Las Vegas Advisor

Posted on June 21, 2021 by James Grosjean — 5 Comments

Colin Jones (S1 E2): The Devil is Mr. Jones

For the amount of vitriol directed at Colin Jones online, you’d think the man eats babies. In reality, he’s guilty of a far greater sin—he wrote a card-counting book, The 21^st-Century Card Counter. That book is one pillar of a viral card-counting enterprise also supported by the documentary movie Holy Rollers, the website blackjackapprenticeship.com (BJA), and the in-person boot camps offered from time to time. Before I continue with the multi-part book review I began in my last post, let me address the mild controversy surrounding the book’s author, Mr. Jones (“Jones”? Really?).

As a disclaimer, let me say that other than reading CJ’s book, I have no connection whatsoever to the BJA empire. I’ve never attended a boot camp, and I know CJ only from meeting him a few times at Max Rubin’s annual Blackjack Ball. I won’t bother to start with the perfunctory, empty statement, “He’s a really nice guy,” because that definition of “nice” carries no weight with me. I’ve known friendly talkers who would buy you coffee or pick you up from the airport, but still abuse you and steal six or seven figures from you, so what does “nice” really mean, anyway? But since you asked about CJ, yeah, he’s a really nice guy.

Posted on June 21, 2021September 14, 2023 by David Mckee — Leave a comment

Same to you, fella; Mega-Jottings

We were stumped for a lead item until we got this snap from our Atlantic City bureau. One has to puzzle at Borgata‘s cretinous idea of a welcome, particularly its implicit slap at women. Did property President Melonie Johnson sign off on this affront?

Next door in Pennsylvania, terrestrial casinos are still having a difficult time catching up to the palmy days of 2019, being 2.5% behind last month for a gross of $278.5 million. Surely what we’re seeing is a saturated market, exacerbated by a string of new-casino openings that has not yet played out. Parx Casino continued to be untroubled, up 5% to $56 million. As for the other Philadelphia-area casinos, Philadelphia Live‘s tight-fisted marketing habits may be catching up with it. It slipped incrementally behind Rivers Philadelphia (still -33%), which came in $300K ahead of Live’s $19 million. Valley Forge Resort suffered a bit, down 10% to $11 million and Harrah’s Philadelphia suffered a lot, sliding 21.5% to $16.5 million. Cordish Gaming won $8.5 million at Live Pittsburgh, while competitors Rivers Pittsburgh ($28 million, -14%) and The Meadows ($16.5 million, -23%) felt the pinch. Rivers Pittsburgh, meanwhile, is upping its game with a $60 million hotel.

Aside from Parx, the only revenue-positive casino in the state was Mount Airy, up 8.5% to $17.5 million. Mohegan Sun at Pocono Downs was down 12% to $18 million and Wind Creek Bethlehem won $36.5 million, a -16.5% slippage. Presque Isle Downs dropped 16% to $10 million, Hollywood Penn National made $20 million, off 8% and Lady Luck Nemacolin tumbled 29% to $2 million.

Posted on June 18, 2021September 14, 2023 by David Mckee — Leave a comment

Louisiana up again; DraftKings hit hard

Casinos in Louisiana weren’t quite as phat last month as in April but still nudged up 5% overall. In New Orleans, the leader was Harrrah’s New Orleans with $27 million (+1%), followed by Boomtown New Orleans, leaping 21% to $12.5 million. Treasure Chest, which may be moving ashore soon, grossed $9 million (-7%) and Fair Grounds racino checked in with $4 million (+11%). Up in Baton Rouge, category-killer L’Auberge Baton Rouge won $18 million, up a whopping 37.5%, while Hollywood Baton Rouge rose 22% to $6 million and forlorn Belle of Baton Rouge plunged 39% to $1.5 million, which should at least cover the electric bill. Boyd Gaming‘s outlying Amelia Belle slipped 10% to $4 million and Evangeline Downs trotted +1% to $8 million.

Lake Charles led the state and it was led by Golden Nugget, up 5% to $29.5 million while chief adversary L’Auberge du Lac rose 7% but closed at $27 million. Delta Downs won $16.5 million, up 4%. As for Shreveport/Bossier City, tops is Margaritaville, vaulting 37.5% to $19 million, leading Horseshoe Bossier City‘s $17.5 million (+13%). We’ll see if the shoe is on the other foot come August, when Shreveport’s smoking ban goes into effect. Eldorado Shreveport leapt 35% to $13 million but all other casinos were also-rans: Boomtown Bossier ($5 million, -2%), Sam’s Town Shreveport ($6 million, -1.5%) and Louisiana Downs—now with 100% less Harrah’s—grossing $5 million, up 16%. Basically, the rich got richer and … well, you know the rest.

