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How I Found Treasure Perusing the MRB!

Bobby Vegas: Friends Don’t Let Friends Play Triple-Zero Roulette

Happiness is full-pay 9/6 Jacks or Better with a $500 coupon!

So I’m lounging in bed with some Haagen Dasz (2-for-1) and perusing my Member Rewards Book wondering what coupons I’ll have left for my end-of-year Vegas trip, when I stumble on a treasure.

Wait. Did I read that right? A royal flush $500 free-play bonus? At the Plaza? In the Sand Dollar Lounge? Am I DREAMING? Great music and free drinks playing Jacks or Better at 100.65?

It took all my self-control not to jump on a plane, but I’m still recovering from my recent medical emergencies and surgeries, so I’m handing it to all you APs.

I love the Plaza (will be writing more about it in the next few blogs). CEO Jonathan Jossel is doing everything right, in my humble opinion.

Like the Plaza’s recent EDM Festival in the parking lot (I love the band Jungle) and their FP VP, single- zero roulette, matchplays, Pink Box donuts, Hash House A Go Go, pizza, and much more. Also their location at the Circa end of Fremont Street’s not too shabby either.

I’ve tried to use my free-champagne MRB coupon at Circa, but I keep getting comped. Wow. It’s a tough job, but hey, somebody, right?

Trivia: The Plaza bought the first round of Fontainebleau furniture sold off by Carl Icahn out of bankruptcy. Nice.

But I digress.

I loved 9/6 JOB (mostly graduated to higher tighter VP). Back in the day, it was my go-to game, with its low variance and two units for your second pair. God Bless America, that’s a beautiful thing. Sorry, Macklemore! (That’s a Plaza joke.) And now I can play it with a $500 free play bonus? Katie (Perry?) bar the door — right after I get in.

Adding .1% for comps and using the Wizard of Odds calculator, I get a return percentage of 100.68.

If you win, there’s a slight EV loss playing $500 free Play through 9/6 JOB. Or heck, go throw it at the slots. Your choice, baby.

How did I miss this fabulous advantage-play coupon until now?

I do peruse Anthony’s list in the Las Vegas Advisor of the expected value of the MRB’s gambling coupons, but this coupon wasn’t there! And the coupon index in the back of the MRB listed it simply as a royal flush bonus. Yawn. Most of them are like … well, they’re not $500 in free play.

Glad I was actually looking through the MRB. It’s coupon 46.

And here’s my challenge: Try walking into Pink Box and buying just one donut. Then go over to the Sand Dollar and soak up some positive expectation JoB, great music, and free drinks.

If you hit it, send a photo to A.C. for the weekly YouTube and thank me in the comments.

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Atlantic City & other distractions

Atlantic City dip; Another strike in Motown? 2

Expect many cries of anguish and much rending of garments from Big Gaming over the September casino grosses from Atlantic City. To hear them tell it, the Boardwalk is going to dry up and blow away any minute now. What’s the latest provocation? Last month’s tally of $230.5 million was 6.5% down from last year—but 3% higher than pre-pandemic 2019. And there was one weekend less than last year, which ought to soften the blow. iGaming, meanwhile, was a bonanza, leaping 27% year/year.

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Hockey Knights in Vegas Episode 83: Don’t Look Now, the VGK Are for Real

Hockey Knights in Vegas is BACK!

Well well well. Prior to the season, pundits and media from all over the NHL had basically written off the Vegas Golden Knights for this season: too many goals left via free agency and trades; not enough fire power; and on and on.

Well, whaddaya know. The VGK started the regular season 3-0-0 with convincing wins over Colorado, St. Louis, and Anaheim. This year’s top line of Jack Eichel, Mark Stone, and Ivan Barbishev are the hottest in the NHL and Eichel is leading the league with 7 points through three games.

Eddie and Chris break down the VGK’s (not-so) surprising start top to bottom and share why this year’s team could be building for a long playoff run.

The VGK are off on their first road trip of the season, beginning with a visit to our nations capital and a reunion with former VGK goaltender Logan Thompson.

You won’t want to miss the hot takes! All this and much more on Episode 83 of Hockey Knights in Vegas!

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Does Playing Multiple Lines to Reduce Variance Work in Slots?

Bob Dancer

I wrote a blogpost a few weeks ago saying that playing Ten Play has less variance than Five Play which has less variance than Triple Play which has less variance than single-line play, assuming you’re playing the same total bet. A comment was posted, unanswered by others, which asked: “Would this apply to all games of chance, including slots?”

My answer is that slots generally do not have the same structure as the Triple Play family of games. And by the Triple Play structure, I mean all lines have the same starting position after the deal. I certainly haven’t studied all varieties of slot machines, so maybe . . .

In the accumulative type of slots that I play, every combination of denomination and number of coins bet is in a different position except immediately after the machine is installed or the machine is reset. In a hypothetical Yellow Bob machine, let’s say they have a Mini meter, a Minor meter, and a Major meter. 

