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The popularity of parlays

Being busy on other fronts today (tune or surf in at 9 a.m. PST to KNPR‘s State of Nevada, we’re turning S&G over for the day to Samuel of Sports Smart Betting. If you like his work, you may see it here on a recurring basis. After all, sports betting is dominating the gambling conversation today. For his initial topic, Sam explains the …

Reasons why parlay bets are so popular

1. Parlay bets can offer higher payouts: These types of bets typically have higher payouts than single bets because of the multiplicative effect of more selection in a single bet slip. This can be attractive to bettors looking for a chance to win big even if they take several times more risks.

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Caesars surprises Wall Street; Rincon defects; Bluhm to NYC?

Since the Roman Empire is not given to pre-announcing earnings (it leaves that to MGM Resorts International), its tribunes must have had some pretty good end-of-year numbers to trot out, which they did this morning. The headline, at least as far as J.P. Morgan analyst Joseph Greff was concerned was that the results were pretty much as expected and Caesars Entertainment is reducing its digital losses. That’s all favorable news for investors, so let’s read on, shall we? The Las Vegas Strip continued to boom but, due to “harsh December weather” (tell us about it), regional revenues were a trifle squishy, negatively impacting cash flow by as much as $15 million. Caesars Sportsbook would have posted positive ROI—were it not for a $30 million bad beat delivered by John “Mattress Mack” McIngvale. Win some, lose some.

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New Slots To Play and Have Fun

This post is syndicated by the Las Vegas Advisor for the 888 casino group. Anthony Curtis comments on the 888 article introduced and linked to on this page.

A.C. says: Despite the fact that slots are the most-played gambling game in American casinos, we don’t talk a lot about them. The reason is simple: With few exceptions, slots aren’t beatable and at LVA, we concentrate on the beatable games. But because slot revenues are such a big portion of the casino-revenue pie, the competition to create new games is fierce and lots of intriguing themes and innovative pay components hit the market every year. In this article, one of the top gambling writers out there, John Grochowski, describes five of this year’s new offerings. The article was written fresh off the most recent G2E conference, so these games are just making their way onto casino floors. Return percentages and related mathematical considerations aren’t addressed – again, keep in mind that these are negative-expectation games – but the descriptions provide insight into the experience that each game offers and, more important, give prospective players a head start on understanding what they’re rooting for once the wheels start spinning (the learning curve on the more complicated slots can be steep). Speaking of the competition among game developers, note that a different manufacturer is behind each of the five slots featured.

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‘Fight’ club; New Horseshoe powers Louisiana

Having experienced buyer’s remorse on DFS site Monkey Knife Fight, and now trying to re-sell it, Bally’s Corp. finds itself with a ton of Monkey Knife Fight-branded merchandise that it must unload. After all, if it finds a pigeon, er, purchaser for the DFS brand, all rights will revert to said pigeon, leaving Bally’s with a bunch of junk it can’t move. Hence the scene above in the Bally’s Atlantic City gift shop. You can practically hear the sales pitch: “Prices like these? I must be crazy! Sale ends Sunday (maybe)!” Seriously, the acquisition of Monkey Knife Fight was symptomatic of Bally’s swing-at-everything business strategy. It probably seemed like a good idea at the time.

Then again, Bally’s was late to the DFS party and the purchase always seemed to us like an afterthought. Now the company is hurting in the digital sphere, having expanded too much too soon, and Monkey Knife Fight is being flung overboard to trim the ship. Good luck finding takers. Maybe Bally’s Chairman Soo Kim can drop by Bally’sAtlantic City (the casino that quality forgot) and pick up sportswear that reads, “I bought Monkey Knife Fight and all I got was this lousy T-shirt.”

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Pennsylvania soft; Gray Lady panics; Smooth criminal

Gambling revenues in the commonwealth of Pennsylvania slipped just a bit last month, as 2022 continued to go out mostly quietly. The $298 million haul was 1% off December 2021’s pace. While there was some softening of the market, we attribute that to continued saturation, as more mini-casinos continue to come on line. The biggest winner was Parx Casino with $48.5 million, but it was 5.5% down, which we chalk up to its (utterly praiseworthy) smoking ban. Close behind was Wind Creek Bethlehem, reporting $42 million and up 3%. Rivers Pittsburgh was third with $31.5 million, a 2% gain. Its immediate rivals also fared well, with Meadows Hollywood flat at $14 million and Pittsburgh Live hopping 5% to $10 million.

