollers, however, could put you out of business in no time flat, just due to normal fluctuation. ♠

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Blackjack in Prague

The Traveling Gambler: Prague Spring

by BJ Traveller (with Mark Dace)
(From Blackjack Forum XXIV #3, Summer 2005)
© Blackjack Forum 2005

[Editor’s Note: BJ Traveller is not only a successful professional gambler but the author of the best-selling Chinese language book in the U.S. market in 2002. Three of his Chinese-language books on gambling are currently available at all World Bookstores, including Beat 21, BJTravelling, and TZL Teaches. TZL is BJTraveller’s Chinese pen-name, and it translates as “The gentleman carrying son (…to casinos).” Here is his account (again with partner Mark Dace) of counting cards, shuffle tracking, and scorching the blackjack tables of Prague. BJTraveller is seeing the world–one blackjack table at a time. — Arnold Snyder]

There are many casinos in Prague. Perhaps too many! I read a news article about Prague that stated that the Czech Republic has the highest casino density in all of Europe.

The VIP Casino Group, operating three casinos in Prague, started offering full early surrender (ES) on their blackjack games in early 2004. A counter I know of who played 22 sessions and won $40,000 was barred. He swapped the location of the game with me for some information on another game that I knew of. I had played at Prague before and believed that I was dealt seconds on that occasion, but I decided to go regardless.

Prague is known as the museum of architecture because it has not been damaged by wars for 800 years. I consider it to be one of the most beautiful cities in the world. The city also has a great public transportation system, which allows travelers to stay at a not-so-centrally-located but much cheaper priced accommodation. There are also many good Chinese restaurants around the city central area, which is very important for my critical culinary tastes.

When I arrived in Prague late in August, many advantage players, including ChanceKing and some others from the UK and Greece, were already playing the game regularly. Except for two local counters, most AP’s played hit and run for several days. I used to play like that on good games but with much regret as many good games deteriorated while I gave them a rest, playing other not so good games. I started playing a torch burn style for the Prague game, and decided that I would stop only after being barred or having the game deteriorate. The rules of the game were 6D, S17, early surrender, ENHC (however, the dealer did NOT take players’ doubles or splits when the dealer had a blackjack, only their original wager), DoA, DAS, no RSA, and re-split to a total of 4 hands. The edge for the player was about 0.2% off the top. The maximum wager was $400. I jumped my bets without disguise, following along with the local card counters who had befriended the casino staff. I was half-shoed very fast while playing heads up at the higher limit table, while the local counters at smaller maximum tables with crowded playing conditions enjoyed 75% penetration. I made about $200 an hour in 2004 playing 4 to 5 hours a day against a slightly trackable 50% penetration game. I played it for two and half months, leaving only because of visa restrictions. A Malaysian card counter, who was winning about $400 a day playing long hours, and Mark Dace, who was tipped by me about the game, were barred during the period I was absent.

The casino group finally had enough of card counters and canceled early surrender as a New Year’s gift on January 1, 2005. I might have been the first professional player to be informed of its unfortunate demise while playing in the casino on the morning of New Year’s Day. (Note: This day is of little importance to me as Chinese mainly celebrate the Lunar New Year. Thus, I was “working” on that day.) The casinos also half-shoed all the blackjack tables. They still offered early surrender against 10 and the games were still trackable so I played on for several weeks winning about $100 an hour.

An interesting side story about daily life “working” at the VIP Casino involved a young girl, a restaurant owner who was also a Chinese and who played quite big. She played poorly and hated basic strategy players, so she changed tables when she saw somebody at her table hitting 15, 16 or A,7. It was the late stage of the early surrender game so there were advantage players at almost all four blackjack tables. She was hopping around like a grasshopper and complaining about why there were so many ploppies. What she didn’t realize was that she was the real moron there.

I left the Czech Republic for another early surrender game in South America, but when I returned to Prague, in early May, I found that I had been barred. Luckily I scouted the Banco Casino, where Mark had played after getting barred by VIP, and found that they were now offering a double deck game. The game started on April 15. It was S17, early surrender against ten (ES10), DoA, DAS, ENHC, no RSA, and 50% penetration–about minus 0.04% off-the-top. One could play all seven boxes. The two local card counters, who had migrated to the game already, had won about $50,000 jointly. I attempted to show the casino some mercy by politely playing two hands of $20 off the top while the local counters spread from one hand of $4 to seven hands of $200! The casino started restricting player bets to five boxes, and shortly thereafter only two boxes. They also raised the minimum to $20. The 50% deck penetration was executed by inserting a shuffle card at the middle of the two decks and the game was dealt from a shoe.

The two local counters, a Japanese counter, and my assistant and I enjoyed the game for about half a month, winning about $100,000 combined. The casino also operated the only Hold’em tables in the city and had some big roulette players who bet multiple thousands of dollars a hand. A Chinese restaurant owner who was driven out by the VIP group’s bad penetration also migrated to Banco and lost about $100,000 in a month, which definitely prolonged the life of the game. This Chinese restaurant owner lost heavily most of the time and stood on totals of 6 or soft 17 sometimes. He thought poorly of my hitting hard 16 and offered me a partnership playing under his (very, very stupid) intuition strategies. I learned later that his wife watched his gambling losses closely so he tried to get other big players’ funds to satisfy his lust for bigger action.

The casino general manager was a blackjack player and very experimental. The double deck game now became 33% penetration and H17. However, he also started offering a single deck game and it was S17, two hands maximum for any one player, table limits of $20 to $200, and 50% penetration! I won $6,000 very fast but ended up dead even on the first night. There was a shuffle card used and the game was dealt from a shoe.

The single deck became a regular game several days later. I noticed one of the local card counters cashing out quickly so I inquired as to why he did this. The local counter urged that I not get too greedy for the purpose of the longevity of the game. I agreed and complied. On this session, I stopped playing after a win of $4,200 in two hours.

The nice single deck rules did not last long, however. Within days, the table limits became $40 to $200, S17 was changed to H17, and 33% penetration substituted for 50%. Sensing that the game might not last long, I tipped off several capable advantage players. Only one, Orson, showed up in time. The single deck deteriorated further, down to two rounds per shoe regardless of the number of players. I happened to be sitting at a table opposite Orson and we could see the decks’ back cards on the opposing table. I signaled Orson to meet me in the men’s room and we agreed on signals for big and small bottom cards. One exposed back card is worth much in single deck and we could sometimes see two cards, both before and after the player cut the deck. Sometimes the small bottom card (which was cut out) was offset by a new big bottom card. With the poor penetration, depending on how thin the player cut was, we could easily steer both cards behind the cut card placement. When both bottom cards were small cards, we could bet big off-the-top.

The fun lasted only about an hour. The dealers became quite aware and alert and asked for another cut card to cover the bottom of the pack of cards. The two-rounds games were still beatable, however, and I won about $2,000 a night.

Additionally, Banco gave a 5% rebate on session losses of over $1,000. I lost $3,900 on day shift and received $200 in loss rebate. The loss was fully recovered, plus some profit for good measure, on the night shift. The casino, unfortunately, did not see the humor in this recovery and the single deck became a game with only one round being dealt for me. Time to leave.

There have been many discussions on blackjack sites about cheating in Prague. I believed I was dealt seconds in two casinos. A third casino name came out in the discussions I read. One of the cheating casinos, The Royal, was closed down after a grenade explored in front of it. The grenade was thrown by the Israeli Mafia. The casino was reported to be closed due to its problematic ownership. However, a manager at a VIP casino told me it was closed because of their cheating the players. The other two cheating casinos were still operating. A former staff from one of the casinos confirmed the cheating to me.

The Austria Gaming Group also runs a casino in Prague. The penetration was only so-so but they allowed ES10 and RSA. I did not have much patience for such a game and spread up to 140 times my minimum. The casino didn’t like this and half shoed me whenever possible. This casino was giving players $4 a day to play through a coupon promotion, so I still played there sometimes. Banco gave also $4 a day. My assistant was more patient and won some money through a similar deal.

I scouted other Prague casinos. Most were not playable. A casino on the riverside was block trackable but gave bad penetration after several winning sessions. Another casino nearby did not regulate its dealers’ shuffles. Some dealers were sequential trackable.

I believed I had made most decisions correctly in how I played the Prague games and extracted maximum or near maximum value from the good games. The only move that might have been more profitable was to have continued playing when the single deck was S17 with 50% penetration, ignoring the local counter’s warning.

Prague is one of the “must see” cities. The hotel reservation service at the airport can provide ample choices. I stayed at the Olsanka Hotel and the Hostel Akat. Both places posted walk-in prices and I got a 10% to a 20% discount as a long time guest.

