Las Vegas Advisor

Posted on February 1, 2022September 26, 2023 by David Mckee — 2 Comments

New boss at F-blue; Station: Five white guys; Atlantic City blitzed

Yes, Tom Brady has retired but there’s actually other news happening today. For starters, Fontainebleau has a new president. And not just any prexy but “a visionary leader for our next-generation luxury resort.” He’s Cliff Atkinson, late of Luxor. If anything about that last sentence strikes you as incongruous it’s that Luxor isn’t exactly F-blue’s price point. Fortunately, Atkinson does have experience in the top tier of Las Vegas Strip hospitality, having served as general manager of what used to be Mandarin Oriental at CityCenter, a tenure that earned him the sobriquet “Hotelier of the Year” from the Nevada Hotel & Lodging Association. Although you’ve probably never heard of him, Atkinson is described by Jeffrey Soffer‘s PR team as “one of the Strip’s most dynamic leaders.”

Posted on February 1, 2022August 24, 2023 by Bob Dancer — 3 Comments

Using NSU Deuces Wild Strategy for pNSU Deuces

NSU is the 16-10-4-4-3 pay schedule of Deuces Wild that returns 99.728% when played well. “pNSU” (for pseudo NSU) is the name Liam W. Daily and I used to describe the 15-9-4-4-3 Deuces Wild pay schedule that returns 98.913%. Our name is still seen out there sometimes, but the name Airport Deuces, among others, is a far more common nickname for this game. Some people prefer to call these games “NSU (or pNSU) Deuces” or “NSU (or pNSU) Deuces Wild” but I’ve always preferred just NSU and pNSU.

I know NSU really well. I’ve played it probably 5,000 hours over the years. Taught it several dozen times, including the Advanced Strategy with all the penalty cards perhaps ten times. I co-wrote the Winner’s Guide for the game. And I still review the fine points periodically.

Posted on January 31, 2022September 14, 2023 by David Mckee — 1 Comment

Florida: Phhhhht …; Crackdown in Macao; Scandal at Parx

That hissing sound you hear is the air going out of DraftKings‘ and FanDuel‘s electoral balloon. Florida Education Champions, their front group for bringing online sports betting to the Sunshine State, folded its hand, conceding that it can’t get enough signatures to qualify for the November ballot. It says it’s “reassessing long-term options, still hoping one day to get voter approval for legal online sports gambling in Florida.” FEC says it collected over a million signatures, but only 471,536 could be verified. “While pursuing our mission to add sports betting to the ballot, we ran into some serious challenges, but most of all, the COVID-19 surge decimated our operations and ability to collect in-person signatures,” FEC complained, failing to add that the dog ate its homework. All gambling-related signature drives, had they made the ballot, might have faced serious voter backlash, given the in-your-face petitioning tactics alleged, which included encroachment upon private property.

Posted on January 28, 2022September 14, 2023 by David Mckee — Leave a comment

Adios, Tropicana?; New York sports betting tops $1 billion easily

Sunset for the Trop? (Photo: John Patrick Ross/Shutterstock)

Visit the Tropicana Las Vegas while yet you can. Why? Because Bally’s Corp. Chairman Soo Kim is seriously weighing the possibility of “knocking it down and starting over.” Yes, Kim would rebrand the place as Bally’s Las Vegas and then blow it up. Possibly. Mind you, Bally’s doesn’t own the physical assets of the Trop but is renting them from Gaming & Leisure Properties, which would have to sign off on such a radical move. Also, how long could Bally’s afford to pay rent on a site that isn’t generating a cent of cash flow, post-implosion? We’ll leave aside the small matter that Bally’s has never built anything remotely on the scale of a Las Vegas Strip megaresort, which is one of the strikes against it in Chicago presently.

Posted on January 27, 2022September 14, 2023 by David Mckee — 1 Comment

Horseshoe returns to Vegas; LV Sands thinks big

In the year’s worst-kept secret (or least surprising news story), Caesars Entertainment is finally rebranding Bally’s Las Vegas as the Horseshoe to end all Horseshoes. We were all over the story yesterday, in case you want the full monty. A game of musical chairs will ensue, since the displacement of the Bally’s name frees it up for Bally’s Corp. to slap it on the long-suffering Tropicana Las Vegas, part of a full rebrand of all of Chairman Soo Kim‘s assets except (sensibly) Hard Rock Biloxi. In at Horseshoe-to-be is “a handcrafted feeling with tooled leather, dramatic colors, and the brand’s signature gold horseshoe iconography.” Out, we hope, will be Real Bodies and some of the other low-rent aspects of the property as it is.

