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Massachusetts booms; Know your enemy

January was very, very good for Massachusetts casinos, which raked in $97 million, pretty darn good for a state with only three gambling halls and a 17.5% leap over last year. The biggest overachiever was Plainridge Park, vaulting 24% to $12 million. Scarcely to be outdone, MGM Springfield jumped 23% to $23 million, mainly on the strength of strong slot winnings (+28%), while tables were up 4%. The big dog, Encore Boston Harbor ‘only’ hopped 15% to $62 million, driven by a 23% increase in slot winnings, whilst table win was 6% higher.

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Big Bally’s shakeup; Smoking swatted; Mega-Jottings

Back on Jan. 25, we wrote that Bally’s Corp. CEO Lee Fenton was “possibly laying the groundwork for his own exit,” when he said, The pandemic boosted our business and we continued to hire at full pelt. I now can see that we may have over-hired in some areas and I take full responsibility for that.” This coincided with the sacking of 15% of Bally’s staff, followed today by Fenton falling on his sword. Although he’s technically CEO until March 31, Fenton wasn’t even allowed a voice in the official press release, his role being usurped by CEO-to-be Robeson Reeves. The latter comes from the company’s interactive side, which is where the problems are concentrated. Brick-and-mortar prexy George Papanier‘s job is safe.

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Sports betting backlash; Indiana, Missouri rebound

When we were penning the editor’s note for the February issue of Casino Life, we predicted that overkill in sports betting marketing was ripe to bring a backlash. But it happened sooner than we ever expected. Now we don’t know if Rep. Paul Tonko (D) is a liberal but he’s certainly a do-gooder, having just introduced a bill in Congress that would ban all electronic forms of advertising for sports wagering. No TV commercials, no radio ads, not even Internet billboards. Anything governed by the Federal Communications Commission would be off-limits. Even if you’re sick and tired of Kevin Hart barking about “free bets” and want to hurl a brick through your 75-inch screen, this qualifies as an extreme legislative overreaction, destroying the village in order to save it—which seems to be the idea.

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Wall Street lauds Station, Wynn, MGM

Durango Resort—don’t call it a “Station”

Station Casinos posted impressive 4Q22 numbers—if not as impressive to Deutsche Bank analyst Carlo Santarelli as Boyd Gaming‘s. Still, net revenues were up 2% and cash flow improved 3.5% (Boyd did 7% and 13%, respectively.) Santarelli liked Station’s improved margins “as non-gaming revenue growth offset the modest casino revenue contraction in the period.” (Higher ADRs and food prices didn’t hurt.) He continued, “While the results could be perceived as being below recent expectations, we see limited signs of headwinds in the Las Vegas locals market, continued promotional disciplines across the market, and we believe the [Station] development pipeline remains a compelling attribute to the story.” He ratcheted his price target upward from $51/share to $53, applauding the company for having “the strongest organic growth pipeline in gaming.”

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And the Oscar goes to …

Top Gun: Maverick. OK, we’re kidding. But not entirely. Due to the Motion Picture Academy‘s byzantine, ranked-choice voting for Best Picture, the $1.5 billion-grossing Tom Cruise spectacle (+1000 on DraftKings) could rack up enough second- and third-place votes to nab the top prize. That being said, oddsmakers still have this as the year of Everything Everywhere All At Once (-280). We could be set for a reprise of 1978, when Star Wars ruled the box office but Annie Hall ran the table at the Oscars. (Neither film has fared badly with posterity.) Everything Everywhere All At Once scores the Academy trifecta of being a commercial hit—a $104 million return on a $14 million outlay—offbeat and upbeat, a combination that reliably spells “win.” The second closest rival to Everything is the equally splendid but downbeat The Banshees of Inisherin (+300) and it’s having a tough time closing the gap in the betting lines. As for Steven Spielberg‘s The Fabelmans, its momentum appears to have peaked at the Golden Globes lovefest. It’s now at +1200 and Spielberg’s Best Director odds have faded to +120.