Last but not the least, some important issues. A tour guide warned me about the three pests of the Prague tourism scene. They are the money changers, the taxis, and the con men/thieves.

1. Money Changers

Many post two prices. You lose 20% or even 30% changing several hundred dollars, as the attractive price posted is for changing more than $3,000.

2. Taxi drivers

Most taxis parked in the downtown area used crooked meters. I was cheated twice. The taxi drivers fled after I mentioned the police. Another player told me he had asked for the police but was forced to pay at gunpoint many years ago. The Prague mayor was charged five times the correct fare while wearing a disguise. Always ask the casino or the hotel receptionist to arrange for a taxi.

3. Con men and thieves.

A stranger holding a map asked me directions to the Metro station bus to the airport. Two big guys, wearing ties and dark blue sweaters, showed up questioning whether we were changing money and asked to check for fake Czech currency. The stranger handed over a big stack of money for inspection immediately. I took out my wallet, which also contained some Euros. The “police” then asked to check the Euros too, which aroused my suspicion as this had nothing to do with their initial request concerning their own country’s money. An American card counter had warned me that he once encountered fake Romanian police on a train checking money. I put my wallet back and asked to see their IDs, which did not have photos. The police flashed their IDs again. I invited them to go to the police station with me. One of the alleged policemen asked in a threatening tone of voice for my cooperation. I walked away. The three of them stood there watching.

[Note: I went back to Prague a month after Banco started shuffling up after one round on their single deck. Splitting was not allowed and there was no more surrender. The single deck was shuffled after every round and players were restricted to two boxes. The double deck’s penetration was 25%, but one to seven boxes were allowed. They only allowed a 1-6 spread per box, however.] ♠

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The Blackjack Hall of Fame

The Blackjack Hall of Fame Honors Professional Gamblers

© 2005-2012 Blackjack Forum Online

After taking stock of my life, I find my most valuable acquisition
is the wisdom I’ve learned through gambling.

— N. M. “Junior” Moore, The Crossroader

[Note: This is the article about the Blackjack Hall of Fame published in BJFO in 2012. Since then, other Hall of Famers have been added. I will update this article following the 2022 Blackjack Ball. – A.S.]

In the Winter of 2002 a diverse selection of 21 blackjack experts, authors, and professional players were nominated by the top professional gamblers in the world to the Blackjack Hall of Fame. Voting for the Blackjack Hall of Fame was open to the public for about a month on the Internet, and the final voting was completed at the 2003 Blackjack Ball in January, an event open only to the top professional players.

The primary voting for the Blackjack Hall of Fame is done by professional players. There are two reasons for this. First, the founders realized that professional players are the only ones who know the full accomplishments, at and away from the tables, of people who are professional blackjack players. That is because many of these achievements must be hidden from the public in order to protect sensitive information from reaching the casinos.

Second, the founders felt that it is professional players, whose survival depends on such knowledge, who know best which authors and theories have truly been original and truly had the greatest impact on the game, especially on players’ ability to win at the tables.

The Seven Original Inductees into the Blackjack Hall of Fame

There was a remarkable concurrence between the voting of the public and professional players on the original seven inductees to the Blackjack Hall of Fame.

The seven original inductees to the Blackjack Hall of Fame (in alphabetical order) were: Al Francesco, Peter Griffin, Tommy Hyland, Arnold Snyder, Edward O. Thorp, Ken Uston and Stanford Wong.

You may be familiar with some of these names. (Knowledgeable card counters are familiar with all of them.) Griffin, Snyder, Thorp, Uston, and Wong are primarily known to the public through their research and writings on blackjack. Francesco and Hyland are primarily known to professional players (and casino game protection personnel!) for their relentless and highly successful team attacks on the casinos.

Subsequent Inductees into the Blackjack Hall of Fame

The following year, at the 2004 Blackjack Ball, two more inductees were added, again with primary voting done by professional gamblers at the Ball. The two added members: Keith Taft, a brilliant inventor who has spent more than two decades milking the casino blackjack games with his high-tech electronic devices, and author Max Rubin, known for his book on milking high-value casino comps, Comp City, as well as his work on developing some of the highest-edge blackjack team plays.

At the 2005 Blackjack Ball, Julian Braun and Lawrence Revere were inducted, and in 2006 professional gambler James Grosjean was elected to the Blackjack Hall of Fame. In 2007, Johnny Chang was elected, and in 2008 Roger Baldwin, Will Cantey, Herbert Maisel and James McDermott, also known as The Four Horsemen of Aberdeen, were elected for their pioneering work in developing the first accurate blackjack basic strategy. You will find more information about each of the Hall of Fame members below.

Recent inductees include: Richard W. Munchkin (2009), Darryl Purpose (2010), Zeljko Ranogajec (2011), and Ian Anderson, 2012. Richard Munchkin and Darryl Purpose have logged many years as high-stakes players around the world, including with several of the great blackjack teams. They have made money at blackjack using virtually every form of advantage play ever invented, and they were part of the development of several high-edge methods. Darryl Purpose began with the Ken Uston team, and was known as the fastest card counter in the world. Richard Munchkin is the author of Gambling Wizards.

Zeljko Ranogajec ran the most sophisticated and profitable blackjack teams in Australia and continues to deploy his teams in innovative plays in casinos around the world. Ian Anderson is a high-stakes player and author of Turning the Tables on Las Vegas , an esteemed work among professional blackjack players as the first work to seriously address card counting camouflage, and how to get away with high-stakes play long term. (Anderson also wrote a guide for lower-stakes players, titled Burning the Tables in Las Vegas.)

Nomination of candidates has now become the permanent responsibility of the members of the Blackjack Hall of Fame. Every year, the current Hall of Fame memberrs submit names of possible candidates to each other, with biographical information and reasons for consideration. No limitations are placed on the number of names that can be submitted in this initial part of the process. All seven members then vote on their top seven choices, with all members’ votes counting equally. Each member’s votes are provided to all other members to insure the integrity of the process.

The purpose of the Blackjack Hall of Fame is twofold: to honor people of exceptional accomplishment in this field, and to educate the public about the creativity, intelligence, drive, and courage of great players whose achievements at the tables have largely been hidden from the public. The rules for public voting require that the biographies of the nominees be posted wherever the voting takes place.

Last year (2003), the Barona Casino actually created the physical Hall of Fame, similar to the Binion’s Horseshoe’s “Wall of Fame” for great poker players. Each inductee has a plaque with his photo and a few words about his contributions and accomplishments. There is also a museum of cheating devices. There are marked cards, computer shoes, “hold-out” gizmos for card-switching, and all kinds of cool stuff.

An interesting side note: the Barona Casino, which is sponsoring the Blackjack Hall of Fame, has awarded to each inductee a permanent lifetime comp for full room, food, and beverage in exchange for each member’s agreement never to play on Barona’s tables. Arnold Snyder says: “I must admit that this membership and lifetime comp is definitely the strangest thing I’ve ever won from a casino. I’ve been thinking of calling around the casinos of Vegas to see if I can get similar terms.”

In any case, let’s look at the eleven current Blackjack Hall of Fame members, and explain why they were chosen by professional players for this honor.

Members of the Blackjack Hall of Fame and their Achievements

Julian Braun

Julian Braun died in 2000 and his only book, How to Play Winning Blackjack, is long out of print and a collector’s item. For ten years in the early days of card counting, he did a vast amount of the computer work for some of the top authors.

He did the programming for the 2nd edition of E.O. Thorp’s Beat the Dealer . His programs were used to develop all of Lawrence Revere’s systems, as well as the Hi-Opt systems. Of the “pre-Stanford Wong” professional players (the pros playing before the first edition of Wong’s Professional Blackjack came out in 1975), most were using either Thorp’s Ten Count, Thorp’s Hi-Lo, Hi-Opt I, Hi-Opt II, Revere’s Point Count, Revere’s +/-, or Revere’s Advanced Point Count. These were the most popular and widely disseminated systems in use for about ten years, and Julian Braun’s programs were used to develop all of them.

See Arnold Snyder’s Interview with Julian Braun in the Blackjack Forum Gambling Library.

John Chang

John Chang has been known by casinos and the public for over 20 years as manager of the MIT blackjack team, which has won many millions of dollars from casinos in Las Vegas and around the world using a variety of card-counting and other professional gambling techniques, many of them first analyzed and pioneered by John.

John remains active as a professional gambler, and many other professional players continue to use his analysis and innovations to beat blackjack and other casino games, so we’re going to have to wait a few more years to tell you the best stuff about John Chang’s career and accomplishments.

For more information on John Chang and the MIT blackjack team, see The MIT Blackjack Team: Interview with Team Manager Johnny C.