The return of Horseshoe to Vegas where it belongs overshadowed today’s revenue report on Nevada casinos. Strip gross gaming revenue of $651 million was up in December by 10% over 2019, while locals momentum slowed a bit, to +5% and $229.5 million. Players were openhanded on the Strip, with slot coin-in up 22% (driving an 18% increase in win to $377.5 million) and table wagering 13% higher (a robust +32% and $188 million once baccarat is factored out). Baccarat was, indicated, a weak spot, down 15% in volume albeit 16% higher in revenue and despite low hold. Visitation to Las Vegas remained 9% below 2019, at least with regard to travelers passing through Reid International Airport. Domestic travel was only 5% off but international flow was down 58.5%.

Posted on January 26, 2022September 14, 2023 by David Mckee — 1 Comment

Bally’s we hardly knew ye; IGT bets big on lotteries

Shares of Bally’s Corp. sprang to $36.76 apiece yesterday on the news that the company’s largest stockholder wants to take Bally’s private for $2 billion. Hedge fund Standard General—founded by Bally’s Chairman Soo Kim—is offering $38/share for the mini-major and selling the idea as a way of ameliorating risk (not that we thought of BALY as a particularly perilous play). Standard General already owns 21% of Bally’s.

Normally we would frown upon such a proposal, as private equity has a mostly disastrous record in the casino industry. However, the presence of Kim in both camps is reassuring. He put the current Bally’s management team into place and is likely to keep giving them his ear. The LBO would be financed by the sale and lease-back of unspecified assets. Jefferies Equities analyst David Katz said Bally’s would go for cheap, as the offer didn’t price in the value of the Gamesys acquisition: “With the current market context for dismissing value on North American digital opportunities, the offer is opportunistic.”

Posted on January 25, 2022August 24, 2023 by Bob Dancer — 10 Comments

A Question from a Reader

All sorts of comments get posted to www.gamblingwithanedge.com concerning the various blogs or podcasts posted there — including mine. The following comment was posted a week and a half after the original came out, and I assume most of the readers had already moved along to later posts. Still, it occurred to me that I have something to say about the post, so I’ll do it here.

Bob…have enjoyed your blogs and books throughout the years. At 75 I’d be thinking you’ve won enough and banked enough to try something less stressful. Like square dancing . . . or if that’s too much maybe fishing!

Posted on January 24, 2022September 14, 2023 by David Mckee — 3 Comments

Sports betting claims first casualty; “Scam” at Caesars?

Online sports betting has evidently proven too rich for Wynn Resorts‘ blood. The New York Post reports that Wynn “is looking to unload its online sports-betting business at a steep discount as the fledgling niche faces painful losses from stiff taxes and costly promotions needed to lure customers.” Wynn Interactive, valued at $3.2 billion, is being peddled for $500 million. This will come as bad news to Shaquille O’Neal, who unloaded his share of the Sacramento Kings in return for becoming a “brand ambassador” for Wynn, which also built a ritzy Las Vegas broadcasting studio to showcase its product. There were rumblings from the top that Wynn and OSB were an uncomfortable fit. CEO Matt Maddox had told investors, “The market is really not sustainable right now. Competitors are spending too much to get customers. And the economics are just not something that we’re going to participate in.”

Posted on January 22, 2022 by David Mckee — 1 Comment

Weekends without Adele

As all of Christendom now knows, one Adele Atkins of Tottenham has been forced to cancel/reschedule 13 weeks of shows at Caesars Palace. When Adele signed for this gig, in early December, it was regarded as the showbiz coup of the year. Well, it’s still the biggest story going but not in a way that Caesars Entertainment intended. As the timeline makes obvious, Weekends with Adele was hurried into production, despite being envisioned on a scale (100 backup singers) for which the word ‘lavish’ seems inadequate. So the events of the last 72 hours should be a surprise to very few outside the Caesars C-suite. Maybe you can get away with this in Reno, but this is the big time now.

Posted on January 21, 2022September 14, 2023 by David Mckee — 1 Comment

Adele fiasco at Caesars; Trouble for Sands in Florida

Resorts World Las Vegas, we’ll see your Celine Dion health-scare postponement and raise you an Adele cancellation at Caesars Palace. The British megastar’s team has, like so much of the human race, contracted Covid-19 and is not physically capable of grinding out a Vegas residency at this point. We wish them a speedy recovery—and a contract extension. There are skeptics about the matter, asserting that the show simply wasn’t ready and that there would have been empty seats galore (we blame the greedy secondary market). Indeed, nixing 13 weekends of shows on account of Covid-19 seems an extreme reaction. Did Caesars Entertainment rush this show to market to one-up Resorts World? It kinda looks that way. Tickets sellers seem to have sensed this, judging from a precipitate, last-minute drop in prices.

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