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KNOW WHEN TO DOUBLE DOWN AT THE BLACKJACK TABLE

This post is syndicated by the Las Vegas Advisor for the 888 casino group. Anthony Curtis comments on the 888 article introduced and linked to on this page.

AC Says:

The title of this article doesn’t quite explain its contents. While it is about proper strategy for doubling down, it addresses only soft doubling, which refers to hands that contain an ace. These tend to be misplayed the most. Author John Grochowski properly makes the point that you double hands only when doing so increases your expected return. He provides the numbers to back it up, and it’s interesting to see how the magnitude of the difference in plays fluctuates, but all you really need to know is that doubling according to basic strategy will improve your results over time. If basic strategy says double down, then double down.

This article was written by John Grochowski in association with 888Casino.

Knowing when to double down is a key part of any blackjack player’s game. Permitting doubles is one way the house reduces the edge it gets from players having to risk busting first.

Most players who put a little time into learning basic blackjack strategy pick up on when to double hard hands fairly quickly…

Click to continue reading…

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Profile in cowardice; Mega-Jottings

All too predictably, lawmakers in New Jersey slunk away from their previous commitment to close the smoking loophole that solely benefits Atlantic City casinos. State Sen. Joseph Vitale (D) claimed to be one vote short of advancing the bill out of committee. Colleague Fred Madden (D) took the coward’s way out, saying he was open to a bullshit “compromise” advanced by the Casino Association of New Jersey, no friend of the working stiff. The CANJ alternative would amend the bill currently before solons to allow an 18-month continuation of wide-open smoking. During that period of sanctioned secondhand smoke, operators would have the option of enhancing their HVAC systems (an ineffecutal remedy) and creating enclosed smoking areas—with games and sponsored by tobacco companies. Hack casino executive and CANJ boss Mark Giannantonio‘s group claims—not very credibly—that no employee would be compelled to work in a smoking area. And if everyone refuses? What then? Those questions went begging.

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Rooms for NYE

Rooms for NYE

This year’s rate check was conducted on Nov. 29 and turned up 90 casinos that have rooms available for New Year’s Eve, compared to 79 last year. The number of nights is the minimum required stay; the dollar amount is the total cost; resort fees aren’t included. 

1 night: Buffalo Bill’s $110, Longhorn $188, Arizona Charlie’s Boulder $200, South Point $215, Silverton $223, Suncoast $224, Westin Lake Las Vegas $227, Arizona Charlie’s Decatur $229, Silver Sevens $239, Aliante $242, Palace Station $243, Gold Coast $248, Sunset Station $249, Sam’s Town $249, Skyline $255, Serene $256, Boulder Station $269, El Cortez $269, Gold Spike $269, Santa Fe Station $279, Binion’s $279, Hilton Lake Las Vegas $290, Downtown Grand $293, Orleans $298, Cannery $299, the D $299, Lexi $300, Rio $319, Fremont $320, Tuscany $320, OYO $323, Main Street Station $325, Four Queens $329, California $330, English $339, Circus Circus $368, Tropicana $379, Strat $399, Ellis Island $415, JW Marriott $441, Circa $459, Westin Las Vegas $484, Westgate $420, Sahara $445, Green Valley Ranch $499, Red Rock $499, Planet Hollywood $799, Four Seasons $970, Caesars Palace $1,011.

2 nights: Plaza $303, Railroad Pass $342, Palms Place $588, Casino Royale $640, Excalibur $665, TI $679, Luxor $707, Golden Nugget $708, Harrah’s $718, Horseshoe $718, LINQ $718, Flamingo $758, NY-NY $798, Mandalay Bay $807, Park MGM $808, Platinum $858, Palms $868, Mirage $868, MGM Grand $893, Cosmopolitan $898, Delano $958, Cromwell $1,058, Trump $1,086, Vdara $1,098, Resorts World $1,132, M Resort $1,198, Aria $1,238, Durango $1,298, Bellagio $1,348, Nobu $1,548, Palazzo $1,598.25, Venetian $1,598.25, Waldorf $1,651.30.