The Four Horsemen of Aberdeen: Roger Baldwin, Will Cantey, James McDermott and Herbert Maisel

The “Four Horsemen of Aberdeen”” (Roger Baldwin, Wilbert Cantey, Herbert Maisel and James McDermott) were inducted into the Blackjack Hall of Fame in 2008 by the unanimous decision of the current living members of the Hall of Fame, including (alphabetically) Johnny Chang, Al Francesco, James Grosjean, Tommy Hyland, Max Rubin, Arnold Snyder, Edward O. Thorp, and Stanford Wong.

The Four Horsemen were inducted for their pioneering work in publishing, in 1956, the first accurate basic strategy for the game of blackjack. The strategy was first published in an article in the Journal of the American Statistical Association; later the strategy was published for a mass audience in the 1957 book Playing Blackjack to Win .

Ed Thorp credits Baldwin, Cantey, Maisel and McDermott with being the impetus for his own research into the game. The four mathematicians provided Thorp with all of their data in 1958, which ultimately led to the publication of Thorp’s Beat the Dealer in 1962.

Although the Four Horsemen did not realize it at the time, the strategy they published in 1957, which also included the first legitimate card-counting system, was the first published blackjack strategy to provide a player advantage over the house with a flat bet. Recent computer simulation carried out by ETFan at Blackjack Forum Online, using the PowerSim blackjack simulation software, shows that the strategy provided a player edge of 0.1%.

One of the particularly impressive things about the Four Horsemen’s accomplishment was that they determined an accurate basic strategy using only desk calculators (or what used to be commonly called “adding machines”), as they began their work while in the Army in 1953, and computers were not available to them at that time. Although the game of blackjack had been played in casinos for 200 years, and although all of the other common casino-banked games had been mathematically analyzed by this time, blackjack had not been analyzed because all of the experts agreed that the game was simply too complicated.

Although the Four Horsemen were never widely known by the public, blackjack aficionados and professional players have always revered the four mathematicians as legends.

Here are a few comments about the Four Horsemen from the members of the Blackjack Hall of Fame:

James Grosjean: “I must have heard a thousand different players tell someone at a blackjack table ‘The book says this’ or “The book says that.’ These guys are the book.”

Johnny Chang: “When I first read the 1957 article they wrote that appeared in the Journal of the American Statistical Association with an accurate basic strategy, I couldn’t fathom how they had accomplished this using desk calculators. It just seemed impossible.”

Al Francesco: “Without these guys, none of us would even be here.”

Cardoza Publishing has published a 50th anniversary edition of the Four Horsemen’s Playing Blackjack to Win , along with interviews and other historical information about these men who changed blackjack history. Arnold Snyder has provided an Introduction for the book, and Ed Thorp has written the Foreword, in which he states: “To paraphrase Isaac Newton, if I have seen farther than others it is because I stood on the shoulders of four giants.”

For more information on Roger Baldwin, Will Cantey, Herbert Maisel and James McDermott, see The Four Horsemen and the First Accurate Blackjack Basic Stragegy .

Al Francesco

Al is one of the most highly respected blackjack players in the history of the game. This is the guy who literally invented team play at blackjack and taught Ken Uston how to count cards. Ken once said to Arnold Snyder: “I owe everything to Al. He really might be the greatest blackjack player there ever was, and he’s also a real gentleman.”

Al is primarily known to the general public through Ken Uston’s books as the mastermind who created the “big player” (BP) team concept. Al started his first blackjack team in the early 1970s, and until Uston’s first book, The Big Player, was published in 1977, Al’s teams were completely invisible to the casinos and extracted millions of dollars from them.

Virtually all of the most successful blackjack teams that came after The Big Player was published—the Hyland team, the MIT team, the Czech team, the Greeks—used Al’s BP concept to disguise their attacks, and that approach is still being employed profitably by teams today.

Al is known by professional players for his highly inventive approaches to beating the casinos, though many of his methods cannot yet be written about because they are still in use by players. See RWM’s Gambling Wizards: Interview with Al Francesco in the Blackjack Forum Gambling Library.

Peter Griffin

Peter was the math genius who first proposed using the mathematical “shortcuts” developed by statisticians for estimating answers to highly complex problems to analyze and compare blackjack card counting systems. He was the first to break down the potential gains available from any card counting method to two prime factors: the Betting Correlation (BC) and the Playing Efficiency (PE).

These two parameters facilitated highly accurate estimation of any system’s potential win rate in any game using any betting spread, without extensive computer simulations. He described how these methods could be used to evaluate the differences between single-level and multi-level counting systems, as well as the value of using multi-parameter methods (keeping more than one count). This book was a milestone for system researchers, developers and players, the most important analysis of card counting systems since Thorp’s Beat the Dealer.

Blackjack researchers have been using Griffin’s methods ever since. Any proposed counting system, regardless of its level of simplicity or complexity, can quickly be broken down to its BC and PE, and its comparative value to other systems and methods can be determined.

Over a period spanning 20 years, Griffin published dozens of technical papers in mathematical journals and at academic conferences, all gambling related. Even in his most technical writing, wit and off-the-cuff quips are the hallmarks of his style.

Griffin authored two books: The Theory of Blackjack (1978, revised many times since, published by Huntington Press), and Extra Stuff: Gambling Ramblings (1991).

Peter Griffin died in 1998 at the age of 61.

See Peter Griffin’s article, “Self-Styled Experts Take a Bath in Reno”, in the Blackjack Forum Gambling Library.

James Grosjean

James Grosjean started playing blackjack professionally while a graduate student in the Department of Mathematics at the University of Chicago. He happened to spot his first dealer hole card at a Three Card Poker game not long after, began running original analyses of how best to play the opportunity, and never looked back.

James Grosjean is the author of the professional hole-carder’s bible, Beyond Counting, which established for the first time the accurate edge and playing strategy for a number of hole carding plays and other professional gambling techniques. Grosjean has also worked with Keith Taft on a blackjack computer that was used in a casino situation where computer play was legal. Keith Taft, another member of the Blackjack Hall of Fame, called James Grosjean’s programming “brilliant.”

Like Tommy Hyland, James Grosjean has taken on serious legal battles with the casinos to establish the legal right to play with an advantage. After suffering false arrest at Caesars and Imperial Palace, he successfully sued both casinos and the Griffin Detective Agency. In fact, James Grosjean’s lawsuit was directly responsible for bankrupting the Griffin Agency and stopping them from libeling other professional gamblers.

See James Grosjean’s articles in the Blackjack Forum Professional Gambling Library for more information. Grosjean’s articles include: CTR-Averse Betting42.08%Scavenger BlackjackBeyond CouponsIt’s Not Paranoia If…”, and A Funny Thing Happened On My Way To The Forum.

Tommy Hyland

Tommy started playing blackjack professionally in 1978 while still in college. That was also the year he started his first informal blackjack team. He’s never looked back. For more than 25 years, he has been running the longest-lasting and most successful blackjack team in the history of the game.

Tommy Hyland and his teammates have played in casinos all over the US, Canada, and the world. He has used big player techniques, concealed computers (when they were legal), and had one of the most successful “ace location” teams ever. He has personally been barred, back-roomed, hand-cuffed, arrested, and even threatened with murder at gun-point by a casino owner he had beaten at the tables.

Every year, the Hyland team players take millions of dollars out of the casinos. And even though Tommy has had his name and photo published in the notorious Griffin books more times than any other player in history, he continues to play and beat the games wherever legal blackjack games are offered. He has also fought for players’ rights by battling the casinos in the courts.

Despite his fearsome reputation, Tommy is polite, soft-spoken, and always a gentleman. He is as loved by players as he is hated by the casinos. In an interview conducted by Richard Munchkin in 2001, Tommy said: “If someone told me I could make $10 million a year working for a casino, I wouldn’t even consider it. It wouldn’t take me five minutes to turn it down… I don’t like casinos. I don’t like how they ruin people’s lives. I don’t think the employment they provide is a worthwhile thing for those people. They’re taking people that could be contributing to society and making them do a job that has no redeeming social value.”

Read RWM’s Gambling Wizards: Interview with Tommy Hyland in the Blackjack Forum Gambling Library.

Lawrence Revere

Lawrence Revere was both an author and a serious player. He died in 1977. His only book, Playing Blackjack as a Business , initially published in 1969, is still in print. If you ever look at the “true count” methods being employed pre-Revere, you will understand why Revere was inducted into the Blackjack Hall of Fame.

