There’s an Eeyore sweatshirt that says, “Could be worse. Not sure how, but it could be.” That pretty much sums up the situation in Macao, which finished 2021 44% ahead of 2020 when it comes to gambling revenue … but could one envision a worse scenario than 2020? Not sure how, but we could. The world’s gambling capital managed almost $11 billion in revenue last year, Las Vegas-like numbers but we have come to expect so much more. Of course, it’s difficult to open the throttle on Macao given the Chinese government’s newfound disapproval of gaming, and its habit of dialing access to the casino enclave up and down like the burners on a stove.

Then there’s the matter of concession renewals, which seem like a done deal but still have their skeptics, like Jefferies analyst David Katz, who cited “uncertainty” surrounding the concessions, leading him to take “a conservative stance” on Macao-centric stocks. Indeed, the market has punished stocks that are heavily reliant on Macanese casinos. Las Vegas Sands has fallen 35%, Wynn Resorts 20%. Galaxy Entertainment took a 33% bath and Melco Resorts & Entertainment got walloped 43%. “China Lite” MGM Resorts International, however, made out like a bandit, seeing its share price vault 51%.

Could it be because MGM Resorts International CEO Bill Hornbuckle came justhisclose to being S&G‘s Executive of the Year? Could it be for his vigorous pursuit of diversity within the lion’s house? Might it be for MGM’s very proactive “Convene with Confidence” anti-Covid program that promotes safe meetings and conventions with innovations like in-room testing? Perhaps it is for being the first Las Vegas CEO to drop the hammer and mandate Covid-19 vaccinations for salaried employees? Or maybe it’s for a canny string of real estate deals, culminating in the $1 billion sale of The Mirage, that have left MGM awash in liquidity?

But in a good way. Despite having one less weekend in which to gamble than in 2019, gaming revenues were off the charts last November. The Las Vegas Strip vaulted 46% to $755 million and locals revenues, expected to level off, instead catapulted 45% to $263.5 million. Some of the latter was fattened by end-of-October slot win, not tallied until the following Monday. Statewide, the leap was 41% to $1.3 billion. The magic number for the Strip was a 45% increase in baccarat win (remember, more international players were allowed into town) on 35% more wagering plus tighter hold. Strip slot win—$408 million—was a 47% jump on 31% more coin-in (and 9% hold), while non-baccarat table games rallied 45% on 35% larger betting and tight hold.

It wouldn’t be a fight for a Chicago casino if it weren’t down and dirty—and it is. Bally’s Corp. already sounds desperate, throwing a Hail Mary pass in the form of a report that rival bidders Rush Street Gaming and Hard Rock International would effectively get a tax break by diverting business to their nearby casinos in Des Plaines and Gary, respectively: “Granting the Chicago casino license to an operator with an existing operation in the same market runs the risk of revenue being manipulated away from Chicago to the operator’s financial gain, but at the detriment to the city.”