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Vegas Strip bullish, locals more bearish; Penn plummets

Nevada enjoyed a $1.1 billion gambling-revenue month in April, an 8.5% increase over last year. Powering this was the Strip with $593.5 million, a 23% improvement. Downtown, by contrast, suffered a setback, down 11% to $67 million. Utahns must have been enjoying some financial good fortune, as both Mesquite ($16.5 million) and Wendover ($23 million) hopped 7%.

Elsewhere in the state, gambling spend normalized with a vengeance. The Boulder Strip declined 10% to $72.5 million. North Las Vegas ($25 million) dipped 6%, Laughlin was flat at $46 million and the balance of Clark County edged up 2% to $140 million. It was much the same up north. Reno was flat with $62 million and Lake Tahoe receded 15% to $18.5 million. With that exception, the border jurisdictions seem to be holding their ground while locals business—crimped by inflation?—softens. Even so, it’s still 14.5% above the previous record in 2019.

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Steve Wynn, Commie stooge?; Resorts World LV jumps shark

If there’s one thing Steve Wynn loves almost as much as money (and women to whom he is not married) it’s the Red Chinese. He’s been warbling sweet nothings about them ever since he got a gig in Macao as a casino concessionaire. Now his up-close and personal relationship with the ChiComms may be about to catch up with him. He’s being sued by the Justice Department to register as an agent of China, having done some dirty work on Beijing‘s behalf. In 2017, he lobbied the Donald Trump administration to expel a Chinese businessman seeking asylum in the U.S., a particularly odious act. (The Trump administration, to its great credit, refused.) This isn’t a Biden administration vendetta (Wynn is a spent political force): Justice has been after him for four years to register under the Foreign Agents Registration Act and Wynn, with typical stubbornness, has refused. Hence the lawsuit.

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Chicago blew it; Times Square, anyone? Monday Mega-Jottings

Even as Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot (D) blunders forward with her megaresort campaign, more voices are being raised in criticism of how the Second City is going about the process. A Crain’s Business analysis determined that “Each location appears to have serious shortcomings when it comes to delivering the greatest possible benefits from a long-awaited city casino.” The conclusion is that Lightfoot is moving too fast in order to garner a quick payday for the city’s “woefully underfunded” pension system.

And the best way to do that, Crain’s argues, is to create a tourist draw, not something that leeches off of existing Illinois casinos. “Maybe a glitzy city casino would lure a few more Hoosiers and cheeseheads. But Indiana, Wisconsin, Iowa and Missouri all have plenty of casinos, limiting the potential market of day-trippers.” And, it argues, casino gambling may cannibalize existing revenue streams like major league sports and a stellar theatre scene.

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FSE gets new look; Tilman’s big bet; Boyd beats The Street

Fremont Street Experience will now be ‘branded content’ or, to put it less politely, a big-ass billboard for slot companies. Well, one slot company: Aristocrat Gaming. It’s inked a pact with FSE to present “an action-packed new video … The show highlights Aristocrat’s biggest game themes, which are real fan favorites.” The infomercial debuts this week. No word yet on whether competing game makers can hope for similar exposure but we think not. After all, FSE President Andrew Simon nearly knelt in gratitude, saying, “We are proud that industry leader Aristocrat chose the world-class Viva Vision screen to share their messaging in a unique and one-of-a kind environment.”

Just imagine the buffalo stampedes to come, rampaging from the Plaza Hotel down 1,500 feet of canopy and past eight more casinos. Aristocrat is clearly wagering that all that HD action will make Fremont Street pedestrians want to hit the nearest Glitter Gulch casino for some Aristocrat-branded action. We’ll find out how it works at the next quarterly report. And if it doesn’t play for Aristocrat, some other slot maker will be quick to try it themselves. Happy viewing.

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Chicago tips its hand; Wynn loses; Thunder Down Under

Would somebody clue in Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot (D) that Neil Bluhm‘s Rush Street Gaming is no longer the majority owner of Rivers Casino Des Plaines? That honor goes to Churchill Downs. But Lightfoot is using Des Plaines as a stick with which to beat Bluhm’s (admittedly underwhelming) Chicago casino proposal, Rivers 78. Although the Chicago Sun-Times argues that Bluhm “combines real estate development skills with knowledge of gambling, and his political and business contacts here are peerless,” Lightfoot has not-so-subtly let it be known that her preference is for Bally’s Corp., whose riverfront proposal is shown above.

Bluhm is penalized by his presence, however vestigial, in the suburbs and Hard Rock International is doubly dinged by A) Hard Rock Northern Indiana in Gary and B) the “complex” air-rights negotiations inherent in its proposal. That leaves Bally’s Tribune, as it is presently called, which has conveniently predicted the highest revenue numbers, music to Lightfoot’s ears. “Bally’s is the only bidder that does not already have a property in the Chicagoland market and, therefore, is more likely to operate with independence in maximizing revenues for the Chicago casino,” her minions said. It’s also the project whose temporary casino could go up the soonest (Bluhm’s would be last) and has sweetened the pot with the pledge of $25 million, maybe more, in upfront money. It also enjoys the support of Walter Burnett, its local alderman.

