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Another Apollo scam; MUD-slinging

Since taking over Venelazzo, new owner Apollo Management has been behaving itself, with none of the shenanigans that characterized its ill-fated co-ownership of Caesars Entertainment. That, however, does not mean that Apollo has learned to straighten up and fly right. Thanks to a sweetheart deal carved out with the Donald Trump administration, Apollo is reaping megabucks even as it drives the Yellow trucking firm into bankruptcy, costing workers thousands of jobs. In 2020, Yellow received $700 million in government-funded largesse, in agreement structured in such a way that Apollo stood in senior position for bankruptcy repayment ahead of Uncle Sam. Apollo is throwing the scapegoated Teamsters Union under the bus for the bankruptcy, while also potentially leaving such clients as Home Depot, Walmart and a little boutique known as the Department of Defense high and dry.

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Gambling returns to normality; Boyd’s low-cost charity

Gambling revenues have been so overheated since the pandemic that some kind of market correction was overdue. The much-vaunted recession having failed to manifest itself, the gloom-and-doom crowd on Wall Street must content itself with small retreats in casino winnings. Case in point, Atlantic City. The Boardwalk was down 3% last month to $290 million—but still comfortably 5% higher than it was in July 2019, a halcyon period. The month was highlighted by a rare reversal of fortune for Ocean Casino Resort (pictured), down 6.5% to $38 million.

Overall, casinos were carried by usual suspects like Borgata ($78.5 million, up 2.5%) and Hard Rock Atlantic City ($53 million, flat) and an unusual one: Bally’s Atlantic City, up 2% to $17 million. The doghouse was occupied by Golden Nugget, down 3.5% to $14 million, though not for lacking of trying by Resorts Atlantic City, plunging 16% to $15 million. That leaves the Caesars Entertainment threesome, wherein Caesars Atlantic City ceded a percentage point to reach $25 million, just a hairsbreadth behind Harrah’s Resort ($25 million, -4.5%), while Tropicana Atlantic City tumbled 13.5%, landing at $24 million. Incidentally, Caesars has long since eliminated the volatility at its eponymous casino, whose revenues used to be as elastic as a Slinky.

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It’s my party and I’ll cry if I want to

It just so happens that I share my birthday with the notorious World War I double agent Mata Hari. Hopefully I will come to a better end than she did. I’ve been enmeshed in a huge project for CDC Gaming Reports that’s kept my hands full lately. Also, today is my birthday, so I’m taking it slightly easy. Tomorrow will bring dispatches from Atlantic City and Massachusetts, as well as a ranking of the best movies set in casinos. See you then.

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Podcast – Don “The Dragon” Wilson episode #5

In this episode of the podcast, I chat with Don “The Dragon” Wilson, one of the most iconic martial artists, and action stars of the 1980s and 1990s. Don talks about his fight career, and his transition from fighter to action star.

You can reach me at [email protected], or find me on Twitter @RWM21 or @lifeisagamblepod on Threads. If you like the show please tell a friend you think might like it, or if you are really ambitious leave a review wherever you listen.

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Macao powers Wynn; Indiana down, Missouri flat

Photo: Shutterstock

Sounding pleased with Wynn Resorts (“Upside across the board”), J.P. Morgan analyst Joseph Greff lauded its 2Q23 performance as “solid,” without budging from his “Overweight” rating or $142/share price target. That’s despite Wynn blowing past Greff’s cash-flow estimates for Macao, Las Vegas and Boston. Lower-than-usual hold in mass-market play undid better-than-usual retention of VIP gambling money in Macao but surpassed cash-flow projections by at least $10 million. Mass-market table action hit 91% of pre-Covid levels, as the enclave continues its faster than expected comeback. Retail sales were described as “strong,” while Wynn’s Macanese hotels ran at 96% occupancy.

Also firing on all cylinders was Wynncore, which scored better-than-expected marks in gambling, room rates, F&B and even the troubled entertainment program. Las Vegas-derived revenues of $578 million far overshot Wall Street‘s anticipation. Ditto cash flow. Room rates were an astronomical $462/night as “the high end continues to outperform.” While slot coin-in was but 88% of 2Q19 altitudes, table games more than compensates, seeing 127% as much wagering.

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Portnoy, Penn splitsville; Full House fire sale?

Like bad sex, the connubial bliss between Penn Entertainment and Barstool Sports ended abruptly. Cretinous Dave Portnoy becomes someone else’s problem child following the second-quarter-earnings revelation that Barstool was being sold back to its founder, jilted in favor of much comelier ESPN. Considering Penn’s down-market image, ESPN is doing the company a favor by lending its prestige to a company that has dragged its own name through the mud in pursuit of a sadomasochistic marriage to Portnoy.

“Well, it was fun while it lasted, but, in our view, the handwriting has been on the wall for some time,” wrote Deutsche Bank analyst Carlo Santarelli. “The Barstool partnership was not working, the risks were too significant, and PENN was at a crossroads.” Penn chose to “double down with a new strategy,” opined the pundit. He explained that Penn’s reversal “likely speaks to what is presumably a tough road for its core [brick-and-mortar] business on the horizon, as regional gaming rationalizes from post pandemic peaks and competition hampers performance at core PENN assets.” Barstool Sportsbook will become ESPN Bet. Santarelli believes this is in itself a positive, as the Barstool brand wasn’t what it was cracked up to be as a customer-acquisition tool. (Just a bunch of tools.)

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Maryland down, Illinois up; NFL hypocrisy; Bally’s biz

Gaming industry bears are going to latch onto a 4% drop in Maryland gambling earnings as evidence of an impending recession. Thankfully, J.P. Morgan analyst Joseph Greff puts it in context by pointing out that the $174 million haul is 17% higher than July 2019, itself a high-water mark at the time. The Free State moves closer to a duopoly, with MGM National Harbor (41%) and Maryland Live (36%) capturing more than three-fourths of all business. That left woebegone Horseshoe Baltimore, the casino that Caesars Entertainment forgot, with just $16 million, 13% below last year and 17% down from 2019. MGM, meanwhile, raked in $72 million, a 6.5% slippage, while Maryland Live booked 63%, up 2%.

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Using Your Cell Phone in the Casino in Order to Look Up the Strategy

I’ve recently written some more-complicated-than-normal (for me) articles concerning playing strategies. Today won’t be one of those!

One of my regular posters, Boris from Switzerland, posted (paraphrasing): “This is fine for the advanced players. Recreational players can use a phone app to get the same information. And they’ll probably get away with it.”

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