3 nights: Hotel Jefe $450, Virgin $874, MGM Signature $1,052, Elara $1,270, NoMad $1,627, Encore $1,697, Wynn $1,697, Paris $1,797.

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Locals lift Vegas; Tex Adelson’s ghost rides again

Formula One numbers will have to wait. The data of the day is Nevada‘s casino performance in October. It was good for the Las Vegas Strip, up 1%, but even better at the locals casinos, which rose 6% from 2022. Slot play on the Strip was fairly stagnant, with both win ($406 million) and coin-in down 1%. Table games sagged 6% to $219 million, driven by 12% less wagering. Baccarat, however, came to the rescue with $90 million won (+43%) as players wagered $589 million (+20%). Slots were tighter off the Strip, with 1.5% less coin-in still translated to win of $212 million (+5.5%). Table revenue was but $49 million, which represented a 7% increase. Statewide, casinos took in $1.3 billion, a 3% improvement.

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Show Holiday Dark Days

Show Holiday Dark Days

Many shows are on hiatus this month. Following is a list of dark days (no performances) for the major productions. All dates are in December and most shows are dark Dec. 31.

Alexis Park: Flashback 21, 30; King of Diamonds 21, 24, 27-29; Wonderland All except 2, 23, 25

Bellagio: 25

Excalibur: Australian Bee Gees Show 22, 23, 29, 30; Spice Wannabe 19, 26; Thunder from Down Under 24, 25

Flamingo: Piff the Magic Dragon 19, 20; RuPaul’s Drag Race Live 25; X Burlesque 24

Four Queens: Mike Hammer Comedy Magic Show 16-25

Harrah’s: Donny Osmond All of Dec;  Hyprov 12-25; Menopause the Musical 16- 25 & 31; X Country 31

LINQ: “Jimmy Kimmel’s Comedy Club” 21

Luxor: America’s Got Talent Live 1-19, 25; Carrot Top 18-25

Mandalay Bay: Michael Jackson ONE 11

MGM: “Brad Garrett’s Comedy Club” 24, 25; David Copperfield 7-16; Jabbawockeez 5, 9, 12; KA 13; Tape Face 7-15, 18-21

Miracle Mile Shops: The Mentalist Live 2, 3, 5, 9, 26

Mirage: Beatles Love 19, Jan. 1-10; “Center Stage Comedy” 22-23, 29-30; Shin Lim 5-20, 27

NY-NY: Mad Apple 19; Terry Fator 3, 8, 12-18, 25

Orleans: Adam London Laughternoon 24; Marriage Can Be Murder 11, 24; Late Night Magic 11, 25

Planet Hollywood: Criss Angel MINDFREAK Live 6-14, 24

Rio: Penn & Teller 4-22; WOW 17-18

Sahara: Magic Mike Live 24, Jan 1-7

The STRAT: Banachek’s Mind Games 3-4, 17-18, 25; Rouge 19

Tropicana: “Laugh Factory” 25; MJ Live 25; Murray the Magician 25; Rich Little 25

Tuscany: Haunted Vegas Ghost Hunt 9, 20; Jew Man Group 30; Rat Pack is Back 30; Vegas Mob Tour 10, 24, 25

Westgate: Comedy Cabaret 1-30; Soul of Motown 7-16, 24; The Magic of Jen Kramer 1-16, 24-30.

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Rosati’s Pizza

Rosati’s Pub

For several years, we’ve had an MRB offer for $25 off at Rosati’s Pizza. It’s an excellent deal, but not one we sought out. Rather, it was brought to us by Rosati’s owner, a long-time LVA member. Though grateful, over all this time, we never went out to try the place, for two reasons. First is the location—Rosati’s Pizza Centennial Hills is located at 8001 N. Durango Drive, which is quite a ways from the Strip. Second is we keep hearing good reports from those who’ve tried it, so we didn’t feel the need to check it out. This month we did.