Posted on June 17, 2021September 26, 2023 by David Mckee — Leave a comment

Atlantic City casinos rebound; Slow thaw in Massachusetts

Casinos in Atlantic City are finally catching up with the rest of gaming’s recovery. Last month they were only 3% off the 2019 pace. They grossed $213 million, a substantial improvement over April. Slot win was $158 million on 8% less handle, while tables won $53.5 million on 2% higher wagering volume. Borgata was a trifle unlucky, with table win down 6% and slots off 15% for a 7% overall decline. The Caesars Entertainment threesome slipped 13% but did fairly well at the tables, down only 2%, while slot win dropped 17%. Broken out by individual casino, Caesars Atlantic City held steady at -2% for $22.5 million, Harrah’s Resort slid 15% to $21.5 million and Tropicana Atlantic City stumbled 21% to $20 million. Borgata’s $49 million gross put it comfortably in first place but the only revenue-positive casinos were Hard Rock Atlantic City, vaulting 22% to $35 million and Ocean Resort, rocketing 51% to $24.5 million (a higher gross than any Caesars property, it should be noted). Resorts Atlantic City hung in there pretty well, down 5% to $15.5 million, while Bally’s Atlantic City skidded 21% to $12 million (to its credit, new management acknowledges that the place needs a refit) and Golden Nugget shed 23% but stayed out of last place with $13 million.

Sports betting was feeling the same May slump-let as everyone else, although handle was a healthy $814 million, up April’s $748 million. NBA action can be thanked, what with the Philadelphia 76ers, Brooklyn Nets and New York Knicks all in the playoffs, engendering $217 million in handle. Major-league baseball was responsible for another $186 million in handle. FanDuel/PointsBet was the revenue leader with $30 million, followed at some great distance by Resorts Digital/DraftKings/Fox Bet‘s $9.5 million. BetMGM held $5 million, Monmouth/William Hill/SugarHouse/TheScore scored $2 million and William Hill’s Ocean Casino outpost snagged another $1 million. Nobody else came close to the million-dollar threshold. Internet casinos held steady, grossing $108 million. BetMGM came in first with $33 million, then Caesars/WynnBet with $15.5 million, DraftKings with $14 million and Golden Nugget Online with $10 million. Concluded PlayUSA analyst Eric Ramsey, “Online revenue has clearly been resilient, but hopefully the retail market can sustain this return to pre-pandemic levels.” Amen.

Posted on June 15, 2021August 24, 2023 by Bob Dancer — 18 Comments

My Explanation

In the comments on gamblingwithanedge.com relating to a recent blog post of mine, a man named Tim wrote:

Perhaps this has been discussed multiple times, but why don’t the Strip casinos offer full pay video poker? For example, I would sit and play 10 play 9/6 Jacks or better quarters for hours (like I do at South Point). If there is only 6/5 bonus, I may sit at a bar and just play $20.

Posted on June 15, 2021September 14, 2023 by David Mckee — 2 Comments

Indiana, Missouri keep rebounding; Casino boom benefits all

Scratch two casino riverboats in Indiana. The Majestic Star-branded flotilla went out of business—and Hard Rock Gary came in, quite auspiciously. Total Hoosier State gaming revenue for last month grew 18% over 2019 to $185.5 million. Hard Rock Gary opened mid-month but booked $20.5 million in a fortnight, good enough for third in the northern tier of casinos. Give it a full month and we’ll really see something. Horseshoe Hammond, still on the selling block, led with $38 million (+22%), followed by Ameristar East Chicago‘s $26.5 million (+34%). Blue Chip missed out on the prosperity, down 6% to $12.5 million.

Elsewhere in the state, Indiana Grand was tops with $30 million (+32.5%), while Harrah’s Hoosier Downs grossed $21 million (+29%) and soon-to-be-orphaned Caesars Southern Indiana brought in $22 million, a 12% gain. French Lick Resort was down 19% to $6.5 million. Also suffering declines were fellow small fry Rising Star ($4.5 million, -1%) and Belterra Resort ($8.5 million, -7,5%). In its last month as a Caesars Entertainment property, Tropicana Evansville was up 6% to $13.5 million. Hollywood Lawrenceburg was flat at $14.5 million.

Posted on June 14, 2021 by James Grosjean — 14 Comments

Colin Jones (S1 E1): You Had Me at “Zippered Pockets”

People online think that I have great disdain for card counters. That isn’t true, per se. I have disdain for posers, and it just so happens that almost everyone who brags on YouTube about counting cards, or who claims online to be a “blackjack expert,” is a poser. My respect for the late “MathProf” (Dr. Michael Canjar) went up greatly when I saw him wearing his cargo pants, anonymously blasting 2x$800 on the double-deck at the Atlantis in Reno. One of my teammates had an interesting encounter in the wild with the late Peter Griffin. When someone is out there, putting cold, hard cash on the felt, and consequently growing the chip inventory on the kitchen table, that’s instant credibility in my eyes.

As Tommy Hyland wrote in the Foreword to Colin Jones’s The 21^st-Century Card Counter, “the guy walks the walk.” I haven’t encountered Colin in the wild (yet), but I know Tommy is right on this one. It’s easy to talk the talk online, on Green Chip, or the Discord, and sound uber-smart, and knowledgeable about counting and all kinds of advanced plays, but the talk rings hollow if you try to get it past an actual practitioner. I can’t read 10 posts on any online forum without getting the urge to rant, but I resist that urge and refocus my chi.