The card-counting methods in use prior to Revere’s book were cumbersome and mentally fatiguing to use. In the second edition of Beat the Dealer, in which Thorp first proposed the Hi-Lo Count, he mentioned a simplified method of using the count, though he never developed it as a full system. Revere had a leap of brilliance that led him to come to the conclusion that the simplified method of obtaining a “true count” that Thorp had mentioned could be fully developed and employed with the most powerful of point count systems.

Revere’s method was so simple compared to the alternatives, that it has been employed by virtually every serious balanced point count system developer since, including Stanford Wong, Ken Uston, Lance Humble, and Arnold Snyder. As a serious player, Revere’s knowledge of the game included such esoteric techniques as shuffle-tracking and hole card play.

Max Rubin

Max is the author of Comp City first published in 1994. In this book, Max exposed techniques even non-counting players could use to get an advantage over the casinos by exploiting weaknesses in the casinos’ comp systems.

The initial manuscript for Comp City included advanced comp-hustling techniques that could be used by professional card counters, but the editors at Huntington Press decided to delete this section from the book in order to appeal to the wider market of recreational players. These excluded portions were published in Blackjack Forum in June, 1994, and can be found now in the BlackjackForumOnline.com Library.

See Max Rubin’s article, “Counting Cards in Comp City” in the Blackjack Forum Gambling Library.

Max Rubin is also known for developing one of the highest-edge methods of blackjack team play. Since Max is still out there deploying this play, that’s all that can be said about his playing career at the moment.

Arnold Snyder

Arnold Snyder is a professional blackjack player who has been writing about casino blackjack for 30 years. His first book, The Blackjack Formula (1980), revolutionized the ways professional card counters attacked the games by pointing out, for the first time, the relative importance of deck penetration (over rules or counting system) to a card counter’s win rate.

His discovery has since been borne out by numerous independent computer simulations. In fact, it’s become bedrock knowledge among card counters today that penetration is the name of the game, and many find it hard to believe that for the first two decades of card counting, players did not know this.

Snyder also went against the grain in the early 1980s by recommending that players start using highly simplified sets of strategy indices based on data from Peter Griffin’s analyses (see “How True Is Your True Count?”). Snyder also developed and published (in Blackjack for Profit) the first-ever unbalanced point count system.

In his 2003 The Blackjack Shuffle Tracker’s Cookbook: How Players Win (and Why They Lose) With Shuffle-Tracking (Huntington Press), Snyder revealed the most powerful method for beating today’s casino shuffles, and provided the first numbers available on the high edges that can be gained from different approaches to shuffle tracking.

Since 1981, Snyder has been the publisher and editor of Blackjack Forum, a quarterly journal for professional gamblers (now published online).

Snyder is also the author of Blackbelt in Blackjack and other works directed at serious players who are new to playing blackjack at a professional level. His book Radical Blackjack, a memoir of playing blackjack at the highest stakes, with the details of the methods used to beat the casinos, will be available in Spring 2013.

Keith Taft

Keith is not well-known to the general public, but among professional players he is revered as an electronics genius who has spent more than 30 years devising high-tech equipment—computers, video cameras, and communication devices—to beat the casinos. Blackjack was his initial target, and always remained his prime target.

Taft’s first blackjack computer, which he completed in 1972, weighed 15 pounds. Over the years, as computer chip technology developed, his computers became smaller, faster, and lighter. By the mid-1970s, he had a device that weighed only a few ounces that could play perfect strategy based on the exact cards remaining to be dealt.

If it were up to Keith, his son Marty’s name would be right along his in the Blackjack Hall of Fame, as the two have worked as partners since Marty was a teenager. For 30 years they have jointly created ever-more-clever hidden devices to beat the casinos, trained teams of players in their use, and have personally gone into the casinos to get the money.

Keith and Marty may, in fact, have literally invented the concept of computer “networking,” as they were wiring computer-equipped players together at casino blackjack tables 30 years ago in their efforts to beat the games. Taft equipment has been involved in some of the highest-edge plays that have ever taken place in blackjack history.

When Nevada outlawed devices in 1985, it was specifically as a result of a Taft device found on Keith’s brother, Ted—a miniature video camera built into Ted’s belt buckle that could relay an image of the dealer’s hole card as it was being dealt to a satellite receiving dish mounted in a pickup truck in the parking lot, where an accomplice read the video image then signaled Ted at the table with the information he needed to play his hand.

A pair of Keith’s “computer shoes” and a photo album of Keith’s devises are on permanent display in the Blackjack Hall of Fame museum at the Barona Casino in Lakeside, California.

An in-depth interview with Keith and Marty Taft was published in the Winter 2003-04 Blackjack Forum, and is available in the BlackjackForumOnline.com Library.

See RWM’s Gambling Wizards: Interview with Keith and Marty Taft in the Blackjack Forum Gambling Library.

Edward O. Thorp

Edward Oakley Thorp is widely regarded, by professional players as well as the general public, as the Father of Card Counting. It was in his book, Beat the Dealer, first published in 1962, that he presented his Ten Count system, the first powerful winning blackjack system ever made available to the public, and the first published successful mathematical system for beating any major casino gambling game. All card counting systems in use today are variations of Thorp’s Ten Count.

When Thorp’s book became a best-seller, the Las Vegas casinos attempted to change the standard rules of blackjack, but their customers would not accept the changes and refused to play the new version of the game. So, the Vegas casinos went back to the old rules, but switched from dealing hand-held one-deck games to four-deck shoe games, a change that the players would accept.

Unfortunately for the casinos, in 1966 Thorp’s revised second edition of Beat the Dealer was published. This edition presented the High-Low Count, as developed by Julian Braun, a more powerful and practical counting system for attacking these new shoe games.

In 1967, Thorp published Beat the Market (coauthoried with S. Kassouf), and shortly thereafter started (with J. Regan) the first market neutral derivatives-based hedge fund. To put it in the vernacular, he made zillions.

For many years Ed Thorp wrote a column for Gambling Times magazine [now defunct]. Many of these columns were collected in a book titled The Mathematics of Gambling , published in 1984 by Lyle Stuart. In 1961, working with C. Shannon, Thorp invented the first wearable advantage-play computer.

Thorp has an M.A. in Physics and a Ph.D. in mathematics. He has taught mathematics at UCLA, MIT, NMSU and UC Irvine, where he also taught quantitative finance.

To read more about Edward O. Thorp’s early experiences as a card counter, see “The First Counters: My Blackjack Trip in 1962 to Las Vegas and Reno with Professor Edward O. Thorp and Mickey MacDougall” by Russell T. Barnhart in the Blackjack Forum Gambling Library.

Ken Uston

Uston burst onto the scene in 1977 with the publication of The Big Player , co-authored with Roger Rapaport. In this book, Uston exposed the secrets of Al Francesco’s big player teams. The book caused a falling out between Al and Ken which lasted for years, as Al felt Ken had betrayed his trust as well as his teammates.

But there is no denying that this book caused an upheaval in the world of card counting, changing the ways that professionals looked at the game and attacked it. Three of the most successful international blackjack teams—the Tommy Hyland team, the MIT team, and the Czech team—all were founded in 1978, the year after Uston’s book was published.

Al and Ken later patched up their relationship and Uston went on to start many blackjack teams of his own. He was a personality on a grand scale, who legally challenged the casino industry in the courts of both New Jersey and Nevada. (See Ken Uston Sues Nevada.) His playing career spanned two decades of play at the highest levels, and included card counting, BP teams, hole card techniques, and concealed computer play.

Ken was also the author of Two Books on Blackjack (1979), Million Dollar Blackjack (1981), and Ken Uston on Blackjack (1986).

Uston died in 1987 at the age of 52. To read more about Ken Uston, see Arnold Snyder’s Interview with Ken Uston, and RWM’s Interview with Darryl Purpose (a long-time Uston team member) in the Blackjack Forum Gambling Library.

Stanford Wong

Stanford Wong self-published his first book, Professional Blackjack, in 1975. It was later published by the Gambler’s Book Club in Las Vegas, then revised and expanded numerous times and published by Wong’s own company, Pi Yee Press.

Wong is widely regarded as one of the most creative developers and sharpest analysts of systems and methods for beating the casinos. In Professional Blackjack, he described a never-before-revealed table-hopping style of playing shoe games, a method of play now known as “wonging.” Professional Blackjack had a profound impact on serious players because it provided card counters with an easy yet powerful method for attacking the abundant 4-deck shoe games that had taken over Las Vegas. Many pros still think of card counting opportunities as “pre-Wong” and “post-Wong.”