Rosati’s is another good pizza joint with Chicago roots. The pizzas are round, but the slices are cut in squares. There’s a choice of crusts—crispy thin, double dough, and Chicago-style—but what really stands out are the toppings, with a big selection of meats (pepperoni, sausage, Italian beef, Canadian bacon, meatballs) and fresh veggies. Large specialty pies come in at about $30.

We can easily recommend this pizza, but we were even more impressed with some of the other items we sampled, including excellent hot wings ($10.95/6), breaded mushrooms ($9.95), and a meatball parmigiana sandwich ($13.55) that’s one of the best we’ve had in town. There are lots of seats and an outdoor patio. The kitchen is open10 am to midnight. This is a terrific play with the MRB deal.

There are nearly 200 Rosati’s restaurants in the U.S., but as you’d expect, the Las Vegas version figures to be a bit different. Along with being a good place to eat, Rosati’s Pizza Centennial is also a 24-hour bar. And a good one. The TVs are all tuned to sports and there are specials on food and drinks during football and Vegas Golden Knights games (try a Petrifier if you dare). UFC PPV events are shown for free (call for a reservation).

Join the players club and get a play-$20-get-$10 sign-up bonus. The best game is 6/5 Bonus Poker (96.87%), but when we were there, every quad got a wheel spin. That’s something we haven’t seen before; it raises the return percentage above 98%. 

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Prepping for the Fabulous Fremont Coupon Run

Book the Super Bowl NOW

Scufflers, advantage couponers! Sharpen your … oh heck, no one uses pencils anymore. But now that it’s the end of the year, those coupons are expiring. So let use ’em! Never forget, a coupon is money in another form — until you cash it. Then it’s real money, your money, money in your pocket.

Why are coupons important? Time is money. And time is most often your enemy when gambling. Using coupons allows you to play on their dime as much as possible. That’s the why of a coupon run. It’s gaming the game, tilting the odds, squeezing as much good gamble out of your time as possible. And winning is much more fun than losing.

This will be a multi-part presentation consisting of the 6 P’s: Proper Planning Prevents Piss Poor Performance (actually, that’s a guiding principle for every great gaming trip) and eight tools:

  1. LVA’s Member Rewards Book (MRB)
  2. other coupons (ACG, etc.)
  3. www.VPfree2.com (very strong VIP tool)
  4. swag bag (like Zack G in Hangover, “It’s a satchel”)
  5. bankroll (cash no cards)
  6. Frugal Video Poker Scouting Guide by Jean Scott
  7. pocket notebook and pen
  8. good shoes

Then I’ll review exactly where to go and what to do and give you my personal Gives Good Gamble awards for best Fremont casino.

We can start from either end (the Plaza or El Cortez) of Fremont, though I prefer starting at the Plaza and you’ll see why.

First, a word about the MRB. For years, I tore out the Vegas coupon section of the American Casino Guide and grumble, as the MRB’s slim profile was so easy to slip in a pocket. Since the printed ACG book is no more, LVA’s MRB is our big play.

I’d also like to give a shoutout to www.WizardofOdds.com. Whenever I have a question about a game I can’t answer, particularly strategy, Michael Shackleford is king.

To prepare, always visit the casino websites at least two and preferably four weeks before you go on your trip. Sign up for a players card if allowed and to receive their newsletter. Also look for special events, slot and VP tournaments, and point promos for the dates of your stay. These are huge additions to your coupon run.

Stay tuned for the coupon run and Gives Good Gamble awards.

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Christmas on the Boardwalk

Our man on the Boardwalk stayed at Borgata last weekend and reports that the property is fully decorated for Christmas, juxtaposing Santa and slots. Golden Nugget is still getting started (way to go, guys) while Bally’s Atlantic City had “some small stuff” on view. That’s the holiday spirit. Not. Speaking of the last-place Nugget, it is requiring players to accumulate 200 tier credits before obtaining a December $25 gift card, which is a big outlay for players. Bally’s, by contrast, “will be offering $125 gift cards eight times, $150 one time, and $175 one time.” That’s mighty George of them.