Posted on June 14, 2021September 14, 2023 by David Mckee — Leave a comment

Las Vegas heats up; Zombies overrun Atlantic City

In a benchmark development, three of the four major Las Vegas Strip operators posted higher midweek rates for the July 4-July 10 period than in 2019. Caesars Entertainment was flat, probably due to its sheer proliferation of hotel rooms. MGM Resorts International inched up 2%, Wynncore was +22% and Venelazzo rose 9%. And we’re not even into convention season yet. Weekend rates tended to be stellar: MGM leapt 41%, Caesars hopped 19%, Wynn Resorts vaulted 54% and Las Vegas Sands was up 28%. Obviously the holiday weekend is a big contributor to this phenomenon but who would have thought the Strip would be outperforming 2019 so soon?

Perhaps visitors got a sneak peek at WalletHub‘s finding that Nevada is the third-most-fun state in our great country. It’s tops (like, duh) in access to casino and fourth in arts, entertainment and recreational venues. Surprisingly, the Silver State is 15th in access per capita to amusement parks and 17th in performing-arts theaters (all those casino showrooms, you know … although Las Vegas boasts a remarkably vigorous theatre scene). We could do better in access to national parks, ranking only 24th. Only California and Florida outdid Nevada (we blame Disney), while Mississippi and West Virginia are the least-fun places to be. Nevada has the fifth-fewest marinas per capita but, with the way Lake Mead is shrinking, can you blame us?

Posted on June 11, 2021September 14, 2023 by David Mckee — 3 Comments

Trump banned; Richmond: The fix was in

Donald Trump won’t be opening a casino in Doral. Neither will anyone else. Not if the Doral City Council has its way. It voted unanimously to bar casino gambling within the city, which encompasses The Donald’s struggling resort. This has nothing to do with Trump’s financial chicanery and moral turpitude (which ought to bar him from a gaming license outright), and everything to do with preserving the letter and spirit of Amendment 3 to the Florida constitution. The latter reads, in part, “This amendment ensures that Florida voters shall have the exclusive right to decide whether to authorize casino gambling by requiring that in order for casino gambling to be authorized under Florida law, it must be approved by Florida voters pursuant to Article XI, Section 3 of the Florida Constitution.” It’s hard to be much clearer than that. The juice job for Trump and Jeffrey Soffer recently passed by the Lege is unlikely to withstand the smell test in court and it certainly flopped with the Doral city fathers.

Stalking horse Eric Trump has been jawboning in favor of Doral for months, telling the Washington Post, “Many people consider Trump Doral to be unmatched from a gaming perspective—at 700 acres, properties just don’t exist of that size and quality in South Florida, let alone in the heart of Miami.” Admittedly, “many people” is usually Trumpspeak for “I’m totally pulling this out of my ass,” but even if Trump fils is right, that doesn’t make it constitutional. The Eric needn’t start putting slot machines in yet; a long court fight is surely looming over the Seminole compact, which has the watertight integrity of a sieve.

Posted on June 10, 2021September 14, 2023 by David Mckee — 2 Comments

Big Trouble in Little China; The thieving nun

Carrying a 20-year-long grudge, businessman Marshall Hao is suing Las Vegas Sands for $12 billion, claiming it wronged him when it jilted his Asian American Entertainment Corp. in favor of a (short-lived) partnership with Galaxy Entertainment to get into Macao. Although he’s not alleging such, political reasons may have been involved. Hao is a citizen of Taiwan, while Galaxy is firmly China-rooted. He wants 70% of Sands’ operating profits from the 2004-2022 period. The trial will be gaveled into session on June 16. Alas, we no longer have the addled, combative testimony of Sheldon Adelson to anticipate. In the past Sands has stated, “Using a different lawyer every time, AAEC has repeatedly filed lawsuits trying to take credit for that which they didn’t do.” However, the company has a history of promiscuity with regards to its Macanese partners. A $70 million court award to Richard Suen for an unpaid “success fee” still hangs over Sands’ head and the company quietly settled with three local Chinese businessmen for a similar favor.

The timing of the trial is unfortunate for Sands, with reexamination of casino concessions due next year. Whatever dirty laundry is aired is unlikely to redound to LVS’ benefit. Official company rhetoric has even taken a turn for the pessimistic. One of the key points on which the case is sure to hinge is Hao’s contention that the joint proposal submitted by Sands and Galaxy was identical to one already drafted with AAEC. In light of the present imbroglio, Sands will surely line up behind Sociedade de Jogos de Macau in petitioning City Hall to push concession reviews back to 2023. SJM CEO Ambrose So gave the rather weak excuse that the concessions shouldn’t be under consideration while they’re performing poorly financially, thanks to Covid-19 (as though they didn’t have a lengthy track record already). More to the point, he said it would be unfair to some of the concession holders if current travel restrictions prevent them from coming to Macao to testify. Former lawmaker and present casino executive Melinda Chan agreed, doubting that the government could wrap up the process in a year. In any event, Sands is sure to want whatever extension it can get.

Blog Posts