Originally posted by: Jerry Ice 33
Of course that is 5%. Just don't use that then to extrapolate out in future arguments. To even think Covid kills 1 of 20 people that get it is ludicrous and you know that. You are too smart to think otherwise. That is fear mongering stuff.
I don't need or want to "fear-monger." The truth is scary enough as it stands. One in twenty have died. That might be a greater or lesser number in the future. You don't know, and neither do I, whether the death rate will increase, decrease, or stay the same. So if I'm extrapolating, as you put it, using the current figure is as good as any.
I am assuming that the Trump hate rally, being almost a perfect storm of the absolute worst conditions you could have for a super-spreader event, will result in the same casualty rates as other recent mass gatherings--and some of those were outdoors and people were moving around. So the infection rate might be even higher than 50%--and there's no reason to think that the death rate would then be lower. I mean, look at the folks who attend Trump's rallies. They're not exactly the picture of physical fitness or in the prime of life.