At any given point, the meters from bottom to top, might be 7-10-8 for 1¢ 100 coins; 12-19-9 for 1¢ 200 coins; and 15-10-12 for 1¢ 500 coins, etc. Each of these have a different EV. Playing the 100-coin version in this case would be a worse bet than the others simply because the meters are lower, not because you’re betting fewer coins. Depending on how frequently the jackpots come about, and how much each spin is worth on average when it does hit, either the $2 or the $5 game could be the better play. It’s possible that none of these have an EV exceeding 100%.

Let’s say the same machine also has games for 2¢, 5¢, and 10¢ — each having three different “number of coins.” That’s 12 separate games you have to check. Any of them might be the best play right now. Or, most often, none of them.

Some manufacturers give you a higher return for higher denominations. That is, maybe the 1¢ and 2¢ games, in all three “number of coins” variations, have an overall return of 90% and the 5¢ and 10¢ versions have an overall return of 92%. You either have to have inside information on the RTPs (return to players), or capture a lot of data to know if this is true.

This would seem to imply that the higher denominations are a better bet, but that’s not necessarily the case. Assume “average” meter readings, betting $5 at a 90% rate means you’re losing 50¢ per pull on average. Betting $50 at a 92% rate (still assuming average meter readings), means you’re losing $4 per pull.

One older game, called Clover Link Xtreme, has games in the four denominations we’ve discussed. You can have penny games with 500 coins (for a $5 bet), a nickel game with 100 coins bet (for the same $5 bet) and a dime game with 50 coins (again for the same $5 bet). These three separate games will all become positive at the same time. In this case, you want to be playing the dime game because hitting the Mini on the penny game is worth $10 while hitting the Mini on the dime game is worth $100. This is the only game I know that’s like this, but, again, I certainly don’t know all the games.

On slots that don’t accumulate, playing the higher denominations may have a better percentage return. So, if you’re playing until you reach a specific goal, say 1,000 tier credits, you may lose less on average if you play it on higher denominations — if this is a machine where the larger denominations yield a higher percentage. This will be a higher EV, but also higher variance. The amount you bet each hand is a key part of the variance calculation.

Keep in mind, though, that these slots rarely return any percentage close to what you can get playing video poker. Even bad video poker games return more than most slot machines. If you have the knowledge to know which video poker machines to play, and know how to play them reasonably well, that’s a much better bet than most slot machines. If you know how to identify advantage slots and can find them in a positive state, slots can certainly be more lucrative than video poker. But slot knowledge is hard to come by, and you’ll have lots of competition. There is some information in Michael Shackleford’s latest version of Gambling 102, and a more comprehensive book about slots is in the works at Huntington Press. I don’t know when it will be released.

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Bally’s flops & other news

Bally’s Casino in Chicago is a dud. A flop. Maybe not an outright debacle (although being smack in the heart of downtown, it should have been doing better) but an inarguable disappointment, one that augurs poorly for $1.2 billion Bally’s Chicago—a Bally’s casino in name only. How do we know this? Because Hard Rock Rockford opened its permanent casino in August, enjoyed its first full month in September and zoomed straight past Bally’s and almost everyone else into second place in Illinois. That’s a staggering achievement and makes Bally’s failure to gain traction all the more stark.

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G2E: The Street meets The Man

Global Gaming Expo is a time when Wall Street analysts descend upon Las Vegas to romance Big Gaming’s high and mighty. Among those being wined and dined was Station Casinos CFO Stephen Cootey. (What, Frank Fertitta III couldn’t make it?) Cootey was wooed by J.P. Morgan analyst Joseph Greff, who hosted the investor dinner. The essence of the meeting was that the song remains the same. High-end properties, strong; low-end casinos, weaker. Promotions? “Rational.”

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G2E: Miller Time

2024’s Global Gaming Expo “officially” kicked off yesterday, though one could easily have been fooled, judging by the rabbit warren of activity on Monday. Having covered two panels, plus an interview, plus writing five stories yesterday (all on two hours’ sleep), we confess to a serious case of G2E fatigue—with two days remaining. And since the co-parent of G2E is the American Gaming Association, it was (per ancient custom) the prerogative of AGA prexy Bill Miller to be the first keynote speaker of the show.

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Hockey Knights in Vegas Episode 82, a.k.a. Episode 1 AM (After Marchessault)

Hockey Knights in Vegas: Episode 56

The boys are back for Season 5!

Before Eddie and Chris preview the new look of the VGK for the 2024-25 season, Eddie starts the year with a rip-roaring take on the off-season’s biggest VGK news story: Original Misfit Jonathan Marchessault has left for the Nashville Predators. It’s a hot take sure to ruffle feathers and divide fans!

After things settle down a bit, Eddie and Chris get down to the serious business of breaking down the lineup for this season and what it’s going to take for the VGK to make the playoffs.

This year promises to be the most tumultuous in franchise history, and Hockey Knights in Vegas will be with you every step of the way.

The podcast is going to be widely available. Click here to find us on your favorite podcast platform. Or go direct to YouTube.