
Shazam! Massachusetts casino revenues for June were $84 million, 67% higher than 2019. But wait … as Deutsche Bank analyst Carlo Santarelli points out, Encore Boston Harbor wasn’t operational two years ago (it debuted on June 23, 2019), so on a same-store basis, casinos were actually down 6%. How come? The Bay State doesn’t have Internet gambling, which is starting to sap Pennsylvania. Capacity is unrestrained, although poker rooms aren’t back and we hear that players are hopping mad about it. Maybe Massachusetts players just don’t have that pent-up demand we’ve seen just about everywhere else. Encore dominated with $52.5 million, while MGM Springfield actually managed a 1% increase, to $20 million. Plainridge Park was the laggard, falling 16.5% and grossing $11 million. Expect owner Penn National Gaming to renew its mewl for table games at what was always and explicitly meant to be a slots-only facility.
Drilling further down, Wynn Resorts had 63% market share, MGM 24% and Penn 13%. MGM’s comeback was powered by slots, up 4% whilst tables were 9% down. It was the other way around at Encore, where tables were up 3% ($23 million) and slots dipped 4% ($29.5 million). Wynn’s decision to predicate Encore on upper-market play is coming up aces but what MGM thought it was doing building a high-end property way out in Springfield will be a head-scratcher for future historians of the company. We know the rich folks like to luxuriate in nearby Lenox but still …
Continue reading Massachusetts stumbles, Louisiana cruises; Big blunder at Circa





It’s highly uncommon in our experience for a Wall Street analyst to put a “sell” rating on a stock but that’s just what Deutsche Bank‘s Carlo Santarelli did to Penn National Gaming yesterday. Penn has been the darling of The Street ever since it eviscerated the company during the Great Shutdown, which did wonders for its margins. The stock is trading at $72/share and Santarelli put a $31 price target on it. Why? Primarily because he believes Penn’s Internet gambling operations and Barstool Sports are “considerably overvalued” relative to its performance so far. (Shades of DraftKings.) He’s also skeptical of forecasts that call for year after year of revenue growth when he sees an upcoming contraction, especially compared to lean-and-mean 2021. Not even the additions of Hollywood Perryville and two slot parlors in Pennsylvania alleviate his gloom. Penn has tantalized Wall Street with preannouncements of $1.5 billion in 2Q21 revenue, a bit of bare ankle that may have been intended to distract from the issuance of $400 million in new debt.