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Solid finish in Atlantic City; Tough love elsewhere

Casinos closed out 2022 up 2% in December in Atlantic City. Before any gaming bosses start wringing their hands over higher costs, let it be known that this is 3% better than December 2019, before the latest collective-bargaining agreement. The monthly gross was $215.5 million. For the entire year, it was an apex in Boardwalk history, thanks to i-gaming and sports-betting contributions. This did not pass unnoticed by Americans for Nonsmokers Rights. “Imagine how much more revenue the casinos would have generated if the awful stench of dangerous secondhand smoke didn’t keep a meaningful number of guests from walking through their doors,” acidly remarked ANR President Cynthia Hallett. She added, “In-person visitation has recovered to pre-pandemic levels. So what’s the excuse now for the casinos? This revenue report should give legislators yet another green light to advance bipartisan bills that more than half of all senators and assembly members are co-sponsoring to close the casino smoking loophole.”

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It’s Not Like That

In addition to being posted on www.bobdancer.com, these weekly blogs are also posted on www.gamblingwithanedge.com, where there is a forum for reader discussion. Recently, a man who posts as “Boris from Switzerland” wrote (slightly edited): Change of subject: Why has Boyd stopped offering multipliers to everybody, and why did they clean out their casino floors by removing their 99.50% and higher games? This is something I don’t like at all. 

While I’m not a big fan of Boyd and the gambling decisions they have made, Boris has misstated what they are actually doing.

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Massachusetts jumps; Bally’s sags; Century flees

Defying a larger trend, Massachusetts closed out 2022 with strength, its casino revenues up 8% to $103 million. The big dog, Encore Boston Harbor, leapt 10% to a boffo $68.5 million, beating Wall Street expectations. MGM Springfield‘s gain was more modest, 1% that pushed it to $22.5 million for the month. Plainridge Park jumped 11.5% and grossed $12 million, continuing to manifest a recovery against the inroads made by nearby Encore.

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The tax that ate Las Vegas; Dr. King misremembered

A horrible idea for the taxpayer, the economy and for gaming in particular has been resurrected in Congress. Yes, it’s the “national sales tax,” which would lay a double-digit impost on all goods and services, and which only could be rebated to us if we fill out onerous, monthly paperwork—much more burdensome than dealing with the IRS once a year. As formerly championed by disgraced ex-lawmaker Steve King, the root of the bill is the “strong father” model of government, in which the sales tax would be intended to A) make people resent government itself and B) curb consumer spending. An especially odious carve-out in the 2004 iteration of the bill—and this bears close watching—is that all businesses would qualify for tax refunds … except casinos and gambling-related businesses, which would get nothing. It’s a dagger aimed straight at the heart of the Big, Bad Casinos.

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When Is It Quittin’ Time?

This post is syndicated by the Las Vegas Advisor for the 888 casino group. Anthony Curtis comments on the 888 article introduced and linked to on this page.

A.C. says: When should you quit playing during a gambling session? Most advice revolves around the monetary consideration, focusing on protecting a big win or limiting losses. The advice in this article is related to that, but really boils down to using common sense. It advocates paying attention to what you know is the logical thing to do, whether based on your current results or simply maximizing the experience. It sounds a little bit like a cop-out, but because of several points made in this article, there aren’t any hard-and-fast rules for stopping. That’s okay; relying on common sense is good advice for all levels of player. However, there’s a fairly solid rule of thumb for expert players who know how to play with an advantage, e.g., by counting cards in blackjack or playing a video poker progressive that’s above breakeven. Assuming you’re adequately bankrolled, you should stop when the game conditions deteriorate or when you’re too tired to play accurately. For pros, the paramount consideration for deciding when to stop is almost always whether or not the game continues to be beatable, not how much has been won or lost, especially after a small amount of play.

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