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Boyd buoyed; Penn damned with faint praise; Mega-Jottings

It was a good day yesterday for Boyd Gaming as it trotted out its 4Q22 numbers. Cash flow healthily overshot Wall Street expectations and was powered by, among other things, better-than-2019 visitation by that Boyd mainstay, players from Hawaii. Wrote J.P. Morgan analyst Joseph Greff, “The growth in Locals was driven by destination business (tourists and out-of-towners) and non-gaming operations (we note that these trends have to be very positive for Red Rock Resorts who has yet to report) and continued strength in play from its core customers.” Despite softness in Louisiana and Mississippi, Boyd improved its numbers in the Midwest and South, helped along by strength in the online segment and by performance-based management fees from successful, new Sky River Casino near Sacramento.

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A peek at Penn; DraftKings retreats, Aruze tumbles

Wall Street analysts got an early look at Penn Entertainment‘s 4Q22 earnings, which were mildly adverse and poorer than The Street expected, and which point to a flat trajectory going forward through the early summer. Deutsche Bank analyst Carlo Santarelli described the preview as “realistic, though likely uninspiring guidance.” Revenues were 3% down in 4Q22, revenue was $1.4 billion and cash flow slipped 5%. To encourage stock analysts (per Santarelli), “Management noted challenging weather in December, while also noting strength in the final week of the month and a continuation of strength into January. The Deutsche Bank analyst blamed the underperformance on new competition, “as well as the impact of same-store revenue headwinds on margins.” The interactive segment (excluding Barstool Sports) also pulled down the numbers somewhat, which some fingered on John “Mattress Mack” McIngvale and his big World Series win.

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Ohio dips; Bally’s unplugged; Macao booms

Here’s one for those of you who believe gambling is facing a recession: Revenue in Ohio fell 2% last month (yes, it took the Buckeye State until February to report December’s numbers). The haul was $193 million, which was still 14% better than the end of 2019, if that’s any consolation. MGM Northfield Park maintained its market-leading status with $24 million, up 5.5%. But there was a surprise challenger: Jack Cleveland, close behind with $23.5 million, an 8.5% gain. Other racinos that were revenue-positive (like MGM Northfield) were Scioto Downs, up 2% to $19.5 million and doughty Hollywood Mahoning Valley, up 3% to $13 million. Miami Valley Gaming was flat at $19 million.

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Sands impresses; Trump’s new Mob pal; Boardwalk blotter; Mega-Jottings

Wall Street was in a sunny mood this week after Las Vegas Sands‘ 4Q22 earnings presentation. As Credit Suisse analyst Ben Chaiken summarized, “two large takeaways in our view were strength in Singapore and what we felt was a positive tone from [management] concerning the trajectory of Macau, due to pent-up demand potential.” Normally we bristle at the overused phrase “pent-up demand” but early indicators from Red China are that gamblers are champing at the bit to get into Macao.

Cash flow at Marina Bay Sands was well ahead of The Street’s expectation, hitting $386 million at gambling monies reached an all-time high. Chaiken said Macanese trends have “accelerated” heading into Chinese New Year—in which visitation is at 40% of 2019 numbers—and that Sands is on course to post positive ROI again. But, wrote Chaiken, “the Singapore rebound (faster than we expected) could provide insight into what a Macau recovery could look like,” especially when achieved with air travel into Singapore that is still constrained at two-thirds of pre-Covid levels.

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Bluhm blows smoke; Detroit declines; Bally’s sheds jobs

No, that isn’t a new big-box retail outlet (which its entrance rather resembles) but Rivers Portsmouth, the first permanent casino to open in Virginia. On hand were Allen Iverson, a marching band, a gaggle of local politicians … and the noxious odor of tobacco smoke. Comments harvested by Americans for Nonsmokers Rights included such gems as “This is just not OK” and “I will never come here again.” That’s not what Rush Street Gaming execs want to hear, less stil, “I think it’s backwards, archaic, disgusting and I won’t come here ever again.” Opined player Beth Grimes, “I hadn’t even sat down yet to play a game. I’m leaving. I’ve been in this building 30 minutes walking around, and all of a sudden, as more people have come in and sat down, they’re smoking, smoking, smoking.” Also irked was Norfolk resident David Spry: “I finally quit and I’m not going to be putting myself into a position where I’m going to get second-hand smoke.” Nor should he.

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