Category: Las Vegas Advisor

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Maryland down, Illinois up; NFL hypocrisy; Bally’s biz

Gaming industry bears are going to latch onto a 4% drop in Maryland gambling earnings as evidence of an impending recession. Thankfully, J.P. Morgan analyst Joseph Greff puts it in context by pointing out that the $174 million haul is 17% higher than July 2019, itself a high-water mark at the time. The Free State moves closer to a duopoly, with MGM National Harbor (41%) and Maryland Live (36%) capturing more than three-fourths of all business. That left woebegone Horseshoe Baltimore, the casino that Caesars Entertainment forgot, with just $16 million, 13% below last year and 17% down from 2019. MGM, meanwhile, raked in $72 million, a 6.5% slippage, while Maryland Live booked 63%, up 2%.

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Wall Street: Station soft; DraftKings impresses, Bally’s doesn’t

“If you were surprised you haven’t been paying attention.” So wrote Deutsche Bank analyst Carlo Santarelli of yesterday’s Station Casinos earnings release. He added, “it should come as no surprise that RRR reported results that were softer than our forecasts,” which were in themselves pessimistic. Station execs pointed to tough 2022 comparisons, especially in April, as well as their sports books getting cleaned out by Las Vegas Golden Knights bettors. Almost a million dollars of incremental utility costs also accounted for the miss and the latter factor should be considerably worse next quarter. Summarized Santarelli, “if you paid attention to [Boyd Gaming], you got almost exactly what you would have expected from RRR this evening.”

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Bears and bulls at MGM; Uwazurike spells “idiot”

J.P. Morgan analyst Joseph Greff was pretty blunt about MGM Resorts International‘s mixed bag of 2Q23 numbers. “Carried by Macau,” he headlined his report, adding that the Las Vegas Strip was in line with expectations but regional casinos came up short. Of $3.9 billion in net revenue, $2.1 billion came from Sin City but the biggest noise was heard out of Macao, where revenues shot up from $143 million last year to $741 million this year. The Las Vegas numbers were but a $9.5 million improvement on 2Q22 while regional casinos slipped 3.5% to $926 million. Inside the Vegas result were some interesting stats: MGM appears to making its nut off hotel occupancies (96%), where revenues nudged 2% higher while casino haul was 4% down. Slot coin-in rose 13%, barely outpacing house win that was up 12%. Table wagering was up 4% but win only 2% higher.

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Strip flattens, locals fade; Analysts mixed on Boyd

While not as bad as Deutsche Bank expected (-8%), June revenues on the Las Vegas Strip of $727 million were a disappointment, down 1%. And May’s brief flurry of hope from Las Vegas locals players faded fast as their losses tumbled 10% to $229 million.The problem on the Strip can be summed up in one word: baccarat. The house got clobbered as winnings plunged 29% on 3% larger wagering. By contrast, all other table games were up 9% despite 14% thinner betting. Slot play was up 12.5%, translating to 4% more win for the house.

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F-blue, Rio approved; Indiana down again; Biden smoked

Fontainebleau owner Jeffrey Soffer and top exec Brett Mufson are certain to be approved after their audition for the Nevada Gaming Control Board. And why not? Aside from an ancient tax issue involving the Town Square mall, there’s nothing untoward about Soffer’s application. (Trivia question: Upon what casino’s gravesite was Town Square built?) The only beef we have is the NGCB’s habit of waiting until the last possible minute to approve such applications. If something truly noisome turned up it would be too late to address it properly. The Control Board essentially takes itself hostage to the unstoppable momentum generated by large casino projects. As for the total budget for 16-year construction folie de grandeur that is F-blue, nobody’s talking. We have to defer to Citizen Kane‘s stentorian newsreel description of Charles Foster Kane‘s Xanadu: “Cost? NO MAN CAN SAY!” However, we strongly suspect that F-blue will outstrip Resorts World Las Vegas as the costliest megaresort in Las Vegas history, were the tab to be honestly accounted.