In his second book, Blackjack in Asia—a book priced at $2,000 and one of the rarest gambling books sought by collectors today—Wong discussed the unique blackjack games he had discovered in Asian casinos as a professional player, along with the optimum strategies he had devised for beating them. The book also included underground advice for exchanging currencies in these countries on the black market; as well as an account of his own hassles with customs officials when he attempted to leave the Philippines with his winnings. This book reveals more of Wong’s anti-establishment personality than any of his later books.

In 1980, Wong published Winning Without Counting, originally priced at $200, and again, this book is a collector’s item. He not only discusses many hole card techniques that had never before been mentioned in print—front-loading, spooking, and warp play—but he also delved into many clearly illegal methods of getting an edge over the house, including various techniques of bet-capping, card switching, card mucking, etc. He was widely criticized (by those in the casino industry) for the amusing way in which he discussed and analyzed such techniques, but anyone with half a brain could see that he was merely informing players with a tongue-in-cheek sense of humor.

Wong subsequently published: Tournament Blackjack (1987); Basic Blackjack (1992); Casino Tournament Strategy (1992); Blackjack Secrets (1993); and since 1979 has published various newsletters including Current Blackjack News, aimed at serious and professional players. In addition to writing about blackjack, he has written other gambling books on subjects as diverse as horse racing and video poker.

See “Blackjack Tournament Strategy” by Stanford Wong in the Blackjack Forum Gambling Library.

Richard Munchkin, Darryl Purpose, and Zeljko Ranogajec

Richard Munchkin, Darryl Purpose, and Zeljko Ranogajec, as active players, have asked that we withhold additional information on their achievements in blackjack at this time. ♠

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Ken Uston in His Own Words

Interview with Ken Uston

by Arnold Snyder
(From Blackjack Forum Volume III #2, June 1983)
© 1983, 2005 Blackjack Forum

[On the evening of February 21, 1983 I met with Ken Uston at his San Francisco apartment. This is a transcription of the interview, which was taped.]

Ken Uston on his Casino Lawsuits

Snyder: Some card counters feel you’re personally responsible for ruining the blackjack conditions in Atlantic City. Many players think that card counters would have a better deal today had Ken Uston never arrived with his teams, and his publicity, and most especially his lawsuits against the casinos. Do you think your personal vendetta against the casinos has hurt card counters, and do you feel any responsibility for having made the game tougher for blackjack players?

Uston: I sort of expected you’d ask that question. To answer it, you’ve got to go back before Atlantic City. A lot of people who make that complaint are people who started playing in New Jersey. Not all of them, there are some Nevada people who feel I’ve ruined the game with all the publicity . . . but what they forget is that when we started playing back in ’73, they treated us like criminals.

Sure, we were making a lot of money, and we were putting a lot of money on the tables, and we were making very high bets. But the point is we were treated like crooks. It wasn’t some nice, polite atmosphere that exists today in Atlantic City and even in Nevada. We were trailed. We were hustled into backrooms. I got my face broken and went to the hospital, I guess because some pit boss noticed who I was . . . To this day I don’t have feeling in part of my mouth. We were really treated with gross disrespect.

At the time, I guess I felt it was wrong, and probably there was some vindictiveness there, too. But, anyway, I started these lawsuits in Nevada. And then, we went to Atlantic City, and we ran into the same situation where, sure, the Commission made some mistakes I guess by, first of all, saying you can’t have a hole card, and then saying you will have surrender, never realizing the implications of early surrender, until, I think, Julian Braun originally figured it out, then everyone else realized what it meant.

So, the Commission put themselves in a bind, and then Al Merck, who was one of the original commissioners, a very gentlemanly kind of a guy, was speaking up for the little guy. He insisted that the casinos deal down to two-thirds of a shoe. When you combine that with early surrender, and the fact that they couldn’t throw people out, and the betting ratios that were allowed, it ended up with a terrible circus in January of ’79.

It was a debacle. The card counters were some of the tackiest people that I’ve seen. They didn’t tip a dime, they smirked, they laughed at the dealers, laughed at the pit bosses, they’d throw their money around, sit down and disrupt play, then jump up . . . It was terrible . . . Our guys were gentlemen. The Czech team was sort of disdainful at first, but we had a meeting with them and said, “Hey, the more these casino people hate you, the quicker you’re going to end up ruining it for everybody.”

Snyder: Do you feel that if you had not been in Atlantic City at all, the casinos would have come down on the counters anyway?

Uston: Yes. I had no great love for counters who acted that way. I talked about this in One Third Of A Shoe. Avarice vs. greed. Casino avarice vs. counter greed. That’s really what it was – two very greedy bunches of people, on to the same thing. But, eventually, and I believe, unjustifiably so, we were barred . . . My first reaction, immediately, was: here we go again with this bullshit, and I am going to sue…

Snyder: Some people feel like these lawsuits are something you go through for the publicity value. How do you feel when you’re single-handedly taking on the casino industry in court? Is it just a show?

Uston: Whenever I go into court, or whenever I’m before these commission hearings, I get this terrific feeling of being oppressed. At the surrender hearings in the summer of ’81, I had that same feeling. All these lawyers for the casinos and all these casino representatives. There are these fairly unknowledgeable Commission people, and you never know if they’re truly objective or not. You just get the feeling that you don’t have a chance.

If you saw The Verdict or one of these movies where it’s the little guy against these . . . you just don’t have a chance . . . I lost the case with the Commission, then it was sent to the lower court, and they sent it back to the Commission again, and all this time the meter is running. I’m paying lots of money . . . But at that point I was pretty well committed, and I said, “Whatever it costs, I’m going to go through with it.”

We lost at the Commission level, and I thought wrongly. I had a proposal that I really thought was fair, that is basically what they’re doing today, by the way – except for the fact that my proposal didn’t include shuffle-at-will. It was fair because it meant that the very good player, the exceedingly good player, who could get into the long run by playing 500 hours, is going to have an edge. But 99% of the counters, including those tacks that were in there in January of ’79, chances are they’re not going to make it.

Snyder: In December of ’79, the Atlantic City casinos experimented again with a no barring policy, and your team won a lot of money. The casinos used the successful experience of your team as part of their ammunition to reinstate a barring policy. Wasn’t this fair from the casino’s perspective?

Uston: That’s the period we won a total of 50 grand in ten days. We were way the hell on the right side of the curve. We didn’t deserve to be there. Mark Estes, who was doing our runs on the calculator, estimated we were three sigma to the right or something. It was just absurd how lucky we were. . . It was great. It was a dream. But all the other guys only won about $300.

We used to have meetings with these guys because I wanted this experiment to continue. It was interesting. There were very few card counters there compared to January, and that’s because the game was tougher. There were some teams that went back and actually lost their banks. Howie Grossman’s team lost about 30 or 40 grand. The Czechs were in the hole. They were stuck a 100 grand at first, but they dug out and finally ended up with about 100, or 150. . .

But the casinos blatantly lied to the Commission. They told them that we had been responsible for losses over $4 million. They had a special task force at Caesars, and one of the girls on the task force – I know her to this day; she’s a floorperson over at the Claridge now – she told me that she was instructed that “If anybody walks out of here with a lot of bucks, put them down as a counter.” They were told to absolutely and blatantly lie to the Commission.

Snyder: How did you finally win your case?

Uston: We appealed to the Appelate Court. A year and six months later, we won. And then they (the casinos) took it to the Supreme Court in New Jersey, and we won that . . . After the Supreme Court decision, we had another hearing, and you should have seen the casino people there. They were there in droves. They had a half-a-million dollar, maybe a one million dollar show.

They had helicopters and limousines; they had ECON people; they had a guy they flew in from, I think, Sweden or Amsterdam or someplace, to testify. All these casino people there, and there was nobody to testify for the counters. It was so funny. They had this vast report, and here I’d stayed up all night the night before – I was out partying – and I took a look at this thing and I said, “If they’re going to have limousines I’m going to have a limousine, too.” It was so ridiculous. I took a little portable typewriter that just about types, and I went to a Howard Johnson’s about a half a mile from the Commission hearing, just before the thing, ’cause I didn’t know what I was going to say . . .

I typed a list of proposals outside the men’s room of the Howard Johnson’s. I’d put the typewriter on a high chair. I had one piece of paper which Frank Dees nicely xeroxed for me so I could hand a copy to the Commission. And that was the counters’ side. A piece of paper prepared in 45 minutes . . . I really thought that we’d lost that one, but I think we won because I got up on the stand and I came out objectively.

Snyder: Did it ever occur to you that you might be hurting card counters with your fight to eliminate barring? Did you feel you were acting with the counters’ best interests in mind?

Uston: I was not trying to get it where the Commission would set up a set of rules whereby a bunch of counters could go in and just take out a lot of money. On the other hand, I felt that, gee whiz, it would be awfully exciting if they set it up where a really good player, or a group of players, could come in and in the long run win.