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Almost everyone prospers in Maryland; Broader revival continues

There’s no sign of “normalization” of gaming revenues in Maryland, where February yielded $163 million, a 19% gain over 2019. Horseshoe Baltimore continued to be somewhat sickly, down 14% to $18 million while everyone else climbed. The silver lining was that it was 10% above last year and $3 million ahead of Deutsche Bank expectations. MGM National Harbor led with $66 million, up 22%, while Maryland Live, not to be outdone, grossed $59.5 million, a 29% leap. Hollywood Perryville jumped 30% to $8 million and Ocean Downs galloped 15% ahead to $6.5 million. Out west, Rocky Gap Resort hopped 27% to $5.5 million.

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IGT: Biz as usual; Borgata ups the ante; Mega-Jottings

Wall Street analysts were rather ho-hum about International Game Technology‘s 4Q21 earnings announcement. The company’s cash flow from lotteries were almost exactly as predicted ($335.5 million, revenue of $687 million) while gaming brought in $66 million (on revenues of $321 million). The digital segment was a relative disappointment: $9 million instead of the predicted $16 million in EBITDA, while corporate costs overshot the mark, $24 million rather than the expected $19 million. Yawned Credit Suisse analyst Ben Chaiken, “We think 4Q numbers are likely good enough, with important segments (Lotto and Gaming) inline, and we think the miss on digital and corporate should be looked over.” Management continues to project as much as $4.3 billion in 2022 revenues—and why not? By and large they’re hitting their numbers. Chaiken did think it imperative that “new CEO Vincent Sadusky … establish a narrative of extrapolating hidden/underappreciated value in IGT.”

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MGM boffo; Establishment freaks out over sports betting

“Viva Las Vegas” was the headline on Credit Suisse analyst Ben Chaiken‘s recap of 4Q21 earnings from MGM Resorts International. Wall Street expected $2.8 billion in revenue and $705 million in cash flow. MGM delivered $3.1 billion and $821 million, respectively. With Aria and Circus Circus backed out of the picture, revenue was up 4% and cash flow shot up 36%. “It sounds like trends in Vegas are recovering again following some Omicron related weakness in January, particularly in the group business,” wrote Chaiken, adding that management saw positive trends building toward the Grammy Awards (at the Green Monster) and NFL draft. Regional casinos performed as expected, delivering $309 million worth of cash flow. BetMGM was projected to generate $1.3 billion in net revenue this year, as it expands to Illinois (March) and Ontario (April).

Making the best of a bad situation in Macao, MGM brass noted that Chinese New Year visitation was up 30% over last year and mass-market play was solid, with MGM’s Macanese market share hitting an all-time high of 14%. Little was said about Japan, but Chaiken observed that the lion had $9 billion “in dry powder” that he expected to go into BetMGM and New York City (“potential high ROI projects”). BetMGM lost $211 million last year and will not be ROI-positive until 2023.

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Everybody wins; ‘Adele’ debuts; Ohio and Maryland prosper

Let’s start the day with a rare, feel-good story about an invalidated jackpot. Normally, these things go the way of the house. But not this time. On January 8, at Treasure Island, a player named Robert Taylor was playing the slots and hit a $230K bonanza. But the machine goofed and didn’t go wild, as it’s supposed to do. Give credit to Treasure Island staffers for noticing the mega-glitch and informing the Nevada Gaming Control Board. To our eternal gratitude (and that of Mr. Taylor, no doubt), “gaming officials combed through hours of surveillance videos from several casinos, interviewed witnesses, shifted [sic] through electronic purchase records and even analyzed ride share data provided by the Nevada Transportation Authority.” Eventually Taylor, an Arizona tourist, was located and remunerated.

The whole thing took two weeks but jackpot delayed was not jackpot denied. Last week the NGCB did the wrong thing by approving Apollo Management to take over Venelazzo. In the Treasure Island affair it very much did the right thing (as did the casino), an instance of fair-mindedness that is rightly garnering Las Vegas an armful of good publicity that no PR campaign can buy.

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Florida: Phhhhht …; Crackdown in Macao; Scandal at Parx

That hissing sound you hear is the air going out of DraftKings‘ and FanDuel‘s electoral balloon. Florida Education Champions, their front group for bringing online sports betting to the Sunshine State, folded its hand, conceding that it can’t get enough signatures to qualify for the November ballot. It says it’s “reassessing long-term options, still hoping one day to get voter approval for legal online sports gambling in Florida.” FEC says it collected over a million signatures, but only 471,536 could be verified. “While pursuing our mission to add sports betting to the ballot, we ran into some serious challenges, but most of all, the COVID-19 surge decimated our operations and ability to collect in-person signatures,” FEC complained, failing to add that the dog ate its homework. All gambling-related signature drives, had they made the ballot, might have faced serious voter backlash, given the in-your-face petitioning tactics alleged, which included encroachment upon private property.

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