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Bellagio bargain?; Shame on Maine; Trump seen slumming

Yup, it’s true. Blackstone Group is shopping the real estate assets of Bellagio as it draws down its Las Vegas Strip exposure. At least one Wall Street analyst thinks this would send a signal to the REIT industry that Strip real estate is “undervalued.” MGM Resorts International still holds 5% of the $4.3 billion megaresort and there’s no word whether that sliver is in play, though apparently not. At any rate, CB Richard Ellis analyst John DeCree decreed that a “Bellagio sale could be positive for valuation signal. Given the iconic nature of Bellagio, we suspect any real estate investor with the financial means would likely be at the table, even for a minority stake in the asset.” He added that “a partial sale could appeal to a broader set of interested buyers, considering the potential price tag,” which he did not specify. DeCree strongly implied that Blackstone would get its 2019 purchase price back, which hardly seems like a strong incentive to sell.

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New player in NYC; Big splash in Atlantic City

Look out Manhattan casino aspirants: There is a new player in the game. It’s Larry Silverstein, the real estate mogul behind the redevelopment of the World Trade Center area post-9/11. He’s proposing Avenir, a mega-budget project that would erect two 46-story towers above the casino podium, which itself would entail 600,000 square feet of gaming and related amenities. High in the sky, a 1,000 concert hall would be on the 45th floor of one of the towers, which will be connected to the other via a lofty skybridge. Silverstein has a strategic location—just north of the convention-centric Javits Center and four blocks west of Times Square. What’s more, Silverstein owns the land outright, which clears a few hurdles. Avenir could be a category-killer and there’s more …

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All Atlantic City, all the time; Gone to the dogs; Mega-Jottings

The former Trump Marina looks sadly outmoded next to Borgata and Ocean

Although terrestrial casino revenue dipped 2.5% last month, New Jersey casinos made out like bandits online, with i-gambling up 19% and sports betting leapt 33.5%. In Atlantic City the gross was $227 million at traditional casinos, as a sharp decline in table revenue (-8%) pulled the Boardwalk down. Borgata slipped 4.5% but still led the market with $60.5 million. Hard Rock Atlantic City felt a chill, off 6.5%, but banked $39 million nonetheless. Ocean Resort was the usurper, jumping 17% to $30 million. Among the Caesars Entertainment flotilla, only Tropicana Atlantic City held its ground, flat at $21.5 million. Harrah’s Resort ceded 10% to fall to $19 million whilst volatile Caesars Atlantic City slid 9.5% to $18 million—not a good look for a high-roller joint. Everybody else was bunched way to the back, trailed by the Golden Nugget with $12.5 million (-1%), as Resorts Atlantic City made $13.5 million (-5%) and Bally’s Atlantic City managed $13 million on a 4% gain.

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Massachusetts up, Indiana, Louisiana down; Miller’s folly

Gambling revenues nudged upward a bit in Massachusetts, rising 2% from a year earlier. April’s numbers had Encore Boston Harbor far in the lead with $64 million but flat year/year. MGM Springfield (shown) had quite a good month, up 5% to $24 million, while Plainridge Park did almost as well, rising 4% to $13.5 million. Sports betting was lucrative, bringing home $60 million on $579 million in handle. Favorite son DraftKings scored a much-needed win with $29 million in revenue, followed by FanDuel‘s $22 million. (The two had been deadlocked last month.) WynnBet tumbled below the Mendoza Line, while Barstool Sports slumped to $2 million after a strong-ish start and BetMGM fell way back to $5 million, more indications that revenue was flowing DraftKings’ way. Caesars Sportsbook held its ground with $2 million.

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Mob merriment; Golden Nugget woes

What the hell were you thinking, Bally’s Corp.? The company’s struggling Atlantic City casino recently hosted a meet-and-greet featuring mobster Gianni Russo. Our Boardwalk correspondent, who was there, says Russo is “a lifelong member of the Mafia, who was in The Godfather. [He played Talia Shire‘s doomed husband.] It was both a strange and very interesting presentation. He told his story along with screens showing many photos of people he interacted with, with film clips (my favorite was Elvis Presley and Frank Sinatra singing a song together), newspaper headlines, and also sang a few songs! The promotions said there would be gifts; they had five violin-shaped liquor bottles, and each invited guest received a signed copy of his book . No other gifts. They had an open bar and some desserts.”

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