That might have been naive because there were some huge banks floating around in those days. I mean the Czechs were talking 400,000. I didn’t really have any surreptitious plan of raising a half-a-million dollars and going in with 300 players and trying to do it that way – I’m not saying that I wouldn’t have done it if the opportunity was there. I guess I would have tried, especially if everybody else was acting crazy . . .

Remember also that I can’t ever say that from day one I knew exactly what I was doing. I follow trends and things; I make errors sometimes; I make mistakes; I change my way of thinking; I react to what’s around me. I can’t really say that I was really trying to represent the best interests of counters necessarily. I was merely fighting this battle that pissed me off.

Every time I walked into a Commission hearing, I’d get mad because I’d see Joel Sterns, who was so full of it – I mean he is such a bullshitter, and he’s so effectively a bullshitter, that he could get these Commission people to believe his absurdities. He will attack me personally if he has to–he’s called me a carpetbagger and names like that–and at the end of the meeting he’ll come over and say, “Nothing personal, Ken. It was just part of the case.”

He’s a very charming man, and that’s why he’s one of the best lawyers in New Jersey. So anyway, my point was that basically I suggested that what the casinos do is what they’re doing today – with the exception that they not be allowed to shuffle at will. I felt that if they followed my suggestions then a really good player could have an edge over the house. I really went to bat for the fact that they shouldn’t change the rules.

Snyder: Are you planning to pursue your Nevada lawsuits? Is the Nevada casino scene much different from Atlantic City on this level?

Uston: A lot of people don’t remember the days back in Nevada when we were criminals, and we were chased and hit and beat, and Mark Estes was grabbed into the back room and he has bruises on his arm–in fact, he won a decision from Hilton–Coombs handled the case. They just don’t remember that, and I do.

I remember those guys, and there are still some real thugs down there, these old line antediluvian casino types . . . They just assume you’re a piece of shit. If they don’t want you in there, out you go. You’ve made your last bet. They don’t even explain. they just hustle you out the door. I react real negatively to that because I believe it’s wrong. Now the big issue is, what’s the story in Nevada. And I’m really wondering. A lot of people are saying that this (the lawsuit) shouldn’t be pursued in Nevada . . . and I sort of have set it up, but I haven’t followed through, and I think I’m going to, but I’m, sort of . . . I just don’t know. . . .

Ken Uston on his Books

Snyder: Some knowledgeable players get upset when inside information is published, which has not previously been published. You probably ran into some flak when Million Dollar Blackjack came out with the big front loading chapter.

Uston: Oh, I sure did . . .

Snyder: As a writer who is presenting new information to the public, what are your feelings about accusations that you’re betraying the secrets of professional blackjack players?

Uston: A lot of my information on front loading and spooking came from my closest friends, who developed a lot of these techniques. These were techniques that we developed ourselves. Now, I’m not saying that other people haven’t used other methods of beating the house. But when you talk about front loading and spooking and first-basing, this is stuff that our original team, basically, plus team two, team three, and some of the other people developed, or Val, my friend, developed.

Val had made a lot of money at blackjack with hole card play. He likes hole card play. He doesn’t like to play on the square. I’ve never really been into hole card play. I’ve done it on occasion, and it’s a beautiful thing to know what that card is underneath there every time, to be able to bet $500, $1000 a hand right off the top and know you’ve got a 2% edge or whatever, depending on the hole cards you see. But all the stuff about the relays, and training with the pips, and cutting the cards off – that’s all personal stuff that either Val or I or our teammates developed and worked with.

When I wrote that book, Million Dollar Blackjack, I put off writing about front loading and spooking a long time. Stan Roberts read the chapter about 3 years before it was developed and he called me up and he started salivating at the mouth. He wanted to put it out and charge $500 for it and form a special front-loading team. He had all these ideas, and I held off because Val was still out there doing it and I had some other friends out there doing it.

Now, I knew that there were some other people out there that were front loading. There’s one big team that is still doing it, that I wasn’t associated with. I knew the guy a little bit, a casual acquaintance; I didn’t particularly like him and he didn’t particularly like me. But I felt absolutely no allegiance to him. The only people I felt allegiance to were our group.

And the point was that I put off publishing that information for three years, and when I finally came out with it, none of our group was using any of those techniques. We were all onto other things – real estate, or whatever the hell. I felt that since we developed the information – sure there’s probably some other team out there, I don’t know who they are other than this one guy that I met – but I felt totally justified in publishing it, especially since I waited so damn long.

Interestingly enough, the one thing that I didn’t write about in the book –I didn’t refer to it by name, I sort of very casually alluded to it because there were people that were still using one other technique: first basing–I stayed away from that subject.

However, one of the guys who used to be on one of my teams wrote something to Wong, and Wong wrote about first basing the first time I ever saw it in print, about a year before Million Dollar Blackjack came out. I felt that that shouldn’t be written about, because the guys were making money on it. I didn’t address that subject. As it turns out now, it’s fairly common knowledge. It’s been written about a number of places, and it’s becoming almost impossible to do because they (the casinos) are going to no-hole-card.

Snyder: Most knowledgeable card counters, including other authors on the subject, are unanimous in praise of Million Dollar Blackjack as an important work on the subject. The one portion of your book which has received the most criticism, in my estimation, is your final recommendations of other authors’ books and systems. For example, you highly recommend Stanley Roberts (aka Sludikoff’s) book, Winning Blackiack. Do you feel your recommendations in Million Dollar Blackjack are your objective opinions of the books listed, or were you in some way influenced by your publisher’s biases and prejudices?

Uston: When I first made up the list, I only had about 4 or 5 books on it. I had Thorp ‘s. I had Humble ‘s. I had Revere’s, and, I think, Julian Braun’s. Maybe one other . . . I can’t remember. There weren’t that many books on the list. There was pressure put on me by Stanley to put on some other names.

For example, I left off the Rouge et Noir book, which I thought was okay, but not one of the top five. Stan said, “You’ve got to put it on there. After all, he’s going to sell the book, and blah blah blah. He talked me into it. He didn’t force anything, and he wouldn’t have put anything on there if I hadn’t agreed, if I was absolutely adamant about something. And, obviously I had to put his . . . Oh, I put Stanley Roberts’ book on. I did. Because I figured, hey, he’s going to cream me if I don’t. Why make him mad?

I put his book on, but I really don’t feel it belongs there. Now, as far as Wong, when I search my motivations. . . Winning Without Counting, I really don’t feel that’s a professionally based kind of a book. There’s a lot in there that is done for commercial purposes. The idea of making so much about the warps, which we tried and find just doesn’t work. I know that in our case, any time we tried screwing around with the warps, you make two errors an hour, and we’ve lost more than we’ve gained by making the correct guesses. Except for that one venture in Seoul that I mentioned in the book (Million Dollar Blackjack), where it was so obviously warped – they were using single-deck, didn’t want to change the cards for the whole day – and the guys pulled out 65 grand or 35 grand, whatever it was.

Snyder: Then it didn’t have to do with pressure from your publisher.

Uston: No. Although, I imagine that had I included it, Stan would have hit the roof. You know how Stanley is. He gets really emotional about things. And you can print that, too, because I told him, “Stanley, why don’t you run your business out of love and friendship, rather than on suspicion and lawsuits. You’d do much better.” But he just likes to combat. He’s a tough guy to do business with.

Ken Uston on the Coin Flipping Scam

Snyder: I’ve heard a couple of different versions of a curious story about you. I wonder if you could give me the facts, assuming there are any. I think blackjack players tell Ken Uston stories the way pool players tell Minnesota Fats stories.

Uston: I get an awful lot of them. I can’t tell you how many people have said they’re former teammates! People I’ve never heard of!

Snyder: The story goes like this: In an elevator, sometimes a parking lot, you got into a coin flipping, or a coin tossing contest with someone, and lost a lot of money. You then tried to get your blackjack team to pay for the money you lost out of the team bankroll, because had you won, you allegedly assured your teammates, you would have put your winnings into the team bankroll.

Uston: That’s absolutely true.

Snyder: Well, maybe you can fill in some of the details. You’ve said that you never gamble, that you are an investor, and that you only risk money on positive expectation ventures. How do you justify a contest like this as a positive expectation gamble?

Uston:I was playing at the Holiday Inn. I remember driving down the Strip thinking, “Where the hell am I going to play?” I was feeling very paranoid at the time about the fact that I wasn’t contributing to the team the way I should be, because of the fact that I couldn’t play very many places.