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Getting Time on a Machine

Bob Dancer

Assume there is a juicy 24-hour video poker promotion that works best on four machines. There are more than four players looking for a seat — including you. How should you go about getting a seat?

For me, I try to establish a partnership that will last as long as the promotion. Somebody I can trust. Somebody I can work with again and again, because in a few months there will be another promotion where there are more players than seats.

Let’s say the promotion starts at midnight. One of us needs to be at the machine by 10 p.m., playing very slowly, killing time. When midnight arrives, the game changes and this player begins to play very fast. After some agreed-upon period of time, the players switch places. And, sometimes, after another period of time the players switch back again. And possibly even one more time. 

The two hours of “dead time” before the promotion starts is likely a money-loser. We share this. If I take this shift this time, my partner takes it next time.

Let’s look at what I would want in a partner.

  1. Someone I can trust. Trust is a many-faceted quality, but if “John” tells me he will be there at 10 p.m. and turn over the machine to me at 5 a.m., I want that to happen. I don’t want to hear “some other promotion came up,” or “I made a deal with somebody else and didn’t tell you about it.” 

If John calls me at 10:05 p.m. and tells me all the machines are full, and I believe him, that’s not a mark against John’s character. We made a judgment that 10 p.m. would be sufficient. Next time, maybe 8 p.m.

  1. I want somebody who can negotiate. Let’s say all the machines are full at 10 p.m. I’d want John to ask the players how long they are planning to play, and can he have the machine then? The best deal is that he gets the machine at 4 a.m. and doesn’t have to give it back. Then he can give it to me at 11 a.m. and if he wants another shift, he can have one.

The person negotiating is negotiating for the partnership, but if the best he can get is some time on the machine for himself and nothing for me, he should take that. Sometimes a machine will open up later. 

Let’s say he can get a deal where he can have the machine from 4 a.m. to noon, and then has to give it back to the guy who gave him the machine. After he has the machine at 4 a.m. he asks the others how long they are going to play. Sometimes he can work something out where somebody is going to want to leave at 10 a.m. and is willing to give that machine to me at that time.

  1. I want somebody who doesn’t have a lot of baggage. There are players in every jurisdiction who aren’t well-liked or well-trusted. Other players won’t be so willing to negotiate with somebody they dislike.
  2. I want somebody who can play for at least six or eight hours. I need my sleep between shifts. If the best somebody can do is hold a machine for two hours, that usually isn’t useful to me. Although it could be in a particular situation.
  3. I want somebody who will be playing with his own money and won’t likely run out mid-shift. A dollar Five Play game can go through a lot of money during an eight-hour shift, when things go badly. How badly depends upon what game you’re playing. So how much money is that player planning on bringing? If I’m told, $3,000, then I know this isn’t the right partner. While it could possibly be enough, very likely that person will be behind more than $3,000 during the shift. And if that happens, the machine won’t be available to me later.
  4. If the machine allows for it, I don’t care if the player I’m switching machines with is playing for the same stakes I am or not. On the Quick Quads machines I mentioned last week, you could play for quarters, halves, or dollars — Triple Play, Five Play, or Ten Play. Since it was a six-coins-per-line game, this meant you could play for the same odds for several different total bets between $4.50 and $60. Someone playing for $4.50 a play is just as suitable to me as a player playing $60. Each of us is at a different place bankroll-wise.

I keep note of who has agreed to share machines with me. This means I need to repay the favor down the road. The deal may be between John and me this week, but if there’s a way to give Harry a few hours, that takes precedence over giving the machine away to a complete stranger.

It’s a fairly small world of players wanting to play the same sized games as you during a promotion. You have to treat others appropriately. The maxim, “What goes around comes around,” applies here.

So, let’s say I have my partner. I start first and he gets to take over at 6 a.m. Next week, I want to discuss how the changeover happens if there are other players waiting for the first empty machine.