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Bellagio bargain?; Shame on Maine; Trump seen slumming

Yup, it’s true. Blackstone Group is shopping the real estate assets of Bellagio as it draws down its Las Vegas Strip exposure. At least one Wall Street analyst thinks this would send a signal to the REIT industry that Strip real estate is “undervalued.” MGM Resorts International still holds 5% of the $4.3 billion megaresort and there’s no word whether that sliver is in play, though apparently not. At any rate, CB Richard Ellis analyst John DeCree decreed that a “Bellagio sale could be positive for valuation signal. Given the iconic nature of Bellagio, we suspect any real estate investor with the financial means would likely be at the table, even for a minority stake in the asset.” He added that “a partial sale could appeal to a broader set of interested buyers, considering the potential price tag,” which he did not specify. DeCree strongly implied that Blackstone would get its 2019 purchase price back, which hardly seems like a strong incentive to sell.

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Life is a Gamble episode #2 AP White

AP White dropped out of college 3 times before finally graduating, and getting that 6-figure per year job.  But once he started working he found he hated the job. He decided to quit, and go on the road as a professional advantage player.

You can reach me at [email protected], or find me on Twitter @RWM21 or @lifeisagamblepod on Threads. If you like the show please tell a friend you think might like it, or if you are really ambitious leave a review wherever you listen.

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Rio makeover due; DraftKings stiffs you; Las Vegas deemed #1

Having been spared being the next home of the miserable Oakland Athletics, now The Rio faces the question of whether there’s life after Caesars Entertainment. To that end, owner Dreamscape Cos. is going to try to go it alone as a casino operator. We wish them luck because they’re going to need it. Operating a casino in Las Vegas is not for the faint of experience. It puts a bucketful of problems in the lap of President Eric Birnbaum. Dreamscape says its aim is “to preserve the property’s bones and honor its legacy.” So far so good. Making a go of an off-Strip resort won’t be easy, as the newish owners of Palms Casino Resort and the many chefs over at Virgin Las Vegas could tell you. (Hell, Mohegan Sun is quite candid in admitting that Virgin is struggling as a casino.)

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Big Gaming gets its chain yanked, not always unfairly

We apologize for the dearth of hard news lately. Compounding a two-week vacation with the Fourth of July holiday hasn’t been good for keeping you, dear reader, in the loop. This week in particular has been so slow it’s practically comatose. For news headlines we have been forced to read the tea leaves on a fairly routine changing of the guard at Light & Wonder, for instance.

Today’s lead story hails from Trenton, where New Jersey Gov. Phil Murphy (D, above) inked a bill shortening the leash on the i-casino industry. While some lawmakers wanted licenses to sunset after two years (rather than the previous 10), that radical idea was headed off in committee. A compromise term of five years was settled upon. Given that the i-casino industry could change beyond recognition in another 10 years (ditto online sports betting) and that decade-long licenses but gaming companies in the driver’s set, we understand why the Lege and Murphy did what they did.

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The Value of Creating Strategies

In my opinion, much of the value of a strategy lies in the creation process — figuring out what makes this game different from the others; looking for the rare cases; figuring out how to transcribe those cases — not in using a strategy created by somebody else. 

When I’m looking for the rare cases, I’m learning all of the not-so-rare cases automatically along the way. So much of video poker is playing the mundane hands correctly. 

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A big win for DeSantis; Churchill Downs fired; Mega-Jottings

Private-sector gambling operators got some very bad news from the District of Columbia Circuit of the U.S. Court of Appeals. The latter, in a very broad construal of the Indian Gaming Regulatory Act, ruled that the Seminole Tribe—and by implication, many others—may have Internet gambling and online sports betting. It’s a decree that could “dramatically alter the national gaming landscape,” according to Daniel Wallach, unless SCOTUS intervenes to restore the status quo ante. The appellate court found that locating computer servers on tribal lands satisfies the legal definition of ‘tribal gaming,’ which now extends throughout cyberspace, effective immediately.

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Strip softens, locals don’t; Culinary coup; Fanatic-al frenzy

It had to happen sometime. But it’s strange that Las Vegas Strip gambling revenues would lose momentum in a month (May) in which visitation to Sin City rose 1.5% from last year. 3.5 million people hit town, sending hotel occupancies to 84.5%, diluted somewhat by a 2% increase in hotel rooms since 2019. May was also good for conventions, which shot up 16%, bringing Las Vegas 453,900 conventioneers. 8% more people arrived or departed via plane while 2.5% more visited by car. And yet there was less gambling lucre for The Man when it was all said and done. Curious.

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Life is a Gamble #1 Darryl Purpose

Hey everyone. This is episode one of my new podcast.  As you can see, it is called Life is a Gamble, and as the title indicates it will be about life’s gambles.  I am still feeling my way here so things may morph and change as time goes on, but I hope you come along for the ride.

You can reach me with questions, comments, etc. at [email protected], or on twitter @rwm21.

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