Somehow, I sauntered into the Holiday, and I got a game at the single deck table there. You know the one–the one that’s colored red instead of green. And, I’m sitting at the table and playing–I don’t remember if I was winning or losing but there was this crazy guy at third base, a big fat guy. He’s talking and playing, and obviously recognizes me, but the people in the pit don’t. At some point he comes over and sits next to me. He flipped a coin and he put it underneath a dollar bill. He said to me if I can guess what it is he’ll give me . . . I think $500 – I can’t remember the numbers – but if I guess wrong, I give him $100.

He’s a crazy guy. He just lost about $2000 over the third base. He’s a terrible player, just throwing his goddamn money around. And I’m saying to myself, “Here I am playing through all this shit it was a full table–waiting through all this shit, waiting for a 2% edge. And this guy gives me an edge of . . . whatever the figure was. And I looked at him at first and said, “What?” And he meant it. So, I said “Okay, Heads.” And I lost and I gave him a hundred bucks. He’s a very good con. He does this for a living. His problem is he’s an inveterate gambler. He’s told me, and I fully believe him, that he’s made two or three hundred thousand dollars doing this at various places around – race tracks is one place that he particularly does this.

Anyway, I left the table at that point, really fascinated with this thing. God, what the hell is going on? So we went to the bar and had a drink, then we went back to the Jockey Club. I invited him back. Initially, we were going to go to the Aladdin and have a drink, but at the last minute, I said (snaps fingers), “Let’s go to the Jockey Club.” That’s a significant factor. We walked into the Jockey Club bar, and we’re sitting there again, and he’s good with the con, saying, “Ken, I don’t want to do it again. You’re too nice a guy.” Naturally, he’s sucking me in beautifully.

So what he does the next time, he has it where these people sitting around the Jockey Club bar are all my friends. We came at the last minute. There could be nobody there he knew. There couldn’t have been any way he knew we were going there. And he says to someone in the bar, “Why don’t you flip the coin, and you call it. And if you’re right, I’ll give Kenny $800. But if you’re wrong, Kenny’s got to give me $100.” And I’m thinking, “This guy’s crazy.” And I want to get my hundred bucks back. There’s some con in me, too, sure. And I go along with it. And I lose. And then he offers me greater odds, to the extent that I finally end up losing just under $10,000 to him. I think it was $9,400.

So, at the very end, to get the nine grand to give him – I mean, it’s not a lot of money. We’re playing off a $100,000 bank. But, I lose $9,400, and I have to go to my safe deposit box at the front of the Jockey Club to get the money out of my box. Now, get this bit. This is incredible. He says, “I’ll tell you what, Kenny. I don’t want to take your money. You’re too good a guy, really.” All the rap, he goes on and on and on and on.

And he turns to the clerk at the desk. May God be my witness, all this is totally true. He says to the clerk at the desk, “You flip the coin, and if the bellman calls it right, I’ll call off the S9,400. And if he doesn’t call it right, Kenny, you pay me $9,400. He’s giving me a $9,400 to 0 bet. And I lost. And I gave him the money. I told the team about this, that I lost a total of $9,400.

The first thing I did, I ran up to one of our rooms, and I said, “You would not believe I got a 90% edge over this guy!” And I explained what was going on, and they were all very suspicious. I’m saying, “No, you’ve got to see this!” But what happened was, to make a long story short, we had a meeting to determine whether or not it should come out of the team money, and the net result was that it didn’t.

Snyder: That was just the way I heard it. They refused to cover your loss.

Uston: I took a polygraph on it. They were worried about the whole issue, why I’m out there flipping coins, and that the extent of the loss was exactly $9,400. We had a big team meeting, and a discussion, and they said, “No, it can’t come out of the team money. It’s got to come out of your money.”

Snyder: Do you know how the con worked?

Uston: Yes, I met the guy. He came back a little later. He stayed away from me for a while because, he thought, with me being a big gambler and all that, I was going to get the mob after him. But he finally came back about 3 or 4 months later. To that day, 3 or 4 months later, I was convinced I’d had an edge over this man. There was no way – I wasn’t flipping the coin, he wasn’t flipping the coin, I wasn’t calling it, somebody else was . . . Two totally different people!

Well, he came back and he explained the way it worked. First of all, he said that he has very quick eyes, and he can flip a coin to land any way he wants–which is totally irrelevant because he wasn’t flipping the coin. But because of his ability to see coins, he knew what the coins were when they were flipped by another person. And he said he was uncannily lucky that night. Eight out of ten times he won the bet legitimately. There were a couple times when he didn’t, and what he did was somehow talk the person out of it.

The way he did it, if this guy said “Heads,” he’d say, “You sure you want to make it heads? You don’t want to make it tails?” In other words, after the other guy guessed it, he would engage in a little rap for a while, and either he’d talk the person out of it, or increase the odds and have another flip. Somehow, by doing that, and being able to know whether the person was right or wrong, plus having the correct thing going for him 8 out of 10 times anyway, he totally pulled the wool over my eyes. That’s how he did it. It’s so funny, because later in Atlantic City he lured another team member of mine. I won’t tell you his name, but it was December of ’79. Anyway, the story’s true.

Snyder: What’s happening with your movie?

Uston: The final script just came through a month ago. Frank Capra, Jr., the producer, called me about two weeks ago. He claims that the president of Warner Bros.,., after hearing the story, and seeing some of the material said, “We have another Rocky,” and “This is a man about whom a film has to be made.”

Then, he said he’s meeting with the president of Columbia, and then with the owner of 20th Century Fox, and then with Caesars production company. I do know that Caesars wants the movie to be filmed there. I’ve seen that letter from Caesars, so I know that’s not bullshit. The budget’s $7.9 million – not including the star and the director. So, this is what I hear. But it’s been so damn long. The first screenwriter they picked, I felt he was wrong for the job. He turned out a piece of junk.

Snyder: Do they now have a screenplay that they’re satisfied with? I know in your last newsletter (Dec. ’81.), you said that the third screen play had been scrapped and it was back to the drawing board. That was the last I’ve heard of the movie.

Uston: It’s a finished screenplay. I think it was the seventh draft.

Snyder: Do you like it?

Uston: I think it’s average. But everybody else I talked to likes it. I’m too damn close to it. I wrote one. I’m so sick of the language in it . . . You know, after you read a book 5 or 7 times, it’s got to be awfully good to like it the next time, even if it’s a little different. The last time I just skimmed through it. It didn’t turn me on, but maybe I’m too close to it. It might be really good.

Snyder: But it does look like the film will happen eventually?

Uston: If somebody said to me, “Ken, put $10,000 on whether the movie’s going to be made or not,” I’d put $10,000 on “No.” That’s how I usually assess things, in terms of yes or no. I’ll be absolutely delighted it if happens, and, frankly, surprised.

Snyder: Before I publish this interview, Ken, I’ll transcribe it, and send you a copy. If there are any portions you have second thoughts on making public statements about, you’ll have the option of deleting statements, if you choose.

Uston: You may print anything we’ve said here tonight, because that’s just the way it is. ♠

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Ken Uston on His Beating at the Mapes Casino

Why I’m Suing in Nevada

by Ken Uston

(From Blackjack Forum VI #2, June 1986)
© Blackjack Forum 1986

[Note from A.S.: After reading this article, I encourage you to read James Grosjean’s “It’s Not Paranoia If…” about his successful lawsuit against the Imperial Palace for false arrest–a major victory and step forward for players that would have made Uston very happy.]

After I won the legal battle against the Atlantic City casinos in September 1982, I was determined to fight the Nevada casinos as well. But I kept putting it off, and probably would never have gotten around to it were it not for a chance confrontation on a Lake Tahoe skiing trip in February, 1984.

I was relaxing with some friends at Caesars Tahoe, and playing some low stakes blackjack, betting no more than $50 per hand. A floorman named Neil Lewis, who’d been giving me dirty looks all evening, finally whispered to the dealer, and I was suddenly out of the game.

I asked Lewis what was going on—our betting levels were certainly no threat to his club—and Vegas Caesars had always let me play, as long as I stayed below $200 per hand. Lewis’ smug, superior attitude and his curt, condescending responses got to me. That’s what did it. When I got home, I wrote to the Commission, and the entire process began.

Now it’s over two years later, and I’ve just appealed to the Nevada Supreme Court, after fighting a losing battle for two years with the Commission, the Nevada Attorney, the Nevada Resort Association, and the Clark County District Court.

Right off the bat, I can tell you that because I’ve invested so much time and effort, because I feel that the law and the facts are totally on the side of non-exclusion, and because I’m so wrapped up in the legal research and enraged at what I believe to be totally unfair tactics of the opposition, that there’s no way I’d give up now. Yet, I sometimes wonder if I did the right thing by starting all this. What will be accomplished? And I’m aware that just about every interest I can think of seems to want me to lose this case, for their own reasons:

  • The Nevada casinos obviously want the right to continue to throw out counters.
  • The Nevada Resort Association (representing the casinos in court) obviously wants what the casinos want.
  • The Commission, far from being an independent, objective government agency serving the interests of the public, obviously wants barring—in fact, they are the opposition in this case (which is “Uston vs. The Commission”).
  • The Nevada Attorney General is not only my opposing counsel, but I suspect their lawyers would feel humiliated if someone who wasn’t even a lawyer beat them in court.
  • The Griffin Agency would lose business if they couldn’t list card counters in their “Mug Book” (which I feel is a crass invasion of our privacy), circulate fliers to their casino clients, and have their agents patrol the casionos and identify and pull up card counters.
  • Card counters are worried that, if I win, the game of blackjack may be ruined. (This may be possible, although there’s no doubt that Nevada competition is much keener than in New Jersey–which might keep many games beatable.)
  • Publishers of blackjack books and newsletters want the game to be beatable so they can sell books and maintain high volume subscription lists. In fact, the publisher of one of my blackjack books told me, “I’m with you in principle, Kenny, but think about the effect of what you’re doing.”
  • Blackjack authors and teachers may fear that the game would become lots toughter, and that they’d be out of business.
  • Lawyers who specialize in representing counters would lose business if counters were no longer hassled by casinos.
  • I, too, would have something to lose. If the game were altered, I may not be able to form teams in the future. I’d also endanger my royalties from blackjack books, a video casette, and computer software that instructs people how to play blackjack. And on rare occasions I do wonder if there might actually be a risk of physical violence, as my friends sometimes suggest.

I’d like to say this to any counters who are criticizing my efforts, but who haven’t been hassled yet. You’ve got to go through the humiliation at least once to fully understand what’s going on.

I can’t tell you how outraged and incredulous counters (teammates and others) get when they’re barred for the first time. Their typical reaction is:

“I can’t believe it. How can they do this to ME?” and

“Those bastards. I’ll sue ’em for everything they’ve got.”

But when these people get jostled into a backroom, involuntarily photographed, or arrested, their attitudes get far more militant–to say nothing of when they’re threatened with physical violence or, even, beaten up.

And don’t be deceived–physical threats–and sometimes violence–are a fact of life in Nevada casinos. Just a few weeks ago, an ex-teammate, 100 pounds soaking wet, was dragged across the lengthy Flamingo Hilton floor by two huge uniformed Neanderthals, hustled into a backroom, given bruises about the arms and legs, and arrested.

And I’m sure by now you’ve heard of the two counters (who were also first-basing), who were beaten by Horseshoe security, both getting broken ribs and one receiving contusions of the spleen, kidney, lungs and liver.

Many casinos view detention, back-rooming, involuntary photographing, reading the Tresspass Act, and even physical abuse as their BASIC RIGHT. In this current case, the opposition has argued, increulously, “Counters have redress to the courts when this happens. It’s not the Commission’s responsibility to promulgate regulations to prevent this.”

As I sit writing this, I have no feeling in the left part of my mouth and stiff muscles surround my left eye, because of a sucker punch thrown at me by a Mapes casino security guard in 1978, who happened to be a former Coast Guard boxer. The reason for the blind punch: I was staying at the Mapes as “Billy Williams, from Texas,” I beat them for $7,000, and was finally recognized and thrown out–physically.

I’ve sent Arnold pictures of my broken face–which he may or may not choose to publish. [Note from A.S.–I’m looking for the original photos in my files and will try to get them posted here soon. They’re shocking.]

I daresay most of you would probably take it personally if five bones around your left eye were crushed, and you had to wear a metal pin in your face for the rest of your life, because you were suspected, by some goon pitboss, of playing blackjack too skillfully.  ♠

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The Four Horsemen of Blackjack

Blackjack History: Baldwin, Cantey, Maisel and McDermott and the First Accurate Blackjack Basic Strategy

By Arnold Snyder
© 1997 Blackjack Forum

[Note: This 1997 article about the Four Horsemen was written prior to our discovery that all four authors were still alive and before their subsequent induction into the Blackjack Hall of Fame. – A.S.]

Letter from F.M.:

I recently found a used copy of the 1957 classic, Playing Blackjack to Win. This is the book written by four mathematicians — Roger Baldwin, Wilbert Cantey, Herbert Maisel, and James McDermott — that contained the first accurate basic strategy for casino blackjack. As an avid follower of the blackjack scene for the past ten years, I was familiar with this book by title and reputation, though I had never before seen a copy.

I must tell you I was frankly amazed when I read it. I had no idea how far ahead of its time it was. Not only was the basic strategy nearly perfect, but the chapter on “partial casing” must be recognized as the first valid card counting system ever published, a credit that has always gone to Edward O. Thorp.

I don’t mean to discredit Thorp for his monumental Beat the Dealer (Random House, 1962), but shouldn’t we consider honoring Baldwin, Cantey, Maisel and McDermott, whose book came out five whole years earlier than Thorp’s, as the true fathers of modern card counting?

This is the 40th anniversary of this astonishing little book. I think if more card counters had actually read this impossible to find classic, these authors would be elevated in the blackjack community to a more prominent stature.

Please, Bishop, before 1997 fades away, how about a tribute to these four forgotten authors who really started it all?

Answer from Arnold Snyder:

It is a shame that this groundbreaking book is not more widely available. I do not know if the publisher, M. Barrows & Co., ever even issued a second printing. [Note: Playing Blackjack to Win has now been reissued by Cardoza Publishing, but the first edition is still a collector’s item.]

The copies of this book that have survived these 40 years are few in number, as the plastic spiral binding and the cheap pulp paper have not held up well through the decades. If you are lucky enough to find an intact copy in a used book store, grab it. Rare book dealers who know the value of this little gem will not let it go cheaply.

Expect to pay $25-$75 for an intact copy in poor to fair condition, and quite a bit more for a copy in good to excellent shape. A broken plastic binding is common , as that thin 1950s plastic is very brittle after all these years.

The First Accurate Blackjack Basic Strategy

As for your comments on the importance of this book, and its deserved place of honor in the hearts of blackjack players, I must concur. For the single-deck Vegas Strip game the authors analyzed, their basic strategy analysis was devastatingly accurate. That they conducted their research by hand on crude mechanical calculators — what used to be called “adding machines” — is truly remarkable. Their hit/stand strategies, both hard and soft, are 100% accurate, including the recommendations that hard totals of 12 should be hit against 2 and 3, and that soft totals of 18 should be hit vs. 9 and 10 only.

The only errors in their hard doubling strategy is that they failed to advise doubling down on 8 vs. 5 and 6 — borderline decisions true for single-deck games only. They missed a few more of the soft doubles, but nothing very serious in terms of dollar value.

Even on the pair split decisions, they made only three errors in their entire chart — erroneously advising that 2s and 3s be split vs. 2, and that 3s also be split vs. 3. These are also close decisions, and in double-after-splits games, are correct plays.

Any player who used their basic strategy today would not be giving up more than a few hundredths of a percent over perfect basic strategy.

The First Blackjack Card Counting System

As for their “Chapter 10: Using the Exposed Cards to Improve Your Chances,” this truly is the first valid card counting system ever published for casino blackjack, some five years prior to Thorp’s Beat the Dealer. In fact, it could be argued that this counting strategy they advised was actually the first “ten count” strategy, as they provide 16 changes to basic strategy, depending on whether or not various numbers of the last cards dealt were either ten-valued or “low cards” — which they defined as Aces, 2s, 3s, 4s, and 5s.

But, although they were undeniably the first authors to grasp and publish the concept of a card counting system, and the type of logic that must be employed for it to work, their strategy itself is very crude, and would be unlikely to add much gain to the player. They did not realize that tens and aces were more valuable to the player than the low cards, so they failed to provide any advice on proper betting strategy. Their advised technique for making use of the cards seen, though on the right track, did not even begin to take the advantage available to counters who might be watching for both tens and low cards.

I doubt the value of their strategy changes were worth more than a few tenths of a percent, if that, even in the deeply dealt single-deck games they faced. (They also acknowledged this in their book.) They did the important groundwork for card counting theory, and surely were more responsible than anyone for Thorp’s ultimate development of his truly powerful counting strategies, but their “partial casing” system simply wasn’t much of a winner.

In any case, I am glad you wrote to me, and jogged me into recognizing the anniversary of these four long-forgotten researchers, Roger Baldwin, Wilbert Cantey, Herbert Maisel, and James McDermott, who stand as giants in the field of blackjack strategies. They truly were the ones who started it all. ♠